{smcl}
{com}{sf}{ul off}{txt}{.-}
      name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}D:\Melusky\Intertemporal Electoral Choice Project\Data\median regression analyses.11-07-2013.FINAL.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}opened on:  {res} 7 Nov 2013, 17:20:01
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
.  * OPEN "COLLECTIVE WISDOM" DATA SET
.   
.     use "D:\Melusky\Intertemporal Electoral Choice Project\Data\intertemporal retrospective economic voting.11-02-2013.dta", clear
{txt}
{com}.   
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. **** TABLE SI-2:  ESTIMATE SELECTION EQUATION MODEL SUING SML SEMI-PARAMETRIC BINARY INDEX FUNCTION INTENDED FOR MEDIAN/QUANTILE REGRESSION [E.G., KLEIN & SPADY 1993; BUCHINSKY 2001] ****
. 
. 
. 
. *** SELECTION EQUATION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. *** COMMON OUTCOME EQUATION COVARIATES: ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP: + [AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS]; LAST ELECTION RESULTS: + [VOTE SHARE IN PREVIOUS ELECTION CONTEST] **** 
. 
. *** UNIQUE COVARIATES: PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION YEAR: +; PERCENT UNIFIED PARTY GOVERNMENT DURING THEIR PRIOR TENURE IN OFFICE: +; AGE (YEARS, MONTHS) AT TIME OF ELECTION EVENT: +; GUBERNATORIAL TERM LIMITS EXIST IN STATE AT TIME OF EXITING OFFICE +; WHETHER GOVERNOR HAS BEEN PREVIOUSLY RE-ELECTED +   
. 
. 
. 
. sml eddur2binary  personalincomerecentyearann lastelectionresults preselectyr pctunifiedtenure electionage electionagesq statetermlimits reelected
{txt}

Iteration 0:{col 16}log likelihood = {res}-144.93648{txt}  (not concave)
Iteration 1:{col 16}log likelihood = {res}-144.64307{txt}  
Iteration 2:{col 16}log likelihood = {res} -143.9897{txt}  
Iteration 3:{col 16}log likelihood = {res}-143.79356{txt}  
Iteration 4:{col 16}log likelihood = {res}-143.79114{txt}  
Iteration 5:{col 16}log likelihood = {res}-143.79114{txt}  

SML Estimator - Klein & Spady (1993){col 51}Number of obs{col 67}= {res}       313
{txt}{col 51}Wald chi2({res}8{txt}){col 67}= {res}     35.25
{txt}Log likelihood = {res}-143.79114{txt}{col 51}Prob > chi2{col 67}= {res}    0.0000

{txt}{hline 28}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}               eddur2binary{col 29}{c |}      Coef.{col 41}   Std. Err.{col 53}      z{col 61}   P>|z|{col 69}     [95% Con{col 82}f. Interval]
{hline 28}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} .0306178{col 41}{space 2} .0266842{col 52}{space 1}    1.15{col 61}{space 3}0.251{col 69}{space 4}-.0216824{col 82}{space 3} .0829179
{txt}{space 8}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-.0118018{col 41}{space 2} .0131505{col 52}{space 1}   -0.90{col 61}{space 3}0.369{col 69}{space 4}-.0375763{col 82}{space 3} .0139726
{txt}{space 16}preselectyr {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} .1903964{col 41}{space 2} .1854622{col 52}{space 1}    1.03{col 61}{space 3}0.305{col 69}{space 4}-.1731028{col 82}{space 3} .5538957
{txt}{space 11}pctunifiedtenure {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} .5010195{col 41}{space 2} .2135074{col 52}{space 1}    2.35{col 61}{space 3}0.019{col 69}{space 4} .0825527{col 82}{space 3} .9194863
{txt}{space 16}electionage {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-.1580492{col 41}{space 2} .0677405{col 52}{space 1}   -2.33{col 61}{space 3}0.020{col 69}{space 4}-.2908182{col 82}{space 3}-.0252802
{txt}{space 14}electionagesq {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} .0015716{col 41}{space 2} .0005988{col 52}{space 1}    2.62{col 61}{space 3}0.009{col 69}{space 4} .0003979{col 82}{space 3} .0027452
{txt}{space 12}statetermlimits {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} .8290482{col 41}{space 2} .1962498{col 52}{space 1}    4.22{col 61}{space 3}0.000{col 69}{space 4} .4444056{col 82}{space 3} 1.213691
{txt}{space 18}reelected {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} 1.607018{col 41}{space 2} .3383452{col 52}{space 1}    4.75{col 61}{space 3}0.000{col 69}{space 4} .9438738{col 82}{space 3} 2.270163
{txt}{hline 28}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** GENERATE INVERSE MILLS RATIO AND THEIR RESPECTIVE POWERS ***  
. 
. predict double eddur2binarypred4, xb
{txt}(4 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. gen double imr4 = normalden(eddur2binarypred4) / normal(eddur2binarypred4)
{txt}(4 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. sum imr4 if eddur2binary==1, detail

                            {txt}imr4
{hline 61}
      Percentiles      Smallest
 1%    {res} 1.484266       1.465937
{txt} 5%    {res} 1.543174       1.484266
{txt}10%    {res} 1.817723       1.509397       {txt}Obs         {res}        115
{txt}25%    {res} 2.185667       1.509749       {txt}Sum of Wgt. {res}        115

{txt}50%    {res} 2.549591                      {txt}Mean          {res}  2.67326
                        {txt}Largest       Std. Dev.     {res} .7107372
{txt}75%    {res} 3.186938       4.107925
{txt}90%    {res} 3.698505       4.404184       {txt}Variance      {res} .5051473
{txt}95%    {res} 3.928675       4.737533       {txt}Skewness      {res} .6142509
{txt}99%    {res} 4.737533        4.74189       {txt}Kurtosis      {res} 3.039094
{txt}
{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. 
. generate imr4sq=imr4^2
{txt}(4 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. generate imr4cubic=imr4^3
{txt}(4 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
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. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE OVERALL TENURE ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL 1A: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.27766063
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.4511763

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.711428{col 46}{space 2} 2.105638{col 57}{space 1}    3.19{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4} 2.534904{col 87}{space 3} 10.88795
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1006963{col 46}{space 2} .0592968{col 57}{space 1}    1.70{col 66}{space 3}0.093{col 74}{space 4}-.0169187{col 87}{space 3} .2183113
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0834287{col 46}{space 2} .0375405{col 57}{space 1}   -2.22{col 66}{space 3}0.028{col 74}{space 4}  -.15789{col 87}{space 3}-.0089674
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0111337{col 46}{space 2} .2755353{col 57}{space 1}   -0.04{col 66}{space 3}0.968{col 74}{space 4}-.5576568{col 87}{space 3} .5353893
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5413502{col 46}{space 2} .8554757{col 57}{space 1}    0.63{col 66}{space 3}0.528{col 74}{space 4}-1.155482{col 87}{space 3} 2.238182
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.55431{col 46}{space 2} 5.092065{col 57}{space 1}   -3.84{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} -29.6544{col 87}{space 3}-9.454228
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4751725{col 46}{space 2} 4.109059{col 57}{space 1}    0.12{col 66}{space 3}0.908{col 74}{space 4}-7.675126{col 87}{space 3} 8.625471
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -8.85797{col 46}{space 2} 7.420623{col 57}{space 1}   -1.19{col 66}{space 3}0.235{col 74}{space 4}-23.57674{col 87}{space 3} 5.860802
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0319848{col 46}{space 2} 3.036121{col 57}{space 1}   -0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.992{col 74}{space 4}-6.054116{col 87}{space 3} 5.990147
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.710444{col 46}{space 2} 4.820077{col 57}{space 1}   -1.39{col 66}{space 3}0.167{col 74}{space 4}-16.27104{col 87}{space 3} 2.850155
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0976235{col 46}{space 2} .2068634{col 57}{space 1}    0.47{col 66}{space 3}0.638{col 74}{space 4} -.312689{col 87}{space 3}  .507936
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3341834{col 46}{space 2} .1837416{col 57}{space 1}    1.82{col 66}{space 3}0.072{col 74}{space 4}-.0302673{col 87}{space 3}  .698634
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 62.03523{col 46}{space 2} 19.45961{col 57}{space 1}    3.19{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4} 23.43719{col 87}{space 3} 100.6333
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 7.955
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.019
{txt}
{com}. 
. predict tenurefullresidsimrcook1a, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. *
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general tenurefullresidsimrcook1a if tenurefullresidsimrcook1a >= 1  & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   tenur~1a {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  1. {c |} {res}    20.8         42         0   2.667653 {txt}{c |}
  2. {c |} {res}    21.6         90         0   3.724112 {txt}{c |}
  3. {c |} {res}    39.5        138         0   1.232194 {txt}{c |}
  5. {c |} {res}       8         62         0   1.722772 {txt}{c |}
  6. {c |} {res}    95.1         22         0   1.004812 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   4.627929 {txt}{c |}
 16. {c |} {res}    54.7         22         1   1.445933 {txt}{c |}
 21. {c |} {res}    36.2         68         0   1.791181 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0     2.3239 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   3.143423 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   3.358635 {txt}{c |}
 37. {c |} {res}    46.1         44         0   1.047416 {txt}{c |}
 38. {c |} {res}    25.7         42         0   1.808388 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   3.130252 {txt}{c |}
 51. {c |} {res}    24.3        140         0   1.447607 {txt}{c |}
 65. {c |} {res}    91.4         17         0   1.168329 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 95. {c |} {res}    36.6         66         0   1.619733 {txt}{c |}
 96. {c |} {res}    40.8         67         0   1.295228 {txt}{c |}
102. {c |} {res}    19.2         39         0   3.392723 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   10.64364 {txt}{c |}
117. {c |} {res}    38.2         21         0    1.00263 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
119. {c |} {res}    39.3          1         1   1.304719 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL 1B: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcook1a < 1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.5923651
{txt}Number of obs = {res}93
{txt}Objective function = {res}3.9318123

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.817791{col 46}{space 2} 2.483927{col 57}{space 1}    3.15{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4} 2.874619{col 87}{space 3} 12.76096
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1349682{col 46}{space 2} .2858294{col 57}{space 1}    0.47{col 66}{space 3}0.638{col 74}{space 4}-.4338503{col 87}{space 3} .7037868
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0980846{col 46}{space 2} .0536245{col 57}{space 1}   -1.83{col 66}{space 3}0.071{col 74}{space 4}-.2048009{col 87}{space 3} .0086316
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0153432{col 46}{space 2} .2901548{col 57}{space 1}   -0.05{col 66}{space 3}0.958{col 74}{space 4}-.5927695{col 87}{space 3} .5620832
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .318285{col 46}{space 2} .6326072{col 57}{space 1}    0.50{col 66}{space 3}0.616{col 74}{space 4}-.9406433{col 87}{space 3} 1.577213
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-20.39476{col 46}{space 2} 3.704297{col 57}{space 1}   -5.51{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-27.76654{col 87}{space 3}-13.02297
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.305965{col 46}{space 2} 2.948334{col 57}{space 1}   -0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.659{col 74}{space 4}-7.173337{col 87}{space 3} 4.561407
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.640768{col 46}{space 2} 5.281195{col 57}{space 1}   -1.45{col 66}{space 3}0.152{col 74}{space 4}-18.15068{col 87}{space 3} 2.869145
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0214955{col 46}{space 2} 1.898833{col 57}{space 1}   -0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.991{col 74}{space 4}-3.800293{col 87}{space 3} 3.757302
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.662699{col 46}{space 2} 4.630538{col 57}{space 1}   -1.65{col 66}{space 3}0.102{col 74}{space 4}-16.87776{col 87}{space 3} 1.552366
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1036515{col 46}{space 2} 2.185921{col 57}{space 1}   -0.05{col 66}{space 3}0.962{col 74}{space 4}-4.453773{col 87}{space 3}  4.24647
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3301821{col 46}{space 2} .1324646{col 57}{space 1}    2.49{col 66}{space 3}0.015{col 74}{space 4} .0665691{col 87}{space 3} .5937951
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 63.78464{col 46}{space 2} 16.09958{col 57}{space 1}    3.96{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 31.74546{col 87}{space 3} 95.82382
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 9.079
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.011
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL 1C: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.32105963
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.3432101

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.054934{col 46}{space 2} 3.852112{col 57}{space 1}    1.57{col 66}{space 3}0.119{col 74}{space 4}-1.588492{col 87}{space 3} 13.69836
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1196237{col 46}{space 2} .0686357{col 57}{space 1}    1.74{col 66}{space 3}0.084{col 74}{space 4}-.0165644{col 87}{space 3} .2558118
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  -.09096{col 46}{space 2} .0475225{col 57}{space 1}   -1.91{col 66}{space 3}0.059{col 74}{space 4} -.185255{col 87}{space 3}  .003335
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.140468{col 46}{space 2} .4151625{col 57}{space 1}   -0.34{col 66}{space 3}0.736{col 74}{space 4}-.9642406{col 87}{space 3} .6833045
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.588336{col 46}{space 2} 1.401008{col 57}{space 1}    1.13{col 66}{space 3}0.260{col 74}{space 4}-1.191568{col 87}{space 3} 4.368241
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.18923{col 46}{space 2} 7.813002{col 57}{space 1}   -1.82{col 66}{space 3}0.072{col 74}{space 4}-29.69192{col 87}{space 3} 1.313465
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.461228{col 46}{space 2} 5.545921{col 57}{space 1}    0.26{col 66}{space 3}0.793{col 74}{space 4}-9.543082{col 87}{space 3} 12.46554
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.803188{col 46}{space 2} 9.481035{col 57}{space 1}   -0.51{col 66}{space 3}0.614{col 74}{space 4}-23.61562{col 87}{space 3} 14.00924
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.456576{col 46}{space 2} 3.643564{col 57}{space 1}   -0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.690{col 74}{space 4}-8.686196{col 87}{space 3} 5.773045
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.569918{col 46}{space 2} 9.698758{col 57}{space 1}   -0.26{col 66}{space 3}0.792{col 74}{space 4}-21.81436{col 87}{space 3} 16.67452
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0661405{col 46}{space 2} .2213373{col 57}{space 1}    0.30{col 66}{space 3}0.766{col 74}{space 4}-.3730406{col 87}{space 3} .5053217
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2154413{col 46}{space 2}   .25988{col 57}{space 1}    0.83{col 66}{space 3}0.409{col 74}{space 4} -.300217{col 87}{space 3} .7310996
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 92.29342{col 46}{space 2} 113.2794{col 57}{space 1}    0.81{col 66}{space 3}0.417{col 74}{space 4}-132.4775{col 87}{space 3} 317.0644
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-29.08571{col 46}{space 2}  39.1987{col 57}{space 1}   -0.74{col 66}{space 3}0.460{col 74}{space 4}-106.8644{col 87}{space 3} 48.69302
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.778421{col 46}{space 2} 4.155008{col 57}{space 1}    0.67{col 66}{space 3}0.505{col 74}{space 4}-5.466016{col 87}{space 3} 11.02286
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-27.06844{col 46}{space 2} 100.1422{col 57}{space 1}   -0.27{col 66}{space 3}0.787{col 74}{space 4}-225.7723{col 87}{space 3} 171.6354
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 9.888
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.007
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict tenurefullresidsimrcook1c, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general tenurefullresidsimrcook1c if tenurefullresidsimrcook1c >= 1  & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   tenur~1c {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   2.191347 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.316313 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.909864 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   1.018751 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   2.254645 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   2.793444 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL 1D: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcook1c < 1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.33611098
{txt}Number of obs = {res}109
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.5505923

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.705754{col 46}{space 2} 2.646808{col 57}{space 1}    2.53{col 66}{space 3}0.013{col 74}{space 4} 1.449718{col 87}{space 3} 11.96179
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .125418{col 46}{space 2}  .056272{col 57}{space 1}    2.23{col 66}{space 3}0.028{col 74}{space 4} .0136729{col 87}{space 3}  .237163
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0918874{col 46}{space 2} .0372473{col 57}{space 1}   -2.47{col 66}{space 3}0.015{col 74}{space 4}-.1658532{col 87}{space 3}-.0179217
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4263414{col 46}{space 2}  .366818{col 57}{space 1}   -1.16{col 66}{space 3}0.248{col 74}{space 4}-1.154769{col 87}{space 3} .3020865
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.883758{col 46}{space 2} 1.344297{col 57}{space 1}    1.40{col 66}{space 3}0.164{col 74}{space 4}-.7857488{col 87}{space 3} 4.553264
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-13.74267{col 46}{space 2} 8.349162{col 57}{space 1}   -1.65{col 66}{space 3}0.103{col 74}{space 4}-30.32245{col 87}{space 3}  2.83711
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  -1.0225{col 46}{space 2} 4.030591{col 57}{space 1}   -0.25{col 66}{space 3}0.800{col 74}{space 4}-9.026455{col 87}{space 3} 6.981455
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.039974{col 46}{space 2} 7.167643{col 57}{space 1}   -0.70{col 66}{space 3}0.484{col 74}{space 4}-19.27349{col 87}{space 3} 9.193544
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.372232{col 46}{space 2} 3.073535{col 57}{space 1}   -0.12{col 66}{space 3}0.904{col 74}{space 4}-6.475663{col 87}{space 3} 5.731199
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.228855{col 46}{space 2} 6.996353{col 57}{space 1}   -0.75{col 66}{space 3}0.457{col 74}{space 4}-19.12222{col 87}{space 3} 8.664515
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0256477{col 46}{space 2}  .180715{col 57}{space 1}    0.14{col 66}{space 3}0.887{col 74}{space 4}-.3332164{col 87}{space 3} .3845119
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2715073{col 46}{space 2} .2101566{col 57}{space 1}    1.29{col 66}{space 3}0.200{col 74}{space 4} -.145822{col 87}{space 3} .6888367
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  102.332{col 46}{space 2}  133.106{col 57}{space 1}    0.77{col 66}{space 3}0.444{col 74}{space 4}-161.9901{col 87}{space 3} 366.6541
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-31.34491{col 46}{space 2} 45.02866{col 57}{space 1}   -0.70{col 66}{space 3}0.488{col 74}{space 4}-120.7629{col 87}{space 3} 58.07308
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.917059{col 46}{space 2} 4.662086{col 57}{space 1}    0.63{col 66}{space 3}0.533{col 74}{space 4} -6.34092{col 87}{space 3} 12.17504
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-22.03188{col 46}{space 2} 114.1289{col 57}{space 1}   -0.19{col 66}{space 3}0.847{col 74}{space 4}-248.6693{col 87}{space 3} 204.6055
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res}12.564
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.002
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.613867{col 26}{space 2} 2.616483{col 37}{space 1}    2.53{col 46}{space 3}0.013{col 54}{space 4} 1.418051{col 67}{space 3} 11.80968
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.603105{col 26}{space 2} 2.296385{col 37}{space 1}    2.44{col 46}{space 3}0.017{col 54}{space 4}  1.04294{col 67}{space 3} 10.16327
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.500456{col 26}{space 2} 1.985128{col 37}{space 1}    2.27{col 46}{space 3}0.026{col 54}{space 4} .5583845{col 67}{space 3} 8.442528
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.397807{col 26}{space 2} 1.734256{col 37}{space 1}    1.96{col 46}{space 3}0.053{col 54}{space 4}-.0460825{col 67}{space 3} 6.841697
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.295158{col 26}{space 2} 1.572932{col 37}{space 1}    1.46{col 46}{space 3}0.148{col 54}{space 4}-.8283737{col 67}{space 3}  5.41869
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.192509{col 26}{space 2} 1.529754{col 37}{space 1}    0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.438{col 54}{space 4}-1.845279{col 67}{space 3} 4.230297
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   .08986{col 26}{space 2} 1.614229{col 37}{space 1}    0.06{col 46}{space 3}0.956{col 54}{space 4} -3.11568{col 67}{space 3}   3.2954
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.012789{col 26}{space 2} 1.808559{col 37}{space 1}   -0.56{col 46}{space 3}0.577{col 54}{space 4}-4.604229{col 67}{space 3} 2.578651
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.115438{col 26}{space 2}  2.08221{col 37}{space 1}   -1.02{col 46}{space 3}0.312{col 54}{space 4}-6.250294{col 67}{space 3} 2.019417
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.218087{col 26}{space 2} 2.408291{col 37}{space 1}   -1.34{col 46}{space 3}0.185{col 54}{space 4}-8.000476{col 67}{space 3} 1.564302
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.320736{col 26}{space 2} 2.768338{col 37}{space 1}   -1.56{col 46}{space 3}0.122{col 54}{space 4}-9.818107{col 67}{space 3} 1.176635
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.423385{col 26}{space 2} 3.150728{col 37}{space 1}   -1.72{col 46}{space 3}0.089{col 54}{space 4}-11.68011{col 67}{space 3} .8333359
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.526034{col 26}{space 2} 3.548244{col 37}{space 1}   -1.84{col 46}{space 3}0.069{col 54}{space 4}-13.57214{col 67}{space 3} .5200752
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [20TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 1.207%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*1 + pictenureann*1.207*1 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + eddurmonths2 + 1.207{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  60.9616{col 26}{space 2} 6.811277{col 37}{space 1}    8.95{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 47.43575{col 67}{space 3} 74.48744
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*12 + pictenureann*1.207*12 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 14.484{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.12121{col 26}{space 2}  6.60164{col 37}{space 1}    9.26{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 48.01166{col 67}{space 3} 74.23075
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*24 + pictenureann*1.207*24 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 28.968{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.29532{col 26}{space 2} 6.393535{col 37}{space 1}    9.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 48.59903{col 67}{space 3} 73.99162
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*36 + pictenureann*1.207*36 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 43.452{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.46944{col 26}{space 2} 6.209013{col 37}{space 1}    9.90{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.13957{col 67}{space 3} 73.79931
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*48 + pictenureann*1.207*48 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 57.936{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.64356{col 26}{space 2}  6.05023{col 37}{space 1}   10.19{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}   49.629{col 67}{space 3} 73.65812
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*60 + pictenureann*1.207*60 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 72.42{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.81768{col 26}{space 2}  5.91926{col 37}{space 1}   10.44{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  50.0632{col 67}{space 3} 73.57216
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*72 + pictenureann*1.207*72 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 86.904{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  61.9918{col 26}{space 2}  5.81798{col 37}{space 1}   10.66{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.43844{col 67}{space 3} 73.54515
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*84 + pictenureann*1.207*84 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 101.388{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.16591{col 26}{space 2}  5.74796{col 37}{space 1}   10.82{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.75161{col 67}{space 3} 73.58022
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*96 + pictenureann*1.207*96 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 115.872{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.34003{col 26}{space 2} 5.710351{col 37}{space 1}   10.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.00041{col 67}{space 3} 73.67966
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*108 + pictenureann*1.207*108 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 130.356{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.51415{col 26}{space 2} 5.705792{col 37}{space 1}   10.96{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.18358{col 67}{space 3} 73.84472
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*120 + pictenureann*1.207*120 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 144.84{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.68827{col 26}{space 2} 5.734364{col 37}{space 1}   10.93{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.30096{col 67}{space 3} 74.07558
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*132 + pictenureann*1.207*132 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 159.324{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.86239{col 26}{space 2} 5.795575{col 37}{space 1}   10.85{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.35352{col 67}{space 3} 74.37125
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*144 + pictenureann*1.207*144 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 173.808{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 63.03651{col 26}{space 2} 5.888408{col 37}{space 1}   10.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.34329{col 67}{space 3} 74.72972
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [50TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 2.162%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*1 + pictenureann*2.162*1 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673 + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + eddurmonths2 + 2.162{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 67.27784{col 26}{space 2} 8.797124{col 37}{space 1}    7.65{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  49.8085{col 67}{space 3} 84.74719
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*12 + pictenureann*2.162*12 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 25.944{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 66.47217{col 26}{space 2} 8.315267{col 37}{space 1}    7.99{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  49.9597{col 67}{space 3} 82.98464
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*24 + pictenureann*2.162*24 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 51.888{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 65.59326{col 26}{space 2} 7.803707{col 37}{space 1}    8.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.09665{col 67}{space 3} 81.08988
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*36 + pictenureann*2.162*36 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 77.832{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 64.71435{col 26}{space 2} 7.309865{col 37}{space 1}    8.85{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.19841{col 67}{space 3} 79.23029
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*48 + pictenureann*2.162*48 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 103.776{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 63.83544{col 26}{space 2} 6.837582{col 37}{space 1}    9.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.25735{col 67}{space 3} 77.41352
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*60 + pictenureann*2.162*60 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 129.72{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.95652{col 26}{space 2} 6.391638{col 37}{space 1}    9.85{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}   50.264{col 67}{space 3} 75.64905
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*72 + pictenureann*2.162*72 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 155.664{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.07761{col 26}{space 2}  5.97793{col 37}{space 1}   10.38{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.20663{col 67}{space 3}  73.9486
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*84 + pictenureann*2.162*84 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 181.608{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  61.1987{col 26}{space 2} 5.603604{col 37}{space 1}   10.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.07106{col 67}{space 3} 72.32635
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*96 + pictenureann*2.162*96 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 207.552{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.31979{col 26}{space 2} 5.277045{col 37}{space 1}   11.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.84062{col 67}{space 3} 70.79896
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*108 + pictenureann*2.162*108 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 233.496{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.44088{col 26}{space 2}  5.00761{col 37}{space 1}   11.87{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.49676{col 67}{space 3}   69.385
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*120 + pictenureann*2.162*120 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 259.44{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.56197{col 26}{space 2} 4.804915{col 37}{space 1}   12.19{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.02036{col 67}{space 3} 68.10357
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*132 + pictenureann*2.162*132 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 285.384{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 57.68305{col 26}{space 2} 4.677646{col 37}{space 1}   12.33{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 48.39418{col 67}{space 3} 66.97193
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*144 + pictenureann*2.162*144 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 311.328{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 56.80414{col 26}{space 2} 4.632024{col 37}{space 1}   12.26{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 47.60586{col 67}{space 3} 66.00242
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. 
. 
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [80TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 2.977%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*1 + pictenureann*2.977*1 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + eddurmonths2 + 2.977{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 72.66814{col 26}{space 2} 10.66382{col 37}{space 1}    6.81{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.49191{col 67}{space 3} 93.84438
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*12 + pictenureann*2.977*12 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 35.724{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  71.0387{col 26}{space 2} 9.928015{col 37}{space 1}    7.16{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.32363{col 67}{space 3} 90.75377
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*24 + pictenureann*2.977*24 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 71.448{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 69.26113{col 26}{space 2} 9.147029{col 37}{space 1}    7.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.09694{col 67}{space 3} 87.42532
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*36 + pictenureann*2.977*36 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 107.172{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 67.48356{col 26}{space 2} 8.394844{col 37}{space 1}    8.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.81307{col 67}{space 3} 84.15406
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*48 + pictenureann*2.977*48 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 142.896{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 65.70599{col 26}{space 2} 7.679925{col 37}{space 1}    8.56{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.45518{col 67}{space 3}  80.9568
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*60 + pictenureann*2.977*60 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 178.62{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 63.92842{col 26}{space 2} 7.013678{col 37}{space 1}    9.11{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.00064{col 67}{space 3}  77.8562
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*72 + pictenureann*2.977*72 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 214.344{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.15085{col 26}{space 2} 6.411296{col 37}{space 1}    9.69{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.41929{col 67}{space 3} 74.88241
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*84 + pictenureann*2.977*84 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 250.068{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.37328{col 26}{space 2} 5.892397{col 37}{space 1}   10.25{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 48.67215{col 67}{space 3} 72.07441
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*96 + pictenureann*2.977*96 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 285.792{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.59571{col 26}{space 2} 5.480745{col 37}{space 1}   10.69{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 47.71204{col 67}{space 3} 69.47938
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*108 + pictenureann*2.977*108 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 321.516{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 56.81814{col 26}{space 2} 5.201862{col 37}{space 1}   10.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 46.48827{col 67}{space 3}   67.148
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*120 + pictenureann*2.977*120 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 357.24{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 55.04057{col 26}{space 2} 5.077674{col 37}{space 1}   10.84{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 44.95731{col 67}{space 3} 65.12382
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*132 + pictenureann*2.977*132 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 392.964{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   53.263{col 26}{space 2} 5.119451{col 37}{space 1}   10.40{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 43.09678{col 67}{space 3} 63.42921
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*144 + pictenureann*2.977*144 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 428.688{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 51.48542{col 26}{space 2} 5.323285{col 37}{space 1}    9.67{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 40.91443{col 67}{space 3} 62.05641
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
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. 
. *** ESTIMATE MOST RECENT/LAST TERM ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL 2A: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.23003921
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.6720752

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.952375{col 46}{space 2} 2.557168{col 57}{space 1}    1.15{col 66}{space 3}0.251{col 74}{space 4}-2.119756{col 87}{space 3} 8.024506
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0260323{col 46}{space 2} .1484679{col 57}{space 1}    0.18{col 66}{space 3}0.861{col 74}{space 4}-.2684531{col 87}{space 3} .3205178
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0335614{col 46}{space 2} .0430122{col 57}{space 1}   -0.78{col 66}{space 3}0.437{col 74}{space 4}-.1188758{col 87}{space 3}  .051753
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0877852{col 46}{space 2} .3789655{col 57}{space 1}   -0.23{col 66}{space 3}0.817{col 74}{space 4}-.8394614{col 87}{space 3}  .663891
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .9737997{col 46}{space 2} .8334736{col 57}{space 1}    1.17{col 66}{space 3}0.245{col 74}{space 4}-.6793913{col 87}{space 3} 2.626991
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.75007{col 46}{space 2} 5.830072{col 57}{space 1}   -3.04{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4}-29.31399{col 87}{space 3}-6.186145
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.157715{col 46}{space 2} 5.763602{col 57}{space 1}    0.20{col 66}{space 3}0.841{col 74}{space 4}-10.27436{col 87}{space 3} 12.58979
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.161111{col 46}{space 2} 9.128009{col 57}{space 1}   -1.00{col 66}{space 3}0.318{col 74}{space 4}-27.26647{col 87}{space 3} 8.944252
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3270519{col 46}{space 2} 3.690204{col 57}{space 1}    0.09{col 66}{space 3}0.930{col 74}{space 4} -6.99245{col 87}{space 3} 7.646553
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.737472{col 46}{space 2} 5.168701{col 57}{space 1}   -0.92{col 66}{space 3}0.362{col 74}{space 4}-14.98957{col 87}{space 3} 5.514621
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1101139{col 46}{space 2} .2643042{col 57}{space 1}    0.42{col 66}{space 3}0.678{col 74}{space 4}-.4141323{col 87}{space 3} .6343601
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3430745{col 46}{space 2} .2408171{col 57}{space 1}    1.42{col 66}{space 3}0.157{col 74}{space 4}-.1345851{col 87}{space 3} .8207342
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 69.73775{col 46}{space 2} 23.89012{col 57}{space 1}    2.92{col 66}{space 3}0.004{col 74}{space 4} 22.35182{col 87}{space 3} 117.1237
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 9.169
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.010
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. predict rtermfullresidsimrcook2a, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. *
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general rtermfullresidsimrcook2a if rtermfullresidsimrcook2a >= 1 & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   rterm~2a {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  1. {c |} {res}    20.8         42         0   1.756404 {txt}{c |}
  2. {c |} {res}    21.6         90         0   1.451479 {txt}{c |}
  5. {c |} {res}       8         62         0   1.464599 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   3.088233 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   2.062427 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   2.942496 {txt}{c |}
 32. {c |} {res}     100         17         0   1.020514 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   2.188187 {txt}{c |}
 38. {c |} {res}    25.7         42         0   1.366802 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   1.724728 {txt}{c |}
 65. {c |} {res}    91.4         17         0   1.238678 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 71. {c |} {res}    95.9          1         0   1.304839 {txt}{c |}
 95. {c |} {res}    36.6         66         0    1.05547 {txt}{c |}
102. {c |} {res}    19.2         39         0   2.441627 {txt}{c |}
106. {c |} {res}    34.5         23         1   1.008021 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   11.66493 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
118. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.679922 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL 2B: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & rtermfullresidsimrcook2a < 1 

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.33049041
{txt}Number of obs = {res}98
{txt}Objective function = {res}4.6426793

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.857792{col 46}{space 2} 2.057477{col 57}{space 1}    2.36{col 66}{space 3}0.021{col 74}{space 4} .7669762{col 87}{space 3} 8.948608
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1103608{col 46}{space 2} .0657262{col 57}{space 1}    1.68{col 66}{space 3}0.097{col 74}{space 4}-.0203206{col 87}{space 3} .2410422
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0594987{col 46}{space 2} .0252517{col 57}{space 1}   -2.36{col 66}{space 3}0.021{col 74}{space 4}-.1097059{col 87}{space 3}-.0092916
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2216542{col 46}{space 2} .2491785{col 57}{space 1}   -0.89{col 66}{space 3}0.376{col 74}{space 4}-.7170878{col 87}{space 3} .2737795
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .9737383{col 46}{space 2}  .599542{col 57}{space 1}    1.62{col 66}{space 3}0.108{col 74}{space 4}-.2183118{col 87}{space 3} 2.165788
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.15924{col 46}{space 2} 3.595987{col 57}{space 1}   -4.77{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-24.30903{col 87}{space 3}-10.00946
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1443213{col 46}{space 2} 3.347402{col 57}{space 1}    0.04{col 66}{space 3}0.966{col 74}{space 4} -6.51121{col 87}{space 3} 6.799853
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.762335{col 46}{space 2} 9.716662{col 57}{space 1}   -0.49{col 66}{space 3}0.625{col 74}{space 4}-24.08166{col 87}{space 3} 14.55699
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0884863{col 46}{space 2} 3.082783{col 57}{space 1}    0.03{col 66}{space 3}0.977{col 74}{space 4}-6.040911{col 87}{space 3} 6.217884
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.582322{col 46}{space 2}  3.38509{col 57}{space 1}   -1.65{col 66}{space 3}0.103{col 74}{space 4}-12.31279{col 87}{space 3} 1.148145
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0268529{col 46}{space 2}  .175555{col 57}{space 1}    0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.879{col 74}{space 4}-.3221974{col 87}{space 3} .3759033
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3296427{col 46}{space 2}  .166688{col 57}{space 1}    1.98{col 66}{space 3}0.051{col 74}{space 4}-.0017777{col 87}{space 3} .6610632
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 72.84288{col 46}{space 2} 14.63886{col 57}{space 1}    4.98{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}  43.7369{col 87}{space 3} 101.9489
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res}11.958
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.003
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL 2C: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.2468408
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.5806651

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.801223{col 46}{space 2} 2.884228{col 57}{space 1}    0.97{col 66}{space 3}0.334{col 74}{space 4} -2.92171{col 87}{space 3} 8.524156
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0569198{col 46}{space 2} .0885206{col 57}{space 1}    0.64{col 66}{space 3}0.522{col 74}{space 4}-.1187242{col 87}{space 3} .2325638
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.033065{col 46}{space 2} .0311253{col 57}{space 1}   -1.06{col 66}{space 3}0.291{col 74}{space 4}-.0948245{col 87}{space 3} .0286944
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.204948{col 46}{space 2} .4956768{col 57}{space 1}   -0.41{col 66}{space 3}0.680{col 74}{space 4}-1.188478{col 87}{space 3} .7785823
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.962982{col 46}{space 2} 1.023134{col 57}{space 1}    1.92{col 66}{space 3}0.058{col 74}{space 4}-.0671392{col 87}{space 3} 3.993102
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.12175{col 46}{space 2}    6.345{col 57}{space 1}   -2.23{col 66}{space 3}0.028{col 74}{space 4}-26.71161{col 87}{space 3}-1.531898
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2921382{col 46}{space 2} 6.750493{col 57}{space 1}   -0.04{col 66}{space 3}0.966{col 74}{space 4}-13.68658{col 87}{space 3}  13.1023
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.567189{col 46}{space 2} 11.24789{col 57}{space 1}   -0.67{col 66}{space 3}0.503{col 74}{space 4}-29.88544{col 87}{space 3} 14.75107
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.277354{col 46}{space 2} 6.901439{col 57}{space 1}   -0.19{col 66}{space 3}0.854{col 74}{space 4}-14.97131{col 87}{space 3}  12.4166
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.546882{col 46}{space 2} 6.960693{col 57}{space 1}   -0.37{col 66}{space 3}0.715{col 74}{space 4}-16.35841{col 87}{space 3} 11.26464
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0623599{col 46}{space 2} .2689283{col 57}{space 1}    0.23{col 66}{space 3}0.817{col 74}{space 4}-.4712523{col 87}{space 3}  .595972
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2534136{col 46}{space 2}  .301772{col 57}{space 1}    0.84{col 66}{space 3}0.403{col 74}{space 4}-.3453675{col 87}{space 3} .8521947
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  68.3287{col 46}{space 2} 131.0135{col 57}{space 1}    0.52{col 66}{space 3}0.603{col 74}{space 4}-191.6305{col 87}{space 3} 328.2879
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-20.47621{col 46}{space 2} 45.82437{col 57}{space 1}   -0.45{col 66}{space 3}0.656{col 74}{space 4}-111.4017{col 87}{space 3} 70.44928
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.808013{col 46}{space 2} 4.920148{col 57}{space 1}    0.37{col 66}{space 3}0.714{col 74}{space 4}-7.954628{col 87}{space 3} 11.57065
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.479123{col 46}{space 2} 121.6638{col 57}{space 1}    0.02{col 66}{space 3}0.984{col 74}{space 4}-238.9283{col 87}{space 3} 243.8865
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res}10.946
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.004
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict rtermfullresidsimrcook2c, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general rtermfullresidsimrcook2c if rtermfullresidsimrcook2c >= 1 & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   rterm~2c {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   1.342251 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.195861 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   2.610896 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   1.262263 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0    1.66148 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   2.984951 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
118. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.655387 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL 2D: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & rtermfullresidsimrcook2c < 1 

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.26882175
{txt}Number of obs = {res}108
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.6758687

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.863101{col 46}{space 2}  2.49066{col 57}{space 1}    1.15{col 66}{space 3}0.253{col 74}{space 4}-2.083565{col 87}{space 3} 7.809768
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0485227{col 46}{space 2} .0873975{col 57}{space 1}    0.56{col 66}{space 3}0.580{col 74}{space 4}-.1250561{col 87}{space 3} .2221016
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0309046{col 46}{space 2} .0322998{col 57}{space 1}   -0.96{col 66}{space 3}0.341{col 74}{space 4}-.0950547{col 87}{space 3} .0332456
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3981012{col 46}{space 2}   .40699{col 57}{space 1}   -0.98{col 66}{space 3}0.331{col 74}{space 4}-1.206419{col 87}{space 3} .4102161
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.072193{col 46}{space 2}  .967194{col 57}{space 1}    2.14{col 66}{space 3}0.035{col 74}{space 4} .1512625{col 87}{space 3} 3.993124
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.27018{col 46}{space 2} 6.318764{col 57}{space 1}   -1.94{col 66}{space 3}0.055{col 74}{space 4}-24.81979{col 87}{space 3} .2794313
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.218796{col 46}{space 2} 6.896126{col 57}{space 1}    0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.748{col 74}{space 4} -11.4775{col 87}{space 3}  15.9151
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  -9.7809{col 46}{space 2} 8.765254{col 57}{space 1}   -1.12{col 66}{space 3}0.267{col 74}{space 4}-27.18945{col 87}{space 3} 7.627652
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .7677093{col 46}{space 2} 3.602635{col 57}{space 1}    0.21{col 66}{space 3}0.832{col 74}{space 4}-6.387435{col 87}{space 3} 7.922854
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -3.70846{col 46}{space 2} 5.598156{col 57}{space 1}   -0.66{col 66}{space 3}0.509{col 74}{space 4}-14.82688{col 87}{space 3}  7.40996
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1145283{col 46}{space 2} .2407507{col 57}{space 1}    0.48{col 66}{space 3}0.635{col 74}{space 4}-.3636234{col 87}{space 3}   .59268
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1774715{col 46}{space 2}  .294765{col 57}{space 1}    0.60{col 66}{space 3}0.549{col 74}{space 4}-.4079572{col 87}{space 3} .7629002
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 73.48669{col 46}{space 2} 137.4733{col 57}{space 1}    0.53{col 66}{space 3}0.594{col 74}{space 4}-199.5471{col 87}{space 3} 346.5205
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-22.32312{col 46}{space 2} 47.67406{col 57}{space 1}   -0.47{col 66}{space 3}0.641{col 74}{space 4}-117.0079{col 87}{space 3} 72.36169
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.014595{col 46}{space 2} 5.086571{col 57}{space 1}    0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.693{col 74}{space 4}-8.087774{col 87}{space 3} 12.11696
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.984906{col 46}{space 2} 121.7703{col 57}{space 1}    0.05{col 66}{space 3}0.961{col 74}{space 4}-235.8615{col 87}{space 3} 247.8313
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res}10.687
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.005
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.832197{col 26}{space 2} 2.466283{col 37}{space 1}    1.15{col 46}{space 3}0.254{col 54}{space 4}-2.066054{col 67}{space 3} 7.730448
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.492247{col 26}{space 2} 2.211571{col 37}{space 1}    1.13{col 46}{space 3}0.263{col 54}{space 4}-1.900124{col 67}{space 3} 6.884618
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.121392{col 26}{space 2}  1.96956{col 37}{space 1}    1.08{col 46}{space 3}0.284{col 54}{space 4}-1.790324{col 67}{space 3} 6.033109
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.750537{col 26}{space 2} 1.779818{col 37}{space 1}    0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.328{col 54}{space 4}-1.784334{col 67}{space 3} 5.285409
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.379683{col 26}{space 2} 1.660361{col 37}{space 1}    0.83{col 46}{space 3}0.408{col 54}{space 4}-1.917937{col 67}{space 3} 4.677303
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.008828{col 26}{space 2} 1.626748{col 37}{space 1}    0.62{col 46}{space 3}0.537{col 54}{space 4}-2.222034{col 67}{space 3} 4.239691
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6379736{col 26}{space 2} 1.684127{col 37}{space 1}    0.38{col 46}{space 3}0.706{col 54}{space 4}-2.706848{col 67}{space 3} 3.982795
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2671189{col 26}{space 2}  1.82393{col 37}{space 1}    0.15{col 46}{space 3}0.884{col 54}{space 4}-3.355364{col 67}{space 3} 3.889602
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1037357{col 26}{space 2} 2.029193{col 37}{space 1}   -0.05{col 46}{space 3}0.959{col 54}{space 4}-4.133888{col 67}{space 3} 3.926416
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4745903{col 26}{space 2} 2.282321{col 37}{space 1}   -0.21{col 46}{space 3}0.836{col 54}{space 4}-5.007477{col 67}{space 3} 4.058296
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.845445{col 26}{space 2} 2.569205{col 37}{space 1}   -0.33{col 46}{space 3}0.743{col 54}{space 4}-5.948109{col 67}{space 3} 4.257219
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  -1.2163{col 26}{space 2} 2.879776{col 37}{space 1}   -0.42{col 46}{space 3}0.674{col 54}{space 4}-6.935783{col 67}{space 3} 4.503184
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.587154{col 26}{space 2} 3.207158{col 37}{space 1}   -0.49{col 46}{space 3}0.622{col 54}{space 4}-7.956847{col 67}{space 3} 4.782539
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [20TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 0.901%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*1 + picrtermann*0.901*1 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + eddurmonths2 + .901{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.57921{col 26}{space 2} 4.213397{col 37}{space 1}   14.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.21104{col 67}{space 3} 67.94738
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*12 + picrtermann*0.901*12 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 10.812{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.80666{col 26}{space 2} 4.102879{col 37}{space 1}   14.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.65799{col 67}{space 3} 67.95533
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*24 + picrtermann*0.901*24 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 21.624{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.05479{col 26}{space 2} 4.113402{col 37}{space 1}   14.60{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.88522{col 67}{space 3} 68.22437
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*36 + picrtermann*0.901*36 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 32.436{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.30293{col 26}{space 2} 4.259462{col 37}{space 1}   14.16{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.84327{col 67}{space 3} 68.76259
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*48 + picrtermann*0.901*48 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 43.248{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.55106{col 26}{space 2}  4.52796{col 37}{space 1}   13.37{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.55814{col 67}{space 3} 69.54398
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*60 + picrtermann*0.901*60 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 54.06{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.79919{col 26}{space 2} 4.898806{col 37}{space 1}   12.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.06974{col 67}{space 3} 70.52865
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*72 + picrtermann*0.901*72 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 64.872{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.04733{col 26}{space 2} 5.350762{col 37}{space 1}   11.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.42025{col 67}{space 3}  71.6744
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*84 + picrtermann*0.901*84 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 75.684{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.29546{col 26}{space 2} 5.865107{col 37}{space 1}   10.45{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.64685{col 67}{space 3} 72.94407
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*96 + picrtermann*0.901*96 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 86.496{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.54359{col 26}{space 2} 6.426879{col 37}{space 1}    9.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 48.77926{col 67}{space 3} 74.30793
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*108 + picrtermann*0.901*108 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 97.308{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.79172{col 26}{space 2} 7.024709{col 37}{space 1}    8.80{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 47.84005{col 67}{space 3}  75.7434
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*120 + picrtermann*0.901*120 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 108.12{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.03986{col 26}{space 2} 7.650148{col 37}{space 1}    8.11{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}   46.846{col 67}{space 3} 77.23371
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*132 + picrtermann*0.901*132 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 118.932{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.28799{col 26}{space 2} 8.296956{col 37}{space 1}    7.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 45.80952{col 67}{space 3} 78.76646
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*144 + picrtermann*0.901*144 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 129.744{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.53612{col 26}{space 2} 8.960505{col 37}{space 1}    6.98{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 44.73979{col 67}{space 3} 80.33246
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. 
. *
. *
. *
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [50TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 2.135%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*1 + picrtermann*2.135*1 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + eddurmonths2 + 2.135{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 63.07414{col 26}{space 2} 5.624377{col 37}{space 1}   11.21{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.90364{col 67}{space 3} 74.24464
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*12 + picrtermann*2.135*12 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 25.62{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.88209{col 26}{space 2} 5.461525{col 37}{space 1}   11.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 52.03504{col 67}{space 3} 73.72915
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*24 + picrtermann*2.135*24 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 51.24{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.67259{col 26}{space 2}  5.32079{col 37}{space 1}   11.78{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 52.10504{col 67}{space 3} 73.24014
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*36 + picrtermann*2.135*36 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 76.86{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.46309{col 26}{space 2} 5.221595{col 37}{space 1}   11.96{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 52.09255{col 67}{space 3} 72.83363
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*48 + picrtermann*2.135*48 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 102.48{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.25359{col 26}{space 2} 5.166334{col 37}{space 1}   12.05{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  51.9928{col 67}{space 3} 72.51437
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*60 + picrtermann*2.135*60 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 128.1{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.04409{col 26}{space 2} 5.156419{col 37}{space 1}   12.03{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.80299{col 67}{space 3} 72.28518
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*72 + picrtermann*2.135*72 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 153.72{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.83459{col 26}{space 2}  5.19211{col 37}{space 1}   11.91{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.52261{col 67}{space 3} 72.14656
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*84 + picrtermann*2.135*84 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 179.34{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.62508{col 26}{space 2}  5.27248{col 37}{space 1}   11.69{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.15348{col 67}{space 3} 72.09668
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*96 + picrtermann*2.135*96 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 204.96{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.41558{col 26}{space 2} 5.395535{col 37}{space 1}   11.38{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.69958{col 67}{space 3} 72.13158
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*108 + picrtermann*2.135*108 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 230.58{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.20608{col 26}{space 2} 5.558438{col 37}{space 1}   11.01{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.16654{col 67}{space 3} 72.24562
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*120 + picrtermann*2.135*120 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 256.2{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.99658{col 26}{space 2}  5.75781{col 37}{space 1}   10.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.56107{col 67}{space 3} 72.43209
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*132 + picrtermann*2.135*132 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 281.82{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.78708{col 26}{space 2} 5.990009{col 37}{space 1}   10.15{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  48.8904{col 67}{space 3} 72.68375
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*144 + picrtermann*2.135*144 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 307.44{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.57757{col 26}{space 2}  6.25138{col 37}{space 1}    9.69{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 48.16179{col 67}{space 3} 72.99335
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. 
. *
. *
. *
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [80TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 3.733%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*1 + picrtermann*3.733*1 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + eddurmonths2 + 3.733{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 67.59999{col 26}{space 2} 8.782702{col 37}{space 1}    7.70{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.15678{col 67}{space 3} 85.04319
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*12 + picrtermann*3.733*12 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 44.796{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  66.8647{col 26}{space 2}  8.29401{col 37}{space 1}    8.06{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.39209{col 67}{space 3} 83.33732
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*24 + picrtermann*3.733*24 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 89.592{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 66.06258{col 26}{space 2} 7.785681{col 37}{space 1}    8.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.59954{col 67}{space 3} 81.52561
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*36 + picrtermann*3.733*36 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 134.388{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 65.26045{col 26}{space 2} 7.308465{col 37}{space 1}    8.93{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.74521{col 67}{space 3} 79.77569
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*48 + picrtermann*3.733*48 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 179.184{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 64.45832{col 26}{space 2} 6.868848{col 37}{space 1}    9.38{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  50.8162{col 67}{space 3} 78.10045
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*60 + picrtermann*3.733*60 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 223.98{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 63.65619{col 26}{space 2} 6.474494{col 37}{space 1}    9.83{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.79729{col 67}{space 3}  76.5151
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*72 + picrtermann*3.733*72 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 268.776{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.85407{col 26}{space 2}  6.13414{col 37}{space 1}   10.25{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.67114{col 67}{space 3}   75.037
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*84 + picrtermann*3.733*84 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 313.572{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.05194{col 26}{space 2} 5.857206{col 37}{space 1}   10.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.41902{col 67}{space 3} 73.68486
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*96 + picrtermann*3.733*96 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 358.368{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.24981{col 26}{space 2}  5.65302{col 37}{space 1}   10.83{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.02243{col 67}{space 3}  72.4772
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*108 + picrtermann*3.733*108 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 403.164{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.44768{col 26}{space 2} 5.529648{col 37}{space 1}   10.93{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.46533{col 67}{space 3} 71.43004
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*120 + picrtermann*3.733*120 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 447.96{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.64556{col 26}{space 2} 5.492538{col 37}{space 1}   10.86{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  48.7369{col 67}{space 3} 70.55421
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*132 + picrtermann*3.733*132 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 492.756{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.84343{col 26}{space 2} 5.543422{col 37}{space 1}   10.62{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 47.83371{col 67}{space 3} 69.85314
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*144 + picrtermann*3.733*144 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 537.552{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  58.0413{col 26}{space 2} 5.679936{col 37}{space 1}   10.22{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 46.76046{col 67}{space 3} 69.32214
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE MOST RECENT YEAR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL 3A: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.25441565
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.549297

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.849875{col 46}{space 2} 1.459077{col 57}{space 1}    1.95{col 66}{space 3}0.054{col 74}{space 4}-.0441976{col 87}{space 3} 5.743947
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .027412{col 46}{space 2} .0464355{col 57}{space 1}    0.59{col 66}{space 3}0.556{col 74}{space 4}-.0646927{col 87}{space 3} .1195166
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0351693{col 46}{space 2} .0176431{col 57}{space 1}   -1.99{col 66}{space 3}0.049{col 74}{space 4}-.0701643{col 87}{space 3}-.0001743
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2165409{col 46}{space 2} .3459279{col 57}{space 1}    0.63{col 66}{space 3}0.533{col 74}{space 4}-.4696054{col 87}{space 3} .9026872
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0643701{col 46}{space 2} .9845836{col 57}{space 1}   -0.07{col 66}{space 3}0.948{col 74}{space 4}-2.017287{col 87}{space 3} 1.888547
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.56552{col 46}{space 2} 6.127127{col 57}{space 1}   -2.87{col 66}{space 3}0.005{col 74}{space 4}-29.71865{col 87}{space 3}-5.412396
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.291173{col 46}{space 2} 4.911826{col 57}{space 1}   -0.26{col 66}{space 3}0.793{col 74}{space 4}-11.03376{col 87}{space 3} 8.451411
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-10.98545{col 46}{space 2} 8.092762{col 57}{space 1}   -1.36{col 66}{space 3}0.178{col 74}{space 4} -27.0374{col 87}{space 3}  5.06651
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3485706{col 46}{space 2} 3.299944{col 57}{space 1}   -0.11{col 66}{space 3}0.916{col 74}{space 4}-6.893995{col 87}{space 3} 6.196854
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.171035{col 46}{space 2} 4.611555{col 57}{space 1}   -1.34{col 66}{space 3}0.184{col 74}{space 4}-15.31803{col 87}{space 3} 2.975962
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0457568{col 46}{space 2} .2249358{col 57}{space 1}    0.20{col 66}{space 3}0.839{col 74}{space 4}-.4004024{col 87}{space 3}  .491916
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3489158{col 46}{space 2}  .218526{col 57}{space 1}    1.60{col 66}{space 3}0.113{col 74}{space 4}-.0845295{col 87}{space 3}  .782361
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 56.73902{col 46}{space 2} 20.25716{col 57}{space 1}    2.80{col 66}{space 3}0.006{col 74}{space 4} 16.55904{col 87}{space 3} 96.91899
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 8.884
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.012
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. predict ryearfullresidsimrcook3a, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. *
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general ryearfullresidsimrcook3a if ryearfullresidsimrcook3a >= 1 & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   ryear~3a {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  1. {c |} {res}    20.8         42         0    1.42136 {txt}{c |}
  2. {c |} {res}    21.6         90         0   1.596345 {txt}{c |}
  6. {c |} {res}    95.1         22         0   1.185285 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   2.028258 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.627084 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 25. {c |} {res}    29.7          1         1   2.875849 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   3.431283 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0    2.71606 {txt}{c |}
 38. {c |} {res}    25.7         42         0   1.723131 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   1.169084 {txt}{c |}
 65. {c |} {res}    91.4         17         0   2.774002 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 71. {c |} {res}    95.9          1         0   1.168998 {txt}{c |}
 95. {c |} {res}    36.6         66         0   1.446066 {txt}{c |}
 96. {c |} {res}    40.8         67         0   1.132109 {txt}{c |}
102. {c |} {res}    19.2         39         0   1.111295 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   9.446916 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
118. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.018238 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL 3B: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & ryearfullresidsimrcook3a < 1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.41505035
{txt}Number of obs = {res}98
{txt}Objective function = {res}4.5372834

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.878473{col 46}{space 2} 1.448967{col 57}{space 1}    1.99{col 66}{space 3}0.050{col 74}{space 4}-.0024623{col 87}{space 3} 5.759409
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0265174{col 46}{space 2} .0380375{col 57}{space 1}    0.70{col 66}{space 3}0.488{col 74}{space 4}-.0491114{col 87}{space 3} .1021461
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0342374{col 46}{space 2} .0143948{col 57}{space 1}   -2.38{col 66}{space 3}0.020{col 74}{space 4}-.0628581{col 87}{space 3}-.0056167
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1798223{col 46}{space 2} .2478321{col 57}{space 1}    0.73{col 66}{space 3}0.470{col 74}{space 4}-.3129343{col 87}{space 3} .6725789
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1224114{col 46}{space 2} .9943896{col 57}{space 1}    0.12{col 66}{space 3}0.902{col 74}{space 4}-1.854702{col 87}{space 3} 2.099524
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.54816{col 46}{space 2} 3.413966{col 57}{space 1}   -4.85{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-23.33604{col 87}{space 3}-9.760285
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.095692{col 46}{space 2} 4.517191{col 57}{space 1}   -0.46{col 66}{space 3}0.644{col 74}{space 4}-11.07708{col 87}{space 3} 6.885693
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -10.4683{col 46}{space 2} 6.701759{col 57}{space 1}   -1.56{col 66}{space 3}0.122{col 74}{space 4}-23.79319{col 87}{space 3} 2.856591
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.5514018{col 46}{space 2} 2.012722{col 57}{space 1}   -0.27{col 66}{space 3}0.785{col 74}{space 4}-4.553232{col 87}{space 3} 3.450429
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.982572{col 46}{space 2} 3.805937{col 57}{space 1}   -1.83{col 66}{space 3}0.070{col 74}{space 4}-14.54979{col 87}{space 3} .5846491
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0257593{col 46}{space 2} .1808045{col 57}{space 1}    0.14{col 66}{space 3}0.887{col 74}{space 4}-.3337284{col 87}{space 3} .3852469
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3768125{col 46}{space 2} .1674794{col 57}{space 1}    2.25{col 66}{space 3}0.027{col 74}{space 4} .0438185{col 87}{space 3} .7098065
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  58.9657{col 46}{space 2} 15.19374{col 57}{space 1}    3.88{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 28.75648{col 87}{space 3} 89.17492
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 3.610
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.164
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL 3C: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.29970149
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.4455702

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.949352{col 46}{space 2} 1.708894{col 57}{space 1}    1.73{col 66}{space 3}0.087{col 74}{space 4}-.4414645{col 87}{space 3} 6.340168
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0460578{col 46}{space 2}  .045208{col 57}{space 1}    1.02{col 66}{space 3}0.311{col 74}{space 4}-.0436447{col 87}{space 3} .1357603
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0381006{col 46}{space 2} .0178337{col 57}{space 1}   -2.14{col 66}{space 3}0.035{col 74}{space 4}-.0734865{col 87}{space 3}-.0027146
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0623642{col 46}{space 2} .4100258{col 57}{space 1}    0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.879{col 74}{space 4}-.7512159{col 87}{space 3} .8759443
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3461224{col 46}{space 2} 1.413957{col 57}{space 1}    0.24{col 66}{space 3}0.807{col 74}{space 4}-2.459475{col 87}{space 3}  3.15172
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-13.70892{col 46}{space 2} 4.953832{col 57}{space 1}   -2.77{col 66}{space 3}0.007{col 74}{space 4} -23.5384{col 87}{space 3} -3.87944
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3034929{col 46}{space 2} 4.844619{col 57}{space 1}   -0.06{col 66}{space 3}0.950{col 74}{space 4}-9.916269{col 87}{space 3} 9.309283
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.702383{col 46}{space 2}  7.90156{col 57}{space 1}   -1.10{col 66}{space 3}0.273{col 74}{space 4}-24.38079{col 87}{space 3} 6.976026
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.9981585{col 46}{space 2} 3.312358{col 57}{space 1}   -0.30{col 66}{space 3}0.764{col 74}{space 4}-7.570596{col 87}{space 3} 5.574279
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.701316{col 46}{space 2} 4.607595{col 57}{space 1}   -0.37{col 66}{space 3}0.713{col 74}{space 4}-10.84378{col 87}{space 3} 7.441153
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0219018{col 46}{space 2} .2174113{col 57}{space 1}    0.10{col 66}{space 3}0.920{col 74}{space 4}-.4094895{col 87}{space 3} .4532931
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2384551{col 46}{space 2} .2328571{col 57}{space 1}    1.02{col 66}{space 3}0.308{col 74}{space 4}-.2235839{col 87}{space 3} .7004941
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 97.09302{col 46}{space 2} 89.71744{col 57}{space 1}    1.08{col 66}{space 3}0.282{col 74}{space 4}-80.92584{col 87}{space 3} 275.1119
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-30.88773{col 46}{space 2} 31.07325{col 57}{space 1}   -0.99{col 66}{space 3}0.323{col 74}{space 4}-92.54381{col 87}{space 3} 30.76834
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.949763{col 46}{space 2} 3.376423{col 57}{space 1}    0.87{col 66}{space 3}0.384{col 74}{space 4}-3.749793{col 87}{space 3}  9.64932
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-33.66424{col 46}{space 2} 77.03054{col 57}{space 1}   -0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.663{col 74}{space 4}-186.5095{col 87}{space 3} 119.1811
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res}10.275
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.006
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict ryearfullresidsimrcook3c, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general ryearfullresidsimrcook3c if ryearfullresidsimrcook3c >= 1 & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   ryear~3c {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  6. {c |} {res}    95.1         22         0   1.354504 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   1.271273 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.580244 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   3.672454 {txt}{c |}
 32. {c |} {res}     100         17         0   1.167172 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   2.405665 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 49. {c |} {res}    75.8         45         0   1.175688 {txt}{c |}
 65. {c |} {res}    91.4         17         0   2.499456 {txt}{c |}
 71. {c |} {res}    95.9          1         0   1.753986 {txt}{c |}
 95. {c |} {res}    36.6         66         0   1.216358 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   5.810032 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
118. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.586986 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL 3D: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & ryearfullresidsimrcook3c < 1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.35134647
{txt}Number of obs = {res}103
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.0554377

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.426664{col 46}{space 2} 1.557694{col 57}{space 1}    2.20{col 66}{space 3}0.030{col 74}{space 4} .3305776{col 87}{space 3}  6.52275
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .069679{col 46}{space 2} .0441478{col 57}{space 1}    1.58{col 66}{space 3}0.118{col 74}{space 4}-.0180695{col 87}{space 3} .1574275
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.036719{col 46}{space 2} .0136226{col 57}{space 1}   -2.70{col 66}{space 3}0.008{col 74}{space 4}-.0637954{col 87}{space 3}-.0096425
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2890813{col 46}{space 2} .3060042{col 57}{space 1}   -0.94{col 66}{space 3}0.347{col 74}{space 4}-.8972979{col 87}{space 3} .3191352
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .8442037{col 46}{space 2} .9531628{col 57}{space 1}    0.89{col 66}{space 3}0.378{col 74}{space 4}-1.050311{col 87}{space 3} 2.738718
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.664263{col 46}{space 2}  4.08496{col 57}{space 1}   -2.37{col 66}{space 3}0.020{col 74}{space 4}-17.78356{col 87}{space 3}-1.544962
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6532401{col 46}{space 2} 4.432594{col 57}{space 1}    0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.883{col 74}{space 4} -8.15702{col 87}{space 3} 9.463501
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.241411{col 46}{space 2} 6.767843{col 57}{space 1}   -0.77{col 66}{space 3}0.441{col 74}{space 4}-18.69323{col 87}{space 3}  8.21041
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.149105{col 46}{space 2} 3.058359{col 57}{space 1}   -0.38{col 66}{space 3}0.708{col 74}{space 4}-7.227925{col 87}{space 3} 4.929714
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.916843{col 46}{space 2} 4.066835{col 57}{space 1}    0.47{col 66}{space 3}0.639{col 74}{space 4}-6.166432{col 87}{space 3} 10.00012
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0058069{col 46}{space 2} .1796237{col 57}{space 1}    0.03{col 66}{space 3}0.974{col 74}{space 4}-.3512146{col 87}{space 3} .3628285
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2954344{col 46}{space 2} .2297611{col 57}{space 1}    1.29{col 66}{space 3}0.202{col 74}{space 4}-.1612407{col 87}{space 3} .7521095
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 133.1828{col 46}{space 2}  86.5866{col 57}{space 1}    1.54{col 66}{space 3}0.128{col 74}{space 4}-38.91747{col 87}{space 3}  305.283
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-41.84148{col 46}{space 2} 30.06192{col 57}{space 1}   -1.39{col 66}{space 3}0.168{col 74}{space 4}-101.5928{col 87}{space 3} 17.90983
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.963106{col 46}{space 2} 3.252844{col 57}{space 1}    1.22{col 66}{space 3}0.226{col 74}{space 4}-2.502273{col 87}{space 3} 10.42849
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-58.08713{col 46}{space 2} 72.10276{col 57}{space 1}   -0.81{col 66}{space 3}0.423{col 74}{space 4}-201.3992{col 87}{space 3} 85.22491
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 8.845
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.012
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.389945{col 26}{space 2} 1.548048{col 37}{space 1}    2.19{col 46}{space 3}0.031{col 54}{space 4} .3130318{col 67}{space 3} 6.466858
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.986036{col 26}{space 2} 1.446167{col 37}{space 1}    2.06{col 46}{space 3}0.042{col 54}{space 4} .1116223{col 67}{space 3}  5.86045
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.545409{col 26}{space 2} 1.345301{col 37}{space 1}    1.89{col 46}{space 3}0.062{col 54}{space 4}-.1285218{col 67}{space 3} 5.219339
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.104781{col 26}{space 2} 1.257662{col 37}{space 1}    1.67{col 46}{space 3}0.098{col 54}{space 4}-.3949578{col 67}{space 3}  4.60452
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.664154{col 26}{space 2} 1.186187{col 37}{space 1}    1.40{col 46}{space 3}0.164{col 54}{space 4}-.6935206{col 67}{space 3} 4.021828
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.223526{col 26}{space 2} 1.133935{col 37}{space 1}    1.08{col 46}{space 3}0.284{col 54}{space 4}-1.030294{col 67}{space 3} 3.477346
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7828986{col 26}{space 2} 1.103642{col 37}{space 1}    0.71{col 46}{space 3}0.480{col 54}{space 4} -1.41071{col 67}{space 3} 2.976507
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .342271{col 26}{space 2} 1.097128{col 37}{space 1}    0.31{col 46}{space 3}0.756{col 54}{space 4}-1.838389{col 67}{space 3} 2.522931
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0983565{col 26}{space 2} 1.114808{col 37}{space 1}   -0.09{col 46}{space 3}0.930{col 54}{space 4}-2.314159{col 67}{space 3} 2.117446
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.538984{col 26}{space 2} 1.155574{col 37}{space 1}   -0.47{col 46}{space 3}0.642{col 54}{space 4}-2.835813{col 67}{space 3} 1.757845
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9796115{col 26}{space 2} 1.217108{col 37}{space 1}   -0.80{col 46}{space 3}0.423{col 54}{space 4}-3.398746{col 67}{space 3} 1.439523
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.420239{col 26}{space 2} 1.296456{col 37}{space 1}   -1.10{col 46}{space 3}0.276{col 54}{space 4}-3.997085{col 67}{space 3} 1.156607
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.860867{col 26}{space 2} 1.390572{col 37}{space 1}   -1.34{col 46}{space 3}0.184{col 54}{space 4}-4.624778{col 67}{space 3}  .903045
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [20TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 0.361%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*1 + picryearann*0.361*1 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + eddurmonths2 + .361{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 53.88446{col 26}{space 2}  4.87039{col 37}{space 1}   11.06{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 44.20404{col 67}{space 3} 63.56489
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*12 + picryearann*0.361*12 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 4.332{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 54.50512{col 26}{space 2} 4.716984{col 37}{space 1}   11.56{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 45.12961{col 67}{space 3} 63.88064
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*24 + picryearann*0.361*24 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 8.664{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  55.1822{col 26}{space 2} 4.593084{col 37}{space 1}   12.01{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 46.05295{col 67}{space 3} 64.31146
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*36 + picryearann*0.361*36 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 12.996{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 55.85928{col 26}{space 2} 4.518128{col 37}{space 1}   12.36{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 46.87902{col 67}{space 3} 64.83955
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*48 + picryearann*0.361*48 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 17.328{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 56.53637{col 26}{space 2} 4.494565{col 37}{space 1}   12.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 47.60293{col 67}{space 3}  65.4698
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*60 + picryearann*0.361*60 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 21.66{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 57.21345{col 26}{space 2} 4.523198{col 37}{space 1}   12.65{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  48.2231{col 67}{space 3} 66.20379
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*72 + picryearann*0.361*72 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 25.992{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 57.89053{col 26}{space 2} 4.603052{col 37}{space 1}   12.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 48.74147{col 67}{space 3} 67.03959
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*84 + picryearann*0.361*84 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 30.324{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.56761{col 26}{space 2} 4.731535{col 37}{space 1}   12.38{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.16317{col 67}{space 3} 67.97205
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*96 + picryearann*0.361*96 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 34.656{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.24469{col 26}{space 2} 4.904828{col 37}{space 1}   12.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.49582{col 67}{space 3} 68.99357
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*108 + picryearann*0.361*108 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 38.988{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.92177{col 26}{space 2} 5.118381{col 37}{space 1}   11.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.74844{col 67}{space 3} 70.09511
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*120 + picryearann*0.361*120 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 43.32{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.59886{col 26}{space 2}  5.36739{col 37}{space 1}   11.29{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.93059{col 67}{space 3} 71.26712
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*132 + picryearann*0.361*132 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 47.652{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.27594{col 26}{space 2} 5.647167{col 37}{space 1}   10.85{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.05158{col 67}{space 3} 72.50029
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*144 + picryearann*0.361*144 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 51.984{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.95302{col 26}{space 2} 5.953376{col 37}{space 1}   10.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.12004{col 67}{space 3}   73.786
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. 
. 
. *
. *
. *
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [50TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 2.029%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*1 + picryearann*2.029*1 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + eddurmonths2 + 2.029{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.53889{col 26}{space 2} 3.703673{col 37}{space 1}   16.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 52.17744{col 67}{space 3} 66.90034
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*12 + picryearann*2.029*12 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 24.348{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.48583{col 26}{space 2}  3.60616{col 37}{space 1}   16.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  52.3182{col 67}{space 3} 66.65346
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*24 + picryearann*2.029*24 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 48.696{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.42794{col 26}{space 2} 3.528351{col 37}{space 1}   16.84{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 52.41497{col 67}{space 3} 66.44092
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*36 + picryearann*2.029*36 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 73.044{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.37006{col 26}{space 2} 3.482279{col 37}{space 1}   17.05{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 52.44865{col 67}{space 3} 66.29147
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*48 + picryearann*2.029*48 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 97.392{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.31217{col 26}{space 2} 3.469211{col 37}{space 1}   17.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 52.41674{col 67}{space 3} 66.20761
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*60 + picryearann*2.029*60 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 121.74{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.25429{col 26}{space 2} 3.489517{col 37}{space 1}   16.98{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  52.3185{col 67}{space 3} 66.19008
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*72 + picryearann*2.029*72 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 146.088{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  59.1964{col 26}{space 2} 3.542622{col 37}{space 1}   16.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 52.15506{col 67}{space 3} 66.23775
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*84 + picryearann*2.029*84 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 170.436{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.13852{col 26}{space 2} 3.627087{col 37}{space 1}   16.30{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.92929{col 67}{space 3} 66.34775
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*96 + picryearann*2.029*96 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 194.784{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.08063{col 26}{space 2} 3.740788{col 37}{space 1}   15.79{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.64541{col 67}{space 3} 66.51585
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*108 + picryearann*2.029*108 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 219.132{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.02275{col 26}{space 2} 3.881156{col 37}{space 1}   15.21{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.30853{col 67}{space 3} 66.73697
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*120 + picryearann*2.029*120 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 243.48{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.96486{col 26}{space 2} 4.045416{col 37}{space 1}   14.58{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.92416{col 67}{space 3} 67.00557
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*132 + picryearann*2.029*132 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 267.828{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.90698{col 26}{space 2} 4.230787{col 37}{space 1}   13.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.49783{col 67}{space 3} 67.31612
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*144 + picryearann*2.029*144 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 292.176{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.84909{col 26}{space 2} 4.434621{col 37}{space 1}   13.27{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  50.0348{col 67}{space 3} 67.66338
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. 
. *
. *
. *
. 
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [80TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 4.006%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*1 + picryearann*4.006*1 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + eddurmonths2 + 4.006{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 66.24081{col 26}{space 2} 4.373756{col 37}{space 1}   15.15{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  57.5475{col 67}{space 3} 74.93413
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*12 + picryearann*4.006*12 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 48.072{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 65.38922{col 26}{space 2} 4.137277{col 37}{space 1}   15.80{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 57.16594{col 67}{space 3} 73.61251
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*24 + picryearann*4.006*24 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 96.144{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 64.46022{col 26}{space 2} 3.904119{col 37}{space 1}   16.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.70036{col 67}{space 3} 72.22008
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*36 + picryearann*4.006*36 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 144.216{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 63.53121{col 26}{space 2} 3.701611{col 37}{space 1}   17.16{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.17386{col 67}{space 3} 70.88856
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*48 + picryearann*4.006*48 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 192.288{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.60221{col 26}{space 2} 3.535022{col 37}{space 1}   17.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 55.57597{col 67}{space 3} 69.62845
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*60 + picryearann*4.006*60 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 240.36{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  61.6732{col 26}{space 2} 3.409624{col 37}{space 1}   18.09{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  54.8962{col 67}{space 3}  68.4502
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*72 + picryearann*4.006*72 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 288.432{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.74419{col 26}{space 2} 3.330071{col 37}{space 1}   18.24{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 54.12532{col 67}{space 3} 67.36307
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*84 + picryearann*4.006*84 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 336.504{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.81519{col 26}{space 2} 3.299681{col 37}{space 1}   18.13{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 53.25672{col 67}{space 3} 66.37366
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*96 + picryearann*4.006*96 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 384.576{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.88618{col 26}{space 2} 3.319806{col 37}{space 1}   17.74{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 52.28771{col 67}{space 3} 65.48466
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*108 + picryearann*4.006*108 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 432.648{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 57.95718{col 26}{space 2} 3.389544{col 37}{space 1}   17.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.22009{col 67}{space 3} 64.69426
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*120 + picryearann*4.006*120 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 480.72{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 57.02817{col 26}{space 2} 3.505938{col 37}{space 1}   16.27{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.05974{col 67}{space 3}  63.9966
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*132 + picryearann*4.006*132 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 528.792{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 56.09917{col 26}{space 2} 3.664543{col 37}{space 1}   15.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 48.81549{col 67}{space 3} 63.38284
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*144 + picryearann*4.006*144 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 576.864{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 55.17016{col 26}{space 2} 3.860161{col 37}{space 1}   14.29{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 47.49767{col 67}{space 3} 62.84265
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. 
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. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
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. ***** TABLE SI-3:  AGGREGATE MODELS ESTIMATED USING OLS [CF. MODELS 1A-1D, 2A-2D, & 3A-3D] & CORRESPONDING POST-ESTIMATION MODEL DIAGNOSTICS [RESIDUAL SKEWNESS & KURTOSIS TESTS & RAMSEY RESET TEST FOR FUNCTIONAL FORM] *******
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE OVERALL TENURE ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-3A: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. regress electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 12,   102) ={res}    4.14
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 16959.8665    12  1413.32221           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 34836.4196   102  341.533526           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3274
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.2483
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 51796.2861   114  454.353387           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.481

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.745882{col 46}{space 2} 2.339732{col 57}{space 1}    2.88{col 66}{space 3}0.005{col 74}{space 4} 2.105034{col 87}{space 3} 11.38673
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0826239{col 46}{space 2} .0700339{col 57}{space 1}    1.18{col 66}{space 3}0.241{col 74}{space 4}-.0562879{col 87}{space 3} .2215358
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.071917{col 46}{space 2} .0346865{col 57}{space 1}   -2.07{col 66}{space 3}0.041{col 74}{space 4}-.1407175{col 87}{space 3}-.0031165
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3774384{col 46}{space 2} .2448909{col 57}{space 1}    1.54{col 66}{space 3}0.126{col 74}{space 4}-.1083016{col 87}{space 3} .8631784
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3441417{col 46}{space 2} .9224304{col 57}{space 1}   -0.37{col 66}{space 3}0.710{col 74}{space 4}-2.173778{col 87}{space 3} 1.485495
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.17823{col 46}{space 2} 3.514611{col 57}{space 1}   -4.60{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-23.14945{col 87}{space 3}-9.207018
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.634508{col 46}{space 2}  4.62342{col 57}{space 1}    1.22{col 66}{space 3}0.226{col 74}{space 4}-3.536024{col 87}{space 3} 14.80504
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.706979{col 46}{space 2} 8.399971{col 57}{space 1}   -1.16{col 66}{space 3}0.251{col 74}{space 4}-26.36828{col 87}{space 3} 6.954323
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.8203017{col 46}{space 2} 2.531769{col 57}{space 1}   -0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.747{col 74}{space 4}-5.842053{col 87}{space 3}  4.20145
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.193305{col 46}{space 2} 3.873168{col 57}{space 1}   -0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.759{col 74}{space 4}-8.875714{col 87}{space 3} 6.489105
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0475691{col 46}{space 2} .2453207{col 57}{space 1}    0.19{col 66}{space 3}0.847{col 74}{space 4}-.4390234{col 87}{space 3} .5341615
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1459056{col 46}{space 2} .1855516{col 57}{space 1}    0.79{col 66}{space 3}0.433{col 74}{space 4} -.222135{col 87}{space 3} .5139462
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 30.96973{col 46}{space 2} 15.04664{col 57}{space 1}    2.06{col 66}{space 3}0.042{col 74}{space 4} 1.124797{col 87}{space 3} 60.81467
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. predict olsmodel1aresids, r
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. sktest olsmodel1aresids
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel1a~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  115{col 28}0.0597{col 43}0.8283{col 53}     3.68{col 71}0.1590
{txt}
{com}. *
. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 99) = {res}     4.63
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0045
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-3B: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. regress electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcook1a < 1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}      93
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 12,    80) ={res}   10.33
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 15827.5335    12  1318.96112           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 10213.0271    80  127.662839           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.6078
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.5490
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 26040.5606    92  283.049572           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 11.299

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.446016{col 46}{space 2} 1.555392{col 57}{space 1}    4.79{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 4.350687{col 87}{space 3} 10.54134
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1595761{col 46}{space 2}  .045884{col 57}{space 1}    3.48{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4}  .068264{col 87}{space 3} .2508881
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0955605{col 46}{space 2} .0229244{col 57}{space 1}   -4.17{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.1411815{col 87}{space 3}-.0499395
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1121447{col 46}{space 2} .1830061{col 57}{space 1}    0.61{col 66}{space 3}0.542{col 74}{space 4} -.252049{col 87}{space 3} .4763383
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3390217{col 46}{space 2} .5975813{col 57}{space 1}    0.57{col 66}{space 3}0.572{col 74}{space 4}-.8502029{col 87}{space 3} 1.528246
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -19.7187{col 46}{space 2} 2.388497{col 57}{space 1}   -8.26{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-24.47196{col 87}{space 3}-14.96543
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.836495{col 46}{space 2} 3.185267{col 57}{space 1}   -0.26{col 66}{space 3}0.794{col 74}{space 4}-7.175379{col 87}{space 3} 5.502389
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.130838{col 46}{space 2} 5.708869{col 57}{space 1}   -0.20{col 66}{space 3}0.843{col 74}{space 4}-12.49185{col 87}{space 3} 10.23017
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.832655{col 46}{space 2} 1.654897{col 57}{space 1}   -1.11{col 66}{space 3}0.271{col 74}{space 4}-5.126005{col 87}{space 3} 1.460695
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.216732{col 46}{space 2} 2.620293{col 57}{space 1}   -2.75{col 66}{space 3}0.007{col 74}{space 4}-12.43128{col 87}{space 3}-2.002183
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2922713{col 46}{space 2} .1590166{col 57}{space 1}   -1.84{col 66}{space 3}0.070{col 74}{space 4}-.6087244{col 87}{space 3} .0241817
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3244612{col 46}{space 2} .1248659{col 57}{space 1}    2.60{col 66}{space 3}0.011{col 74}{space 4} .0759703{col 87}{space 3} .5729522
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}   56.276{col 46}{space 2} 10.79564{col 57}{space 1}    5.21{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 34.79199{col 87}{space 3}    77.76
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. predict olsmodel1bresids, r
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. sktest olsmodel1aresids if tenurefullresidsimrcook1a < 1
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel1a~s {c |}{res}{col 17}   93{col 28}0.3851{col 43}0.0578{col 53}     4.45{col 71}0.1083
{txt}
{com}. *
. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 77) = {res}     5.22
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0025
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-3C: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. 
. regress electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 15,    99) ={res}    3.88
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 19167.3934    15  1277.82623           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 32628.8927    99  329.584775           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3701
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.2746
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 51796.2861   114  454.353387           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.154

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.599657{col 46}{space 2} 2.366125{col 57}{space 1}    2.79{col 66}{space 3}0.006{col 74}{space 4} 1.904751{col 87}{space 3} 11.29456
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1326875{col 46}{space 2}  .077979{col 57}{space 1}    1.70{col 66}{space 3}0.092{col 74}{space 4}-.0220398{col 87}{space 3} .2874148
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0999526{col 46}{space 2} .0374476{col 57}{space 1}   -2.67{col 66}{space 3}0.009{col 74}{space 4}-.1742569{col 87}{space 3}-.0256484
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1242649{col 46}{space 2} .2722995{col 57}{space 1}    0.46{col 66}{space 3}0.649{col 74}{space 4}-.4160364{col 87}{space 3} .6645662
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1268059{col 46}{space 2} .9641998{col 57}{space 1}   -0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.896{col 74}{space 4}-2.039987{col 87}{space 3} 1.786376
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.03474{col 46}{space 2} 3.458688{col 57}{space 1}   -4.64{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-22.89753{col 87}{space 3}-9.171956
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.848155{col 46}{space 2}  4.70196{col 57}{space 1}    1.24{col 66}{space 3}0.217{col 74}{space 4}-3.481553{col 87}{space 3} 15.17786
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.694457{col 46}{space 2} 8.437734{col 57}{space 1}   -0.67{col 66}{space 3}0.501{col 74}{space 4}-22.43675{col 87}{space 3} 11.04784
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.143682{col 46}{space 2} 2.555227{col 57}{space 1}   -0.84{col 66}{space 3}0.404{col 74}{space 4}-7.213807{col 87}{space 3} 2.926443
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3522004{col 46}{space 2} 3.820176{col 57}{space 1}   -0.09{col 66}{space 3}0.927{col 74}{space 4}-7.932258{col 87}{space 3} 7.227857
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0049128{col 46}{space 2} .2446398{col 57}{space 1}   -0.02{col 66}{space 3}0.984{col 74}{space 4}-.4903313{col 87}{space 3} .4805058
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0522188{col 46}{space 2}   .18607{col 57}{space 1}    0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.780{col 74}{space 4}-.3169844{col 87}{space 3}  .421422
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 120.1799{col 46}{space 2} 82.94061{col 57}{space 1}    1.45{col 66}{space 3}0.151{col 74}{space 4}-44.39228{col 87}{space 3}  284.752
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-41.60686{col 46}{space 2} 28.04583{col 57}{space 1}   -1.48{col 66}{space 3}0.141{col 74}{space 4}-97.25587{col 87}{space 3} 14.04214
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.330997{col 46}{space 2}  3.02501{col 57}{space 1}    1.43{col 66}{space 3}0.155{col 74}{space 4} -1.67128{col 87}{space 3} 10.33327
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-59.38395{col 46}{space 2} 75.05133{col 57}{space 1}   -0.79{col 66}{space 3}0.431{col 74}{space 4}-208.3021{col 87}{space 3} 89.53416
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. predict olsmodel1cresids, r
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. sktest olsmodel1cresids
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel1c~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  115{col 28}0.0937{col 43}0.8852{col 53}     2.90{col 71}0.2351
{txt}
{com}. *
. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 96) = {res}     2.99
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0349
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-3D: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. regress electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcook1c < 1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     109
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 15,    93) ={res}    4.23
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 15801.5914    15  1053.43942           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 23182.5038    93  249.274234           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.4053
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.3094
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 38984.0951   108  360.963844           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 15.788

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.867659{col 46}{space 2} 2.093794{col 57}{space 1}    2.80{col 66}{space 3}0.006{col 74}{space 4} 1.709798{col 87}{space 3} 10.02552
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1570861{col 46}{space 2} .0681294{col 57}{space 1}    2.31{col 66}{space 3}0.023{col 74}{space 4} .0217946{col 87}{space 3} .2923775
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1059258{col 46}{space 2} .0327651{col 57}{space 1}   -3.23{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4}-.1709908{col 87}{space 3}-.0408607
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.276944{col 46}{space 2}  .251341{col 57}{space 1}   -1.10{col 66}{space 3}0.273{col 74}{space 4}-.7760574{col 87}{space 3} .2221695
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.041994{col 46}{space 2}  .872314{col 57}{space 1}    1.19{col 66}{space 3}0.235{col 74}{space 4}-.6902489{col 87}{space 3} 2.774237
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-13.49479{col 46}{space 2} 3.087136{col 57}{space 1}   -4.37{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-19.62523{col 87}{space 3}-7.364348
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.710277{col 46}{space 2} 4.147231{col 57}{space 1}    1.62{col 66}{space 3}0.109{col 74}{space 4}-1.525302{col 87}{space 3} 14.94586
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  -3.9463{col 46}{space 2} 7.368821{col 57}{space 1}   -0.54{col 66}{space 3}0.594{col 74}{space 4}-18.57932{col 87}{space 3} 10.68672
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.992803{col 46}{space 2} 2.237904{col 57}{space 1}   -1.34{col 66}{space 3}0.184{col 74}{space 4}-7.436837{col 87}{space 3} 1.451231
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.131249{col 46}{space 2} 3.435784{col 57}{space 1}   -0.91{col 66}{space 3}0.364{col 74}{space 4}-9.954035{col 87}{space 3} 3.691536
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0400838{col 46}{space 2}  .213329{col 57}{space 1}   -0.19{col 66}{space 3}0.851{col 74}{space 4} -.463713{col 87}{space 3} .3835454
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0540473{col 46}{space 2} .1634187{col 57}{space 1}    0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.742{col 74}{space 4}-.2704698{col 87}{space 3} .3785643
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 131.0458{col 46}{space 2} 72.62757{col 57}{space 1}    1.80{col 66}{space 3}0.074{col 74}{space 4}-13.17814{col 87}{space 3} 275.2698
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-42.68255{col 46}{space 2} 24.53271{col 57}{space 1}   -1.74{col 66}{space 3}0.085{col 74}{space 4}-91.39965{col 87}{space 3} 6.034555
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.206872{col 46}{space 2} 2.644163{col 57}{space 1}    1.59{col 66}{space 3}0.115{col 74}{space 4}-1.043912{col 87}{space 3} 9.457656
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-55.20684{col 46}{space 2} 65.76295{col 57}{space 1}   -0.84{col 66}{space 3}0.403{col 74}{space 4} -185.799{col 87}{space 3} 75.38535
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. predict olsmodel1dresids, r
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. sktest olsmodel1dresids if tenurefullresidsimrcook1c < 1
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel1d~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  109{col 28}0.2149{col 43}0.8610{col 53}     1.60{col 71}0.4487
{txt}
{com}. *
. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 90) = {res}     3.32
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0234
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.761733{col 26}{space 2} 2.072875{col 37}{space 1}    2.78{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4} 1.645414{col 67}{space 3} 9.878052
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.596549{col 26}{space 2} 1.865402{col 37}{space 1}    2.46{col 46}{space 3}0.016{col 54}{space 4} .8922304{col 67}{space 3} 8.300869
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  3.32544{col 26}{space 2} 1.698429{col 37}{space 1}    1.96{col 46}{space 3}0.053{col 54}{space 4}-.0473022{col 67}{space 3} 6.698183
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.054331{col 26}{space 2} 1.612072{col 37}{space 1}    1.27{col 46}{space 3}0.206{col 54}{space 4}-1.146925{col 67}{space 3} 5.255587
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7832222{col 26}{space 2} 1.619283{col 37}{space 1}    0.48{col 46}{space 3}0.630{col 54}{space 4}-2.432353{col 67}{space 3} 3.998798
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4878869{col 26}{space 2} 1.718884{col 37}{space 1}   -0.28{col 46}{space 3}0.777{col 54}{space 4} -3.90125{col 67}{space 3} 2.925476
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.758996{col 26}{space 2} 1.896373{col 37}{space 1}   -0.93{col 46}{space 3}0.356{col 54}{space 4}-5.524816{col 67}{space 3} 2.006824
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.030105{col 26}{space 2} 2.132388{col 37}{space 1}   -1.42{col 46}{space 3}0.159{col 54}{space 4}-7.264606{col 67}{space 3} 1.204395
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-4.301214{col 26}{space 2} 2.409795{col 37}{space 1}   -1.78{col 46}{space 3}0.078{col 54}{space 4} -9.08659{col 67}{space 3} .4841617
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-5.572323{col 26}{space 2}  2.71594{col 37}{space 1}   -2.05{col 46}{space 3}0.043{col 54}{space 4}-10.96564{col 67}{space 3}-.1790046
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-6.843432{col 26}{space 2} 3.042159{col 37}{space 1}   -2.25{col 46}{space 3}0.027{col 54}{space 4}-12.88456{col 67}{space 3}-.8023077
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-8.114542{col 26}{space 2} 3.382649{col 37}{space 1}   -2.40{col 46}{space 3}0.018{col 54}{space 4}-14.83181{col 67}{space 3}-1.397271
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-9.385651{col 26}{space 2} 3.733508{col 37}{space 1}   -2.51{col 46}{space 3}0.014{col 54}{space 4}-16.79966{col 67}{space 3}-1.971644
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [20TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 1.207%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*1 + pictenureann*1.207*1 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + eddurmonths2 + 1.207{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.72948{col 26}{space 2} 3.226678{col 37}{space 1}   18.51{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 53.32194{col 67}{space 3} 66.13703
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*12 + pictenureann*1.207*12 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 14.484{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.05106{col 26}{space 2} 2.954468{col 37}{space 1}   20.33{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 54.18407{col 67}{space 3} 65.91804
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*24 + pictenureann*1.207*24 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 28.968{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.40186{col 26}{space 2} 2.714487{col 37}{space 1}   22.25{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 55.01143{col 67}{space 3} 65.79229
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*36 + pictenureann*1.207*36 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 43.452{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.75266{col 26}{space 2} 2.550244{col 37}{space 1}   23.82{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 55.68838{col 67}{space 3} 65.81694
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*48 + pictenureann*1.207*48 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 57.936{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.10347{col 26}{space 2} 2.476852{col 37}{space 1}   24.67{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.18493{col 67}{space 3}   66.022
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*60 + pictenureann*1.207*60 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 72.42{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.45427{col 26}{space 2} 2.502317{col 37}{space 1}   24.56{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.48516{col 67}{space 3} 66.42338
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*72 + pictenureann*1.207*72 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 86.904{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.80508{col 26}{space 2} 2.623764{col 37}{space 1}   23.56{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  56.5948{col 67}{space 3} 67.01535
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*84 + pictenureann*1.207*84 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 101.388{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.15588{col 26}{space 2} 2.828856{col 37}{space 1}   21.97{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.53833{col 67}{space 3} 67.77343
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*96 + pictenureann*1.207*96 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 115.872{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.50668{col 26}{space 2} 3.101042{col 37}{space 1}   20.16{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.34863{col 67}{space 3} 68.66474
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*108 + pictenureann*1.207*108 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 130.356{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.85749{col 26}{space 2}  3.42436{col 37}{space 1}   18.36{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.05739{col 67}{space 3} 69.65759
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*120 + pictenureann*1.207*120 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 144.84{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 63.20829{col 26}{space 2} 3.785732{col 37}{space 1}   16.70{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 55.69058{col 67}{space 3} 70.72601
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*132 + pictenureann*1.207*132 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 159.324{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  63.5591{col 26}{space 2} 4.175289{col 37}{space 1}   15.22{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  55.2678{col 67}{space 3} 71.85039
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*1.207 + eddurmonths2*144 + pictenureann*1.207*144 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}1.207{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 173.808{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  63.9099{col 26}{space 2} 4.585854{col 37}{space 1}   13.94{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  54.8033{col 67}{space 3}  73.0165
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [50TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 2.162%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*1 + pictenureann*2.162*1 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673 + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + eddurmonths2 + 2.162{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 65.23194{col 26}{space 2} 2.971668{col 37}{space 1}   21.95{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  59.3308{col 67}{space 3} 71.13308
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*12 + pictenureann*2.162*12 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 25.944{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 64.44076{col 26}{space 2} 2.682677{col 37}{space 1}   24.02{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  59.1135{col 67}{space 3} 69.76802
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*24 + pictenureann*2.162*24 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 51.888{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 63.57765{col 26}{space 2} 2.421423{col 37}{space 1}   26.26{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 58.76919{col 67}{space 3} 68.38612
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*36 + pictenureann*2.162*36 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 77.832{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.71455{col 26}{space 2} 2.235733{col 37}{space 1}   28.05{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 58.27483{col 67}{space 3} 67.15427
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*48 + pictenureann*2.162*48 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 103.776{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.85144{col 26}{space 2} 2.145318{col 37}{space 1}   28.83{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 57.59127{col 67}{space 3} 66.11162
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*60 + pictenureann*2.162*60 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 129.72{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.98834{col 26}{space 2} 2.162163{col 37}{space 1}   28.21{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.69471{col 67}{space 3} 65.28197
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*72 + pictenureann*2.162*72 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 155.664{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.12523{col 26}{space 2} 2.283897{col 37}{space 1}   26.33{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 55.58987{col 67}{space 3}  64.6606
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*84 + pictenureann*2.162*84 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 181.608{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.26213{col 26}{space 2} 2.495214{col 37}{space 1}   23.75{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 54.30713{col 67}{space 3} 64.21713
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*96 + pictenureann*2.162*96 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 207.552{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.39902{col 26}{space 2} 2.775731{col 37}{space 1}   21.04{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 52.88697{col 67}{space 3} 63.91107
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*108 + pictenureann*2.162*108 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 233.496{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 57.53592{col 26}{space 2} 3.106757{col 37}{space 1}   18.52{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.36652{col 67}{space 3} 63.70532
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*120 + pictenureann*2.162*120 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 259.44{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 56.67281{col 26}{space 2} 3.473885{col 37}{space 1}   16.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.77437{col 67}{space 3} 63.57126
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*132 + pictenureann*2.162*132 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 285.384{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 55.80971{col 26}{space 2} 3.866844{col 37}{space 1}   14.43{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 48.13092{col 67}{space 3} 63.48849
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.162 + eddurmonths2*144 + pictenureann*2.162*144 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.162{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 311.328{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  54.9466{col 26}{space 2} 4.278524{col 37}{space 1}   12.84{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  46.4503{col 67}{space 3}  63.4429
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. 
. 
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [80TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 2.977%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*1 + pictenureann*2.977*1 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + eddurmonths2 + 2.977{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 69.92775{col 26}{space 2} 3.698683{col 37}{space 1}   18.91{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  62.5829{col 67}{space 3}  77.2726
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*12 + pictenureann*2.977*12 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 35.724{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 68.18695{col 26}{space 2} 3.302864{col 37}{space 1}   20.64{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 61.62811{col 67}{space 3} 74.74578
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*24 + pictenureann*2.977*24 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 71.448{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 66.28789{col 26}{space 2} 2.956359{col 37}{space 1}   22.42{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 60.41715{col 67}{space 3} 72.15863
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*36 + pictenureann*2.977*36 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 107.172{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 64.38883{col 26}{space 2} 2.731811{col 37}{space 1}   23.57{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 58.96399{col 67}{space 3} 69.81366
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*48 + pictenureann*2.977*48 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 142.896{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.48977{col 26}{space 2} 2.660283{col 37}{space 1}   23.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 57.20698{col 67}{space 3} 67.77257
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*60 + pictenureann*2.977*60 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 178.62{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.59071{col 26}{space 2} 2.753726{col 37}{space 1}   22.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 55.12236{col 67}{space 3} 66.05907
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*72 + pictenureann*2.977*72 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 214.344{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.69165{col 26}{space 2} 2.996747{col 37}{space 1}   19.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 52.74071{col 67}{space 3}  64.6426
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*84 + pictenureann*2.977*84 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 250.068{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 56.79259{col 26}{space 2} 3.357017{col 37}{space 1}   16.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.12622{col 67}{space 3} 63.45896
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*96 + pictenureann*2.977*96 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 285.792{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 54.89353{col 26}{space 2} 3.801344{col 37}{space 1}   14.44{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 47.34482{col 67}{space 3} 62.44225
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*108 + pictenureann*2.977*108 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 321.516{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 52.99448{col 26}{space 2} 4.303772{col 37}{space 1}   12.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 44.44804{col 67}{space 3} 61.54091
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*120 + pictenureann*2.977*120 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 357.24{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 51.09542{col 26}{space 2} 4.846264{col 37}{space 1}   10.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  41.4717{col 67}{space 3} 60.71914
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*132 + pictenureann*2.977*132 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 392.964{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 49.19636{col 26}{space 2} 5.416796{col 37}{space 1}    9.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 38.43967{col 67}{space 3} 59.95304
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincometenureann*2.977 + eddurmonths2*144 + pictenureann*2.977*144 + lastelectionresults*59.02182 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.160388 +  senateseat*0.60 + incumbparty*0.20 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4713567 + incumbdeficit*0.4272727 + vapabschangelo*5.77997 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.570858 + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.977{res}*{res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 428.688{res}*{res}pictenureann + 59.02182{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.160388{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6{res}*{res}senateseat + .2{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4713567{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4272727{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.77997{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.570858{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  47.2973{col 26}{space 2} 6.007385{col 37}{space 1}    7.87{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 35.36782{col 67}{space 3} 59.22677
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. 
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. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
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. *** ESTIMATE MOST RECENT/LAST TERM ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-3E: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. regress electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 12,   102) ={res}    3.66
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 15580.3077    12  1298.35897           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0001
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 36215.9784   102  355.058612           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3008
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.2185
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 51796.2861   114  454.353387           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.843

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.378411{col 46}{space 2} 1.870203{col 57}{space 1}    1.27{col 66}{space 3}0.206{col 74}{space 4}-1.331127{col 87}{space 3} 6.087949
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0355648{col 46}{space 2} .0697532{col 57}{space 1}   -0.51{col 66}{space 3}0.611{col 74}{space 4}  -.17392{col 87}{space 3} .1027904
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0020187{col 46}{space 2} .0249358{col 57}{space 1}    0.08{col 66}{space 3}0.936{col 74}{space 4}-.0474414{col 87}{space 3} .0514788
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .343387{col 46}{space 2} .2641236{col 57}{space 1}    1.30{col 66}{space 3}0.196{col 74}{space 4}-.1805009{col 87}{space 3} .8672749
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4049186{col 46}{space 2} .9671708{col 57}{space 1}   -0.42{col 66}{space 3}0.676{col 74}{space 4}-2.323297{col 87}{space 3}  1.51346
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.70687{col 46}{space 2} 3.596763{col 57}{space 1}   -4.64{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-23.84103{col 87}{space 3}-9.572704
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.220861{col 46}{space 2} 4.661167{col 57}{space 1}    1.55{col 66}{space 3}0.124{col 74}{space 4}-2.024542{col 87}{space 3} 16.46626
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.78594{col 46}{space 2} 8.490002{col 57}{space 1}   -1.98{col 66}{space 3}0.051{col 74}{space 4}-33.62582{col 87}{space 3} .0539381
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5322859{col 46}{space 2} 2.584017{col 57}{space 1}    0.21{col 66}{space 3}0.837{col 74}{space 4}-4.593101{col 87}{space 3} 5.657672
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.5766186{col 46}{space 2} 3.996226{col 57}{space 1}   -0.14{col 66}{space 3}0.886{col 74}{space 4}-8.503114{col 87}{space 3} 7.349877
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1138003{col 46}{space 2} .2495688{col 57}{space 1}    0.46{col 66}{space 3}0.649{col 74}{space 4}-.3812183{col 87}{space 3} .6088189
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2082296{col 46}{space 2} .1937899{col 57}{space 1}    1.07{col 66}{space 3}0.285{col 74}{space 4}-.1761518{col 87}{space 3}  .592611
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 39.77401{col 46}{space 2} 15.29346{col 57}{space 1}    2.60{col 66}{space 3}0.011{col 74}{space 4} 9.439499{col 87}{space 3} 70.10853
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. predict olsmodel2aresids, r
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. sktest olsmodel2aresids 
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel2a~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  115{col 28}0.1389{col 43}0.9301{col 53}     2.25{col 71}0.3253
{txt}
{com}. *
. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 99) = {res}     4.60
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0047
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-3F: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. regress electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & rtermfullresidsimrcook2a < 1 

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}      98
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 12,    85) ={res}    4.08
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 8960.13776    12  746.678147           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0001
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 15544.1564    85  182.872428           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3657
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.2761
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 24504.2941    97  252.621589           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 13.523

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.575312{col 46}{space 2} 1.446106{col 57}{space 1}    2.47{col 66}{space 3}0.015{col 74}{space 4} .7000665{col 87}{space 3} 6.450558
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0455659{col 46}{space 2}  .051805{col 57}{space 1}    0.88{col 66}{space 3}0.382{col 74}{space 4}-.0574364{col 87}{space 3} .1485682
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0265518{col 46}{space 2} .0185054{col 57}{space 1}   -1.43{col 66}{space 3}0.155{col 74}{space 4}-.0633455{col 87}{space 3}  .010242
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1409477{col 46}{space 2}  .218803{col 57}{space 1}   -0.64{col 66}{space 3}0.521{col 74}{space 4}-.5759867{col 87}{space 3} .2940913
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6897264{col 46}{space 2} .7363516{col 57}{space 1}    0.94{col 66}{space 3}0.352{col 74}{space 4}-.7743379{col 87}{space 3} 2.153791
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-13.93371{col 46}{space 2} 2.792101{col 57}{space 1}   -4.99{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-19.48516{col 87}{space 3} -8.38227
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.696508{col 46}{space 2} 3.696906{col 57}{space 1}    0.46{col 66}{space 3}0.647{col 74}{space 4}-5.653932{col 87}{space 3} 9.046947
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.602448{col 46}{space 2} 6.404635{col 57}{space 1}   -1.34{col 66}{space 3}0.183{col 74}{space 4}-21.33658{col 87}{space 3} 4.131682
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0325292{col 46}{space 2} 1.933287{col 57}{space 1}    0.02{col 66}{space 3}0.987{col 74}{space 4}-3.811363{col 87}{space 3} 3.876421
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.221202{col 46}{space 2}  3.14887{col 57}{space 1}   -1.02{col 66}{space 3}0.309{col 74}{space 4}-9.481999{col 87}{space 3} 3.039595
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0476941{col 46}{space 2} .1840264{col 57}{space 1}   -0.26{col 66}{space 3}0.796{col 74}{space 4}-.4135879{col 87}{space 3} .3181998
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2853945{col 46}{space 2} .1464076{col 57}{space 1}    1.95{col 66}{space 3}0.055{col 74}{space 4} -.005703{col 87}{space 3} .5764921
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 67.29446{col 46}{space 2} 12.44596{col 57}{space 1}    5.41{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 42.54855{col 87}{space 3} 92.04037
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. predict olsmodel2bresids, r
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. sktest olsmodel2bresids if rtermfullresidsimrcook2a < 1
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel2b~s {c |}{res}{col 17}   98{col 28}0.8642{col 43}0.5946{col 53}     0.31{col 71}0.8553
{txt}
{com}. *
. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 82) = {res}     3.17
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0285
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-3G: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. regress electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 15,    99) ={res}    3.15
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 16744.6584    15  1116.31056           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0003
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 35051.6277    99  354.056846           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3233
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.2207
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 51796.2861   114  454.353387           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.816

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.694555{col 46}{space 2} 1.909738{col 57}{space 1}    0.89{col 66}{space 3}0.377{col 74}{space 4} -2.09478{col 87}{space 3} 5.483891
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0407485{col 46}{space 2} .0733465{col 57}{space 1}   -0.56{col 66}{space 3}0.580{col 74}{space 4}-.1862839{col 87}{space 3} .1047869
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.25e-06{col 46}{space 2} .0253911{col 57}{space 1}    0.00{col 66}{space 3}1.000{col 74}{space 4}-.0503771{col 87}{space 3} .0503856
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2799022{col 46}{space 2} .2881944{col 57}{space 1}    0.97{col 66}{space 3}0.334{col 74}{space 4}-.2919381{col 87}{space 3} .8517425
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3782174{col 46}{space 2} 1.042072{col 57}{space 1}   -0.36{col 66}{space 3}0.717{col 74}{space 4}-2.445914{col 87}{space 3} 1.689479
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.58375{col 46}{space 2} 3.606642{col 57}{space 1}   -4.60{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-23.74011{col 87}{space 3}-9.427388
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.610103{col 46}{space 2} 4.827373{col 57}{space 1}    1.58{col 66}{space 3}0.118{col 74}{space 4}-1.968453{col 87}{space 3} 17.18866
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.33364{col 46}{space 2} 8.656148{col 57}{space 1}   -1.66{col 66}{space 3}0.101{col 74}{space 4}-31.50932{col 87}{space 3} 2.842034
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2542182{col 46}{space 2} 2.648167{col 57}{space 1}   -0.10{col 66}{space 3}0.924{col 74}{space 4}-5.508755{col 87}{space 3} 5.000319
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3512288{col 46}{space 2} 4.030908{col 57}{space 1}    0.09{col 66}{space 3}0.931{col 74}{space 4}-7.646968{col 87}{space 3} 8.349425
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1156594{col 46}{space 2} .2516675{col 57}{space 1}    0.46{col 66}{space 3}0.647{col 74}{space 4}-.3837035{col 87}{space 3} .6150223
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1238299{col 46}{space 2} .2001497{col 57}{space 1}    0.62{col 66}{space 3}0.538{col 74}{space 4}-.2733105{col 87}{space 3} .5209704
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 17.65228{col 46}{space 2} 83.44587{col 57}{space 1}    0.21{col 66}{space 3}0.833{col 74}{space 4}-147.9224{col 87}{space 3}  183.227
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.922327{col 46}{space 2} 28.38143{col 57}{space 1}   -0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.781{col 74}{space 4}-64.23725{col 87}{space 3} 48.39259
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .8733246{col 46}{space 2} 3.076854{col 57}{space 1}    0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.777{col 74}{space 4}-5.231822{col 87}{space 3} 6.978471
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 37.05486{col 46}{space 2} 75.35978{col 57}{space 1}    0.49{col 66}{space 3}0.624{col 74}{space 4}-112.4753{col 87}{space 3}  186.585
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. predict olsmodel2cresids, r
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. sktest olsmodel2cresids 
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel2c~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  115{col 28}0.2640{col 43}0.7814{col 53}     1.35{col 71}0.5090
{txt}
{com}. *
. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 96) = {res}     2.34
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0778
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-3H: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. regress electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & rtermfullresidsimrcook2c < 1 

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     108
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 15,    92) ={res}    3.01
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res}  12163.028    15  810.868533           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0006
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 24786.7811    92  269.421534           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3292
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.2198
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 36949.8091   107  345.325319           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 16.414

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.768296{col 46}{space 2} 1.695519{col 57}{space 1}    1.04{col 66}{space 3}0.300{col 74}{space 4}-1.599151{col 87}{space 3} 5.135742
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0014788{col 46}{space 2} .0646511{col 57}{space 1}    0.02{col 66}{space 3}0.982{col 74}{space 4}-.1269239{col 87}{space 3} .1298814
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0101898{col 46}{space 2} .0223217{col 57}{space 1}   -0.46{col 66}{space 3}0.649{col 74}{space 4}-.0545227{col 87}{space 3} .0341431
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1815254{col 46}{space 2} .2678843{col 57}{space 1}   -0.68{col 66}{space 3}0.500{col 74}{space 4}-.7135666{col 87}{space 3} .3505159
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .9038232{col 46}{space 2} .9485631{col 57}{space 1}    0.95{col 66}{space 3}0.343{col 74}{space 4}-.9801049{col 87}{space 3} 2.787751
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -13.0702{col 46}{space 2} 3.252548{col 57}{space 1}   -4.02{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-19.53005{col 87}{space 3}-6.610364
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.849856{col 46}{space 2} 4.264473{col 57}{space 1}    1.84{col 66}{space 3}0.069{col 74}{space 4}-.6197543{col 87}{space 3} 16.31947
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -10.6528{col 46}{space 2} 7.616761{col 57}{space 1}   -1.40{col 66}{space 3}0.165{col 74}{space 4}-25.78035{col 87}{space 3} 4.474742
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.222292{col 46}{space 2} 2.327189{col 57}{space 1}   -0.53{col 66}{space 3}0.601{col 74}{space 4}-5.844289{col 87}{space 3} 3.399705
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.758067{col 46}{space 2} 3.634544{col 57}{space 1}   -0.48{col 66}{space 3}0.630{col 74}{space 4}-8.976585{col 87}{space 3}  5.46045
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0750261{col 46}{space 2}  .220031{col 57}{space 1}    0.34{col 66}{space 3}0.734{col 74}{space 4}-.3619745{col 87}{space 3} .5120267
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1198279{col 46}{space 2} .1765317{col 57}{space 1}    0.68{col 66}{space 3}0.499{col 74}{space 4}-.2307794{col 87}{space 3} .4704352
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 30.83736{col 46}{space 2} 73.10196{col 57}{space 1}    0.42{col 66}{space 3}0.674{col 74}{space 4}-114.3494{col 87}{space 3} 176.0242
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -9.79986{col 46}{space 2} 24.84237{col 57}{space 1}   -0.39{col 66}{space 3}0.694{col 74}{space 4}-59.13895{col 87}{space 3} 39.53923
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .8394615{col 46}{space 2} 2.692148{col 57}{space 1}    0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.756{col 74}{space 4}-4.507376{col 87}{space 3} 6.186299
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 39.43686{col 46}{space 2} 66.02752{col 57}{space 1}    0.60{col 66}{space 3}0.552{col 74}{space 4}-91.69951{col 87}{space 3} 170.5732
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. predict olsmodel2dresids, r
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. sktest olsmodel2dresids if rtermfullresidsimrcook2c < 1
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel2d~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  108{col 28}0.6221{col 43}0.9128{col 53}     0.25{col 71}0.8803
{txt}
{com}. *
. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 89) = {res}     3.21
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0267
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.758106{col 26}{space 2} 1.679708{col 37}{space 1}    1.05{col 46}{space 3}0.298{col 54}{space 4} -1.57794{col 67}{space 3} 5.094151
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.646018{col 26}{space 2} 1.516638{col 37}{space 1}    1.09{col 46}{space 3}0.281{col 54}{space 4}-1.366156{col 67}{space 3} 4.658191
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.52374{col 26}{space 2} 1.367149{col 37}{space 1}    1.11{col 46}{space 3}0.268{col 54}{space 4}-1.191535{col 67}{space 3} 4.239015
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.401462{col 26}{space 2} 1.257577{col 37}{space 1}    1.11{col 46}{space 3}0.268{col 54}{space 4}-1.096194{col 67}{space 3} 3.899118
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.279184{col 26}{space 2} 1.198917{col 37}{space 1}    1.07{col 46}{space 3}0.289{col 54}{space 4}-1.101969{col 67}{space 3} 3.660337
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.156906{col 26}{space 2} 1.198668{col 37}{space 1}    0.97{col 46}{space 3}0.337{col 54}{space 4}-1.223752{col 67}{space 3} 3.537564
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.034628{col 26}{space 2} 1.256863{col 37}{space 1}    0.82{col 46}{space 3}0.413{col 54}{space 4}-1.461611{col 67}{space 3} 3.530867
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9123503{col 26}{space 2} 1.366054{col 37}{space 1}    0.67{col 46}{space 3}0.506{col 54}{space 4}-1.800752{col 67}{space 3} 3.625452
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7900725{col 26}{space 2} 1.515257{col 37}{space 1}    0.52{col 46}{space 3}0.603{col 54}{space 4}-2.219358{col 67}{space 3} 3.799503
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6677946{col 26}{space 2}  1.69393{col 37}{space 1}    0.39{col 46}{space 3}0.694{col 54}{space 4}-2.696497{col 67}{space 3} 4.032086
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5455167{col 26}{space 2} 1.893752{col 37}{space 1}    0.29{col 46}{space 3}0.774{col 54}{space 4}-3.215638{col 67}{space 3} 4.306671
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4232388{col 26}{space 2} 2.108718{col 37}{space 1}    0.20{col 46}{space 3}0.841{col 54}{space 4}-3.764856{col 67}{space 3} 4.611334
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3009609{col 26}{space 2} 2.334648{col 37}{space 1}    0.13{col 46}{space 3}0.898{col 54}{space 4}-4.335852{col 67}{space 3} 4.937774
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [20TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 0.901%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*1 + picrtermann*0.901*1 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + eddurmonths2 + .901{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.03133{col 26}{space 2} 3.751876{col 37}{space 1}   16.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 52.57978{col 67}{space 3} 67.48287
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*12 + picrtermann*0.901*12 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 10.812{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  59.9466{col 26}{space 2} 3.382168{col 37}{space 1}   17.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 53.22932{col 67}{space 3} 66.66388
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*24 + picrtermann*0.901*24 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 21.624{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.85417{col 26}{space 2} 3.042628{col 37}{space 1}   19.67{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 53.81125{col 67}{space 3} 65.89709
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*36 + picrtermann*0.901*36 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 32.436{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.76175{col 26}{space 2} 2.793237{col 37}{space 1}   21.40{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 54.21414{col 67}{space 3} 65.30936
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*48 + picrtermann*0.901*48 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 43.248{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.66932{col 26}{space 2}  2.65948{col 37}{space 1}   22.44{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 54.38736{col 67}{space 3} 64.95128
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*60 + picrtermann*0.901*60 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 54.06{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.57689{col 26}{space 2} 2.658865{col 37}{space 1}   22.41{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 54.29616{col 67}{space 3} 64.85763
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*72 + picrtermann*0.901*72 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 64.872{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.48446{col 26}{space 2} 2.791479{col 37}{space 1}   21.31{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 53.94035{col 67}{space 3} 65.02858
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*84 + picrtermann*0.901*84 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 75.684{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.39204{col 26}{space 2} 3.039937{col 37}{space 1}   19.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 53.35446{col 67}{space 3} 65.42961
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*96 + picrtermann*0.901*96 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 86.496{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.29961{col 26}{space 2} 3.378779{col 37}{space 1}   17.55{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 52.58906{col 67}{space 3} 66.01016
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*108 + picrtermann*0.901*108 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 97.308{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.20718{col 26}{space 2}   3.7838{col 37}{space 1}   15.65{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.69223{col 67}{space 3} 66.72214
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*120 + picrtermann*0.901*120 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 108.12{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.11475{col 26}{space 2}  4.23606{col 37}{space 1}   13.96{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.70157{col 67}{space 3} 67.52794
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*132 + picrtermann*0.901*132 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 118.932{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.02233{col 26}{space 2} 4.722006{col 37}{space 1}   12.50{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.64402{col 67}{space 3} 68.40064
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*0.901 + eddurmonths2*144 + picrtermann*0.901*144 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.901{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 129.744{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  58.9299{col 26}{space 2} 5.232259{col 37}{space 1}   11.26{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 48.53818{col 67}{space 3} 69.32162
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. 
. *
. *
. *
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [50TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 2.135%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*1 + picrtermann*2.135*1 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + eddurmonths2 + 2.135{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.20083{col 26}{space 2} 3.077806{col 37}{space 1}   20.21{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.08804{col 67}{space 3} 68.31362
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*12 + picrtermann*2.135*12 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 25.62{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.97779{col 26}{space 2} 2.795596{col 37}{space 1}   22.17{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.42549{col 67}{space 3} 67.53008
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*24 + picrtermann*2.135*24 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 51.24{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.73447{col 26}{space 2} 2.537374{col 37}{space 1}   24.33{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.69502{col 67}{space 3} 66.77391
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*36 + picrtermann*2.135*36 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 76.86{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.49115{col 26}{space 2} 2.347561{col 37}{space 1}   26.19{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.82869{col 67}{space 3} 66.15361
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*48 + picrtermann*2.135*48 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 102.48{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.24783{col 26}{space 2} 2.243588{col 37}{space 1}   27.30{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.79187{col 67}{space 3} 65.70379
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*60 + picrtermann*2.135*60 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 128.1{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.00451{col 26}{space 2} 2.237455{col 37}{space 1}   27.27{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.56074{col 67}{space 3} 65.44829
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*72 + picrtermann*2.135*72 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 153.72{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  60.7612{col 26}{space 2} 2.329933{col 37}{space 1}   26.08{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.13375{col 67}{space 3} 65.38864
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*84 + picrtermann*2.135*84 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 179.34{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.51788{col 26}{space 2} 2.510148{col 37}{space 1}   24.11{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 55.53251{col 67}{space 3} 65.50325
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*96 + picrtermann*2.135*96 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 204.96{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.27456{col 26}{space 2} 2.760971{col 37}{space 1}   21.83{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 54.79103{col 67}{space 3} 65.75809
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*108 + picrtermann*2.135*108 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 230.58{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.03124{col 26}{space 2} 3.065119{col 37}{space 1}   19.59{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 53.94365{col 67}{space 3} 66.11883
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*120 + picrtermann*2.135*120 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 256.2{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.78792{col 26}{space 2} 3.408345{col 37}{space 1}   17.54{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 53.01866{col 67}{space 3} 66.55719
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*132 + picrtermann*2.135*132 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 281.82{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  59.5446{col 26}{space 2} 3.780019{col 37}{space 1}   15.75{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 52.03716{col 67}{space 3} 67.05205
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*2.135 + eddurmonths2*144 + picrtermann*2.135*144 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.135{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 307.44{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.30129{col 26}{space 2} 4.172546{col 37}{space 1}   14.21{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.01425{col 67}{space 3} 67.58832
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. 
. *
. *
. *
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [80TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 3.733%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*1 + picrtermann*3.733*1 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + eddurmonths2 + 3.733{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 65.01028{col 26}{space 2} 4.034807{col 37}{space 1}   16.11{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.99681{col 67}{space 3} 73.02376
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*12 + picrtermann*3.733*12 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 44.796{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 64.60812{col 26}{space 2} 3.678634{col 37}{space 1}   17.56{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 57.30204{col 67}{space 3} 71.91421
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*24 + picrtermann*3.733*24 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 89.592{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  64.1694{col 26}{space 2} 3.353502{col 37}{space 1}   19.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 57.50906{col 67}{space 3} 70.82975
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*36 + picrtermann*3.733*36 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 134.388{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 63.73069{col 26}{space 2} 3.114677{col 37}{space 1}   20.46{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 57.54467{col 67}{space 3}  69.9167
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*48 + picrtermann*3.733*48 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 179.184{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 63.29197{col 26}{space 2} 2.982962{col 37}{space 1}   21.22{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 57.36755{col 67}{space 3} 69.21639
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*60 + picrtermann*3.733*60 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 223.98{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.85325{col 26}{space 2} 2.972628{col 37}{space 1}   21.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.94935{col 67}{space 3} 68.75714
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*72 + picrtermann*3.733*72 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 268.776{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.41453{col 26}{space 2} 3.084895{col 37}{space 1}   20.23{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.28766{col 67}{space 3}  68.5414
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*84 + picrtermann*3.733*84 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 313.572{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.97581{col 26}{space 2} 3.307302{col 37}{space 1}   18.74{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 55.40723{col 67}{space 3}  68.5444
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*96 + picrtermann*3.733*96 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 358.368{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.53709{col 26}{space 2} 3.619603{col 37}{space 1}   17.00{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 54.34825{col 67}{space 3} 68.72594
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*108 + picrtermann*3.733*108 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 403.164{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.09838{col 26}{space 2} 4.000801{col 37}{space 1}   15.27{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 53.15244{col 67}{space 3} 69.04431
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*120 + picrtermann*3.733*120 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 447.96{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.65966{col 26}{space 2} 4.433159{col 37}{space 1}   13.68{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.85502{col 67}{space 3}  69.4643
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*132 + picrtermann*3.733*132 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 492.756{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.22094{col 26}{space 2} 4.903162{col 37}{space 1}   12.28{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.48284{col 67}{space 3} 69.95904
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecenttermann*3.733 + eddurmonths2*144 + picrtermann*3.733*144 + lastelectionresults*59.28571 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.113017 +  senateseat*0.6095238  + incumbparty*0.2095238  + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4765339 + incumbdeficit*0.4095238 + vapabschangelo*5.948868  + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.64125  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}3.733{res}*{res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 537.552{res}*{res}picrtermann + 59.28571{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.113017{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6095238{res}*{res}senateseat + .2095238{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4765339{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4095238{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.948868{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.64125{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.78222{col 26}{space 2} 5.400992{col 37}{space 1}   11.07{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.05539{col 67}{space 3} 70.50906
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
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. *** ESTIMATE MOST RECENT YEAR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-3I: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. regress electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 12,   102) ={res}    3.79
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 15981.8172    12   1331.8181           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0001
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 35814.4689   102  351.122244           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3086
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.2272
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 51796.2861   114  454.353387           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.738

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  3.33706{col 46}{space 2} 1.448491{col 57}{space 1}    2.30{col 66}{space 3}0.023{col 74}{space 4} .4639838{col 87}{space 3} 6.210136
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0169931{col 46}{space 2} .0508617{col 57}{space 1}    0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.739{col 74}{space 4}-.0838908{col 87}{space 3}  .117877
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0306458{col 46}{space 2}  .016621{col 57}{space 1}   -1.84{col 66}{space 3}0.068{col 74}{space 4}-.0636135{col 87}{space 3} .0023219
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3859356{col 46}{space 2} .2482891{col 57}{space 1}    1.55{col 66}{space 3}0.123{col 74}{space 4}-.1065447{col 87}{space 3} .8784159
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.102152{col 46}{space 2} 1.051693{col 57}{space 1}   -1.05{col 66}{space 3}0.297{col 74}{space 4} -3.18818{col 87}{space 3} .9838758
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.14189{col 46}{space 2}  3.58826{col 57}{space 1}   -4.78{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-24.25918{col 87}{space 3}-10.02459
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.696442{col 46}{space 2} 4.587071{col 57}{space 1}    1.68{col 66}{space 3}0.096{col 74}{space 4}-1.401992{col 87}{space 3} 16.79488
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.46409{col 46}{space 2} 8.234844{col 57}{space 1}   -1.76{col 66}{space 3}0.082{col 74}{space 4}-30.79786{col 87}{space 3} 1.869688
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1583798{col 46}{space 2} 2.524415{col 57}{space 1}   -0.06{col 66}{space 3}0.950{col 74}{space 4}-5.165546{col 87}{space 3} 4.848786
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.429641{col 46}{space 2} 3.891581{col 57}{space 1}   -0.11{col 66}{space 3}0.912{col 74}{space 4}-8.148574{col 87}{space 3} 7.289292
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1148505{col 46}{space 2} .2462411{col 57}{space 1}    0.47{col 66}{space 3}0.642{col 74}{space 4}-.3735676{col 87}{space 3} .6032685
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1733395{col 46}{space 2} .1887617{col 57}{space 1}    0.92{col 66}{space 3}0.361{col 74}{space 4}-.2010685{col 87}{space 3} .5477474
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 36.83757{col 46}{space 2} 14.94414{col 57}{space 1}    2.47{col 66}{space 3}0.015{col 74}{space 4}  7.19594{col 87}{space 3}  66.4792
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. predict olsmodel3aresids, r
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. sktest olsmodel3aresids 
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel3a~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  115{col 28}0.0456{col 43}0.5514{col 53}     4.46{col 71}0.1078
{txt}
{com}. *
. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 99) = {res}     4.16
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0081
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-3J: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. regress electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & ryearfullresidsimrcook3a < 1, norobust

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}      98
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 12,    85) ={res}    5.84
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 12082.3907    12  1006.86589           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res}  14650.513    85  172.358976           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.4520
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.3746
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 26732.9037    97  275.596945           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 13.129

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.920235{col 46}{space 2} 1.162033{col 57}{space 1}    3.37{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4} 1.609802{col 87}{space 3} 6.230668
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0503569{col 46}{space 2} .0366445{col 57}{space 1}    1.37{col 66}{space 3}0.173{col 74}{space 4}-.0225022{col 87}{space 3}  .123216
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0355253{col 46}{space 2} .0119931{col 57}{space 1}   -2.96{col 66}{space 3}0.004{col 74}{space 4}-.0593708{col 87}{space 3}-.0116797
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0326492{col 46}{space 2} .2008175{col 57}{space 1}    0.16{col 66}{space 3}0.871{col 74}{space 4}-.3666298{col 87}{space 3} .4319282
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3268949{col 46}{space 2} .7933317{col 57}{space 1}   -0.41{col 66}{space 3}0.681{col 74}{space 4}-1.904251{col 87}{space 3} 1.250461
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-15.12738{col 46}{space 2} 2.741836{col 57}{space 1}   -5.52{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-20.57889{col 87}{space 3}-9.675879
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.236331{col 46}{space 2} 3.529914{col 57}{space 1}    0.63{col 66}{space 3}0.528{col 74}{space 4}-4.782083{col 87}{space 3} 9.254745
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.922927{col 46}{space 2} 6.031014{col 57}{space 1}   -1.65{col 66}{space 3}0.104{col 74}{space 4} -21.9142{col 87}{space 3} 2.068345
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.249339{col 46}{space 2} 1.798553{col 57}{space 1}   -0.69{col 66}{space 3}0.489{col 74}{space 4}-4.825344{col 87}{space 3} 2.326666
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.566414{col 46}{space 2} 2.995347{col 57}{space 1}   -1.86{col 66}{space 3}0.067{col 74}{space 4}-11.52197{col 87}{space 3} .3891373
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0689587{col 46}{space 2} .1776824{col 57}{space 1}   -0.39{col 66}{space 3}0.699{col 74}{space 4}-.4222388{col 87}{space 3} .2843214
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3902487{col 46}{space 2} .1410098{col 57}{space 1}    2.77{col 66}{space 3}0.007{col 74}{space 4} .1098833{col 87}{space 3}  .670614
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 61.80072{col 46}{space 2} 12.02707{col 57}{space 1}    5.14{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 37.88769{col 87}{space 3} 85.71374
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. predict olsmodel3bresids, r
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. sktest olsmodel3bresids if ryearfullresidsimrcook3a < 1
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel3b~s {c |}{res}{col 17}   98{col 28}0.7748{col 43}0.6801{col 53}     0.25{col 71}0.8817
{txt}
{com}. *
. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 82) = {res}     6.63
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0005
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-3K: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. regress electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     115
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 15,    99) ={res}    3.38
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 17542.9681    15  1169.53121           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0001
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res}  34253.318    99  345.993111           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.3387
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.2385
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 51796.2861   114  454.353387           {txt}Root MSE      = {res} 18.601

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  2.75354{col 46}{space 2}  1.48988{col 57}{space 1}    1.85{col 66}{space 3}0.068{col 74}{space 4} -.202705{col 87}{space 3} 5.709784
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .017912{col 46}{space 2} .0546048{col 57}{space 1}    0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.744{col 74}{space 4}-.0904359{col 87}{space 3} .1262598
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0316605{col 46}{space 2} .0171299{col 57}{space 1}   -1.85{col 66}{space 3}0.068{col 74}{space 4}  -.06565{col 87}{space 3}  .002329
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2460072{col 46}{space 2} .2681885{col 57}{space 1}    0.92{col 66}{space 3}0.361{col 74}{space 4} -.286137{col 87}{space 3} .7781514
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.8339611{col 46}{space 2} 1.092721{col 57}{space 1}   -0.76{col 66}{space 3}0.447{col 74}{space 4}-3.002156{col 87}{space 3} 1.334234
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.87668{col 46}{space 2}  3.56671{col 57}{space 1}   -4.73{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-23.95381{col 87}{space 3}-9.799558
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.943853{col 46}{space 2}  4.71183{col 57}{space 1}    1.69{col 66}{space 3}0.095{col 74}{space 4} -1.40544{col 87}{space 3} 17.29315
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -12.7491{col 46}{space 2} 8.235679{col 57}{space 1}   -1.55{col 66}{space 3}0.125{col 74}{space 4}-29.09047{col 87}{space 3} 3.592274
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.7253636{col 46}{space 2} 2.530312{col 57}{space 1}   -0.29{col 66}{space 3}0.775{col 74}{space 4}-5.746051{col 87}{space 3} 4.295324
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5386473{col 46}{space 2} 3.890765{col 57}{space 1}    0.14{col 66}{space 3}0.890{col 74}{space 4}-7.181474{col 87}{space 3} 8.258768
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0944822{col 46}{space 2} .2468799{col 57}{space 1}    0.38{col 66}{space 3}0.703{col 74}{space 4} -.395381{col 87}{space 3} .5843455
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0945327{col 46}{space 2} .1911921{col 57}{space 1}    0.49{col 66}{space 3}0.622{col 74}{space 4} -.284834{col 87}{space 3} .4738994
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 75.93084{col 46}{space 2} 81.40814{col 57}{space 1}    0.93{col 66}{space 3}0.353{col 74}{space 4}-85.60058{col 87}{space 3} 237.4623
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-27.31781{col 46}{space 2} 27.63768{col 57}{space 1}   -0.99{col 66}{space 3}0.325{col 74}{space 4}-82.15696{col 87}{space 3} 27.52135
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.905172{col 46}{space 2} 2.999711{col 57}{space 1}    0.97{col 66}{space 3}0.335{col 74}{space 4}-3.046906{col 87}{space 3}  8.85725
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.21158{col 46}{space 2} 74.30641{col 57}{space 1}   -0.23{col 66}{space 3}0.817{col 74}{space 4}-164.6516{col 87}{space 3} 130.2285
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. predict olsmodel3cresids, r
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. sktest olsmodel3cresids 
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel3c~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  115{col 28}0.0998{col 43}0.5621{col 53}     3.12{col 71}0.2106
{txt}
{com}. *
. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 96) = {res}     2.62
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0550
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-3L: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. regress electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & ryearfullresidsimrcook3c < 1

      {txt}Source {c |}       SS       df       MS              Number of obs ={res}     103
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           F( 15,    87) ={res}    4.02
    {txt}   Model {char |} {res} 12834.5611    15  855.637405           {txt}Prob > F      = {res} 0.0000
    {txt}Residual {char |} {res} 18520.1886    87  212.875731           {txt}R-squared     = {res} 0.4093
{txt}{hline 13}{char +}{hline 30}           Adj R-squared = {res} 0.3075
    {txt}   Total {char |} {res} 31354.7497   102  307.399507           {txt}Root MSE      = {res}  14.59

{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.380552{col 46}{space 2} 1.205018{col 57}{space 1}    3.64{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 1.985449{col 87}{space 3} 6.775654
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .068157{col 46}{space 2} .0434499{col 57}{space 1}    1.57{col 66}{space 3}0.120{col 74}{space 4}-.0182044{col 87}{space 3} .1545184
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.042307{col 46}{space 2} .0135912{col 57}{space 1}   -3.11{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4}-.0693211{col 87}{space 3} -.015293
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0696941{col 46}{space 2} .2298748{col 57}{space 1}   -0.30{col 66}{space 3}0.762{col 74}{space 4}-.5265952{col 87}{space 3} .3872069
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.6749963{col 46}{space 2}  .894819{col 57}{space 1}   -0.75{col 66}{space 3}0.453{col 74}{space 4}-2.453546{col 87}{space 3} 1.103553
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.15476{col 46}{space 2} 2.983421{col 57}{space 1}   -4.07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-18.08463{col 87}{space 3}-6.224886
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.222507{col 46}{space 2}  3.78886{col 57}{space 1}    1.64{col 66}{space 3}0.104{col 74}{space 4}-1.308261{col 87}{space 3} 13.75328
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-10.89294{col 46}{space 2} 6.535657{col 57}{space 1}   -1.67{col 66}{space 3}0.099{col 74}{space 4}-23.88326{col 87}{space 3}  2.09739
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.6739463{col 46}{space 2} 2.000701{col 57}{space 1}   -0.34{col 66}{space 3}0.737{col 74}{space 4}-4.650556{col 87}{space 3} 3.302663
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.9735646{col 46}{space 2} 3.236079{col 57}{space 1}   -0.30{col 66}{space 3}0.764{col 74}{space 4}-7.405623{col 87}{space 3} 5.458493
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0501858{col 46}{space 2} .1943521{col 57}{space 1}    0.26{col 66}{space 3}0.797{col 74}{space 4}  -.33611{col 87}{space 3} .4364816
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2002673{col 46}{space 2} .1555957{col 57}{space 1}    1.29{col 66}{space 3}0.201{col 74}{space 4}-.1089959{col 87}{space 3} .5095305
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 112.5588{col 46}{space 2} 65.49977{col 57}{space 1}    1.72{col 66}{space 3}0.089{col 74}{space 4}-17.62908{col 87}{space 3} 242.7467
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -38.4312{col 46}{space 2} 22.25771{col 57}{space 1}   -1.73{col 66}{space 3}0.088{col 74}{space 4}-82.67082{col 87}{space 3} 5.808417
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.976743{col 46}{space 2} 2.415273{col 57}{space 1}    1.65{col 66}{space 3}0.103{col 74}{space 4}-.8238734{col 87}{space 3} 8.777359
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-42.71664{col 46}{space 2} 59.66973{col 57}{space 1}   -0.72{col 66}{space 3}0.476{col 74}{space 4}-161.3167{col 87}{space 3}  75.8834
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{res}{txt}
{com}. 
. predict olsmodel3dresids, r
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. sktest olsmodel3dresids if ryearfullresidsimrcook3c < 1
{res}
{col 21}{txt}Skewness/Kurtosis tests for Normality
{col 58}{hline 7} joint {hline 6}
{col 5}Variable {c |}    Obs   Pr(Skewness)   Pr(Kurtosis)  adj chi2(2)    Prob>chi2
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 63}
olsmodel3d~s {c |}{res}{col 17}  103{col 28}0.1909{col 43}0.5633{col 53}     2.09{col 71}0.3508
{txt}
{com}. *
. estat ovtest

{txt}Ramsey RESET test using powers of the fitted values of electionresults
       Ho:  model has no omitted variables
                  F(3, 84) = {res}     4.66
                  {txt}Prob > F =      {res}0.0046
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.338245{col 26}{space 2} 1.195102{col 37}{space 1}    3.63{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 1.962849{col 67}{space 3}  6.71364
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.872867{col 26}{space 2} 1.091275{col 37}{space 1}    3.55{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} 1.703839{col 67}{space 3} 6.041895
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.365183{col 26}{space 2} .9914114{col 37}{space 1}    3.39{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} 1.394645{col 67}{space 3}  5.33572
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.857498{col 26}{space 2}  .910006{col 37}{space 1}    3.14{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} 1.048763{col 67}{space 3} 4.666234
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.349814{col 26}{space 2} .8523646{col 37}{space 1}    2.76{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4} .6556467{col 67}{space 3} 4.043981
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.842129{col 26}{space 2} .8234924{col 37}{space 1}    2.24{col 46}{space 3}0.028{col 54}{space 4} .2053488{col 67}{space 3} 3.478909
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.334445{col 26}{space 2} .8264103{col 37}{space 1}    1.61{col 46}{space 3}0.110{col 54}{space 4}-.3081354{col 67}{space 3} 2.977025
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8267601{col 26}{space 2} .8607951{col 37}{space 1}    0.96{col 46}{space 3}0.339{col 54}{space 4}-.8841634{col 67}{space 3} 2.537684
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3190756{col 26}{space 2} .9231373{col 37}{space 1}    0.35{col 46}{space 3}0.730{col 54}{space 4} -1.51576{col 67}{space 3} 2.153911
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1886089{col 26}{space 2} 1.008264{col 37}{space 1}   -0.19{col 46}{space 3}0.852{col 54}{space 4}-2.192643{col 67}{space 3} 1.815425
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.6962934{col 26}{space 2}  1.11095{col 37}{space 1}   -0.63{col 46}{space 3}0.532{col 54}{space 4}-2.904427{col 67}{space 3} 1.511841
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.203978{col 26}{space 2} 1.226794{col 37}{space 1}   -0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.329{col 54}{space 4}-3.642364{col 67}{space 3} 1.234409
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.711662{col 26}{space 2} 1.352419{col 37}{space 1}   -1.27{col 46}{space 3}0.209{col 54}{space 4}-4.399742{col 67}{space 3} .9764177
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [20TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 0.361%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*1 + picryearann*0.361*1 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + eddurmonths2 + .361{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 52.73021{col 26}{space 2} 3.488663{col 37}{space 1}   15.11{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 45.79611{col 67}{space 3}  59.6643
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*12 + picryearann*0.361*12 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 4.332{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 53.31193{col 26}{space 2} 3.208585{col 37}{space 1}   16.62{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 46.93452{col 67}{space 3} 59.68934
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*24 + picryearann*0.361*24 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 8.664{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 53.94654{col 26}{space 2} 2.950799{col 37}{space 1}   18.28{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 48.08151{col 67}{space 3} 59.81158
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*36 + picryearann*0.361*36 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 12.996{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 54.58115{col 26}{space 2} 2.756412{col 37}{space 1}   19.80{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.10248{col 67}{space 3} 60.05982
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*48 + picryearann*0.361*48 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 17.328{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 55.21576{col 26}{space 2} 2.639469{col 37}{space 1}   20.92{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.96953{col 67}{space 3} 60.46199
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*60 + picryearann*0.361*60 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 21.66{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 55.85037{col 26}{space 2}   2.6104{col 37}{space 1}   21.40{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.66192{col 67}{space 3} 61.03882
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*72 + picryearann*0.361*72 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 25.992{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 56.48498{col 26}{space 2} 2.672073{col 37}{space 1}   21.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.17395{col 67}{space 3} 61.79602
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*84 + picryearann*0.361*84 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 30.324{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 57.11959{col 26}{space 2} 2.818538{col 37}{space 1}   20.27{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.51744{col 67}{space 3} 62.72174
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*96 + picryearann*0.361*96 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 34.656{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  57.7542{col 26}{space 2} 3.037554{col 37}{space 1}   19.01{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.71673{col 67}{space 3} 63.79167
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*108 + picryearann*0.361*108 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 38.988{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.38881{col 26}{space 2} 3.314772{col 37}{space 1}   17.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.80034{col 67}{space 3} 64.97728
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*120 + picryearann*0.361*120 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 43.32{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.02342{col 26}{space 2} 3.636907{col 37}{space 1}   16.23{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.79467{col 67}{space 3} 66.25217
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*132 + picryearann*0.361*132 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 47.652{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.65803{col 26}{space 2} 3.993102{col 37}{space 1}   14.94{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.72131{col 67}{space 3} 67.59475
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*0.361 + eddurmonths2*144 + picryearann*0.361*144 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}.361{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 51.984{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.29264{col 26}{space 2} 4.375047{col 37}{space 1}   13.78{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.59676{col 67}{space 3} 68.98852
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. 
. 
. *
. *
. *
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [50TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 2.029%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*1 + picryearann*2.029*1 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + eddurmonths2 + 2.029{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  59.9664{col 26}{space 2} 2.823342{col 37}{space 1}   21.24{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  54.3547{col 67}{space 3}  65.5781
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*12 + picryearann*2.029*12 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 24.348{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.77188{col 26}{space 2} 2.583265{col 37}{space 1}   23.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 54.63736{col 67}{space 3} 64.90639
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*24 + picryearann*2.029*24 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 48.696{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.55967{col 26}{space 2} 2.366231{col 37}{space 1}   25.17{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 54.85653{col 67}{space 3} 64.26281
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*36 + picryearann*2.029*36 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 73.044{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.34746{col 26}{space 2}  2.20941{col 37}{space 1}   26.86{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 54.95602{col 67}{space 3}  63.7389
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*48 + picryearann*2.029*48 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 97.392{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 59.13525{col 26}{space 2} 2.126168{col 37}{space 1}   27.81{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 54.90926{col 67}{space 3} 63.36124
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*60 + picryearann*2.029*60 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 121.74{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.92304{col 26}{space 2} 2.125168{col 37}{space 1}   27.73{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 54.69904{col 67}{space 3} 63.14704
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*72 + picryearann*2.029*72 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 146.088{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.71084{col 26}{space 2} 2.206522{col 37}{space 1}   26.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 54.32513{col 67}{space 3} 63.09654
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*84 + picryearann*2.029*84 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 170.436{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.49863{col 26}{space 2} 2.361735{col 37}{space 1}   24.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 53.80442{col 67}{space 3} 63.19283
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*96 + picryearann*2.029*96 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 194.784{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.28642{col 26}{space 2} 2.577498{col 37}{space 1}   22.61{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 53.16336{col 67}{space 3} 63.40948
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*108 + picryearann*2.029*108 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 219.132{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.07421{col 26}{space 2} 2.840045{col 37}{space 1}   20.45{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 52.42931{col 67}{space 3} 63.71911
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*120 + picryearann*2.029*120 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 243.48{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   57.862{col 26}{space 2} 3.137653{col 37}{space 1}   18.44{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 51.62558{col 67}{space 3} 64.09843
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*132 + picryearann*2.029*132 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 267.828{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 57.64979{col 26}{space 2}  3.46129{col 37}{space 1}   16.66{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 50.77011{col 67}{space 3} 64.52948
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*2.029 + eddurmonths2*144 + picryearann*2.029*144 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}2.029{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 292.176{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 57.43759{col 26}{space 2} 3.804319{col 37}{space 1}   15.10{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 49.87609{col 67}{space 3} 64.99908
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. 
. *
. *
. *
. 
. 
. 
. *** EXPECTED ELECTORAL VOTE SHARE EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST [80TH PERCENTILE AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS = 4.006%] ***
. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*1 + picryearann*4.006*1 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + eddurmonths2 + 4.006{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 68.54311{col 26}{space 2} 3.645014{col 37}{space 1}   18.80{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 61.29825{col 67}{space 3} 75.78797
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*12 + picryearann*4.006*12 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 48.072{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 67.42853{col 26}{space 2} 3.310929{col 37}{space 1}   20.37{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  60.8477{col 67}{space 3} 74.00936
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*24 + picryearann*4.006*24 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 96.144{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 66.21263{col 26}{space 2} 2.999667{col 37}{space 1}   22.07{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 60.25047{col 67}{space 3}  72.1748
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*36 + picryearann*4.006*36 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 144.216{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 64.99673{col 26}{space 2} 2.762151{col 37}{space 1}   23.53{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 59.50666{col 67}{space 3} 70.48681
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*48 + picryearann*4.006*48 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 192.288{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 63.78083{col 26}{space 2} 2.618526{col 37}{space 1}   24.36{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 58.57623{col 67}{space 3} 68.98544
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*60 + picryearann*4.006*60 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 240.36{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 62.56493{col 26}{space 2} 2.584491{col 37}{space 1}   24.21{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 57.42798{col 67}{space 3} 67.70189
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*72 + picryearann*4.006*72 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 288.432{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 61.34903{col 26}{space 2} 2.664251{col 37}{space 1}   23.03{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 56.05354{col 67}{space 3} 66.64452
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*84 + picryearann*4.006*84 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 336.504{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 60.13313{col 26}{space 2} 2.848262{col 37}{space 1}   21.11{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  54.4719{col 67}{space 3} 65.79436
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*96 + picryearann*4.006*96 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 384.576{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 58.91723{col 26}{space 2}  3.11812{col 37}{space 1}   18.90{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 52.71963{col 67}{space 3} 65.11483
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*108 + picryearann*4.006*108 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 432.648{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 57.70133{col 26}{space 2} 3.453763{col 37}{space 1}   16.71{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  50.8366{col 67}{space 3} 64.56606
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*120 + picryearann*4.006*120 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 480.72{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 56.48543{col 26}{space 2} 3.837968{col 37}{space 1}   14.72{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 48.85705{col 67}{space 3} 64.11381
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*132 + picryearann*4.006*132 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 528.792{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 55.26953{col 26}{space 2}  4.25761{col 37}{space 1}   12.98{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 46.80707{col 67}{space 3} 63.73199
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom _cons + personalincomerecentyearann*4.006 + eddurmonths2*144 + picryearann*4.006*144 + lastelectionresults*59.02478 + personalincpctchangeelectquarter*2.125215 +  senateseat*0.6017699  + incumbparty*0.2035398 + incumbpartypicelectqtr*0.4828487 + incumbdeficit*0.4336283  + vapabschangelo*5.725454 + stateideolchangepartyadj*-7.499487  + imr4*2.673  + imr4sq*7.647 + imr4cubic*23.338 

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}4.006{res}*{res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}eddurmonths2 + 576.864{res}*{res}picryearann + 59.02478{res}*{res}lastelectionresults + 2.125215{res}*{res}personalincpctchangeelectquarter + .6017699{res}*{res}senateseat + .2035398{res}*{res}incumbparty + .4828487{res}*{res}incumbpartypicelectqtr + .4336283{res}*{res}incumbdeficit + 5.725454{res}*{res}vapabschangelo - 7.499487{res}*{res}stateideolchangepartyadj + 2.673{res}*{res}imr4 + 7.647{res}*{res}imr4sq + 23.338{res}*{res}imr4cubic + _cons = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 54.05363{col 26}{space 2} 4.703212{col 37}{space 1}   11.49{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 44.70549{col 67}{space 3} 63.40177
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
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. 
. 
. 
. ***** TABLE SI-4:  AGGREGATE MODELS ACCOUNTING FOR DIFFERENT ORDERS OF IMR COVARIATES TO ACCOUNT FOR SAMPLE SELECTION BIAS ******
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE OVERALL TENURE ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-4A: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA LINEAR INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.26549682
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.4465112

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.166884{col 46}{space 2} 2.426759{col 57}{space 1}    2.95{col 66}{space 3}0.004{col 74}{space 4} 2.352846{col 87}{space 3} 11.98092
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1115927{col 46}{space 2} .0622381{col 57}{space 1}    1.79{col 66}{space 3}0.076{col 74}{space 4} -.011871{col 87}{space 3} .2350564
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0912106{col 46}{space 2} .0396337{col 57}{space 1}   -2.30{col 66}{space 3}0.023{col 74}{space 4}-.1698332{col 87}{space 3}-.0125879
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0163487{col 46}{space 2} .2752241{col 57}{space 1}   -0.06{col 66}{space 3}0.953{col 74}{space 4}-.5623193{col 87}{space 3} .5296219
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5686275{col 46}{space 2} .8705154{col 57}{space 1}    0.65{col 66}{space 3}0.515{col 74}{space 4}-1.158241{col 87}{space 3} 2.295496
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-20.03551{col 46}{space 2} 5.388594{col 57}{space 1}   -3.72{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-30.72503{col 87}{space 3}-9.345993
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.5688166{col 46}{space 2} 4.181389{col 57}{space 1}   -0.14{col 66}{space 3}0.892{col 74}{space 4}-8.863568{col 87}{space 3} 7.725935
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.595768{col 46}{space 2} 7.263015{col 57}{space 1}   -1.18{col 66}{space 3}0.239{col 74}{space 4}-23.00364{col 87}{space 3}   5.8121
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0115726{col 46}{space 2} 3.234744{col 57}{space 1}   -0.00{col 66}{space 3}0.997{col 74}{space 4}-6.428434{col 87}{space 3} 6.405289
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.233021{col 46}{space 2} 5.415675{col 57}{space 1}   -1.34{col 66}{space 3}0.185{col 74}{space 4}-17.97626{col 87}{space 3} 3.510222
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0783457{col 46}{space 2} .2111928{col 57}{space 1}    0.37{col 66}{space 3}0.711{col 74}{space 4} -.340604{col 87}{space 3} .4972953
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .357364{col 46}{space 2} .1892524{col 57}{space 1}    1.89{col 66}{space 3}0.062{col 74}{space 4}-.0180619{col 87}{space 3} .7327898
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .8121947{col 46}{space 2} 2.742062{col 57}{space 1}    0.30{col 66}{space 3}0.768{col 74}{space 4}-4.627319{col 87}{space 3} 6.251708
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 61.15994{col 46}{space 2} 20.44414{col 57}{space 1}    2.99{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4} 20.60426{col 87}{space 3} 101.7156
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 8.424
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.015
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict tenurefullresidsimrlincooksi4a, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general tenurefullresidsimrlincooksi4a if tenurefullresidsimrlincooksi4a >= 1  & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   tenur~4a {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  1. {c |} {res}    20.8         42         0    1.39284 {txt}{c |}
  2. {c |} {res}    21.6         90         0   2.875601 {txt}{c |}
  3. {c |} {res}    39.5        138         0   1.028232 {txt}{c |}
  5. {c |} {res}       8         62         0   1.551597 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1    4.28183 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 16. {c |} {res}    54.7         22         1   1.029029 {txt}{c |}
 21. {c |} {res}    36.2         68         0   1.312082 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.971894 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   2.731282 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   2.586208 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 37. {c |} {res}    46.1         44         0    1.04202 {txt}{c |}
 38. {c |} {res}    25.7         42         0   1.291083 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   2.758063 {txt}{c |}
 51. {c |} {res}    24.3        140         0   1.232411 {txt}{c |}
 95. {c |} {res}    36.6         66         0   1.461271 {txt}{c |}
 96. {c |} {res}    40.8         67         0   1.169475 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
102. {c |} {res}    19.2         39         0   1.687979 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   8.432737 {txt}{c |}
119. {c |} {res}    39.3          1         1   1.023716 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-4B: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA LINEAR INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrlincooksi4a < 1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.53855028
{txt}Number of obs = {res}96
{txt}Objective function = {res}4.1062766

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 8.908693{col 46}{space 2} 1.493624{col 57}{space 1}    5.96{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 5.937399{col 87}{space 3} 11.87999
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1284056{col 46}{space 2} .0390784{col 57}{space 1}    3.29{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4} .0506663{col 87}{space 3}  .206145
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1043305{col 46}{space 2}  .025713{col 57}{space 1}   -4.06{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.1554819{col 87}{space 3}-.0531792
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0845492{col 46}{space 2}  .173382{col 57}{space 1}   -0.49{col 66}{space 3}0.627{col 74}{space 4}-.4294613{col 87}{space 3} .2603628
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6063847{col 46}{space 2} .6072131{col 57}{space 1}    1.00{col 66}{space 3}0.321{col 74}{space 4}-.6015556{col 87}{space 3} 1.814325
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-20.66888{col 46}{space 2} 3.241715{col 57}{space 1}   -6.38{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-27.11769{col 87}{space 3}-14.22008
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.007927{col 46}{space 2} 2.529397{col 57}{space 1}   -0.79{col 66}{space 3}0.430{col 74}{space 4}-7.039703{col 87}{space 3}  3.02385
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.622083{col 46}{space 2} 4.606191{col 57}{space 1}   -1.87{col 66}{space 3}0.065{col 74}{space 4}-17.78526{col 87}{space 3} .5410986
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1541128{col 46}{space 2} 1.878225{col 57}{space 1}    0.08{col 66}{space 3}0.935{col 74}{space 4}-3.582275{col 87}{space 3} 3.890501
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.910075{col 46}{space 2} 3.267159{col 57}{space 1}   -3.03{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4} -16.4095{col 87}{space 3}-3.410654
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0397758{col 46}{space 2} .1272471{col 57}{space 1}    0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.755{col 74}{space 4}-.2133592{col 87}{space 3} .2929108
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3533117{col 46}{space 2} .1074895{col 57}{space 1}    3.29{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4} .1394808{col 87}{space 3} .5671426
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.513588{col 46}{space 2} 1.795839{col 57}{space 1}    1.40{col 66}{space 3}0.165{col 74}{space 4}-1.058909{col 87}{space 3} 6.086084
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 61.12072{col 46}{space 2} 12.76421{col 57}{space 1}    4.79{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 35.72864{col 87}{space 3} 86.51281
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res}11.307
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.004
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-4C: UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA SQUARED INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.27694329
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.4014895

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.529427{col 46}{space 2} 2.408884{col 57}{space 1}    3.13{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4} 2.750271{col 87}{space 3} 12.30858
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1216045{col 46}{space 2} .0639475{col 57}{space 1}    1.90{col 66}{space 3}0.060{col 74}{space 4}-.0052654{col 87}{space 3} .2484745
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0989477{col 46}{space 2} .0417021{col 57}{space 1}   -2.37{col 66}{space 3}0.020{col 74}{space 4}-.1816835{col 87}{space 3} -.016212
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1092717{col 46}{space 2} .2992855{col 57}{space 1}   -0.37{col 66}{space 3}0.716{col 74}{space 4}-.7030457{col 87}{space 3} .4845022
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .9682103{col 46}{space 2} .9413729{col 57}{space 1}    1.03{col 66}{space 3}0.306{col 74}{space 4}-.8994467{col 87}{space 3} 2.835867
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.40187{col 46}{space 2} 6.194679{col 57}{space 1}   -3.13{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4}-31.69193{col 87}{space 3}  -7.1118
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  -.30622{col 46}{space 2} 4.278611{col 57}{space 1}   -0.07{col 66}{space 3}0.943{col 74}{space 4}-8.794863{col 87}{space 3} 8.182423
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.398103{col 46}{space 2} 7.344661{col 57}{space 1}   -1.01{col 66}{space 3}0.316{col 74}{space 4} -21.9697{col 87}{space 3} 7.173496
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0417843{col 46}{space 2} 3.011628{col 57}{space 1}    0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.989{col 74}{space 4}-5.933199{col 87}{space 3} 6.016768
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.803256{col 46}{space 2} 5.586485{col 57}{space 1}   -1.04{col 66}{space 3}0.301{col 74}{space 4}-16.88668{col 87}{space 3} 5.280172
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0772136{col 46}{space 2} .1965805{col 57}{space 1}    0.39{col 66}{space 3}0.695{col 74}{space 4}-.3127967{col 87}{space 3} .4672238
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3056469{col 46}{space 2} .1885453{col 57}{space 1}    1.62{col 66}{space 3}0.108{col 74}{space 4}-.0684216{col 87}{space 3} .6797153
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 12.69097{col 46}{space 2} 16.49204{col 57}{space 1}    0.77{col 66}{space 3}0.443{col 74}{space 4}-20.02877{col 87}{space 3} 45.41072
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.194183{col 46}{space 2} 3.067994{col 57}{space 1}   -0.72{col 66}{space 3}0.476{col 74}{space 4}-8.280996{col 87}{space 3}  3.89263
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 48.78477{col 46}{space 2} 26.35552{col 57}{space 1}    1.85{col 66}{space 3}0.067{col 74}{space 4}-3.503819{col 87}{space 3} 101.0734
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 8.438
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.015
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict tenurefullresidsimrsqcooksi4c, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general tenurefullresidsimrsqcooksi4c if tenurefullresidsimrsqcooksi4c >= 1  & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   tenur~4c {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  2. {c |} {res}    21.6         90         0   1.593519 {txt}{c |}
  5. {c |} {res}       8         62         0   1.624708 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   3.728449 {txt}{c |}
 21. {c |} {res}    36.2         68         0   1.445764 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.824818 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   2.058834 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   2.583006 {txt}{c |}
 37. {c |} {res}    46.1         44         0   1.016907 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0    2.57673 {txt}{c |}
 95. {c |} {res}    36.6         66         0   1.286194 {txt}{c |}
 96. {c |} {res}    40.8         67         0   1.023671 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1    7.44816 {txt}{c |}
119. {c |} {res}    39.3          1         1   1.228712 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-4D: RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA SQUARED INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrsqcooksi4c < 1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.42229762
{txt}Number of obs = {res}102
{txt}Objective function = {res}4.8323615

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 8.490419{col 46}{space 2} 1.607927{col 57}{space 1}    5.28{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 5.294491{col 87}{space 3} 11.68635
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .149347{col 46}{space 2}  .049047{col 57}{space 1}    3.04{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4} .0518608{col 87}{space 3} .2468332
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1106834{col 46}{space 2} .0333498{col 57}{space 1}   -3.32{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4}-.1769698{col 87}{space 3}-.0443971
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3042766{col 46}{space 2} .1998322{col 57}{space 1}   -1.52{col 66}{space 3}0.131{col 74}{space 4}-.7014647{col 87}{space 3} .0929115
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}   .81695{col 46}{space 2}  .830785{col 57}{space 1}    0.98{col 66}{space 3}0.328{col 74}{space 4}-.8343251{col 87}{space 3} 2.468225
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.96046{col 46}{space 2} 4.165831{col 57}{space 1}   -4.79{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} -28.2405{col 87}{space 3}-11.68042
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.524623{col 46}{space 2} 3.368026{col 57}{space 1}   -0.45{col 66}{space 3}0.652{col 74}{space 4}-8.218938{col 87}{space 3} 5.169692
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.208775{col 46}{space 2} 5.574079{col 57}{space 1}   -1.29{col 66}{space 3}0.199{col 74}{space 4}-18.28786{col 87}{space 3}  3.87031
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0182578{col 46}{space 2}  2.16781{col 57}{space 1}   -0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.993{col 74}{space 4}-4.327015{col 87}{space 3} 4.290499
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.522835{col 46}{space 2} 3.182204{col 57}{space 1}   -2.36{col 66}{space 3}0.020{col 74}{space 4}-13.84781{col 87}{space 3} -1.19786
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0256013{col 46}{space 2} .1504231{col 57}{space 1}    0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.865{col 74}{space 4} -.273381{col 87}{space 3} .3245835
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3956477{col 46}{space 2} .1261786{col 57}{space 1}    3.14{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4} .1448541{col 87}{space 3} .6464413
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 20.98598{col 46}{space 2} 12.37564{col 57}{space 1}    1.70{col 66}{space 3}0.094{col 74}{space 4}-3.611947{col 87}{space 3} 45.58392
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.441277{col 46}{space 2} 2.272167{col 57}{space 1}   -1.51{col 66}{space 3}0.134{col 74}{space 4}-7.957455{col 87}{space 3} 1.074902
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 49.17624{col 46}{space 2} 20.39561{col 57}{space 1}    2.41{col 66}{space 3}0.018{col 74}{space 4} 8.637759{col 87}{space 3} 89.71472
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 5.765
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.056
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE MOST RECENT TERM ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-4E UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA LINEAR INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.2307502
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.6716776

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.061442{col 46}{space 2} 2.604457{col 57}{space 1}    1.18{col 66}{space 3}0.243{col 74}{space 4}  -2.1051{col 87}{space 3} 8.227984
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0245224{col 46}{space 2} .1469784{col 57}{space 1}    0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.868{col 74}{space 4}-.2670433{col 87}{space 3} .3160881
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0338726{col 46}{space 2} .0420793{col 57}{space 1}   -0.80{col 66}{space 3}0.423{col 74}{space 4}-.1173466{col 87}{space 3} .0496014
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1125944{col 46}{space 2} .3712713{col 57}{space 1}   -0.30{col 66}{space 3}0.762{col 74}{space 4}-.8490967{col 87}{space 3} .6239079
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .929153{col 46}{space 2} .8107124{col 57}{space 1}    1.15{col 66}{space 3}0.254{col 74}{space 4}-.6790823{col 87}{space 3} 2.537388
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-18.00948{col 46}{space 2} 5.715531{col 57}{space 1}   -3.15{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4}-29.34756{col 87}{space 3}-6.671407
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .9903978{col 46}{space 2} 5.892467{col 57}{space 1}    0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.867{col 74}{space 4}-10.69867{col 87}{space 3} 12.67947
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.957358{col 46}{space 2} 8.819572{col 57}{space 1}   -1.02{col 66}{space 3}0.312{col 74}{space 4}-26.45302{col 87}{space 3}   8.5383
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2853394{col 46}{space 2} 3.651589{col 57}{space 1}    0.08{col 66}{space 3}0.938{col 74}{space 4}-6.958431{col 87}{space 3}  7.52911
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.629875{col 46}{space 2} 5.480321{col 57}{space 1}   -0.84{col 66}{space 3}0.400{col 74}{space 4}-15.50136{col 87}{space 3} 6.241608
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1089053{col 46}{space 2} .2645095{col 57}{space 1}    0.41{col 66}{space 3}0.681{col 74}{space 4}-.4158104{col 87}{space 3}  .633621
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3474763{col 46}{space 2} .2551872{col 57}{space 1}    1.36{col 66}{space 3}0.176{col 74}{space 4}-.1587465{col 87}{space 3}  .853699
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0617611{col 46}{space 2} 3.423567{col 57}{space 1}   -0.02{col 66}{space 3}0.986{col 74}{space 4}-6.853197{col 87}{space 3} 6.729675
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 71.47572{col 46}{space 2} 22.56909{col 57}{space 1}    3.17{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4} 26.70472{col 87}{space 3} 116.2467
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 8.924
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.012
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict rtermfullresidsimrlincooksi4e, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general rtermfullresidsimrlincooksi4e if rtermfullresidsimrlincooksi4e >= 1 & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   rterm~4e {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  1. {c |} {res}    20.8         42         0   1.051254 {txt}{c |}
  2. {c |} {res}    21.6         90         0   1.471798 {txt}{c |}
  5. {c |} {res}       8         62         0    1.44806 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   2.964075 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   2.041982 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   2.636758 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   1.957325 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   1.653259 {txt}{c |}
 71. {c |} {res}    95.9          1         0   1.122781 {txt}{c |}
 95. {c |} {res}    36.6         66         0   1.032242 {txt}{c |}
102. {c |} {res}    19.2         39         0   1.273515 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   7.224829 {txt}{c |}
118. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.529316 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-4F RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA LINEAR INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 if eddur2binary==1 & rtermfullresidsimrlincooksi4e < 1 

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.3445921
{txt}Number of obs = {res}102
{txt}Objective function = {res}4.961559

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.150315{col 46}{space 2}   2.2331{col 57}{space 1}    1.86{col 66}{space 3}0.066{col 74}{space 4}-.2875015{col 87}{space 3} 8.588132
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0956755{col 46}{space 2} .0720535{col 57}{space 1}    1.33{col 66}{space 3}0.188{col 74}{space 4}-.0475158{col 87}{space 3} .2388668
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0493017{col 46}{space 2}  .028909{col 57}{space 1}   -1.71{col 66}{space 3}0.092{col 74}{space 4}-.1067522{col 87}{space 3} .0081488
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2129636{col 46}{space 2} .2879615{col 57}{space 1}   -0.74{col 66}{space 3}0.462{col 74}{space 4}-.7852266{col 87}{space 3} .3592994
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.288215{col 46}{space 2} .7802077{col 57}{space 1}    1.65{col 66}{space 3}0.102{col 74}{space 4}-.2622844{col 87}{space 3} 2.838713
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  -16.018{col 46}{space 2} 4.840098{col 57}{space 1}   -3.31{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4}-25.63668{col 87}{space 3}-6.399323
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.950252{col 46}{space 2} 4.588023{col 57}{space 1}    0.43{col 66}{space 3}0.672{col 74}{space 4} -7.16748{col 87}{space 3} 11.06798
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-10.65535{col 46}{space 2} 9.159831{col 57}{space 1}   -1.16{col 66}{space 3}0.248{col 74}{space 4}-28.85859{col 87}{space 3} 7.547891
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.034982{col 46}{space 2}  3.23176{col 57}{space 1}    0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.750{col 74}{space 4}-5.387461{col 87}{space 3} 7.457425
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.182512{col 46}{space 2} 4.625814{col 57}{space 1}   -1.12{col 66}{space 3}0.266{col 74}{space 4}-14.37535{col 87}{space 3} 4.010321
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1199086{col 46}{space 2} .1990446{col 57}{space 1}    0.60{col 66}{space 3}0.548{col 74}{space 4}-.2756507{col 87}{space 3}  .515468
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3386604{col 46}{space 2} .1917118{col 57}{space 1}    1.77{col 66}{space 3}0.081{col 74}{space 4}-.0423265{col 87}{space 3} .7196473
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1036577{col 46}{space 2} 2.639874{col 57}{space 1}   -0.04{col 66}{space 3}0.969{col 74}{space 4}-5.349853{col 87}{space 3} 5.142538
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 71.12007{col 46}{space 2} 18.21949{col 57}{space 1}    3.90{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 34.91267{col 87}{space 3} 107.3275
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res}10.453
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.005
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-4G UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA SQUARED INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.23010812
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.6019981

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}   3.1038{col 46}{space 2} 2.764701{col 57}{space 1}    1.12{col 66}{space 3}0.264{col 74}{space 4}-2.381288{col 87}{space 3} 8.588887
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0383083{col 46}{space 2} .1521624{col 57}{space 1}    0.25{col 66}{space 3}0.802{col 74}{space 4}-.2635776{col 87}{space 3} .3401942
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0343138{col 46}{space 2} .0425267{col 57}{space 1}   -0.81{col 66}{space 3}0.422{col 74}{space 4}-.1186857{col 87}{space 3}  .050058
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1578202{col 46}{space 2} .4081081{col 57}{space 1}   -0.39{col 66}{space 3}0.700{col 74}{space 4} -.967495{col 87}{space 3} .6518546
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.342968{col 46}{space 2} 1.053078{col 57}{space 1}    1.28{col 66}{space 3}0.205{col 74}{space 4} -.746309{col 87}{space 3} 3.432246
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.36159{col 46}{space 2} 6.386336{col 57}{space 1}   -2.56{col 66}{space 3}0.012{col 74}{space 4} -29.0319{col 87}{space 3}-3.691278
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0062029{col 46}{space 2} 7.098518{col 57}{space 1}   -0.00{col 66}{space 3}0.999{col 74}{space 4}-14.08946{col 87}{space 3} 14.07705
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.671254{col 46}{space 2} 9.273343{col 57}{space 1}   -0.94{col 66}{space 3}0.352{col 74}{space 4} -27.0693{col 87}{space 3} 9.726795
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5918707{col 46}{space 2} 3.779921{col 57}{space 1}    0.16{col 66}{space 3}0.876{col 74}{space 4}-6.907386{col 87}{space 3} 8.091127
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.065748{col 46}{space 2} 5.921045{col 57}{space 1}   -0.69{col 66}{space 3}0.494{col 74}{space 4}-15.81293{col 87}{space 3} 7.681437
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0771818{col 46}{space 2} .2870983{col 57}{space 1}    0.27{col 66}{space 3}0.789{col 74}{space 4}-.4924132{col 87}{space 3} .6467767
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3036411{col 46}{space 2} .2594835{col 57}{space 1}    1.17{col 66}{space 3}0.245{col 74}{space 4}-.2111668{col 87}{space 3}  .818449
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  13.4398{col 46}{space 2} 22.33866{col 57}{space 1}    0.60{col 66}{space 3}0.549{col 74}{space 4}-30.87946{col 87}{space 3} 57.75906
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.476954{col 46}{space 2} 4.030705{col 57}{space 1}   -0.61{col 66}{space 3}0.540{col 74}{space 4}-10.47376{col 87}{space 3}  5.51985
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 54.74678{col 46}{space 2} 33.87693{col 57}{space 1}    1.62{col 66}{space 3}0.109{col 74}{space 4}-12.46408{col 87}{space 3} 121.9576
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res}12.720
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.002
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict rtermfullresidsimrsqcooksi4g, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general rtermfullresidsimrsqcooksi4g if rtermfullresidsimrsqcooksi4g >= 1 & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   rterm~4g {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  2. {c |} {res}    21.6         90         0   1.075882 {txt}{c |}
  5. {c |} {res}       8         62         0   1.316987 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1    2.20189 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.522859 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.731031 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0    1.99932 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   1.225936 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1    4.48383 {txt}{c |}
118. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.223316 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-4H RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA SQUARED INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq if eddur2binary==1 & rtermfullresidsimrsqcooksi4g < 1 

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.284232
{txt}Number of obs = {res}106
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.4068792

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.977326{col 46}{space 2} 2.502788{col 57}{space 1}    1.19{col 66}{space 3}0.237{col 74}{space 4}-1.994155{col 87}{space 3} 7.948807
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0612977{col 46}{space 2} .0779077{col 57}{space 1}    0.79{col 66}{space 3}0.433{col 74}{space 4}-.0934565{col 87}{space 3} .2160519
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0356916{col 46}{space 2} .0312743{col 57}{space 1}   -1.14{col 66}{space 3}0.257{col 74}{space 4}-.0978142{col 87}{space 3} .0264311
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1993698{col 46}{space 2} .3827128{col 57}{space 1}   -0.52{col 66}{space 3}0.604{col 74}{space 4}-.9595817{col 87}{space 3} .5608421
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.803243{col 46}{space 2} .9716027{col 57}{space 1}    1.86{col 66}{space 3}0.067{col 74}{space 4}-.1267262{col 87}{space 3} 3.733212
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.93624{col 46}{space 2}  5.94151{col 57}{space 1}   -2.51{col 66}{space 3}0.014{col 74}{space 4}-26.73832{col 87}{space 3}-3.134159
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2995837{col 46}{space 2} 4.919454{col 57}{space 1}    0.06{col 66}{space 3}0.952{col 74}{space 4}-9.472308{col 87}{space 3} 10.07148
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.575325{col 46}{space 2} 8.016092{col 57}{space 1}   -1.19{col 66}{space 3}0.235{col 74}{space 4}-25.49831{col 87}{space 3} 6.347656
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.016711{col 46}{space 2} 3.059904{col 57}{space 1}    0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.740{col 74}{space 4}-5.061412{col 87}{space 3} 7.094835
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.875777{col 46}{space 2} 5.296789{col 57}{space 1}   -0.73{col 66}{space 3}0.466{col 74}{space 4} -14.3972{col 87}{space 3} 6.645643
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0803275{col 46}{space 2} .2115652{col 57}{space 1}    0.38{col 66}{space 3}0.705{col 74}{space 4}-.3399209{col 87}{space 3} .5005759
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2368948{col 46}{space 2} .2129249{col 57}{space 1}    1.11{col 66}{space 3}0.269{col 74}{space 4}-.1860543{col 87}{space 3} .6598439
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 23.17807{col 46}{space 2} 20.36345{col 57}{space 1}    1.14{col 66}{space 3}0.258{col 74}{space 4}-17.27143{col 87}{space 3} 63.62757
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.223598{col 46}{space 2} 3.778549{col 57}{space 1}   -1.12{col 66}{space 3}0.267{col 74}{space 4}-11.72922{col 87}{space 3} 3.282025
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  41.4578{col 46}{space 2}  33.6575{col 57}{space 1}    1.23{col 66}{space 3}0.221{col 74}{space 4}-25.39869{col 87}{space 3} 108.3143
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res}11.349
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.003
{txt}
{com}. 
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. *** ESTIMATE MOST RECENT YEAR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
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. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
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. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-4I  UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA LINEAR INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.26084323
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.5465343

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.865048{col 46}{space 2} 1.501323{col 57}{space 1}    1.91{col 66}{space 3}0.059{col 74}{space 4}-.1131732{col 87}{space 3}  5.84327
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0261939{col 46}{space 2} .0470009{col 57}{space 1}    0.56{col 66}{space 3}0.579{col 74}{space 4}-.0670432{col 87}{space 3}  .119431
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0351245{col 46}{space 2} .0177961{col 57}{space 1}   -1.97{col 66}{space 3}0.051{col 74}{space 4}-.0704272{col 87}{space 3} .0001783
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2132592{col 46}{space 2} .3493074{col 57}{space 1}    0.61{col 66}{space 3}0.543{col 74}{space 4}-.4796727{col 87}{space 3} .9061911
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.133527{col 46}{space 2} .9949317{col 57}{space 1}   -0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.894{col 74}{space 4}-2.107204{col 87}{space 3}  1.84015
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.49167{col 46}{space 2} 6.170635{col 57}{space 1}   -2.83{col 66}{space 3}0.006{col 74}{space 4}-29.73255{col 87}{space 3}-5.250793
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.067331{col 46}{space 2} 4.947018{col 57}{space 1}   -0.22{col 66}{space 3}0.830{col 74}{space 4}-10.88088{col 87}{space 3} 8.746223
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-10.79564{col 46}{space 2} 8.309385{col 57}{space 1}   -1.30{col 66}{space 3}0.197{col 74}{space 4}-27.27922{col 87}{space 3} 5.687945
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.392235{col 46}{space 2} 3.440669{col 57}{space 1}   -0.11{col 66}{space 3}0.909{col 74}{space 4}-7.217597{col 87}{space 3} 6.433127
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.952375{col 46}{space 2} 5.038099{col 57}{space 1}   -1.18{col 66}{space 3}0.240{col 74}{space 4}-15.94661{col 87}{space 3} 4.041858
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0496176{col 46}{space 2}  .226525{col 57}{space 1}    0.22{col 66}{space 3}0.827{col 74}{space 4} -.399747{col 87}{space 3} .4989822
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3405095{col 46}{space 2} .2234542{col 57}{space 1}    1.52{col 66}{space 3}0.131{col 74}{space 4}-.1027635{col 87}{space 3} .7837825
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4380511{col 46}{space 2} 2.816732{col 57}{space 1}   -0.16{col 66}{space 3}0.877{col 74}{space 4}-6.025689{col 87}{space 3} 5.149587
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 57.78377{col 46}{space 2} 20.52975{col 57}{space 1}    2.81{col 66}{space 3}0.006{col 74}{space 4} 17.05827{col 87}{space 3} 98.50927
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 8.526
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.014
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict ryearfullresidsimrlincooksi4i, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general ryearfullresidsimrlincooksi4i if ryearfullresidsimrlincooksi4i >= 1 & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   ryear~4i {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  1. {c |} {res}    20.8         42         0   1.044607 {txt}{c |}
  2. {c |} {res}    21.6         90         0   1.409997 {txt}{c |}
  6. {c |} {res}    95.1         22         0   1.095667 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   1.699921 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.463481 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 25. {c |} {res}    29.7          1         1   1.363456 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   3.140535 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   2.090923 {txt}{c |}
 38. {c |} {res}    25.7         42         0   1.214243 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   1.007769 {txt}{c |}
 65. {c |} {res}    91.4         17         0   2.117526 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 95. {c |} {res}    36.6         66         0   1.285439 {txt}{c |}
 96. {c |} {res}    40.8         67         0   1.006403 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   5.997126 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-4J  RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA LINEAR INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4  if eddur2binary==1 & ryearfullresidsimrlincooksi4i < 1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.40042321
{txt}Number of obs = {res}101
{txt}Objective function = {res}4.8900793

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.157693{col 46}{space 2} 1.218548{col 57}{space 1}    2.59{col 66}{space 3}0.011{col 74}{space 4} .7356959{col 87}{space 3}  5.57969
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0320916{col 46}{space 2} .0339144{col 57}{space 1}    0.95{col 66}{space 3}0.347{col 74}{space 4} -.035317{col 87}{space 3} .0995002
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.036698{col 46}{space 2} .0137615{col 57}{space 1}   -2.67{col 66}{space 3}0.009{col 74}{space 4}-.0640504{col 87}{space 3}-.0093456
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1088847{col 46}{space 2} .2354707{col 57}{space 1}    0.46{col 66}{space 3}0.645{col 74}{space 4}-.3591387{col 87}{space 3} .5769081
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0226208{col 46}{space 2} .8775426{col 57}{space 1}    0.03{col 66}{space 3}0.979{col 74}{space 4} -1.72159{col 87}{space 3} 1.766832
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.62554{col 46}{space 2}  4.46994{col 57}{space 1}   -3.72{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-25.51003{col 87}{space 3}-7.741054
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.317417{col 46}{space 2} 3.806685{col 57}{space 1}   -0.61{col 66}{space 3}0.544{col 74}{space 4}-9.883616{col 87}{space 3} 5.248782
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -10.8156{col 46}{space 2}  5.96481{col 57}{space 1}   -1.81{col 66}{space 3}0.073{col 74}{space 4} -22.6713{col 87}{space 3} 1.040108
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.6017393{col 46}{space 2} 2.509068{col 57}{space 1}   -0.24{col 66}{space 3}0.811{col 74}{space 4}-5.588784{col 87}{space 3} 4.385306
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.057884{col 46}{space 2} 3.444681{col 57}{space 1}   -2.05{col 66}{space 3}0.043{col 74}{space 4}-13.90456{col 87}{space 3}-.2112078
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0215538{col 46}{space 2} .1621972{col 57}{space 1}    0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.895{col 74}{space 4}-.3008306{col 87}{space 3} .3439383
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4168146{col 46}{space 2} .1447074{col 57}{space 1}    2.88{col 66}{space 3}0.005{col 74}{space 4} .1291931{col 87}{space 3} .7044362
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6349084{col 46}{space 2} 2.196063{col 57}{space 1}    0.29{col 66}{space 3}0.773{col 74}{space 4}-3.730004{col 87}{space 3} 4.999821
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 61.77253{col 46}{space 2} 13.57422{col 57}{space 1}    4.55{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 34.79231{col 87}{space 3} 88.75275
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 4.120
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.127
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-4K  UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA SQUARED INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.26061861
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.4764381

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.902502{col 46}{space 2} 1.361562{col 57}{space 1}    2.13{col 66}{space 3}0.035{col 74}{space 4} .2012016{col 87}{space 3} 5.603802
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0329018{col 46}{space 2}  .045615{col 57}{space 1}    0.72{col 66}{space 3}0.472{col 74}{space 4} -.057597{col 87}{space 3} .1234006
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0358144{col 46}{space 2} .0162475{col 57}{space 1}   -2.20{col 66}{space 3}0.030{col 74}{space 4}-.0680489{col 87}{space 3}-.0035799
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0667067{col 46}{space 2} .3353634{col 57}{space 1}    0.20{col 66}{space 3}0.843{col 74}{space 4}-.5986447{col 87}{space 3} .7320581
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2609963{col 46}{space 2} 1.107353{col 57}{space 1}    0.24{col 66}{space 3}0.814{col 74}{space 4}-1.935961{col 87}{space 3} 2.457954
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.31177{col 46}{space 2}  6.05922{col 57}{space 1}   -2.86{col 66}{space 3}0.005{col 74}{space 4}-29.33309{col 87}{space 3}-5.290451
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.480064{col 46}{space 2} 4.491855{col 57}{space 1}   -0.55{col 66}{space 3}0.582{col 74}{space 4}-11.39178{col 87}{space 3} 6.431648
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-10.68683{col 46}{space 2} 7.664054{col 57}{space 1}   -1.39{col 66}{space 3}0.166{col 74}{space 4} -25.8921{col 87}{space 3} 4.518435
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.414426{col 46}{space 2}  3.24744{col 57}{space 1}   -0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.899{col 74}{space 4}-6.857255{col 87}{space 3} 6.028403
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -5.18982{col 46}{space 2}  4.89602{col 57}{space 1}   -1.06{col 66}{space 3}0.292{col 74}{space 4}-14.90338{col 87}{space 3} 4.523744
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0194744{col 46}{space 2} .2068724{col 57}{space 1}    0.09{col 66}{space 3}0.925{col 74}{space 4}-.3909546{col 87}{space 3} .4299033
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .321662{col 46}{space 2} .2023903{col 57}{space 1}    1.59{col 66}{space 3}0.115{col 74}{space 4}-.0798746{col 87}{space 3} .7231986
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 15.75508{col 46}{space 2} 19.03387{col 57}{space 1}    0.83{col 66}{space 3}0.410{col 74}{space 4}-22.00756{col 87}{space 3} 53.51773
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -2.87614{col 46}{space 2} 3.465133{col 57}{space 1}   -0.83{col 66}{space 3}0.409{col 74}{space 4}-9.750866{col 87}{space 3} 3.998585
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 45.18729{col 46}{space 2} 26.91189{col 57}{space 1}    1.68{col 66}{space 3}0.096{col 74}{space 4}-8.205144{col 87}{space 3} 98.57972
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res}11.532
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.003
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict ryearfullresidsimrsqcooksi4k, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general ryearfullresidsimrsqcooksi4k if ryearfullresidsimrsqcooksi4k >= 1 & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   ryear~4k {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  2. {c |} {res}    21.6         90         0   1.317736 {txt}{c |}
  6. {c |} {res}    95.1         22         0    1.27757 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   1.739612 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0    2.06588 {txt}{c |}
 25. {c |} {res}    29.7          1         1   1.432665 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   2.696824 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   2.753257 {txt}{c |}
 38. {c |} {res}    25.7         42         0   1.066782 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 65. {c |} {res}    91.4         17         0   1.617231 {txt}{c |}
 95. {c |} {res}    36.6         66         0   1.312346 {txt}{c |}
 96. {c |} {res}    40.8         67         0   1.034707 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1    6.44873 {txt}{c |}
118. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.156087 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-4L  RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA SQUARED INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq if eddur2binary==1 & ryearfullresidsimrsqcooksi4k < 1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.40447016
{txt}Number of obs = {res}102
{txt}Objective function = {res}4.9220158

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.149263{col 46}{space 2} 2.260505{col 57}{space 1}    1.39{col 66}{space 3}0.167{col 74}{space 4}-1.343735{col 87}{space 3} 7.642262
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0483055{col 46}{space 2} .0709213{col 57}{space 1}    0.68{col 66}{space 3}0.498{col 74}{space 4}-.0926583{col 87}{space 3} .1892694
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0326553{col 46}{space 2} .0234139{col 57}{space 1}   -1.39{col 66}{space 3}0.167{col 74}{space 4}-.0791929{col 87}{space 3} .0138822
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1304498{col 46}{space 2} .4446874{col 57}{space 1}   -0.29{col 66}{space 3}0.770{col 74}{space 4}-1.014314{col 87}{space 3} .7534146
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6380926{col 46}{space 2} 1.644506{col 57}{space 1}    0.39{col 66}{space 3}0.699{col 74}{space 4}-2.630541{col 87}{space 3} 3.906726
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.41649{col 46}{space 2} 5.606797{col 57}{space 1}   -2.57{col 66}{space 3}0.012{col 74}{space 4}-25.56061{col 87}{space 3}-3.272377
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.560383{col 46}{space 2} 7.476613{col 57}{space 1}   -0.34{col 66}{space 3}0.733{col 74}{space 4}-17.42096{col 87}{space 3}  12.3002
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.623054{col 46}{space 2} 11.94905{col 57}{space 1}   -0.72{col 66}{space 3}0.472{col 74}{space 4}-32.37309{col 87}{space 3} 15.12698
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3268121{col 46}{space 2} 3.486467{col 57}{space 1}   -0.09{col 66}{space 3}0.926{col 74}{space 4}-7.256543{col 87}{space 3} 6.602919
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.895641{col 46}{space 2} 6.229147{col 57}{space 1}   -0.63{col 66}{space 3}0.533{col 74}{space 4}-16.27674{col 87}{space 3} 8.485463
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0024338{col 46}{space 2}  .311793{col 57}{space 1}   -0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.994{col 74}{space 4}-.6221562{col 87}{space 3} .6172885
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3855235{col 46}{space 2}  .305844{col 57}{space 1}    1.26{col 66}{space 3}0.211{col 74}{space 4}-.2223745{col 87}{space 3} .9934215
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 21.76008{col 46}{space 2} 26.17885{col 57}{space 1}    0.83{col 66}{space 3}0.408{col 74}{space 4}-30.27322{col 87}{space 3} 73.79337
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.819104{col 46}{space 2} 4.434101{col 57}{space 1}   -0.86{col 66}{space 3}0.391{col 74}{space 4}-12.63236{col 87}{space 3} 4.994152
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 42.73062{col 46}{space 2} 37.52829{col 57}{space 1}    1.14{col 66}{space 3}0.258{col 74}{space 4}-31.86092{col 87}{space 3} 117.3222
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 9.502
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.009
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ***** TABLE SI-5:  DISAGGREGATE MODELS BROKEN DOWN BY GENERAL VERSUS PRIMARY ELECTION CONTEST OBSERVATIONS ******
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** MODEL SI-5:A  GENERAL ELECTION CONTEST SUBSAMPLE [WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & general==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.21576113
{txt}Number of obs = {res}54
{txt}Objective function = {res}3.3511328

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.980243{col 46}{space 2}  2.97258{col 57}{space 1}    1.68{col 66}{space 3}0.101{col 74}{space 4}-1.018666{col 87}{space 3} 10.97915
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0979703{col 46}{space 2} .0521922{col 57}{space 1}    1.88{col 66}{space 3}0.067{col 74}{space 4}-.0073578{col 87}{space 3} .2032984
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0532594{col 46}{space 2}  .035184{col 57}{space 1}   -1.51{col 66}{space 3}0.138{col 74}{space 4}-.1242637{col 87}{space 3} .0177448
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .118756{col 46}{space 2} .3287145{col 57}{space 1}    0.36{col 66}{space 3}0.720{col 74}{space 4}-.5446168{col 87}{space 3} .7821289
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2450342{col 46}{space 2} 1.070914{col 57}{space 1}   -0.23{col 66}{space 3}0.820{col 74}{space 4}-2.406226{col 87}{space 3} 1.916158
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  -3.1373{col 46}{space 2} 6.183399{col 57}{space 1}   -0.51{col 66}{space 3}0.615{col 74}{space 4} -15.6159{col 87}{space 3} 9.341304
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.466054{col 46}{space 2} 11.90742{col 57}{space 1}   -0.21{col 66}{space 3}0.837{col 74}{space 4}-26.49619{col 87}{space 3} 21.56408
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}   2.4415{col 46}{space 2} 3.795557{col 57}{space 1}    0.64{col 66}{space 3}0.524{col 74}{space 4}-5.218243{col 87}{space 3} 10.10124
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.482077{col 46}{space 2} 4.890344{col 57}{space 1}   -1.53{col 66}{space 3}0.134{col 74}{space 4}-17.35119{col 87}{space 3} 2.387037
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0941249{col 46}{space 2} .2018729{col 57}{space 1}   -0.47{col 66}{space 3}0.643{col 74}{space 4} -.501521{col 87}{space 3} .3132712
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3310295{col 46}{space 2} .2175997{col 57}{space 1}    1.52{col 66}{space 3}0.136{col 74}{space 4}-.1081046{col 87}{space 3} .7701635
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 39.29807{col 46}{space 2} 19.38098{col 57}{space 1}    2.03{col 66}{space 3}0.049{col 74}{space 4} .1856636{col 87}{space 3} 78.41049
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 1.312
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.519
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-5B  PRIMARY ELECTION CONTEST SUBSAMPLE [WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & general==0, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.34196782
{txt}Number of obs = {res}61
{txt}Objective function = {res}7.4104786

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.510251{col 46}{space 2} 6.241355{col 57}{space 1}    0.56{col 66}{space 3}0.576{col 74}{space 4}-9.032221{col 87}{space 3} 16.05272
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1000405{col 46}{space 2} .1547823{col 57}{space 1}   -0.65{col 66}{space 3}0.521{col 74}{space 4}-.4110872{col 87}{space 3} .2110063
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0116456{col 46}{space 2} .0809656{col 57}{space 1}   -0.14{col 66}{space 3}0.886{col 74}{space 4}-.1743521{col 87}{space 3} .1510609
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1818273{col 46}{space 2} .5820026{col 57}{space 1}   -0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.756{col 74}{space 4}-1.351405{col 87}{space 3} .9877506
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.322314{col 46}{space 2} 2.368511{col 57}{space 1}   -0.56{col 66}{space 3}0.579{col 74}{space 4}-6.082016{col 87}{space 3} 3.437388
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 20.66707{col 46}{space 2} 10.39178{col 57}{space 1}    1.99{col 66}{space 3}0.052{col 74}{space 4}-.2160026{col 87}{space 3} 41.55013
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-32.20906{col 46}{space 2} 17.80098{col 57}{space 1}   -1.81{col 66}{space 3}0.077{col 74}{space 4}-67.98148{col 87}{space 3}  3.56335
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.7121027{col 46}{space 2} 4.612038{col 57}{space 1}   -0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.878{col 74}{space 4} -9.98034{col 87}{space 3} 8.556135
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.888941{col 46}{space 2} 8.549396{col 57}{space 1}   -0.57{col 66}{space 3}0.570{col 74}{space 4} -22.0696{col 87}{space 3} 12.29171
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .166403{col 46}{space 2} .3022241{col 57}{space 1}    0.55{col 66}{space 3}0.584{col 74}{space 4}-.4409389{col 87}{space 3}  .773745
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2853799{col 46}{space 2} .4193597{col 57}{space 1}    0.68{col 66}{space 3}0.499{col 74}{space 4} -.557355{col 87}{space 3} 1.128115
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 74.22477{col 46}{space 2} 35.60978{col 57}{space 1}    2.08{col 66}{space 3}0.042{col 74}{space 4} 2.664232{col 87}{space 3} 145.7853
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 2.236
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.327
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-5C GENERAL ELECTION CONTEST SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & general==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.19662241
{txt}Number of obs = {res}54
{txt}Objective function = {res}3.2816116

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.150353{col 46}{space 2} 10.83673{col 57}{space 1}    0.57{col 66}{space 3}0.574{col 74}{space 4}  -15.769{col 87}{space 3} 28.06971
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1102957{col 46}{space 2} .2441673{col 57}{space 1}    0.45{col 66}{space 3}0.654{col 74}{space 4}-.3835793{col 87}{space 3} .6041708
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.060774{col 46}{space 2} .1384211{col 57}{space 1}   -0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.663{col 74}{space 4} -.340757{col 87}{space 3} .2192091
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0134396{col 46}{space 2} 1.292468{col 57}{space 1}    0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.992{col 74}{space 4}-2.600825{col 87}{space 3} 2.627704
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2287788{col 46}{space 2} 4.142932{col 57}{space 1}    0.06{col 66}{space 3}0.956{col 74}{space 4}-8.151093{col 87}{space 3} 8.608651
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.123574{col 46}{space 2}  21.2786{col 57}{space 1}   -0.19{col 66}{space 3}0.847{col 74}{space 4}-47.16361{col 87}{space 3} 38.91646
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.302292{col 46}{space 2} 43.02503{col 57}{space 1}   -0.03{col 66}{space 3}0.976{col 74}{space 4}-88.32862{col 87}{space 3} 85.72404
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.367567{col 46}{space 2} 14.05415{col 57}{space 1}    0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.867{col 74}{space 4}-26.05963{col 87}{space 3} 30.79477
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.429153{col 46}{space 2} 17.97932{col 57}{space 1}   -0.47{col 66}{space 3}0.642{col 74}{space 4}-44.79576{col 87}{space 3} 27.93745
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1226872{col 46}{space 2}   .73255{col 57}{space 1}   -0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.868{col 74}{space 4}-1.604409{col 87}{space 3} 1.359035
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3322533{col 46}{space 2} .7537774{col 57}{space 1}    0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.662{col 74}{space 4}-1.192405{col 87}{space 3} 1.856912
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.698024{col 46}{space 2} 329.7175{col 57}{space 1}   -0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.991{col 74}{space 4}-670.6146{col 87}{space 3} 663.2186
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.773252{col 46}{space 2} 108.2206{col 57}{space 1}    0.03{col 66}{space 3}0.980{col 74}{space 4}-216.1236{col 87}{space 3} 221.6701
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4352244{col 46}{space 2} 11.09348{col 57}{space 1}   -0.04{col 66}{space 3}0.969{col 74}{space 4} -22.8739{col 87}{space 3} 22.00345
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 42.47118{col 46}{space 2} 288.9854{col 57}{space 1}    0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.884{col 74}{space 4} -542.057{col 87}{space 3} 626.9993
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 1.022
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.600
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.089579{col 26}{space 2} 10.73831{col 37}{space 1}    0.57{col 46}{space 3}0.574{col 54}{space 4}-15.63069{col 67}{space 3} 27.80985
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.421065{col 26}{space 2} 9.720175{col 37}{space 1}    0.56{col 46}{space 3}0.580{col 54}{space 4}-14.23984{col 67}{space 3} 25.08197
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.691778{col 26}{space 2} 8.777646{col 37}{space 1}    0.53{col 46}{space 3}0.596{col 54}{space 4}-13.06269{col 67}{space 3} 22.44624
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  3.96249{col 26}{space 2} 8.070349{col 37}{space 1}    0.49{col 46}{space 3}0.626{col 54}{space 4}-12.36133{col 67}{space 3} 20.28631
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.233203{col 26}{space 2} 7.663693{col 37}{space 1}    0.42{col 46}{space 3}0.675{col 54}{space 4}-12.26808{col 67}{space 3} 18.73449
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.503915{col 26}{space 2} 7.606053{col 37}{space 1}    0.33{col 46}{space 3}0.744{col 54}{space 4}-12.88078{col 67}{space 3} 17.88861
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.774628{col 26}{space 2} 7.905067{col 37}{space 1}    0.22{col 46}{space 3}0.824{col 54}{space 4}-14.21488{col 67}{space 3} 17.76413
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.045341{col 26}{space 2} 8.523281{col 37}{space 1}    0.12{col 46}{space 3}0.903{col 54}{space 4}-16.19462{col 67}{space 3}  18.2853
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3160531{col 26}{space 2} 9.397911{col 37}{space 1}    0.03{col 46}{space 3}0.973{col 54}{space 4}-18.69302{col 67}{space 3} 19.32512
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4132344{col 26}{space 2} 10.46486{col 37}{space 1}   -0.04{col 46}{space 3}0.969{col 54}{space 4}-21.58042{col 67}{space 3} 20.75395
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.142522{col 26}{space 2} 11.67151{col 37}{space 1}   -0.10{col 46}{space 3}0.923{col 54}{space 4}-24.75038{col 67}{space 3} 22.46534
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.871809{col 26}{space 2} 12.97895{col 37}{space 1}   -0.14{col 46}{space 3}0.886{col 54}{space 4}-28.12422{col 67}{space 3}  24.3806
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.601097{col 26}{space 2} 14.35968{col 37}{space 1}   -0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.857{col 54}{space 4}-31.64629{col 67}{space 3} 26.44409
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-5D  PRIMARY ELECTION CONTEST SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & general==0, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.39964141
{txt}Number of obs = {res}61
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.9263916

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 10.92175{col 46}{space 2}  9.30816{col 57}{space 1}    1.17{col 66}{space 3}0.247{col 74}{space 4}-7.814607{col 87}{space 3}  29.6581
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .142405{col 46}{space 2} .2898252{col 57}{space 1}    0.49{col 66}{space 3}0.626{col 74}{space 4}-.4409829{col 87}{space 3} .7257928
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1411222{col 46}{space 2} .1441865{col 57}{space 1}   -0.98{col 66}{space 3}0.333{col 74}{space 4}-.4313546{col 87}{space 3} .1491103
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1805662{col 46}{space 2} .9844913{col 57}{space 1}   -0.18{col 66}{space 3}0.855{col 74}{space 4}-2.162244{col 87}{space 3} 1.801112
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.974944{col 46}{space 2} 4.453589{col 57}{space 1}   -0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.660{col 74}{space 4}-10.93955{col 87}{space 3} 6.989665
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 13.84252{col 46}{space 2} 15.41241{col 57}{space 1}    0.90{col 66}{space 3}0.374{col 74}{space 4}-17.18105{col 87}{space 3} 44.86609
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.303393{col 46}{space 2}  28.8215{col 57}{space 1}   -0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.748{col 74}{space 4}-67.31806{col 87}{space 3} 48.71127
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.8641729{col 46}{space 2}  7.51296{col 57}{space 1}   -0.12{col 66}{space 3}0.909{col 74}{space 4}-15.98698{col 87}{space 3} 14.25863
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.055934{col 46}{space 2} 13.67989{col 57}{space 1}    0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.881{col 74}{space 4}-25.48025{col 87}{space 3} 29.59212
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1592391{col 46}{space 2} .5123634{col 57}{space 1}   -0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.757{col 74}{space 4}-1.190573{col 87}{space 3} .8720949
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3374197{col 46}{space 2} .6881383{col 57}{space 1}    0.49{col 66}{space 3}0.626{col 74}{space 4}-1.047731{col 87}{space 3}  1.72257
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 322.5867{col 46}{space 2} 253.7462{col 57}{space 1}    1.27{col 66}{space 3}0.210{col 74}{space 4}-188.1778{col 87}{space 3} 833.3512
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-112.7425{col 46}{space 2} 83.89205{col 57}{space 1}   -1.34{col 66}{space 3}0.186{col 74}{space 4}-281.6084{col 87}{space 3} 56.12344
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 12.16266{col 46}{space 2} 8.774243{col 57}{space 1}    1.39{col 66}{space 3}0.172{col 74}{space 4}-5.498973{col 87}{space 3}  29.8243
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-222.6017{col 46}{space 2} 242.4219{col 57}{space 1}   -0.92{col 66}{space 3}0.363{col 74}{space 4}-710.5715{col 87}{space 3} 265.3682
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 1.187
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.552
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-5E  GENERAL ELECTION CONTEST SUBSAMPLE [WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann  eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj   if eddur2binary==1 & general==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.16854823
{txt}Number of obs = {res}54
{txt}Objective function = {res}3.3932975

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  1.64099{col 46}{space 2} 4.272862{col 57}{space 1}    0.38{col 66}{space 3}0.703{col 74}{space 4}-6.981996{col 87}{space 3} 10.26398
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0322346{col 46}{space 2} .1506227{col 57}{space 1}    0.21{col 66}{space 3}0.832{col 74}{space 4}-.2717343{col 87}{space 3} .3362034
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0046288{col 46}{space 2} .0545559{col 57}{space 1}   -0.08{col 66}{space 3}0.933{col 74}{space 4} -.114727{col 87}{space 3} .1054694
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1192366{col 46}{space 2} .7147868{col 57}{space 1}    0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.868{col 74}{space 4}-1.323262{col 87}{space 3} 1.561735
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1180538{col 46}{space 2} 2.043499{col 57}{space 1}    0.06{col 66}{space 3}0.954{col 74}{space 4}-4.005894{col 87}{space 3} 4.242002
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3980337{col 46}{space 2} 12.40708{col 57}{space 1}   -0.03{col 66}{space 3}0.975{col 74}{space 4}-25.43654{col 87}{space 3} 24.64048
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.756741{col 46}{space 2} 22.16829{col 57}{space 1}   -0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.695{col 74}{space 4}-53.49416{col 87}{space 3} 35.98068
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.425937{col 46}{space 2}  6.98336{col 57}{space 1}    0.35{col 66}{space 3}0.730{col 74}{space 4}-11.66705{col 87}{space 3} 16.51893
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.333413{col 46}{space 2} 9.615719{col 57}{space 1}   -0.45{col 66}{space 3}0.655{col 74}{space 4}-23.73872{col 87}{space 3} 15.07189
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0260201{col 46}{space 2} .3922205{col 57}{space 1}   -0.07{col 66}{space 3}0.947{col 74}{space 4}-.8175531{col 87}{space 3} .7655129
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3446188{col 46}{space 2} .4444151{col 57}{space 1}    0.78{col 66}{space 3}0.442{col 74}{space 4}-.5522472{col 87}{space 3} 1.241485
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 42.57801{col 46}{space 2} 41.33938{col 57}{space 1}    1.03{col 66}{space 3}0.309{col 74}{space 4}-40.84823{col 87}{space 3} 126.0043
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 0.001
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 1.000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-5F  PRIMARY ELECTION CONTEST SUBSAMPLE [WIHTOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann  eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & general==0

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.34138118
{txt}Number of obs = {res}61
{txt}Objective function = {res}7.1373216

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.479285{col 46}{space 2} 3.973435{col 57}{space 1}    0.37{col 66}{space 3}0.711{col 74}{space 4}-6.505631{col 87}{space 3} 9.464202
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1576162{col 46}{space 2} .1342723{col 57}{space 1}   -1.17{col 66}{space 3}0.246{col 74}{space 4}-.4274466{col 87}{space 3} .1122141
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0278588{col 46}{space 2} .0445467{col 57}{space 1}    0.63{col 66}{space 3}0.535{col 74}{space 4}-.0616612{col 87}{space 3} .1173788
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2401288{col 46}{space 2} .7321808{col 57}{space 1}   -0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.744{col 74}{space 4}-1.711501{col 87}{space 3} 1.231244
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.373988{col 46}{space 2} 2.276187{col 57}{space 1}   -0.60{col 66}{space 3}0.549{col 74}{space 4}-5.948157{col 87}{space 3} 3.200181
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 17.08175{col 46}{space 2} 10.25232{col 57}{space 1}    1.67{col 66}{space 3}0.102{col 74}{space 4}-3.521059{col 87}{space 3} 37.68456
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-41.17814{col 46}{space 2} 14.40055{col 57}{space 1}   -2.86{col 66}{space 3}0.006{col 74}{space 4}-70.11713{col 87}{space 3}-12.23916
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  1.38297{col 46}{space 2} 4.279338{col 57}{space 1}    0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.748{col 74}{space 4}-7.216681{col 87}{space 3} 9.982622
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -3.43784{col 46}{space 2} 8.995085{col 57}{space 1}   -0.38{col 66}{space 3}0.704{col 74}{space 4}-21.51414{col 87}{space 3} 14.63846
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1681763{col 46}{space 2} .2524739{col 57}{space 1}    0.67{col 66}{space 3}0.508{col 74}{space 4}-.3391891{col 87}{space 3} .6755416
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .689795{col 46}{space 2} .4429408{col 57}{space 1}    1.56{col 66}{space 3}0.126{col 74}{space 4}-.2003279{col 87}{space 3} 1.579918
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  85.3265{col 46}{space 2} 43.51928{col 57}{space 1}    1.96{col 66}{space 3}0.056{col 74}{space 4}-2.128766{col 87}{space 3} 172.7818
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 6.357
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.042
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-5G GENERAL ELECTION CONTEST SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann  eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & general==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.17541799
{txt}Number of obs = {res}54
{txt}Objective function = {res}3.2731154

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  2.26619{col 46}{space 2} 6.308484{col 57}{space 1}    0.36{col 66}{space 3}0.721{col 74}{space 4}-10.49392{col 87}{space 3}  15.0263
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0650485{col 46}{space 2} .2170667{col 57}{space 1}    0.30{col 66}{space 3}0.766{col 74}{space 4}-.3740104{col 87}{space 3} .5041073
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0217644{col 46}{space 2} .0872233{col 57}{space 1}   -0.25{col 66}{space 3}0.804{col 74}{space 4}-.1981902{col 87}{space 3} .1546613
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1949085{col 46}{space 2} 1.029413{col 57}{space 1}    0.19{col 66}{space 3}0.851{col 74}{space 4}-1.887276{col 87}{space 3} 2.277094
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0117372{col 46}{space 2} 3.232342{col 57}{space 1}    0.00{col 66}{space 3}0.997{col 74}{space 4}-6.526291{col 87}{space 3} 6.549766
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.880519{col 46}{space 2} 18.49006{col 57}{space 1}   -0.21{col 66}{space 3}0.835{col 74}{space 4}-41.28019{col 87}{space 3} 33.51915
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-10.61013{col 46}{space 2} 32.64981{col 57}{space 1}   -0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.747{col 74}{space 4} -76.6506{col 87}{space 3} 55.43035
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.468916{col 46}{space 2} 10.59745{col 57}{space 1}    0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.745{col 74}{space 4}-17.96645{col 87}{space 3} 24.90428
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.453766{col 46}{space 2} 14.46063{col 57}{space 1}   -0.58{col 66}{space 3}0.562{col 74}{space 4}-37.70315{col 87}{space 3} 20.79561
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0456104{col 46}{space 2} .6060844{col 57}{space 1}   -0.08{col 66}{space 3}0.940{col 74}{space 4}-1.271532{col 87}{space 3} 1.180311
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4503619{col 46}{space 2} .6507506{col 57}{space 1}    0.69{col 66}{space 3}0.493{col 74}{space 4}-.8659055{col 87}{space 3} 1.766629
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-64.96793{col 46}{space 2}  260.936{col 57}{space 1}   -0.25{col 66}{space 3}0.805{col 74}{space 4}-592.7608{col 87}{space 3}  462.825
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 23.38828{col 46}{space 2} 86.37044{col 57}{space 1}    0.27{col 66}{space 3}0.788{col 74}{space 4}-151.3124{col 87}{space 3}  198.089
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.615363{col 46}{space 2} 8.929582{col 57}{space 1}   -0.29{col 66}{space 3}0.771{col 74}{space 4}-20.67715{col 87}{space 3} 15.44642
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 97.09708{col 46}{space 2} 241.9007{col 57}{space 1}    0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.690{col 74}{space 4}-392.1932{col 87}{space 3} 586.3874
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 0.058
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.971
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-5H PRIMARY ELECTION CONTEST SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann  eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & general==0

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.33972508
{txt}Number of obs = {res}61
{txt}Objective function = {res}7.0430386

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.138091{col 46}{space 2} 4.753422{col 57}{space 1}    0.45{col 66}{space 3}0.655{col 74}{space 4}-7.430051{col 87}{space 3} 11.70623
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1565676{col 46}{space 2} .1861369{col 57}{space 1}   -0.84{col 66}{space 3}0.405{col 74}{space 4}-.5312417{col 87}{space 3} .2181064
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0232971{col 46}{space 2}  .053587{col 57}{space 1}    0.43{col 66}{space 3}0.666{col 74}{space 4}-.0845678{col 87}{space 3}  .131162
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2631259{col 46}{space 2} .8424009{col 57}{space 1}   -0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.756{col 74}{space 4}-1.958791{col 87}{space 3} 1.432539
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.156037{col 46}{space 2} 2.736043{col 57}{space 1}   -0.42{col 66}{space 3}0.675{col 74}{space 4}-6.663406{col 87}{space 3} 4.351333
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 12.77762{col 46}{space 2}  12.6641{col 57}{space 1}    1.01{col 66}{space 3}0.318{col 74}{space 4}-12.71389{col 87}{space 3} 38.26912
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-38.39845{col 46}{space 2} 23.14155{col 57}{space 1}   -1.66{col 66}{space 3}0.104{col 74}{space 4}-84.97999{col 87}{space 3}  8.18308
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.556963{col 46}{space 2} 5.011188{col 57}{space 1}    0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.757{col 74}{space 4}-8.530036{col 87}{space 3} 11.64396
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.056343{col 46}{space 2} 14.24835{col 57}{space 1}   -0.43{col 66}{space 3}0.673{col 74}{space 4}-34.73678{col 87}{space 3} 22.62409
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1188884{col 46}{space 2} .2993888{col 57}{space 1}    0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.693{col 74}{space 4}  -.48375{col 87}{space 3} .7215268
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5880026{col 46}{space 2} .4986593{col 57}{space 1}    1.18{col 66}{space 3}0.244{col 74}{space 4}-.4157466{col 87}{space 3} 1.591752
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 86.70198{col 46}{space 2} 145.1415{col 57}{space 1}    0.60{col 66}{space 3}0.553{col 74}{space 4}-205.4526{col 87}{space 3} 378.8566
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-32.22609{col 46}{space 2} 48.90635{col 57}{space 1}   -0.66{col 66}{space 3}0.513{col 74}{space 4}-130.6695{col 87}{space 3} 66.21728
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.680785{col 46}{space 2} 5.126862{col 57}{space 1}    0.72{col 66}{space 3}0.476{col 74}{space 4}-6.639052{col 87}{space 3} 14.00062
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 16.52211{col 46}{space 2} 131.4201{col 57}{space 1}    0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.901{col 74}{space 4}-248.0128{col 87}{space 3}  281.057
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 8.326
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.016
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-5I  GENERAL ELECTION CONTEST SUBSAMPLE [WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann  eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & general==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.17075914
{txt}Number of obs = {res}54
{txt}Objective function = {res}3.367617

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.889173{col 46}{space 2} .7722559{col 57}{space 1}    2.45{col 66}{space 3}0.019{col 74}{space 4} .3306971{col 87}{space 3} 3.447648
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0416078{col 46}{space 2} .0167955{col 57}{space 1}    2.48{col 66}{space 3}0.017{col 74}{space 4} .0077131{col 87}{space 3} .0755025
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0150246{col 46}{space 2} .0086079{col 57}{space 1}   -1.75{col 66}{space 3}0.088{col 74}{space 4}-.0323961{col 87}{space 3} .0023468
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .214991{col 46}{space 2} .1489272{col 57}{space 1}    1.44{col 66}{space 3}0.156{col 74}{space 4}-.0855563{col 87}{space 3} .5155382
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1586635{col 46}{space 2} .5187399{col 57}{space 1}   -0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.761{col 74}{space 4}-1.205523{col 87}{space 3} .8881959
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.409922{col 46}{space 2} 3.010749{col 57}{space 1}   -0.47{col 66}{space 3}0.642{col 74}{space 4}-7.485859{col 87}{space 3} 4.666014
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -7.88328{col 46}{space 2} 3.369945{col 57}{space 1}   -2.34{col 66}{space 3}0.024{col 74}{space 4} -14.6841{col 87}{space 3}-1.082455
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.601666{col 46}{space 2} 1.112651{col 57}{space 1}    2.34{col 66}{space 3}0.024{col 74}{space 4}  .356245{col 87}{space 3} 4.847087
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.951116{col 46}{space 2} 2.159477{col 57}{space 1}   -2.29{col 66}{space 3}0.027{col 74}{space 4}-9.309118{col 87}{space 3}-.5931142
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0055134{col 46}{space 2}  .074021{col 57}{space 1}   -0.07{col 66}{space 3}0.941{col 74}{space 4}-.1548939{col 87}{space 3} .1438671
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3402661{col 46}{space 2} .1048406{col 57}{space 1}    3.25{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4} .1286892{col 87}{space 3} .5518431
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  37.4129{col 46}{space 2} 8.931718{col 57}{space 1}    4.19{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 19.38796{col 87}{space 3} 55.43783
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 0.034
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.983
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-5J  PRIMARY ELECTION CONTEST SUBSAMPLE [WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann  eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj if eddur2binary==1 & general==0, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.40526723
{txt}Number of obs = {res}61
{txt}Objective function = {res}7.2182993

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  8.99299{col 46}{space 2} 4.644391{col 57}{space 1}    1.94{col 66}{space 3}0.059{col 74}{space 4}-.3402632{col 87}{space 3} 18.32624
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0012267{col 46}{space 2} .1589779{col 57}{space 1}   -0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.994{col 74}{space 4}-.3207048{col 87}{space 3} .3182514
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0726306{col 46}{space 2} .0553575{col 57}{space 1}   -1.31{col 66}{space 3}0.196{col 74}{space 4}-.1838755{col 87}{space 3} .0386144
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1699803{col 46}{space 2}  .848236{col 57}{space 1}    0.20{col 66}{space 3}0.842{col 74}{space 4}-1.534614{col 87}{space 3} 1.874574
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.529113{col 46}{space 2} 4.431579{col 57}{space 1}   -1.25{col 66}{space 3}0.218{col 74}{space 4}-14.43471{col 87}{space 3}  3.37648
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 21.54057{col 46}{space 2} 14.66145{col 57}{space 1}    1.47{col 66}{space 3}0.148{col 74}{space 4} -7.92271{col 87}{space 3} 51.00384
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-34.50054{col 46}{space 2} 27.18841{col 57}{space 1}   -1.27{col 66}{space 3}0.210{col 74}{space 4} -89.1377{col 87}{space 3} 20.13662
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.712917{col 46}{space 2} 7.176067{col 57}{space 1}    0.24{col 66}{space 3}0.812{col 74}{space 4}-12.70793{col 87}{space 3} 16.13376
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.291287{col 46}{space 2}  13.3813{col 57}{space 1}    0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.865{col 74}{space 4}-24.59945{col 87}{space 3} 29.18202
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1373164{col 46}{space 2} .4465776{col 57}{space 1}    0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.760{col 74}{space 4}-.7601149{col 87}{space 3} 1.034748
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3283618{col 46}{space 2} .6450293{col 57}{space 1}    0.51{col 66}{space 3}0.613{col 74}{space 4}-.9678731{col 87}{space 3} 1.624597
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 50.26402{col 46}{space 2} 48.55854{col 57}{space 1}    1.04{col 66}{space 3}0.306{col 74}{space 4}-47.31802{col 87}{space 3}  147.846
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 3.692
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.158
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-5K  GENERAL ELECTION CONTEST SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann  eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr3cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & general==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.16604614
{txt}Number of obs = {res}54
{txt}Objective function = {res}3.3261061

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.808869{col 46}{space 2} .9599857{col 57}{space 1}    1.88{col 66}{space 3}0.067{col 74}{space 4}-.1328853{col 87}{space 3} 3.750623
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0471755{col 46}{space 2} .0230292{col 57}{space 1}    2.05{col 66}{space 3}0.047{col 74}{space 4} .0005946{col 87}{space 3} .0937564
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0217163{col 46}{space 2} .0095203{col 57}{space 1}   -2.28{col 66}{space 3}0.028{col 74}{space 4} -.040973{col 87}{space 3}-.0024596
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .161863{col 46}{space 2} .2054443{col 57}{space 1}    0.79{col 66}{space 3}0.436{col 74}{space 4}-.2536873{col 87}{space 3} .5774134
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1604763{col 46}{space 2} .6649802{col 57}{space 1}    0.24{col 66}{space 3}0.811{col 74}{space 4}-1.184573{col 87}{space 3} 1.505526
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.487601{col 46}{space 2} 3.787532{col 57}{space 1}   -1.18{col 66}{space 3}0.243{col 74}{space 4}-12.14861{col 87}{space 3} 3.173405
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.848504{col 46}{space 2} 4.426756{col 57}{space 1}   -1.55{col 66}{space 3}0.130{col 74}{space 4}-15.80246{col 87}{space 3} 2.105456
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.181397{col 46}{space 2} 1.469228{col 57}{space 1}    1.48{col 66}{space 3}0.146{col 74}{space 4}-.7903963{col 87}{space 3}  5.15319
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.069772{col 46}{space 2} 2.716311{col 57}{space 1}   -1.87{col 66}{space 3}0.070{col 74}{space 4}-10.56403{col 87}{space 3} .4244846
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0648545{col 46}{space 2} .0983715{col 57}{space 1}   -0.66{col 66}{space 3}0.514{col 74}{space 4}-.2638297{col 87}{space 3} .1341207
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .322396{col 46}{space 2} .1109636{col 57}{space 1}    2.91{col 66}{space 3}0.006{col 74}{space 4} .0979509{col 87}{space 3} .5468411
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 18.48847{col 46}{space 2}   9.7902{col 57}{space 1}    1.89{col 66}{space 3}0.066{col 74}{space 4}-1.314079{col 87}{space 3} 38.29102
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -3.45737{col 46}{space 2} 1.632083{col 57}{space 1}   -2.12{col 66}{space 3}0.041{col 74}{space 4} -6.75857{col 87}{space 3}-.1561701
{txt}{space 23}imr3cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .9706312{col 46}{space 2} .6655428{col 57}{space 1}    1.46{col 66}{space 3}0.153{col 74}{space 4}-.3755561{col 87}{space 3} 2.316818
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 19.24139{col 46}{space 2} 15.62857{col 57}{space 1}    1.23{col 66}{space 3}0.226{col 74}{space 4}-12.37037{col 87}{space 3} 50.85316
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 0.279
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.870
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-5L  PRIMARY ELECTION CONTEST SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann  eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & general==0, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.40061498
{txt}Number of obs = {res}61
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.8995864

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.949353{col 46}{space 2} 13.16959{col 57}{space 1}    0.45{col 66}{space 3}0.654{col 74}{space 4}-20.55966{col 87}{space 3} 32.45836
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0656707{col 46}{space 2} .5124191{col 57}{space 1}    0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.899{col 74}{space 4}-.9657755{col 87}{space 3} 1.097117
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.088592{col 46}{space 2} .1588506{col 57}{space 1}   -0.56{col 66}{space 3}0.580{col 74}{space 4}-.4083416{col 87}{space 3} .2311576
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0460946{col 46}{space 2} 2.621547{col 57}{space 1}   -0.02{col 66}{space 3}0.986{col 74}{space 4}-5.322994{col 87}{space 3} 5.230805
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.749399{col 46}{space 2} 11.90017{col 57}{space 1}   -0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.884{col 74}{space 4}-25.70319{col 87}{space 3} 22.20439
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 13.99546{col 46}{space 2} 40.52059{col 57}{space 1}    0.35{col 66}{space 3}0.731{col 74}{space 4}-67.56826{col 87}{space 3} 95.55917
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-31.02727{col 46}{space 2} 76.81549{col 57}{space 1}   -0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.688{col 74}{space 4}-185.6488{col 87}{space 3} 123.5943
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6074338{col 46}{space 2} 18.84593{col 57}{space 1}    0.03{col 66}{space 3}0.974{col 74}{space 4}-37.32745{col 87}{space 3} 38.54232
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.522568{col 46}{space 2} 36.65989{col 57}{space 1}   -0.18{col 66}{space 3}0.860{col 74}{space 4} -80.3151{col 87}{space 3} 67.26996
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0687556{col 46}{space 2} 1.304017{col 57}{space 1}    0.05{col 66}{space 3}0.958{col 74}{space 4}-2.556095{col 87}{space 3} 2.693607
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1403303{col 46}{space 2} 1.986639{col 57}{space 1}    0.07{col 66}{space 3}0.944{col 74}{space 4}-3.858567{col 87}{space 3} 4.139227
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 217.4169{col 46}{space 2} 662.8037{col 57}{space 1}    0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.744{col 74}{space 4}-1116.738{col 87}{space 3} 1551.572
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-76.52457{col 46}{space 2} 220.5852{col 57}{space 1}   -0.35{col 66}{space 3}0.730{col 74}{space 4}-520.5396{col 87}{space 3} 367.4905
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 8.303264{col 46}{space 2} 23.27556{col 57}{space 1}    0.36{col 66}{space 3}0.723{col 74}{space 4}  -38.548{col 87}{space 3} 55.15453
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-125.6894{col 46}{space 2} 619.1934{col 57}{space 1}   -0.20{col 66}{space 3}0.840{col 74}{space 4}-1372.061{col 87}{space 3} 1120.682
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 1.325
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.516
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
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. *** ESTIMATE OVERALL TENURE ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS: RELATIVE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN STATE AIG AND NATIONAL AIG] TABLE SA-5 **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-6A      UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults relpersonalincometenureann eddurmonths2 relpictenureann lastelectionresults relpincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty relincumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.26219755
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.720977

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}             electionresults{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      t{col 62}   P>|t|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}relpersonalincometenureann {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 4.448774{col 42}{space 2} 3.180352{col 53}{space 1}    1.40{col 62}{space 3}0.165{col 70}{space 4}-1.859439{col 83}{space 3} 10.75699
{txt}{space 16}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0813322{col 42}{space 2}   .04966{col 53}{space 1}   -1.64{col 62}{space 3}0.105{col 70}{space 4}-.1798325{col 83}{space 3} .0171681
{txt}{space 13}relpictenureann {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0354016{col 42}{space 2} .0663185{col 53}{space 1}   -0.53{col 62}{space 3}0.595{col 70}{space 4} -.166944{col 83}{space 3} .0961407
{txt}{space 9}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .2360438{col 42}{space 2} .2843471{col 53}{space 1}    0.83{col 62}{space 3}0.408{col 70}{space 4}-.3279574{col 83}{space 3}  .800045
{txt}relpincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.106181{col 42}{space 2} 1.441292{col 53}{space 1}    0.77{col 62}{space 3}0.445{col 70}{space 4}-1.752614{col 83}{space 3} 3.964977
{txt}{space 21}general {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  -17.415{col 42}{space 2} 3.878168{col 53}{space 1}   -4.49{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-25.10732{col 83}{space 3}-9.722669
{txt}{space 18}senateseat {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0615781{col 42}{space 2} 4.936064{col 53}{space 1}   -0.01{col 62}{space 3}0.990{col 70}{space 4}-9.852237{col 83}{space 3} 9.729081
{txt}{space 17}incumbparty {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -12.2257{col 42}{space 2} 5.220439{col 53}{space 1}   -2.34{col 62}{space 3}0.021{col 70}{space 4}-22.58042{col 83}{space 3}-1.870988
{txt}{space 3}relincumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .7723479{col 42}{space 2}  3.04954{col 53}{space 1}    0.25{col 62}{space 3}0.801{col 70}{space 4}-5.276401{col 83}{space 3} 6.821097
{txt}{space 15}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.800221{col 42}{space 2} 4.430974{col 53}{space 1}   -0.63{col 62}{space 3}0.529{col 70}{space 4}-11.58904{col 83}{space 3} 5.988596
{txt}{space 14}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .2329254{col 42}{space 2} .2408473{col 53}{space 1}    0.97{col 62}{space 3}0.336{col 70}{space 4} -.244794{col 83}{space 3} .7106448
{txt}{space 4}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .2779049{col 42}{space 2} .2064491{col 53}{space 1}    1.35{col 62}{space 3}0.181{col 70}{space 4}-.1315859{col 83}{space 3} .6873957
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 58.18244{col 42}{space 2} 18.02588{col 53}{space 1}    3.23{col 62}{space 3}0.002{col 70}{space 4} 22.42821{col 83}{space 3} 93.93668
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 1.342
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.511
{txt}
{com}. 
. predict tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6a, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. *
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6a if tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6a >= 1  & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   tenur~6a {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  1. {c |} {res}    20.8         42         0   2.565774 {txt}{c |}
  2. {c |} {res}    21.6         90         0   4.067104 {txt}{c |}
  5. {c |} {res}       8         62         0   1.961074 {txt}{c |}
  6. {c |} {res}    95.1         22         0   3.594877 {txt}{c |}
  8. {c |} {res}    74.6         46         0   1.115058 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   2.112566 {txt}{c |}
 19. {c |} {res}    84.4        330         0   1.258013 {txt}{c |}
 21. {c |} {res}    36.2         68         0   1.238392 {txt}{c |}
 23. {c |} {res}     100          1         0    1.74593 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   3.680227 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 32. {c |} {res}     100         17         0   3.040832 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0   4.133412 {txt}{c |}
 38. {c |} {res}    25.7         42         0   1.565333 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   2.738903 {txt}{c |}
 49. {c |} {res}    75.8         45         0    1.10312 {txt}{c |}
 51. {c |} {res}    24.3        140         0   1.539048 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 52. {c |} {res}    88.9         20         0   1.899903 {txt}{c |}
 57. {c |} {res}    83.2         20         0   1.462906 {txt}{c |}
 65. {c |} {res}    91.4         17         0   3.369795 {txt}{c |}
 95. {c |} {res}    36.6         66         0    2.49228 {txt}{c |}
 96. {c |} {res}    40.8         67         0   1.844532 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
102. {c |} {res}    19.2         39         0   1.761688 {txt}{c |}
107. {c |} {res}    86.6         69         0   1.731302 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   10.16385 {txt}{c |}
118. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   2.009857 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-6B     RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults relpersonalincometenureann eddurmonths2 relpictenureann lastelectionresults relpincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty relincumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6a < 1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.44762651
{txt}Number of obs = {res}90
{txt}Objective function = {res}4.010822

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}             electionresults{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      t{col 62}   P>|t|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}relpersonalincometenureann {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  4.52228{col 42}{space 2} 2.128536{col 53}{space 1}    2.12{col 62}{space 3}0.037{col 70}{space 4}  .283824{col 83}{space 3} 8.760736
{txt}{space 16}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0431086{col 42}{space 2} .0328977{col 53}{space 1}   -1.31{col 62}{space 3}0.194{col 70}{space 4}-.1086162{col 83}{space 3}  .022399
{txt}{space 13}relpictenureann {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0508592{col 42}{space 2}  .044672{col 53}{space 1}   -1.14{col 62}{space 3}0.258{col 70}{space 4}-.1398125{col 83}{space 3} .0380941
{txt}{space 9}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}  .206922{col 42}{space 2} .1887613{col 53}{space 1}    1.10{col 62}{space 3}0.276{col 70}{space 4}-.1689497{col 83}{space 3} .5827937
{txt}relpincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.035881{col 42}{space 2} .9399298{col 53}{space 1}    1.10{col 62}{space 3}0.274{col 70}{space 4}-.8357585{col 83}{space 3}  2.90752
{txt}{space 21}general {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-15.28971{col 42}{space 2} 2.697824{col 53}{space 1}   -5.67{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4}-20.66177{col 83}{space 3} -9.91766
{txt}{space 18}senateseat {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.360774{col 42}{space 2}  3.40865{col 53}{space 1}   -0.69{col 62}{space 3}0.491{col 70}{space 4}-9.148264{col 83}{space 3} 4.426716
{txt}{space 17}incumbparty {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-7.431503{col 42}{space 2} 3.793349{col 53}{space 1}   -1.96{col 62}{space 3}0.054{col 70}{space 4}-14.98503{col 83}{space 3} .1220193
{txt}{space 3}relincumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-2.885703{col 42}{space 2} 1.964426{col 53}{space 1}   -1.47{col 62}{space 3}0.146{col 70}{space 4}-6.797375{col 83}{space 3} 1.025968
{txt}{space 15}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-4.493854{col 42}{space 2} 3.188153{col 53}{space 1}   -1.41{col 62}{space 3}0.163{col 70}{space 4}-10.84228{col 83}{space 3}  1.85457
{txt}{space 14}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0656139{col 42}{space 2} .1511459{col 53}{space 1}   -0.43{col 62}{space 3}0.665{col 70}{space 4}-.3665838{col 83}{space 3}  .235356
{txt}{space 4}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .3492144{col 42}{space 2} .1399138{col 53}{space 1}    2.50{col 62}{space 3}0.015{col 70}{space 4} .0706104{col 83}{space 3} .6278183
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 60.77166{col 42}{space 2} 12.19239{col 53}{space 1}    4.98{col 62}{space 3}0.000{col 70}{space 4} 36.49352{col 83}{space 3}  85.0498
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 4.067
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.131
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-6C      UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults relpersonalincometenureann eddurmonths2 relpictenureann lastelectionresults relpincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty relincumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.300422
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.6420973

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}             electionresults{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      t{col 62}   P>|t|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}relpersonalincometenureann {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 7.109385{col 42}{space 2} 7.935612{col 53}{space 1}    0.90{col 62}{space 3}0.372{col 70}{space 4}-8.636591{col 83}{space 3} 22.85536
{txt}{space 16}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0542263{col 42}{space 2} .1195566{col 53}{space 1}   -0.45{col 62}{space 3}0.651{col 70}{space 4}-.2914526{col 83}{space 3} .1829999
{txt}{space 13}relpictenureann {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0230009{col 42}{space 2} .1703808{col 53}{space 1}   -0.13{col 62}{space 3}0.893{col 70}{space 4}-.3610734{col 83}{space 3} .3150716
{txt}{space 9}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1620372{col 42}{space 2} .7051641{col 53}{space 1}    0.23{col 62}{space 3}0.819{col 70}{space 4}-1.237161{col 83}{space 3} 1.561236
{txt}relpincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .4666755{col 42}{space 2} 3.464815{col 53}{space 1}    0.13{col 62}{space 3}0.893{col 70}{space 4}-6.408269{col 83}{space 3}  7.34162
{txt}{space 21}general {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-16.93563{col 42}{space 2} 8.902384{col 53}{space 1}   -1.90{col 62}{space 3}0.060{col 70}{space 4}-34.59989{col 83}{space 3} .7286334
{txt}{space 18}senateseat {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .3511109{col 42}{space 2} 11.87596{col 53}{space 1}    0.03{col 62}{space 3}0.976{col 70}{space 4}-23.21337{col 83}{space 3} 23.91559
{txt}{space 17}incumbparty {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-10.35075{col 42}{space 2} 12.12993{col 53}{space 1}   -0.85{col 62}{space 3}0.396{col 70}{space 4}-34.41916{col 83}{space 3} 13.71766
{txt}{space 3}relincumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-1.432663{col 42}{space 2} 7.302344{col 53}{space 1}   -0.20{col 62}{space 3}0.845{col 70}{space 4} -15.9221{col 83}{space 3} 13.05677
{txt}{space 15}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.734234{col 42}{space 2} 10.12264{col 53}{space 1}    0.37{col 62}{space 3}0.713{col 70}{space 4}-16.35127{col 83}{space 3} 23.81974
{txt}{space 14}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1095641{col 42}{space 2} .5694594{col 53}{space 1}    0.19{col 62}{space 3}0.848{col 70}{space 4}-1.020367{col 83}{space 3} 1.239495
{txt}{space 4}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1996723{col 42}{space 2} .4936813{col 53}{space 1}    0.40{col 62}{space 3}0.687{col 70}{space 4}-.7798985{col 83}{space 3} 1.179243
{txt}{space 24}imr4 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 90.71183{col 42}{space 2} 189.3752{col 53}{space 1}    0.48{col 62}{space 3}0.633{col 70}{space 4}-285.0497{col 83}{space 3} 466.4734
{txt}{space 22}imr4sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-29.61397{col 42}{space 2} 63.75116{col 53}{space 1}   -0.46{col 62}{space 3}0.643{col 70}{space 4}-156.1101{col 83}{space 3} 96.88215
{txt}{space 19}imr4cubic {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 2.900085{col 42}{space 2} 6.829648{col 53}{space 1}    0.42{col 62}{space 3}0.672{col 70}{space 4}-10.65142{col 83}{space 3} 16.45159
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-25.81944{col 42}{space 2} 172.6657{col 53}{space 1}   -0.15{col 62}{space 3}0.881{col 70}{space 4}-368.4257{col 83}{space 3} 316.7868
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 0.804
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.669
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6c, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6c if tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6c >= 1  & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   tenur~6c {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   1.075179 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-6D    RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults relpersonalincometenureann eddurmonths2 relpictenureann lastelectionresults relpincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty relincumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6c < 1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.29293936
{txt}Number of obs = {res}114
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.48146

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 29}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}             electionresults{col 30}{c |}      Coef.{col 42}   Std. Err.{col 54}      t{col 62}   P>|t|{col 70}     [95% Con{col 83}f. Interval]
{hline 29}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 2}relpersonalincometenureann {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 6.055338{col 42}{space 2} 4.361542{col 53}{space 1}    1.39{col 62}{space 3}0.168{col 70}{space 4}-2.600001{col 83}{space 3} 14.71068
{txt}{space 16}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0585947{col 42}{space 2}  .072248{col 53}{space 1}   -0.81{col 62}{space 3}0.419{col 70}{space 4}-.2019684{col 83}{space 3}  .084779
{txt}{space 13}relpictenureann {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.0081623{col 42}{space 2} .0971187{col 53}{space 1}   -0.08{col 62}{space 3}0.933{col 70}{space 4}-.2008912{col 83}{space 3} .1845666
{txt}{space 9}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .0562798{col 42}{space 2} .4152125{col 53}{space 1}    0.14{col 62}{space 3}0.892{col 70}{space 4}-.7676959{col 83}{space 3} .8802555
{txt}relpincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .6368938{col 42}{space 2} 1.942408{col 53}{space 1}    0.33{col 62}{space 3}0.744{col 70}{space 4}-3.217753{col 83}{space 3}  4.49154
{txt}{space 21}general {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -16.2143{col 42}{space 2} 5.222279{col 53}{space 1}   -3.10{col 62}{space 3}0.002{col 70}{space 4}-26.57774{col 83}{space 3}-5.850853
{txt}{space 18}senateseat {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -1.77564{col 42}{space 2} 6.928163{col 53}{space 1}   -0.26{col 62}{space 3}0.798{col 70}{space 4}-15.52435{col 83}{space 3} 11.97307
{txt}{space 17}incumbparty {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} -12.4506{col 42}{space 2} 7.006835{col 53}{space 1}   -1.78{col 62}{space 3}0.079{col 70}{space 4}-26.35543{col 83}{space 3} 1.454239
{txt}{space 3}relincumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-.2797072{col 42}{space 2} 4.164893{col 53}{space 1}   -0.07{col 62}{space 3}0.947{col 70}{space 4}-8.544803{col 83}{space 3} 7.985388
{txt}{space 15}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 3.113308{col 42}{space 2} 6.016878{col 53}{space 1}    0.52{col 62}{space 3}0.606{col 70}{space 4} -8.82699{col 83}{space 3} 15.05361
{txt}{space 14}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .1195071{col 42}{space 2} .3290748{col 53}{space 1}    0.36{col 62}{space 3}0.717{col 70}{space 4}-.5335311{col 83}{space 3} .7725453
{txt}{space 4}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} .3820741{col 42}{space 2} .2884246{col 53}{space 1}    1.32{col 62}{space 3}0.188{col 70}{space 4}-.1902951{col 83}{space 3} .9544433
{txt}{space 24}imr4 {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 67.38994{col 42}{space 2} 115.9617{col 53}{space 1}    0.58{col 62}{space 3}0.562{col 70}{space 4}-162.7322{col 83}{space 3} 297.5121
{txt}{space 22}imr4sq {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2}-20.07063{col 42}{space 2} 38.89647{col 53}{space 1}   -0.52{col 62}{space 3}0.607{col 70}{space 4}-97.25941{col 83}{space 3} 57.11815
{txt}{space 19}imr4cubic {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.739934{col 42}{space 2} 4.156175{col 53}{space 1}    0.42{col 62}{space 3}0.676{col 70}{space 4}-6.507861{col 83}{space 3} 9.987728
{txt}{space 23}_cons {c |}{col 30}{res}{space 2} 1.388204{col 42}{space 2} 106.8621{col 53}{space 1}    0.01{col 62}{space 3}0.990{col 70}{space 4}-210.6761{col 83}{space 3} 213.4525
{txt}{hline 29}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 0.930
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.628
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom relpersonalincometenureann + relpictenureann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincometenureann + relpictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.047176{col 26}{space 2} 4.295508{col 37}{space 1}    1.41{col 46}{space 3}0.162{col 54}{space 4}-2.477119{col 67}{space 3} 14.57147
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincometenureann + relpictenureann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}relpictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  5.95739{col 26}{space 2} 3.661705{col 37}{space 1}    1.63{col 46}{space 3}0.107{col 54}{space 4}-1.309144{col 67}{space 3} 13.22392
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincometenureann + relpictenureann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}relpictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.859442{col 26}{space 2} 3.241843{col 37}{space 1}    1.81{col 46}{space 3}0.074{col 54}{space 4}-.5738889{col 67}{space 3} 12.29277
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom relpersonalincometenureann + relpictenureann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}relpictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.761495{col 26}{space 2} 3.213632{col 37}{space 1}    1.79{col 46}{space 3}0.076{col 54}{space 4} -.615854{col 67}{space 3} 12.13884
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincometenureann + relpictenureann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}relpictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.663547{col 26}{space 2} 3.586328{col 37}{space 1}    1.58{col 46}{space 3}0.118{col 54}{space 4}-1.453404{col 67}{space 3}  12.7805
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincometenureann + relpictenureann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}relpictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.565599{col 26}{space 2} 4.255877{col 37}{space 1}    1.31{col 46}{space 3}0.194{col 54}{space 4}-2.880051{col 67}{space 3} 14.01125
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom relpersonalincometenureann + relpictenureann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}relpictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.467651{col 26}{space 2} 5.106825{col 37}{space 1}    1.07{col 46}{space 3}0.287{col 54}{space 4}-4.666677{col 67}{space 3} 15.60198
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincometenureann + relpictenureann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}relpictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.369703{col 26}{space 2} 6.063271{col 37}{space 1}    0.89{col 46}{space 3}0.378{col 54}{space 4}-6.662661{col 67}{space 3} 17.40207
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincometenureann + relpictenureann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}relpictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.271755{col 26}{space 2} 7.082604{col 37}{space 1}    0.74{col 46}{space 3}0.458{col 54}{space 4}-8.783442{col 67}{space 3} 19.32695
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincometenureann + relpictenureann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}relpictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.173807{col 26}{space 2} 8.141237{col 37}{space 1}    0.64{col 46}{space 3}0.527{col 54}{space 4}-10.98221{col 67}{space 3} 21.32983
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincometenureann + relpictenureann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}relpictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  5.07586{col 26}{space 2}  9.22565{col 37}{space 1}    0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.583{col 54}{space 4}-13.23214{col 67}{space 3} 23.38386
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom relpersonalincometenureann + relpictenureann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}relpictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.977912{col 26}{space 2} 10.32773{col 37}{space 1}    0.48{col 46}{space 3}0.631{col 54}{space 4}-15.51712{col 67}{space 3} 25.47295
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincometenureann + relpictenureann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}relpictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.879964{col 26}{space 2} 11.44236{col 37}{space 1}    0.43{col 46}{space 3}0.671{col 54}{space 4}-17.82703{col 67}{space 3} 27.58696
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. ********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-6E      UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults relpersonalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 relpicrtermann lastelectionresults relpincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty relincumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.31978515
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.6777992

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 31}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}               electionresults{col 32}{c |}      Coef.{col 44}   Std. Err.{col 56}      t{col 64}   P>|t|{col 72}     [95% Con{col 85}f. Interval]
{hline 31}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
relpersonalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 3.264954{col 44}{space 2} 4.689293{col 55}{space 1}    0.70{col 64}{space 3}0.488{col 72}{space 4}-6.036236{col 85}{space 3} 12.56614
{txt}{space 18}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-.0495873{col 44}{space 2} .0962735{col 55}{space 1}   -0.52{col 64}{space 3}0.608{col 72}{space 4}-.2405454{col 85}{space 3} .1413707
{txt}{space 16}relpicrtermann {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}  .054037{col 44}{space 2} .0900096{col 55}{space 1}    0.60{col 64}{space 3}0.550{col 72}{space 4}-.1244965{col 85}{space 3} .2325705
{txt}{space 11}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}  .294341{col 44}{space 2} .5443439{col 55}{space 1}    0.54{col 64}{space 3}0.590{col 72}{space 4}-.7853626{col 85}{space 3} 1.374045
{txt}{space 2}relpincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} -1.16135{col 44}{space 2} 2.737988{col 55}{space 1}   -0.42{col 64}{space 3}0.672{col 72}{space 4}-6.592136{col 85}{space 3} 4.269436
{txt}{space 23}general {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-14.69849{col 44}{space 2} 7.725364{col 55}{space 1}   -1.90{col 64}{space 3}0.060{col 72}{space 4}-30.02171{col 85}{space 3} .6247311
{txt}{space 20}senateseat {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 3.244912{col 44}{space 2} 9.564813{col 55}{space 1}    0.34{col 64}{space 3}0.735{col 72}{space 4}-15.72685{col 85}{space 3} 22.21667
{txt}{space 19}incumbparty {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-12.41871{col 44}{space 2} 10.53532{col 55}{space 1}   -1.18{col 64}{space 3}0.241{col 72}{space 4}-33.31548{col 85}{space 3} 8.478051
{txt}{space 5}relincumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 2.188969{col 44}{space 2} 6.045685{col 55}{space 1}    0.36{col 64}{space 3}0.718{col 72}{space 4}-9.802619{col 85}{space 3} 14.18056
{txt}{space 17}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 2.185291{col 44}{space 2} 8.455237{col 55}{space 1}    0.26{col 64}{space 3}0.797{col 72}{space 4}-14.58563{col 85}{space 3} 18.95621
{txt}{space 16}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .1425398{col 44}{space 2} .4744522{col 55}{space 1}    0.30{col 64}{space 3}0.764{col 72}{space 4}-.7985338{col 85}{space 3} 1.083613
{txt}{space 6}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .4862336{col 44}{space 2} .4198634{col 55}{space 1}    1.16{col 64}{space 3}0.250{col 72}{space 4}-.3465634{col 85}{space 3} 1.319031
{txt}{space 25}_cons {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 48.61326{col 44}{space 2} 35.07381{col 55}{space 1}    1.39{col 64}{space 3}0.169{col 72}{space 4}-20.95548{col 85}{space 3}  118.182
{txt}{hline 31}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 1.396
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.498
{txt}
{com}. 
. predict tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6e, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. *
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6e if tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6e >= 1  & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   tenur~6e {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   2.609084 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-6F     RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults relpersonalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 relpicrtermann lastelectionresults relpincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty relincumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6e < 1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.31223617
{txt}Number of obs = {res}114
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.5021224

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 31}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}               electionresults{col 32}{c |}      Coef.{col 44}   Std. Err.{col 56}      t{col 64}   P>|t|{col 72}     [95% Con{col 85}f. Interval]
{hline 31}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
relpersonalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 3.894154{col 44}{space 2} 2.754343{col 55}{space 1}    1.41{col 64}{space 3}0.160{col 72}{space 4}-1.569722{col 85}{space 3}  9.35803
{txt}{space 18}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-.0733997{col 44}{space 2}  .056717{col 55}{space 1}   -1.29{col 64}{space 3}0.199{col 72}{space 4}-.1859111{col 85}{space 3} .0391116
{txt}{space 16}relpicrtermann {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .0293144{col 44}{space 2} .0530413{col 55}{space 1}    0.55{col 64}{space 3}0.582{col 72}{space 4}-.0759053{col 85}{space 3} .1345341
{txt}{space 11}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .1657743{col 44}{space 2} .3168443{col 55}{space 1}    0.52{col 64}{space 3}0.602{col 72}{space 4}-.4627596{col 85}{space 3} .7943082
{txt}{space 2}relpincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} -.881778{col 44}{space 2} 1.625457{col 55}{space 1}   -0.54{col 64}{space 3}0.589{col 72}{space 4}-4.106248{col 85}{space 3} 2.342692
{txt}{space 23}general {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-13.93681{col 44}{space 2} 4.529594{col 55}{space 1}   -3.08{col 64}{space 3}0.003{col 72}{space 4}-22.92231{col 85}{space 3}-4.951318
{txt}{space 20}senateseat {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .8738263{col 44}{space 2} 5.773385{col 55}{space 1}    0.15{col 64}{space 3}0.880{col 72}{space 4}-10.57902{col 85}{space 3} 12.32667
{txt}{space 19}incumbparty {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} -13.7876{col 44}{space 2} 6.077503{col 55}{space 1}   -2.27{col 64}{space 3}0.025{col 72}{space 4}-25.84373{col 85}{space 3}-1.731465
{txt}{space 5}relincumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 3.388899{col 44}{space 2} 3.511599{col 55}{space 1}    0.97{col 64}{space 3}0.337{col 72}{space 4}-3.577169{col 85}{space 3} 10.35497
{txt}{space 17}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .2416536{col 44}{space 2} 5.036352{col 55}{space 1}    0.05{col 64}{space 3}0.962{col 72}{space 4}-9.749115{col 85}{space 3} 10.23242
{txt}{space 16}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}  .198105{col 44}{space 2} .2758183{col 55}{space 1}    0.72{col 64}{space 3}0.474{col 72}{space 4}-.3490442{col 85}{space 3} .7452543
{txt}{space 6}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .5332835{col 44}{space 2} .2487828{col 55}{space 1}    2.14{col 64}{space 3}0.034{col 72}{space 4} .0397654{col 85}{space 3} 1.026802
{txt}{space 25}_cons {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 60.59705{col 44}{space 2} 20.57128{col 55}{space 1}    2.95{col 64}{space 3}0.004{col 72}{space 4} 19.78918{col 85}{space 3} 101.4049
{txt}{hline 31}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 1.657
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.437
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-6G      UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults relpersonalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 relpicrtermann lastelectionresults relpincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty relincumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.33019291
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.6083618

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 31}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}               electionresults{col 32}{c |}      Coef.{col 44}   Std. Err.{col 56}      t{col 64}   P>|t|{col 72}     [95% Con{col 85}f. Interval]
{hline 31}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
relpersonalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}  2.79848{col 44}{space 2} 3.066246{col 55}{space 1}    0.91{col 64}{space 3}0.364{col 72}{space 4}-3.285618{col 85}{space 3} 8.882578
{txt}{space 18}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-.0338505{col 44}{space 2} .0647948{col 55}{space 1}   -0.52{col 64}{space 3}0.603{col 72}{space 4}-.1624175{col 85}{space 3} .0947164
{txt}{space 16}relpicrtermann {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .0275924{col 44}{space 2}  .062105{col 55}{space 1}    0.44{col 64}{space 3}0.658{col 72}{space 4}-.0956375{col 85}{space 3} .1508223
{txt}{space 11}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .1034022{col 44}{space 2} .3697869{col 55}{space 1}    0.28{col 64}{space 3}0.780{col 72}{space 4}-.6303351{col 85}{space 3} .8371396
{txt}{space 2}relpincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-.0222011{col 44}{space 2} 2.028894{col 55}{space 1}   -0.01{col 64}{space 3}0.991{col 72}{space 4}-4.047966{col 85}{space 3} 4.003564
{txt}{space 23}general {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-14.17213{col 44}{space 2}  4.72002{col 55}{space 1}   -3.00{col 64}{space 3}0.003{col 72}{space 4}-23.53768{col 85}{space 3}-4.806588
{txt}{space 20}senateseat {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}  4.71789{col 44}{space 2} 6.149187{col 55}{space 1}    0.77{col 64}{space 3}0.445{col 72}{space 4}-7.483432{col 85}{space 3} 16.91921
{txt}{space 19}incumbparty {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-12.83149{col 44}{space 2} 6.504884{col 55}{space 1}   -1.97{col 64}{space 3}0.051{col 72}{space 4}-25.73859{col 85}{space 3} .0756128
{txt}{space 5}relincumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 1.112594{col 44}{space 2} 3.924539{col 55}{space 1}    0.28{col 64}{space 3}0.777{col 72}{space 4}-6.674543{col 85}{space 3}  8.89973
{txt}{space 17}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 2.351068{col 44}{space 2} 5.228239{col 55}{space 1}    0.45{col 64}{space 3}0.654{col 72}{space 4}-8.022892{col 85}{space 3} 12.72503
{txt}{space 16}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .1873287{col 44}{space 2} .3025997{col 55}{space 1}    0.62{col 64}{space 3}0.537{col 72}{space 4}-.4130947{col 85}{space 3} .7877521
{txt}{space 6}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .4259277{col 44}{space 2} .2643311{col 55}{space 1}    1.61{col 64}{space 3}0.110{col 72}{space 4}-.0985626{col 85}{space 3}  .950418
{txt}{space 26}imr4 {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 17.46362{col 44}{space 2} 102.6416{col 55}{space 1}    0.17{col 64}{space 3}0.865{col 72}{space 4}-186.1996{col 85}{space 3} 221.1269
{txt}{space 24}imr4sq {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-6.688203{col 44}{space 2} 34.67043{col 55}{space 1}   -0.19{col 64}{space 3}0.847{col 72}{space 4}-75.48186{col 85}{space 3} 62.10545
{txt}{space 21}imr4cubic {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .6633312{col 44}{space 2} 3.719192{col 55}{space 1}    0.18{col 64}{space 3}0.859{col 72}{space 4}-6.716354{col 85}{space 3} 8.043016
{txt}{space 25}_cons {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 46.98761{col 44}{space 2} 91.91273{col 55}{space 1}    0.51{col 64}{space 3}0.610{col 72}{space 4}-135.3872{col 85}{space 3} 229.3624
{txt}{hline 31}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 2.768
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.251
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6g, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6g if tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6g >= 1  & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   tenur~6g {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  5. {c |} {res}       8         62         0    1.15061 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   1.600582 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.139895 {txt}{c |}
 32. {c |} {res}     100         17         0   1.680036 {txt}{c |}
 36. {c |} {res}    25.6         20         0    1.50591 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 43. {c |} {res}     100         42         0   1.205119 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 65. {c |} {res}    91.4         17         0   1.429921 {txt}{c |}
 71. {c |} {res}    95.9          1         0    1.33012 {txt}{c |}
 95. {c |} {res}    36.6         66         0   1.375163 {txt}{c |}
 96. {c |} {res}    40.8         67         0   1.054265 {txt}{c |}
107. {c |} {res}    86.6         69         0   1.175958 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   5.100527 {txt}{c |}
118. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.558395 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-6H    RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults relpersonalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 relpicrtermann lastelectionresults relpincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty relincumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6g < 1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.40671195
{txt}Number of obs = {res}102
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.1538276

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 31}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}               electionresults{col 32}{c |}      Coef.{col 44}   Std. Err.{col 56}      t{col 64}   P>|t|{col 72}     [95% Con{col 85}f. Interval]
{hline 31}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
relpersonalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 3.507953{col 44}{space 2} 5.769385{col 55}{space 1}    0.61{col 64}{space 3}0.545{col 72}{space 4}-7.961204{col 85}{space 3} 14.97711
{txt}{space 18}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .0103908{col 44}{space 2} .1234036{col 55}{space 1}    0.08{col 64}{space 3}0.933{col 72}{space 4}-.2349275{col 85}{space 3} .2557091
{txt}{space 16}relpicrtermann {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .0097553{col 44}{space 2} .1225106{col 55}{space 1}    0.08{col 64}{space 3}0.937{col 72}{space 4}-.2337876{col 85}{space 3} .2532983
{txt}{space 11}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-.2738652{col 44}{space 2}  .820061{col 55}{space 1}   -0.33{col 64}{space 3}0.739{col 72}{space 4}-1.904092{col 85}{space 3} 1.356362
{txt}{space 2}relpincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 1.638059{col 44}{space 2}  4.11273{col 55}{space 1}    0.40{col 64}{space 3}0.691{col 72}{space 4}-6.537777{col 85}{space 3} 9.813896
{txt}{space 23}general {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-11.58753{col 44}{space 2} 9.816591{col 55}{space 1}   -1.18{col 64}{space 3}0.241{col 72}{space 4}-31.10227{col 85}{space 3} 7.927203
{txt}{space 20}senateseat {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 4.554398{col 44}{space 2} 12.54653{col 55}{space 1}    0.36{col 64}{space 3}0.717{col 72}{space 4}-20.38727{col 85}{space 3} 29.49607
{txt}{space 19}incumbparty {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-7.589239{col 44}{space 2} 13.75644{col 55}{space 1}   -0.55{col 64}{space 3}0.583{col 72}{space 4}-34.93613{col 85}{space 3} 19.75766
{txt}{space 5}relincumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-3.402307{col 44}{space 2}  7.89615{col 55}{space 1}   -0.43{col 64}{space 3}0.668{col 72}{space 4}-19.09933{col 85}{space 3} 12.29472
{txt}{space 17}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 4.539056{col 44}{space 2} 10.88474{col 55}{space 1}    0.42{col 64}{space 3}0.678{col 72}{space 4}-17.09909{col 85}{space 3}  26.1772
{txt}{space 16}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-.0402278{col 44}{space 2} .6047505{col 55}{space 1}   -0.07{col 64}{space 3}0.947{col 72}{space 4}-1.242432{col 85}{space 3} 1.161976
{txt}{space 6}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .2038926{col 44}{space 2} .5453811{col 55}{space 1}    0.37{col 64}{space 3}0.709{col 72}{space 4}-.8802892{col 85}{space 3} 1.288074
{txt}{space 26}imr4 {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 126.6507{col 44}{space 2} 208.9751{col 55}{space 1}    0.61{col 64}{space 3}0.546{col 72}{space 4}-288.7779{col 85}{space 3} 542.0794
{txt}{space 24}imr4sq {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-40.96544{col 44}{space 2} 70.71071{col 55}{space 1}   -0.58{col 64}{space 3}0.564{col 72}{space 4}-181.5337{col 85}{space 3}  99.6028
{txt}{space 21}imr4cubic {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 3.971061{col 44}{space 2} 7.568164{col 55}{space 1}    0.52{col 64}{space 3}0.601{col 72}{space 4}-11.07395{col 85}{space 3} 19.01607
{txt}{space 25}_cons {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-42.16684{col 44}{space 2} 183.5209{col 55}{space 1}   -0.23{col 64}{space 3}0.819{col 72}{space 4}-406.9942{col 85}{space 3} 322.6605
{txt}{hline 31}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 2.263
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.323
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom relpersonalincomerecenttermann + relpicrtermann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecenttermann + relpicrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.517708{col 26}{space 2} 5.693494{col 37}{space 1}    0.62{col 46}{space 3}0.538{col 54}{space 4}-7.800584{col 67}{space 3}   14.836
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecenttermann + relpicrtermann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}relpicrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.625017{col 26}{space 2} 4.982759{col 37}{space 1}    0.73{col 46}{space 3}0.469{col 54}{space 4} -6.28038{col 67}{space 3} 13.53041
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecenttermann + relpicrtermann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}relpicrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  3.74208{col 26}{space 2} 4.548903{col 37}{space 1}    0.82{col 46}{space 3}0.413{col 54}{space 4} -5.30084{col 67}{space 3}   12.785
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom relpersonalincomerecenttermann + relpicrtermann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}relpicrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.859144{col 26}{space 2} 4.569431{col 37}{space 1}    0.84{col 46}{space 3}0.401{col 54}{space 4}-5.224584{col 67}{space 3} 12.94287
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecenttermann + relpicrtermann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}relpicrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.976208{col 26}{space 2} 5.038792{col 37}{space 1}    0.79{col 46}{space 3}0.432{col 54}{space 4}-6.040578{col 67}{space 3} 13.99299
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecenttermann + relpicrtermann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}relpicrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.093272{col 26}{space 2} 5.849931{col 37}{space 1}    0.70{col 46}{space 3}0.486{col 54}{space 4}-7.536006{col 67}{space 3} 15.72255
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom relpersonalincomerecenttermann + relpicrtermann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}relpicrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.210336{col 26}{space 2} 6.883059{col 37}{space 1}    0.61{col 46}{space 3}0.542{col 54}{space 4}-9.472733{col 67}{space 3}  17.8934
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecenttermann + relpicrtermann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}relpicrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   4.3274{col 26}{space 2}  8.05319{col 37}{space 1}    0.54{col 46}{space 3}0.592{col 54}{space 4}-11.68181{col 67}{space 3} 20.33661
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecenttermann + relpicrtermann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}relpicrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.444463{col 26}{space 2} 9.308801{col 37}{space 1}    0.48{col 46}{space 3}0.634{col 54}{space 4}-14.06082{col 67}{space 3} 22.94975
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecenttermann + relpicrtermann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}relpicrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.561527{col 26}{space 2} 10.61961{col 37}{space 1}    0.43{col 46}{space 3}0.669{col 54}{space 4}-16.54957{col 67}{space 3} 25.67262
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecenttermann + relpicrtermann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}relpicrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.678591{col 26}{space 2} 11.96751{col 37}{space 1}    0.39{col 46}{space 3}0.697{col 54}{space 4}-19.11202{col 67}{space 3} 28.46921
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom relpersonalincomerecenttermann + relpicrtermann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}relpicrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.795655{col 26}{space 2} 13.34124{col 37}{space 1}    0.36{col 46}{space 3}0.720{col 54}{space 4}-21.72586{col 67}{space 3} 31.31717
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecenttermann + relpicrtermann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}relpicrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.912719{col 26}{space 2}  14.7336{col 37}{space 1}    0.33{col 46}{space 3}0.740{col 54}{space 4} -24.3767{col 67}{space 3} 34.20214
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-6I      UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults relpersonalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 relpicryearann lastelectionresults relpincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty relincumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.33185733
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.597875

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 31}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}               electionresults{col 32}{c |}      Coef.{col 44}   Std. Err.{col 56}      t{col 64}   P>|t|{col 72}     [95% Con{col 85}f. Interval]
{hline 31}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
relpersonalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 5.345564{col 44}{space 2}   3.3824{col 55}{space 1}    1.58{col 64}{space 3}0.117{col 72}{space 4}-1.363411{col 85}{space 3} 12.05454
{txt}{space 18}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-.0315853{col 44}{space 2}  .096495{col 55}{space 1}   -0.33{col 64}{space 3}0.744{col 72}{space 4}-.2229827{col 85}{space 3}  .159812
{txt}{space 16}relpicryearann {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-.0561853{col 44}{space 2} .0315835{col 55}{space 1}   -1.78{col 64}{space 3}0.078{col 72}{space 4} -.118831{col 85}{space 3} .0064604
{txt}{space 11}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .3308167{col 44}{space 2}  .325515{col 55}{space 1}    1.02{col 64}{space 3}0.312{col 72}{space 4}-.3148407{col 85}{space 3} .9764741
{txt}{space 2}relpincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-1.535035{col 44}{space 2} 2.063064{col 55}{space 1}   -0.74{col 64}{space 3}0.459{col 72}{space 4}-5.627112{col 85}{space 3} 2.557043
{txt}{space 23}general {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-15.88026{col 44}{space 2} 5.545147{col 55}{space 1}   -2.86{col 64}{space 3}0.005{col 72}{space 4}-26.87903{col 85}{space 3}-4.881485
{txt}{space 20}senateseat {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 3.893199{col 44}{space 2} 6.485505{col 55}{space 1}    0.60{col 64}{space 3}0.550{col 72}{space 4} -8.97077{col 85}{space 3} 16.75717
{txt}{space 19}incumbparty {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-14.44969{col 44}{space 2} 11.11428{col 55}{space 1}   -1.30{col 64}{space 3}0.196{col 72}{space 4}-36.49481{col 85}{space 3} 7.595431
{txt}{space 5}relincumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 2.729559{col 44}{space 2} 12.67627{col 55}{space 1}    0.22{col 64}{space 3}0.830{col 72}{space 4}-22.41376{col 85}{space 3} 27.87288
{txt}{space 17}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-2.329118{col 44}{space 2} 5.387586{col 55}{space 1}   -0.43{col 64}{space 3}0.666{col 72}{space 4}-13.01537{col 85}{space 3} 8.357133
{txt}{space 16}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .2042035{col 44}{space 2} .6875391{col 55}{space 1}    0.30{col 64}{space 3}0.767{col 72}{space 4}-1.159527{col 85}{space 3} 1.567934
{txt}{space 6}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .3078807{col 44}{space 2} .3012572{col 55}{space 1}    1.02{col 64}{space 3}0.309{col 72}{space 4}-.2896616{col 85}{space 3}  .905423
{txt}{space 25}_cons {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 48.60304{col 44}{space 2} 21.30312{col 55}{space 1}    2.28{col 64}{space 3}0.025{col 72}{space 4} 6.348405{col 85}{space 3} 90.85768
{txt}{hline 31}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 5.299
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.071
{txt}
{com}. 
. predict tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6i, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. *
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6i if tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6i >= 1  & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   tenur~6i {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
  2. {c |} {res}    21.6         90         0   1.865566 {txt}{c |}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   2.344422 {txt}{c |}
 25. {c |} {res}    29.7          1         1   1.343509 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   2.603926 {txt}{c |}
 32. {c |} {res}     100         17         0   1.090116 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 49. {c |} {res}    75.8         45         0   1.053668 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 65. {c |} {res}    91.4         17         0   1.438074 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1    6.73744 {txt}{c |}
118. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.221786 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-6J     RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults relpersonalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 relpicryearann lastelectionresults relpincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty relincumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6i < 1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.34961653
{txt}Number of obs = {res}106
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.6762555

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 31}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}               electionresults{col 32}{c |}      Coef.{col 44}   Std. Err.{col 56}      t{col 64}   P>|t|{col 72}     [95% Con{col 85}f. Interval]
{hline 31}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
relpersonalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 5.647772{col 44}{space 2} 3.693832{col 55}{space 1}    1.53{col 64}{space 3}0.130{col 72}{space 4}-1.687447{col 85}{space 3} 12.98299
{txt}{space 18}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-.0194391{col 44}{space 2} .0741173{col 55}{space 1}   -0.26{col 64}{space 3}0.794{col 72}{space 4}-.1666213{col 85}{space 3} .1277431
{txt}{space 16}relpicryearann {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-.0587632{col 44}{space 2} .0314744{col 55}{space 1}   -1.87{col 64}{space 3}0.065{col 72}{space 4}-.1212652{col 85}{space 3} .0037387
{txt}{space 11}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .2159508{col 44}{space 2} .2956206{col 55}{space 1}    0.73{col 64}{space 3}0.467{col 72}{space 4} -.371093{col 85}{space 3} .8029946
{txt}{space 2}relpincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-1.187322{col 44}{space 2} 2.640367{col 55}{space 1}   -0.45{col 64}{space 3}0.654{col 72}{space 4}-6.430567{col 85}{space 3} 4.055924
{txt}{space 23}general {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-11.50805{col 44}{space 2} 5.286634{col 55}{space 1}   -2.18{col 64}{space 3}0.032{col 72}{space 4}-22.00626{col 85}{space 3}-1.009842
{txt}{space 20}senateseat {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 2.630774{col 44}{space 2} 5.114977{col 55}{space 1}    0.51{col 64}{space 3}0.608{col 72}{space 4}-7.526557{col 85}{space 3} 12.78811
{txt}{space 19}incumbparty {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-11.87294{col 44}{space 2} 7.691247{col 55}{space 1}   -1.54{col 64}{space 3}0.126{col 72}{space 4}-27.14623{col 85}{space 3} 3.400351
{txt}{space 5}relincumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 1.847349{col 44}{space 2} 9.907596{col 55}{space 1}    0.19{col 64}{space 3}0.852{col 72}{space 4}-17.82717{col 85}{space 3} 21.52187
{txt}{space 17}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-3.891895{col 44}{space 2} 4.913853{col 55}{space 1}   -0.79{col 64}{space 3}0.430{col 72}{space 4}-13.64983{col 85}{space 3} 5.866043
{txt}{space 16}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .1030574{col 44}{space 2} .4939876{col 55}{space 1}    0.21{col 64}{space 3}0.835{col 72}{space 4}-.8779041{col 85}{space 3} 1.084019
{txt}{space 6}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .4542396{col 44}{space 2} .2474701{col 55}{space 1}    1.84{col 64}{space 3}0.070{col 72}{space 4} -.037187{col 85}{space 3} .9456663
{txt}{space 25}_cons {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 53.75288{col 44}{space 2} 19.69055{col 55}{space 1}    2.73{col 64}{space 3}0.008{col 72}{space 4} 14.65136{col 85}{space 3}  92.8544
{txt}{hline 31}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 9.335
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.009
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-6K      UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults relpersonalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 relpicryearann lastelectionresults relpincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty relincumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.34281993
{txt}Number of obs = {res}115
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.4806185

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 31}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}               electionresults{col 32}{c |}      Coef.{col 44}   Std. Err.{col 56}      t{col 64}   P>|t|{col 72}     [95% Con{col 85}f. Interval]
{hline 31}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
relpersonalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 5.420608{col 44}{space 2} 3.199432{col 55}{space 1}    1.69{col 64}{space 3}0.093{col 72}{space 4}-.9277595{col 85}{space 3} 11.76898
{txt}{space 18}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-.0569074{col 44}{space 2} .0743848{col 55}{space 1}   -0.77{col 64}{space 3}0.446{col 72}{space 4} -.204503{col 85}{space 3} .0906882
{txt}{space 16}relpicryearann {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-.0660151{col 44}{space 2} .0394213{col 55}{space 1}   -1.67{col 64}{space 3}0.097{col 72}{space 4}-.1442354{col 85}{space 3} .0122053
{txt}{space 11}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .0101205{col 44}{space 2} .4458502{col 55}{space 1}    0.02{col 64}{space 3}0.982{col 72}{space 4} -.874543{col 85}{space 3} .8947839
{txt}{space 2}relpincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-.9457505{col 44}{space 2} 2.471511{col 55}{space 1}   -0.38{col 64}{space 3}0.703{col 72}{space 4}-5.849764{col 85}{space 3} 3.958263
{txt}{space 23}general {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-14.26404{col 44}{space 2} 5.600611{col 55}{space 1}   -2.55{col 64}{space 3}0.012{col 72}{space 4}-25.37687{col 85}{space 3} -3.15121
{txt}{space 20}senateseat {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 7.404907{col 44}{space 2} 7.403607{col 55}{space 1}    1.00{col 64}{space 3}0.320{col 72}{space 4}-7.285455{col 85}{space 3} 22.09527
{txt}{space 19}incumbparty {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-11.30317{col 44}{space 2}  7.66319{col 55}{space 1}   -1.47{col 64}{space 3}0.143{col 72}{space 4} -26.5086{col 85}{space 3} 3.902264
{txt}{space 5}relincumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 3.983925{col 44}{space 2}  4.68274{col 55}{space 1}    0.85{col 64}{space 3}0.397{col 72}{space 4}-5.307647{col 85}{space 3}  13.2755
{txt}{space 17}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-2.337262{col 44}{space 2} 6.287641{col 55}{space 1}   -0.37{col 64}{space 3}0.711{col 72}{space 4}-14.81331{col 85}{space 3} 10.13878
{txt}{space 16}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .3181806{col 44}{space 2} .3647968{col 55}{space 1}    0.87{col 64}{space 3}0.385{col 72}{space 4}-.4056553{col 85}{space 3} 1.042017
{txt}{space 6}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .1148794{col 44}{space 2} .3202479{col 55}{space 1}    0.36{col 64}{space 3}0.721{col 72}{space 4}-.5205619{col 85}{space 3} .7503208
{txt}{space 26}imr4 {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 110.0935{col 44}{space 2} 130.1113{col 55}{space 1}    0.85{col 64}{space 3}0.400{col 72}{space 4}-148.0756{col 85}{space 3} 368.2625
{txt}{space 24}imr4sq {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-38.85363{col 44}{space 2} 43.76881{col 55}{space 1}   -0.89{col 64}{space 3}0.377{col 72}{space 4}-125.7004{col 85}{space 3} 47.99318
{txt}{space 21}imr4cubic {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 4.104888{col 44}{space 2} 4.674349{col 55}{space 1}    0.88{col 64}{space 3}0.382{col 72}{space 4}-5.170035{col 85}{space 3} 13.37981
{txt}{space 25}_cons {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-30.98119{col 44}{space 2} 117.6652{col 55}{space 1}   -0.26{col 64}{space 3}0.793{col 72}{space 4}-264.4544{col 85}{space 3}  202.492
{txt}{hline 31}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 4.285
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.117
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. ** POST-ESTIMATION DIAGNOSTICS OF THE RESIDUALS FOR SKEWNESS, KURTOSIS, AND INFLUENTIAL-LEVERAGE OBSERVATIONS *** 
. 
. predict tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6k, cooksd
{txt}(202 missing values generated)

{com}. 
. *
. *
. *
. *
. 
. list electionresults eddurmonths2 general tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6k if tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6k >= 1  & eddur2binary==1
{txt}
     {c TLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c TRC}
     {c |} {res}elect~ts   eddurm~2   general   tenur~6k {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 11. {c |} {res}    1.64         56         1   1.072995 {txt}{c |}
 30. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.583524 {txt}{c |}
 32. {c |} {res}     100         17         0   1.088481 {txt}{c |}
 39. {c |} {res}    17.8         46         0          . {txt}{c |}
 40. {c |} {res}    62.3         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
 41. {c |} {res}    33.8         44         0          . {txt}{c |}
 42. {c |} {res}    61.2         45         0          . {txt}{c |}
 65. {c |} {res}    91.4         17         0   1.077185 {txt}{c |}
 95. {c |} {res}    36.6         66         0   1.157757 {txt}{c |}
112. {c |} {res}       0         11         1   3.204291 {txt}{c |}
     {c LT}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c RT}
118. {c |} {res}     100          1         0   1.238749 {txt}{c |}
     {c BLC}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 10}{c -}{hline 9}{c -}{hline 10}{c BRC}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-6L    RESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES [EXCLUDING CASES CONTAINING COOK'S D VALUES >= 1.0 IN UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE] ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults relpersonalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 relpicryearann lastelectionresults relpincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty relincumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & tenurefullresidsimrcooksi6k < 1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.38372973
{txt}Number of obs = {res}108
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.6389425

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 31}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}               electionresults{col 32}{c |}      Coef.{col 44}   Std. Err.{col 56}      t{col 64}   P>|t|{col 72}     [95% Con{col 85}f. Interval]
{hline 31}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
relpersonalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 6.283504{col 44}{space 2}  3.42832{col 55}{space 1}    1.83{col 64}{space 3}0.070{col 72}{space 4} -.525436{col 85}{space 3} 13.09244
{txt}{space 18}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-.0475242{col 44}{space 2}   .08211{col 55}{space 1}   -0.58{col 64}{space 3}0.564{col 72}{space 4}-.2106018{col 85}{space 3} .1155534
{txt}{space 16}relpicryearann {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-.0700416{col 44}{space 2} .0304876{col 55}{space 1}   -2.30{col 64}{space 3}0.024{col 72}{space 4}-.1305927{col 85}{space 3}-.0094906
{txt}{space 11}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-.1944651{col 44}{space 2} .3791993{col 55}{space 1}   -0.51{col 64}{space 3}0.609{col 72}{space 4}-.9475876{col 85}{space 3} .5586575
{txt}{space 2}relpincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-1.053511{col 44}{space 2}  2.46237{col 55}{space 1}   -0.43{col 64}{space 3}0.670{col 72}{space 4} -5.94399{col 85}{space 3} 3.836968
{txt}{space 23}general {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-14.09667{col 44}{space 2} 5.969542{col 55}{space 1}   -2.36{col 64}{space 3}0.020{col 72}{space 4}-25.95269{col 85}{space 3} -2.24064
{txt}{space 20}senateseat {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}  6.98941{col 44}{space 2} 7.368482{col 55}{space 1}    0.95{col 64}{space 3}0.345{col 72}{space 4}-7.645031{col 85}{space 3} 21.62385
{txt}{space 19}incumbparty {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-9.879935{col 44}{space 2} 7.424619{col 55}{space 1}   -1.33{col 64}{space 3}0.187{col 72}{space 4}-24.62587{col 85}{space 3} 4.865999
{txt}{space 5}relincumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 3.930929{col 44}{space 2} 9.336606{col 55}{space 1}    0.42{col 64}{space 3}0.675{col 72}{space 4}-14.61238{col 85}{space 3} 22.47423
{txt}{space 17}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-2.075458{col 44}{space 2} 5.949971{col 55}{space 1}   -0.35{col 64}{space 3}0.728{col 72}{space 4}-13.89261{col 85}{space 3} 9.741698
{txt}{space 16}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .2979738{col 44}{space 2} .5006915{col 55}{space 1}    0.60{col 64}{space 3}0.553{col 72}{space 4}-.6964427{col 85}{space 3}  1.29239
{txt}{space 6}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} .2017843{col 44}{space 2} .3256869{col 55}{space 1}    0.62{col 64}{space 3}0.537{col 72}{space 4} -.445058{col 85}{space 3} .8486267
{txt}{space 26}imr4 {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 120.9309{col 44}{space 2} 147.1943{col 55}{space 1}    0.82{col 64}{space 3}0.413{col 72}{space 4}-171.4097{col 85}{space 3} 413.2715
{txt}{space 24}imr4sq {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2}-42.25171{col 44}{space 2} 50.93538{col 55}{space 1}   -0.83{col 64}{space 3}0.409{col 72}{space 4}-143.4138{col 85}{space 3} 58.91036
{txt}{space 21}imr4cubic {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} 4.427437{col 44}{space 2} 5.465373{col 55}{space 1}    0.81{col 64}{space 3}0.420{col 72}{space 4}-6.427267{col 85}{space 3} 15.28214
{txt}{space 25}_cons {c |}{col 32}{res}{space 2} -29.7274{col 44}{space 2}  123.224{col 55}{space 1}   -0.24{col 64}{space 3}0.810{col 72}{space 4}-274.4609{col 85}{space 3} 215.0061
{txt}{hline 31}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 4.891
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.087
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom relpersonalincomerecentyearann + relpicryearann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecentyearann + relpicryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.213462{col 26}{space 2}  3.40635{col 37}{space 1}    1.82{col 46}{space 3}0.071{col 54}{space 4}-.5518436{col 67}{space 3} 12.97877
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecentyearann + relpicryearann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}relpicryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.443004{col 26}{space 2} 3.173986{col 37}{space 1}    1.71{col 46}{space 3}0.090{col 54}{space 4}-.8608065{col 67}{space 3} 11.74681
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecentyearann + relpicryearann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}relpicryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.602504{col 26}{space 2} 2.943245{col 37}{space 1}    1.56{col 46}{space 3}0.121{col 54}{space 4}-1.243035{col 67}{space 3} 10.44804
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom relpersonalincomerecentyearann + relpicryearann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}relpicryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.762005{col 26}{space 2}  2.74206{col 37}{space 1}    1.37{col 46}{space 3}0.173{col 54}{space 4}-1.683962{col 67}{space 3} 9.207972
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecentyearann + relpicryearann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}relpicryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.921505{col 26}{space 2}  2.57736{col 37}{space 1}    1.13{col 46}{space 3}0.260{col 54}{space 4}-2.197354{col 67}{space 3} 8.040364
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecentyearann + relpicryearann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}relpicryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.081005{col 26}{space 2} 2.456496{col 37}{space 1}    0.85{col 46}{space 3}0.399{col 54}{space 4}-2.797808{col 67}{space 3} 6.959818
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom relpersonalincomerecentyearann + relpicryearann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}relpicryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.240505{col 26}{space 2} 2.386138{col 37}{space 1}    0.52{col 46}{space 3}0.604{col 54}{space 4}-3.498571{col 67}{space 3} 5.979582
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecentyearann + relpicryearann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}relpicryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4000057{col 26}{space 2} 2.370787{col 37}{space 1}    0.17{col 46}{space 3}0.866{col 54}{space 4}-4.308583{col 67}{space 3} 5.108594
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecentyearann + relpicryearann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}relpicryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.440494{col 26}{space 2} 2.411494{col 37}{space 1}   -0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.855{col 54}{space 4} -5.22993{col 67}{space 3} 4.348942
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecentyearann + relpicryearann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}relpicryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.280994{col 26}{space 2} 2.505528{col 37}{space 1}   -0.51{col 46}{space 3}0.610{col 54}{space 4}-6.257189{col 67}{space 3} 3.695202
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecentyearann + relpicryearann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}relpicryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.121493{col 26}{space 2} 2.647213{col 37}{space 1}   -0.80{col 46}{space 3}0.425{col 54}{space 4}-7.379086{col 67}{space 3} 3.136099
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom relpersonalincomerecentyearann + relpicryearann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}relpicryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.961993{col 26}{space 2} 2.829398{col 37}{space 1}   -1.05{col 46}{space 3}0.298{col 54}{space 4}-8.581421{col 67}{space 3} 2.657435
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom relpersonalincomerecentyearann + relpicryearann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}relpersonalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}relpicryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.802493{col 26}{space 2} 3.044822{col 37}{space 1}   -1.25{col 46}{space 3}0.215{col 54}{space 4}-9.849773{col 67}{space 3} 2.244787
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
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. ***** TABLE SI-7:  DISAGGREGATE MODELS BROKEN DOWN BY "SHARED PARTISAN AFFILIATION WITH PRESIDENT" VERSUS "OTHERWISE" OBSERVATIONS ******
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** MODEL SI-7A    "SHARED PARTISAN AFFILIATON WITH PRESIDENT" [TENURE: p >= 0.516] SUBSAMPLE [WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & sharedprespartytenure >= 0.516, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.51079824
{txt}Number of obs = {res}50
{txt}Objective function = {res}4.9329735

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.079853{col 46}{space 2} 20.36325{col 57}{space 1}    0.05{col 66}{space 3}0.958{col 74}{space 4}-40.18001{col 87}{space 3} 42.33972
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1754677{col 46}{space 2} 1.490883{col 57}{space 1}   -0.12{col 66}{space 3}0.907{col 74}{space 4}-3.196283{col 87}{space 3} 2.845347
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1027777{col 46}{space 2} .5911725{col 57}{space 1}    0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.863{col 74}{space 4}-1.095052{col 87}{space 3} 1.300607
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2244856{col 46}{space 2} 1.697245{col 57}{space 1}    0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.895{col 74}{space 4}-3.214459{col 87}{space 3}  3.66343
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.973706{col 46}{space 2} 6.996235{col 57}{space 1}    0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.779{col 74}{space 4}-12.20201{col 87}{space 3} 16.14943
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-18.34534{col 46}{space 2} 25.45891{col 57}{space 1}   -0.72{col 66}{space 3}0.476{col 74}{space 4}-69.92998{col 87}{space 3} 33.23931
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.042627{col 46}{space 2}  37.3675{col 57}{space 1}   -0.08{col 66}{space 3}0.936{col 74}{space 4}-78.75638{col 87}{space 3} 72.67113
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -7.02895{col 46}{space 2} 62.29879{col 57}{space 1}   -0.11{col 66}{space 3}0.911{col 74}{space 4}-133.2583{col 87}{space 3} 119.2004
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.7610732{col 46}{space 2} 19.05139{col 57}{space 1}   -0.04{col 66}{space 3}0.968{col 74}{space 4}-39.36285{col 87}{space 3} 37.84071
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.524244{col 46}{space 2} 31.06754{col 57}{space 1}   -0.27{col 66}{space 3}0.785{col 74}{space 4}-71.47306{col 87}{space 3} 54.42457
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.150775{col 46}{space 2} 5.699342{col 57}{space 1}   -0.20{col 66}{space 3}0.841{col 74}{space 4}-12.69874{col 87}{space 3} 10.39719
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3488177{col 46}{space 2} 1.585156{col 57}{space 1}    0.22{col 66}{space 3}0.827{col 74}{space 4}-2.863013{col 87}{space 3} 3.560648
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 59.21854{col 46}{space 2} 113.6447{col 57}{space 1}    0.52{col 66}{space 3}0.605{col 74}{space 4}-171.0476{col 87}{space 3} 289.4846
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 1.263
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.532
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-7B    "OTHERWISE"  [TENURE: p < 0.516] SUBSAMPLE  [WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & sharedprespartytenure < 0.516

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.30983753
{txt}Number of obs = {res}65
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.9441716

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 8.877707{col 46}{space 2} 2.215065{col 57}{space 1}    4.01{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 4.432853{col 87}{space 3} 13.32256
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0704024{col 46}{space 2} .0743398{col 57}{space 1}    0.95{col 66}{space 3}0.348{col 74}{space 4}-.0787713{col 87}{space 3} .2195761
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0946114{col 46}{space 2} .0395982{col 57}{space 1}   -2.39{col 66}{space 3}0.021{col 74}{space 4} -.174071{col 87}{space 3}-.0151518
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3099947{col 46}{space 2} .4648173{col 57}{space 1}   -0.67{col 66}{space 3}0.508{col 74}{space 4}-1.242719{col 87}{space 3} .6227294
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.377093{col 46}{space 2} 1.172938{col 57}{space 1}   -0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.749{col 74}{space 4}-2.730765{col 87}{space 3} 1.976579
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-13.14686{col 46}{space 2} 7.853384{col 57}{space 1}   -1.67{col 66}{space 3}0.100{col 74}{space 4}-28.90583{col 87}{space 3} 2.612109
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.341704{col 46}{space 2} 4.758332{col 57}{space 1}    1.33{col 66}{space 3}0.188{col 74}{space 4}-3.206588{col 87}{space 3}    15.89
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -28.8433{col 46}{space 2} 15.37372{col 57}{space 1}   -1.88{col 66}{space 3}0.066{col 74}{space 4}-59.69293{col 87}{space 3}  2.00632
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4028094{col 46}{space 2} 2.777465{col 57}{space 1}   -0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.885{col 74}{space 4}  -5.9762{col 87}{space 3} 5.170581
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.927205{col 46}{space 2} 6.857258{col 57}{space 1}   -1.16{col 66}{space 3}0.253{col 74}{space 4} -21.6873{col 87}{space 3} 5.832891
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4737352{col 46}{space 2} .2942074{col 57}{space 1}    1.61{col 66}{space 3}0.113{col 74}{space 4}-.1166352{col 87}{space 3} 1.064106
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1693286{col 46}{space 2} .3012921{col 57}{space 1}    0.56{col 66}{space 3}0.577{col 74}{space 4}-.4352581{col 87}{space 3} .7739154
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  67.8824{col 46}{space 2} 28.34612{col 57}{space 1}    2.39{col 66}{space 3}0.020{col 74}{space 4} 11.00176{col 87}{space 3}  124.763
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res}12.883
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.002
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-7C   "SHARED PARTISAN AFFILIATON WITH PRESIDENT" [TENURE: p >= 0.516] SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & sharedprespartytenure >= 0.516, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.47174073
{txt}Number of obs = {res}50
{txt}Objective function = {res}4.8180805

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  3.97262{col 46}{space 2} 2.085812{col 57}{space 1}    1.90{col 66}{space 3}0.065{col 74}{space 4}-.2662593{col 87}{space 3} 8.211499
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4192433{col 46}{space 2} .1569595{col 57}{space 1}   -2.67{col 66}{space 3}0.012{col 74}{space 4}-.7382234{col 87}{space 3}-.1002632
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1777293{col 46}{space 2} .0628992{col 57}{space 1}    2.83{col 66}{space 3}0.008{col 74}{space 4} .0499027{col 87}{space 3} .3055559
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1470178{col 46}{space 2} .1823109{col 57}{space 1}    0.81{col 66}{space 3}0.426{col 74}{space 4}-.2234824{col 87}{space 3} .5175181
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.605824{col 46}{space 2} .6275442{col 57}{space 1}    2.56{col 66}{space 3}0.015{col 74}{space 4} .3305003{col 87}{space 3} 2.881147
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-20.70643{col 46}{space 2} 2.190988{col 57}{space 1}   -9.45{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-25.15905{col 87}{space 3}-16.25381
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.268055{col 46}{space 2}   3.9563{col 57}{space 1}    0.83{col 66}{space 3}0.415{col 74}{space 4}-4.772115{col 87}{space 3} 11.30822
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.941873{col 46}{space 2} 6.327894{col 57}{space 1}   -0.62{col 66}{space 3}0.537{col 74}{space 4} -16.8017{col 87}{space 3} 8.917955
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5776311{col 46}{space 2} 2.017482{col 57}{space 1}    0.29{col 66}{space 3}0.776{col 74}{space 4}-3.522385{col 87}{space 3} 4.677647
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.771136{col 46}{space 2} 3.268022{col 57}{space 1}   -1.15{col 66}{space 3}0.257{col 74}{space 4}-10.41255{col 87}{space 3} 2.870283
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.8722644{col 46}{space 2} .4707031{col 57}{space 1}   -1.85{col 66}{space 3}0.073{col 74}{space 4}-1.828848{col 87}{space 3} .0843194
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1018741{col 46}{space 2} .1455407{col 57}{space 1}   -0.70{col 66}{space 3}0.489{col 74}{space 4}-.3976485{col 87}{space 3} .1939003
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 188.7419{col 46}{space 2} 61.33941{col 57}{space 1}    3.08{col 66}{space 3}0.004{col 74}{space 4} 64.08518{col 87}{space 3} 313.3985
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-65.84116{col 46}{space 2} 20.96435{col 57}{space 1}   -3.14{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4}-108.4458{col 87}{space 3}-23.23649
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.163334{col 46}{space 2} 2.256804{col 57}{space 1}    3.17{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4} 2.576957{col 87}{space 3} 11.74971
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-113.3022{col 46}{space 2}  57.3812{col 57}{space 1}   -1.97{col 66}{space 3}0.056{col 74}{space 4}-229.9148{col 87}{space 3} 3.310401
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 2.435
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.296
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.150349{col 26}{space 2}  2.04859{col 37}{space 1}    2.03{col 46}{space 3}0.051{col 54}{space 4} -.012887{col 67}{space 3} 8.313585
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.105372{col 26}{space 2} 1.739593{col 37}{space 1}    3.51{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} 2.570093{col 67}{space 3} 9.640651
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 8.238124{col 26}{space 2} 1.685579{col 37}{space 1}    4.89{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.812615{col 67}{space 3} 11.66363
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 10.37088{col 26}{space 2} 1.948227{col 37}{space 1}    5.32{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 6.411603{col 67}{space 3} 14.33015
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 12.50363{col 26}{space 2} 2.426812{col 37}{space 1}    5.15{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 7.571753{col 67}{space 3}  17.4355
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 14.63638{col 26}{space 2} 3.020375{col 37}{space 1}    4.85{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  8.49824{col 67}{space 3} 20.77452
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 16.76913{col 26}{space 2} 3.673599{col 37}{space 1}    4.56{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 9.303481{col 67}{space 3} 24.23478
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 18.90188{col 26}{space 2} 4.359749{col 37}{space 1}    4.34{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 10.04181{col 67}{space 3} 27.76196
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 21.03464{col 26}{space 2} 5.065463{col 37}{space 1}    4.15{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 10.74038{col 67}{space 3} 31.32889
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 23.16739{col 26}{space 2} 5.783583{col 37}{space 1}    4.01{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 11.41373{col 67}{space 3} 34.92104
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 25.30014{col 26}{space 2} 6.510005{col 37}{space 1}    3.89{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 12.07022{col 67}{space 3} 38.53006
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 27.43289{col 26}{space 2} 7.242232{col 37}{space 1}    3.79{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} 12.71491{col 67}{space 3} 42.15088
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 29.56564{col 26}{space 2} 7.978665{col 37}{space 1}    3.71{col 46}{space 3}0.001{col 54}{space 4} 13.35105{col 67}{space 3} 45.78024
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-7D    "OTHERWISE"  [TENURE: p < 0.516]  SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & sharedprespartytenure < 0.516

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.36281012
{txt}Number of obs = {res}65
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.6052885

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 9.986669{col 46}{space 2} 3.291878{col 57}{space 1}    3.03{col 66}{space 3}0.004{col 74}{space 4} 3.371393{col 87}{space 3} 16.60194
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0155853{col 46}{space 2} .1120006{col 57}{space 1}   -0.14{col 66}{space 3}0.890{col 74}{space 4}-.2406589{col 87}{space 3} .2094884
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0732792{col 46}{space 2} .0299047{col 57}{space 1}   -2.45{col 66}{space 3}0.018{col 74}{space 4}-.1333749{col 87}{space 3}-.0131834
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1964752{col 46}{space 2} .3620349{col 57}{space 1}   -0.54{col 66}{space 3}0.590{col 74}{space 4}-.9240116{col 87}{space 3} .5310613
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4758977{col 46}{space 2} 1.699344{col 57}{space 1}    0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.781{col 74}{space 4}-2.939061{col 87}{space 3} 3.890857
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-15.85699{col 46}{space 2} 5.056663{col 57}{space 1}   -3.14{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4}-26.01874{col 87}{space 3}-5.695249
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  4.91312{col 46}{space 2} 4.941593{col 57}{space 1}    0.99{col 66}{space 3}0.325{col 74}{space 4}-5.017382{col 87}{space 3} 14.84362
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.69069{col 46}{space 2} 9.947509{col 57}{space 1}   -1.98{col 66}{space 3}0.053{col 74}{space 4}-39.68096{col 87}{space 3} .2995747
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.959512{col 46}{space 2} 1.888805{col 57}{space 1}   -1.04{col 66}{space 3}0.305{col 74}{space 4}-5.755208{col 87}{space 3} 1.836184
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.967818{col 46}{space 2} 9.555681{col 57}{space 1}   -0.42{col 66}{space 3}0.680{col 74}{space 4}-23.17068{col 87}{space 3} 15.23504
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4475704{col 46}{space 2} .1974019{col 57}{space 1}    2.27{col 66}{space 3}0.028{col 74}{space 4} .0508765{col 87}{space 3} .8442644
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0008648{col 46}{space 2} .2636709{col 57}{space 1}    0.00{col 66}{space 3}0.997{col 74}{space 4}-.5290016{col 87}{space 3} .5307312
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-328.7519{col 46}{space 2} 209.0731{col 57}{space 1}   -1.57{col 66}{space 3}0.122{col 74}{space 4}-748.8999{col 87}{space 3} 91.39619
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 119.4646{col 46}{space 2}  68.4871{col 57}{space 1}    1.74{col 66}{space 3}0.087{col 74}{space 4}-18.16535{col 87}{space 3} 257.0946
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-14.03676{col 46}{space 2} 7.236498{col 57}{space 1}   -1.94{col 66}{space 3}0.058{col 74}{space 4}-28.57905{col 87}{space 3} .5055296
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 348.4563{col 46}{space 2} 202.6085{col 57}{space 1}    1.72{col 66}{space 3}0.092{col 74}{space 4}-58.70072{col 87}{space 3} 755.6134
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 8.535
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.014
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 9.913389{col 26}{space 2} 3.273482{col 37}{space 1}    3.03{col 46}{space 3}0.004{col 54}{space 4} 3.335081{col 67}{space 3}  16.4917
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 9.107318{col 26}{space 2} 3.083052{col 37}{space 1}    2.95{col 46}{space 3}0.005{col 54}{space 4} 2.911693{col 67}{space 3} 15.30294
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 8.227968{col 26}{space 2} 2.903707{col 37}{space 1}    2.83{col 46}{space 3}0.007{col 54}{space 4}  2.39275{col 67}{space 3} 14.06319
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 7.348618{col 26}{space 2} 2.759598{col 37}{space 1}    2.66{col 46}{space 3}0.010{col 54}{space 4} 1.802999{col 67}{space 3} 12.89424
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.469268{col 26}{space 2} 2.656463{col 37}{space 1}    2.44{col 46}{space 3}0.019{col 54}{space 4} 1.130905{col 67}{space 3} 11.80763
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.589918{col 26}{space 2} 2.599187{col 37}{space 1}    2.15{col 46}{space 3}0.036{col 54}{space 4} .3666571{col 67}{space 3} 10.81318
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.710568{col 26}{space 2} 2.590811{col 37}{space 1}    1.82{col 46}{space 3}0.075{col 54}{space 4}-.4958612{col 67}{space 3} 9.916997
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.831218{col 26}{space 2} 2.631803{col 37}{space 1}    1.46{col 46}{space 3}0.152{col 54}{space 4}-1.457588{col 67}{space 3} 9.120024
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.951868{col 26}{space 2} 2.719931{col 37}{space 1}    1.09{col 46}{space 3}0.283{col 54}{space 4}-2.514039{col 67}{space 3} 8.417775
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.072518{col 26}{space 2} 2.850829{col 37}{space 1}    0.73{col 46}{space 3}0.471{col 54}{space 4}-3.656437{col 67}{space 3} 7.801472
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.193168{col 26}{space 2} 3.018936{col 37}{space 1}    0.40{col 46}{space 3}0.694{col 54}{space 4}-4.873612{col 67}{space 3} 7.259947
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3138175{col 26}{space 2} 3.218429{col 37}{space 1}    0.10{col 46}{space 3}0.923{col 54}{space 4}-6.153858{col 67}{space 3} 6.781493
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5655326{col 26}{space 2} 3.443857{col 37}{space 1}   -0.16{col 46}{space 3}0.870{col 54}{space 4}-7.486222{col 67}{space 3} 6.355157
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-7E     "SHARED PARTISAN AFFILIATON WITH PRESIDENT" [LAST TERM: p >= 0.500] SUBSAMPLE [WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann  eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj   if eddur2binary==1 & sharedprespartylastterm >= 0.500, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.3570195
{txt}Number of obs = {res}65
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.5866156

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.002185{col 46}{space 2} 5.469106{col 57}{space 1}    0.91{col 66}{space 3}0.365{col 74}{space 4}-5.972378{col 87}{space 3} 15.97675
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0016948{col 46}{space 2}  .189588{col 57}{space 1}   -0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.993{col 74}{space 4} -.382131{col 87}{space 3} .3787414
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0078579{col 46}{space 2} .0727679{col 57}{space 1}    0.11{col 66}{space 3}0.914{col 74}{space 4}-.1381616{col 87}{space 3} .1538774
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5105127{col 46}{space 2} .6630624{col 57}{space 1}    0.77{col 66}{space 3}0.445{col 74}{space 4}-.8200193{col 87}{space 3} 1.841045
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .9349154{col 46}{space 2} 2.592952{col 57}{space 1}    0.36{col 66}{space 3}0.720{col 74}{space 4}-4.268223{col 87}{space 3} 6.138053
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.91548{col 46}{space 2} 9.282239{col 57}{space 1}   -1.93{col 66}{space 3}0.059{col 74}{space 4}-36.54165{col 87}{space 3} .7106986
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.988971{col 46}{space 2} 11.34951{col 57}{space 1}   -0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.662{col 74}{space 4}-27.76343{col 87}{space 3} 17.78549
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.42292{col 46}{space 2} 26.75866{col 57}{space 1}   -0.65{col 66}{space 3}0.518{col 74}{space 4}-71.11809{col 87}{space 3} 36.27225
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.293881{col 46}{space 2} 8.084477{col 57}{space 1}    0.16{col 66}{space 3}0.873{col 74}{space 4}-14.92881{col 87}{space 3} 17.51657
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-11.66426{col 46}{space 2} 9.982566{col 57}{space 1}   -1.17{col 66}{space 3}0.248{col 74}{space 4}-31.69575{col 87}{space 3} 8.367221
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.174531{col 46}{space 2} .6376884{col 57}{space 1}   -0.27{col 66}{space 3}0.785{col 74}{space 4}-1.454146{col 87}{space 3} 1.105084
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1477167{col 46}{space 2} .4987518{col 57}{space 1}    0.30{col 66}{space 3}0.768{col 74}{space 4}-.8531021{col 87}{space 3} 1.148535
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}   37.644{col 46}{space 2} 38.97761{col 57}{space 1}    0.97{col 66}{space 3}0.339{col 74}{space 4} -40.5703{col 87}{space 3} 115.8583
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 2.039
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.361
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-7F    "OTHERWISE"  [LAST TERM: p < 0.500] SUBSAMPLE [WIHTOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann  eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & sharedprespartylastterm < 0.500

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.36532096
{txt}Number of obs = {res}50
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.0977253

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.724112{col 46}{space 2} 2.059684{col 57}{space 1}    2.78{col 66}{space 3}0.009{col 74}{space 4} 1.550796{col 87}{space 3} 9.897428
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1138443{col 46}{space 2} .2292367{col 57}{space 1}   -0.50{col 66}{space 3}0.622{col 74}{space 4} -.578322{col 87}{space 3} .3506335
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0055959{col 46}{space 2}  .033186{col 57}{space 1}   -0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.867{col 74}{space 4}-.0728371{col 87}{space 3} .0616453
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.8409596{col 46}{space 2} .4462867{col 57}{space 1}   -1.88{col 66}{space 3}0.067{col 74}{space 4}-1.745222{col 87}{space 3} .0633031
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.030864{col 46}{space 2} 1.424801{col 57}{space 1}   -0.72{col 66}{space 3}0.474{col 74}{space 4}-3.917785{col 87}{space 3} 1.856058
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-28.28842{col 46}{space 2} 8.434565{col 57}{space 1}   -3.35{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4}-45.37847{col 87}{space 3}-11.19837
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 16.66766{col 46}{space 2} 11.66482{col 57}{space 1}    1.43{col 66}{space 3}0.161{col 74}{space 4}-6.967508{col 87}{space 3} 40.30283
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-26.86619{col 46}{space 2} 25.39138{col 57}{space 1}   -1.06{col 66}{space 3}0.297{col 74}{space 4}-78.31401{col 87}{space 3} 24.58164
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1808847{col 46}{space 2} 4.556751{col 57}{space 1}    0.04{col 66}{space 3}0.969{col 74}{space 4} -9.05197{col 87}{space 3} 9.413739
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.8660526{col 46}{space 2} 5.719006{col 57}{space 1}   -0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.880{col 74}{space 4}-12.45386{col 87}{space 3} 10.72176
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4360662{col 46}{space 2} 3.291377{col 57}{space 1}    0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.895{col 74}{space 4}-6.232898{col 87}{space 3}  7.10503
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4762961{col 46}{space 2} .3863631{col 57}{space 1}    1.23{col 66}{space 3}0.225{col 74}{space 4}-.3065499{col 87}{space 3} 1.259142
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 104.6915{col 46}{space 2} 31.34343{col 57}{space 1}    3.34{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4} 41.18365{col 87}{space 3} 168.1993
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res}11.190
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.004
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-7G   "SHARED PARTISAN AFFILIATON WITH PRESIDENT" [LAST TERM: p >= 0.500] SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann  eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & sharedprespartylastterm >= 0.500, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.43674325
{txt}Number of obs = {res}65
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.369156

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.863881{col 46}{space 2} 26.02123{col 57}{space 1}    0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.883{col 74}{space 4}-48.42774{col 87}{space 3}  56.1555
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0491767{col 46}{space 2} .9283615{col 57}{space 1}   -0.05{col 66}{space 3}0.958{col 74}{space 4}-1.914789{col 87}{space 3} 1.816436
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0284041{col 46}{space 2} .3422593{col 57}{space 1}    0.08{col 66}{space 3}0.934{col 74}{space 4}-.6593917{col 87}{space 3}    .7162
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}   .41147{col 46}{space 2} 3.199324{col 57}{space 1}    0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.898{col 74}{space 4}-6.017813{col 87}{space 3} 6.840753
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .8861501{col 46}{space 2} 12.58295{col 57}{space 1}    0.07{col 66}{space 3}0.944{col 74}{space 4}-24.40023{col 87}{space 3} 26.17253
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-15.05743{col 46}{space 2} 42.48078{col 57}{space 1}   -0.35{col 66}{space 3}0.725{col 74}{space 4}-100.4258{col 87}{space 3}  70.3109
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3711439{col 46}{space 2} 59.55998{col 57}{space 1}   -0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.995{col 74}{space 4}-120.0614{col 87}{space 3} 119.3191
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-21.86222{col 46}{space 2} 117.7659{col 57}{space 1}   -0.19{col 66}{space 3}0.853{col 74}{space 4}-258.5216{col 87}{space 3} 214.7971
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.171767{col 46}{space 2} 37.67391{col 57}{space 1}    0.06{col 66}{space 3}0.954{col 74}{space 4}-73.53679{col 87}{space 3} 77.88032
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -11.6735{col 46}{space 2}  50.8032{col 57}{space 1}   -0.23{col 66}{space 3}0.819{col 74}{space 4}-113.7664{col 87}{space 3} 90.41935
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2360976{col 46}{space 2} 2.624166{col 57}{space 1}   -0.09{col 66}{space 3}0.929{col 74}{space 4}-5.509557{col 87}{space 3} 5.037362
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2256721{col 46}{space 2}   2.5014{col 57}{space 1}   -0.09{col 66}{space 3}0.928{col 74}{space 4}-5.252425{col 87}{space 3}  4.80108
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  84.9917{col 46}{space 2} 881.3436{col 57}{space 1}    0.10{col 66}{space 3}0.924{col 74}{space 4}-1686.134{col 87}{space 3} 1856.118
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-32.17957{col 46}{space 2} 300.0095{col 57}{space 1}   -0.11{col 66}{space 3}0.915{col 74}{space 4}-635.0713{col 87}{space 3} 570.7122
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.624866{col 46}{space 2} 32.05294{col 57}{space 1}    0.11{col 66}{space 3}0.910{col 74}{space 4}-60.78793{col 87}{space 3} 68.03767
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-28.17103{col 46}{space 2} 795.5105{col 57}{space 1}   -0.04{col 66}{space 3}0.972{col 74}{space 4}-1626.809{col 87}{space 3} 1570.467
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 0.434
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.805
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.892285{col 26}{space 2} 25.77817{col 37}{space 1}    0.15{col 46}{space 3}0.881{col 54}{space 4}-47.91088{col 67}{space 3} 55.69545
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  4.20473{col 26}{space 2} 23.26977{col 37}{space 1}    0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.857{col 54}{space 4}-42.55762{col 67}{space 3} 50.96708
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.545579{col 26}{space 2} 20.96656{col 37}{space 1}    0.22{col 46}{space 3}0.829{col 54}{space 4} -37.5883{col 67}{space 3} 46.67946
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.886429{col 26}{space 2} 19.27298{col 37}{space 1}    0.25{col 46}{space 3}0.801{col 54}{space 4}-33.84408{col 67}{space 3} 43.61694
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.227278{col 26}{space 2} 18.35853{col 37}{space 1}    0.28{col 46}{space 3}0.777{col 54}{space 4}-31.66558{col 67}{space 3} 42.12013
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.568128{col 26}{space 2} 18.34013{col 37}{space 1}    0.30{col 46}{space 3}0.763{col 54}{space 4}-31.28775{col 67}{space 3}   42.424
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.908977{col 26}{space 2} 19.22035{col 37}{space 1}    0.31{col 46}{space 3}0.760{col 54}{space 4}-32.71576{col 67}{space 3} 44.53372
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.249826{col 26}{space 2} 20.88588{col 37}{space 1}    0.30{col 46}{space 3}0.766{col 54}{space 4}-35.72192{col 67}{space 3} 48.22158
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.590676{col 26}{space 2} 23.16797{col 37}{space 1}    0.28{col 46}{space 3}0.777{col 54}{space 4}-39.96711{col 67}{space 3} 53.14846
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.931525{col 26}{space 2} 25.90418{col 37}{space 1}    0.27{col 46}{space 3}0.790{col 54}{space 4}-45.12488{col 67}{space 3} 58.98793
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 7.272374{col 26}{space 2}  28.9661{col 37}{space 1}    0.25{col 46}{space 3}0.803{col 54}{space 4}-50.93718{col 67}{space 3} 65.48193
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 7.613224{col 26}{space 2} 32.26112{col 37}{space 1}    0.24{col 46}{space 3}0.814{col 54}{space 4}-57.21793{col 67}{space 3} 72.44438
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 7.954073{col 26}{space 2} 35.72481{col 37}{space 1}    0.22{col 46}{space 3}0.825{col 54}{space 4}-63.83762{col 67}{space 3} 79.74576
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-7H   "OTHERWISE"  [LAST TERM: p < 0.500] SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann  eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & sharedprespartylastterm < 0.500

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.47826689
{txt}Number of obs = {res}50
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.2148519

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.370266{col 46}{space 2} 4.014446{col 57}{space 1}    1.59{col 66}{space 3}0.122{col 74}{space 4} -1.78807{col 87}{space 3}  14.5286
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1038985{col 46}{space 2} .5217221{col 57}{space 1}   -0.20{col 66}{space 3}0.843{col 74}{space 4}-1.164165{col 87}{space 3} .9563684
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0042862{col 46}{space 2} .0844671{col 57}{space 1}   -0.05{col 66}{space 3}0.960{col 74}{space 4}-.1759439{col 87}{space 3} .1673715
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  -.32601{col 46}{space 2} 1.888114{col 57}{space 1}   -0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.864{col 74}{space 4} -4.16312{col 87}{space 3}   3.5111
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.989153{col 46}{space 2} 2.270338{col 57}{space 1}   -0.88{col 66}{space 3}0.387{col 74}{space 4}-6.603034{col 87}{space 3} 2.624728
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-29.67755{col 46}{space 2}  9.43061{col 57}{space 1}   -3.15{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4}-48.84285{col 87}{space 3}-10.51224
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 11.46059{col 46}{space 2}  21.8103{col 57}{space 1}    0.53{col 66}{space 3}0.603{col 74}{space 4}-32.86328{col 87}{space 3} 55.78446
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-24.11395{col 46}{space 2} 94.06335{col 57}{space 1}   -0.26{col 66}{space 3}0.799{col 74}{space 4}-215.2737{col 87}{space 3} 167.0458
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1574109{col 46}{space 2} 13.27118{col 57}{space 1}   -0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.991{col 74}{space 4}-27.12769{col 87}{space 3} 26.81287
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.754151{col 46}{space 2} 13.76349{col 57}{space 1}   -0.27{col 66}{space 3}0.787{col 74}{space 4}-31.72493{col 87}{space 3} 24.21663
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2588255{col 46}{space 2} 4.610387{col 57}{space 1}   -0.06{col 66}{space 3}0.956{col 74}{space 4}-9.628259{col 87}{space 3} 9.110608
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5492406{col 46}{space 2} 1.822879{col 57}{space 1}    0.30{col 66}{space 3}0.765{col 74}{space 4}-3.155296{col 87}{space 3} 4.253777
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-495.3229{col 46}{space 2} 955.8137{col 57}{space 1}   -0.52{col 66}{space 3}0.608{col 74}{space 4} -2437.77{col 87}{space 3} 1447.124
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 175.1432{col 46}{space 2} 335.0875{col 57}{space 1}    0.52{col 66}{space 3}0.605{col 74}{space 4}-505.8365{col 87}{space 3} 856.1229
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.85351{col 46}{space 2} 37.08686{col 57}{space 1}   -0.54{col 66}{space 3}0.596{col 74}{space 4}-95.22308{col 87}{space 3} 55.51607
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 529.1351{col 46}{space 2} 785.1204{col 57}{space 1}    0.67{col 66}{space 3}0.505{col 74}{space 4}-1066.422{col 87}{space 3} 2124.692
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 6.807
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.033
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  6.36598{col 26}{space 2} 4.033985{col 37}{space 1}    1.58{col 46}{space 3}0.124{col 54}{space 4}-1.832064{col 67}{space 3} 14.56402
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.318831{col 26}{space 2} 4.352546{col 37}{space 1}    1.45{col 46}{space 3}0.156{col 54}{space 4}-2.526607{col 67}{space 3} 15.16427
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.267397{col 26}{space 2} 4.881427{col 37}{space 1}    1.28{col 46}{space 3}0.208{col 54}{space 4}-3.652856{col 67}{space 3} 16.18765
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.215962{col 26}{space 2} 5.546781{col 37}{space 1}    1.12{col 46}{space 3}0.270{col 54}{space 4}-5.056454{col 67}{space 3} 17.48838
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.164528{col 26}{space 2} 6.305556{col 37}{space 1}    0.98{col 46}{space 3}0.335{col 54}{space 4}-6.649903{col 67}{space 3} 18.97896
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.113093{col 26}{space 2} 7.127978{col 37}{space 1}    0.86{col 46}{space 3}0.397{col 54}{space 4}-8.372701{col 67}{space 3} 20.59889
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.061658{col 26}{space 2} 7.994429{col 37}{space 1}    0.76{col 46}{space 3}0.454{col 54}{space 4}-10.18498{col 67}{space 3} 22.30829
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.010224{col 26}{space 2} 8.892047{col 37}{space 1}    0.68{col 46}{space 3}0.504{col 54}{space 4}-12.06059{col 67}{space 3} 24.08104
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.958789{col 26}{space 2} 9.812283{col 37}{space 1}    0.61{col 46}{space 3}0.548{col 54}{space 4}-13.98217{col 67}{space 3} 25.89975
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.907355{col 26}{space 2} 10.74933{col 37}{space 1}    0.55{col 46}{space 3}0.586{col 54}{space 4}-15.93791{col 67}{space 3} 27.75262
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  5.85592{col 26}{space 2} 11.69915{col 37}{space 1}    0.50{col 46}{space 3}0.620{col 54}{space 4}-17.91961{col 67}{space 3} 29.63145
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.804485{col 26}{space 2} 12.65886{col 37}{space 1}    0.46{col 46}{space 3}0.649{col 54}{space 4}-19.92142{col 67}{space 3} 31.53039
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 5.753051{col 26}{space 2} 13.62639{col 37}{space 1}    0.42{col 46}{space 3}0.676{col 54}{space 4} -21.9391{col 67}{space 3}  33.4452
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-7I   "SHARED PARTISAN AFFILIATON WITH PRESIDENT" [FINAL YEAR: p = 1.000]  SUBSAMPLE [WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann  eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj   if eddur2binary==1 & sharedprespartyfinalyear==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.38537806
{txt}Number of obs = {res}51
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.648218

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.991188{col 46}{space 2} .6069665{col 57}{space 1}   13.17{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 6.762448{col 87}{space 3} 9.219927
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1632383{col 46}{space 2}  .044347{col 57}{space 1}    3.68{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4} .0734624{col 87}{space 3} .2530141
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0625101{col 46}{space 2} .0136077{col 57}{space 1}   -4.59{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.0900575{col 87}{space 3}-.0349627
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5232435{col 46}{space 2} .0776653{col 57}{space 1}    6.74{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .3660184{col 87}{space 3} .6804687
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1174404{col 46}{space 2} .3302518{col 57}{space 1}    0.36{col 66}{space 3}0.724{col 74}{space 4}-.5511195{col 87}{space 3} .7860003
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.04642{col 46}{space 2} 1.021274{col 57}{space 1}  -18.65{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-21.11389{col 87}{space 3}-16.97896
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.40844{col 46}{space 2} 1.415629{col 57}{space 1}   -8.77{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-15.27423{col 87}{space 3}-9.542644
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.123284{col 46}{space 2} 2.309097{col 57}{space 1}   -2.22{col 66}{space 3}0.033{col 74}{space 4}-9.797808{col 87}{space 3}-.4487612
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.691161{col 46}{space 2} .7263983{col 57}{space 1}   -6.46{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-6.161678{col 87}{space 3}-3.220645
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-11.04888{col 46}{space 2}  1.15869{col 57}{space 1}   -9.54{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-13.39452{col 87}{space 3} -8.70323
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.6160899{col 46}{space 2} .0504656{col 57}{space 1}  -12.21{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.7182521{col 87}{space 3}-.5139276
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2832817{col 46}{space 2} .0669735{col 57}{space 1}    4.23{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}  .147701{col 87}{space 3} .4188624
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 36.83223{col 46}{space 2} 4.880147{col 57}{space 1}    7.55{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 26.95289{col 87}{space 3} 46.71157
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 0.376
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.829
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-7J   "OTHERWISE" [FINAL YEAR: p < 1.000]  SUBSAMPLE [WIHTOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann  eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & sharedprespartyfinalyear < 1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.39359427
{txt}Number of obs = {res}64
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.9745812

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.990187{col 46}{space 2} 6.837342{col 57}{space 1}    0.58{col 66}{space 3}0.562{col 74}{space 4}-9.736351{col 87}{space 3} 17.71672
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3392299{col 46}{space 2} .1404146{col 57}{space 1}   -2.42{col 66}{space 3}0.019{col 74}{space 4} -.621124{col 87}{space 3}-.0573358
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0003661{col 46}{space 2} .0458662{col 57}{space 1}   -0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.994{col 74}{space 4}-.0924463{col 87}{space 3} .0917142
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0316644{col 46}{space 2} .6487165{col 57}{space 1}    0.05{col 66}{space 3}0.961{col 74}{space 4}-1.270688{col 87}{space 3} 1.334017
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.468463{col 46}{space 2} 5.225959{col 57}{space 1}   -0.47{col 66}{space 3}0.639{col 74}{space 4}-12.96001{col 87}{space 3} 8.023087
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-20.70444{col 46}{space 2} 8.275763{col 57}{space 1}   -2.50{col 66}{space 3}0.016{col 74}{space 4}-37.31872{col 87}{space 3}-4.090149
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 18.89273{col 46}{space 2} 12.03125{col 57}{space 1}    1.57{col 66}{space 3}0.123{col 74}{space 4}-5.261002{col 87}{space 3} 43.04647
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.203135{col 46}{space 2} 86.76148{col 57}{space 1}   -0.04{col 66}{space 3}0.971{col 74}{space 4}-177.3841{col 87}{space 3} 170.9778
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.779358{col 46}{space 2} 25.66194{col 57}{space 1}   -0.26{col 66}{space 3}0.793{col 74}{space 4}-58.29786{col 87}{space 3} 44.73914
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.695022{col 46}{space 2} 7.954185{col 57}{space 1}    0.84{col 66}{space 3}0.404{col 74}{space 4} -9.27367{col 87}{space 3} 22.66371
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.802494{col 46}{space 2} 1.314246{col 57}{space 1}    2.89{col 66}{space 3}0.006{col 74}{space 4} 1.164036{col 87}{space 3} 6.440953
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0956424{col 46}{space 2} .2868289{col 57}{space 1}    0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.740{col 74}{space 4}-.4801906{col 87}{space 3} .6714753
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 48.44718{col 46}{space 2} 37.41447{col 57}{space 1}    1.29{col 66}{space 3}0.201{col 74}{space 4}-26.66551{col 87}{space 3} 123.5599
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res}20.458
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.000
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-7K   "SHARED PARTISAN AFFILIATON WITH PRESIDENT" [FINAL YEAR: p = 1.000]  SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann  eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & sharedprespartyfinalyear==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.39531482
{txt}Number of obs = {res}51
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.5170443

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.475532{col 46}{space 2} 1.14e-07{col 57}{space 1} 6.5e+07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 7.475532{col 87}{space 3} 7.475532
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2869569{col 46}{space 2} 7.91e-09{col 57}{space 1} 3.6e+07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .2869569{col 87}{space 3} .2869569
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0993537{col 46}{space 2} 2.47e-09{col 57}{space 1}-4.0e+07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.0993537{col 87}{space 3}-.0993537
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .486031{col 46}{space 2} 1.60e-08{col 57}{space 1} 3.0e+07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}  .486031{col 87}{space 3}  .486031
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1758632{col 46}{space 2} 6.19e-08{col 57}{space 1} 2.8e+06{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .1758631{col 87}{space 3} .1758633
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.57636{col 46}{space 2} 1.87e-07{col 57}{space 1}-8.8e+07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-16.57636{col 87}{space 3}-16.57636
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.135088{col 46}{space 2} 2.93e-07{col 57}{space 1}-3.1e+07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-9.135088{col 87}{space 3}-9.135087
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.338553{col 46}{space 2} 3.93e-07{col 57}{space 1}-1.4e+07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-5.338554{col 87}{space 3}-5.338552
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -3.50194{col 46}{space 2} 1.30e-07{col 57}{space 1}-2.7e+07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-3.501941{col 87}{space 3} -3.50194
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.204217{col 46}{space 2} 2.27e-07{col 57}{space 1} 5.3e+06{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 1.204217{col 87}{space 3} 1.204218
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.6078384{col 46}{space 2} 9.87e-09{col 57}{space 1}-6.2e+07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.6078385{col 87}{space 3}-.6078384
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4379979{col 46}{space 2} 1.47e-08{col 57}{space 1} 3.0e+07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .4379979{col 87}{space 3} .4379979
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 106.3957{col 46}{space 2} 3.98e-06{col 57}{space 1} 2.7e+07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 106.3957{col 87}{space 3} 106.3957
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-34.92827{col 46}{space 2} 1.38e-06{col 57}{space 1}-2.5e+07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-34.92827{col 87}{space 3}-34.92826
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.520177{col 46}{space 2} 1.50e-07{col 57}{space 1} 2.4e+07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 3.520177{col 87}{space 3} 3.520177
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-69.04597{col 46}{space 2} 3.35e-06{col 57}{space 1}-2.1e+07{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-69.04598{col 87}{space 3}-69.04597
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 0.432
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.806
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. **** EXCLUDE ANCILLARY CONTROL COVARIATES IN MODEL SA-7K DUE TO UNSTABLE ESTIMATES  ****
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann  eddurmonths2 picryearann  imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & sharedprespartyfinalyear==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.19670093
{txt}Number of obs = {res}51
{txt}Objective function = {res}6.8313203

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 28}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}            electionresults{col 29}{c |}      Coef.{col 41}   Std. Err.{col 53}      t{col 61}   P>|t|{col 69}     [95% Con{col 82}f. Interval]
{hline 28}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} 3.863264{col 41}{space 2} 3.172372{col 52}{space 1}    1.22{col 61}{space 3}0.230{col 69}{space 4}-2.530233{col 82}{space 3} 10.25676
{txt}{space 15}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} .0318527{col 41}{space 2} .1620385{col 52}{space 1}    0.20{col 61}{space 3}0.845{col 69}{space 4}-.2947144{col 82}{space 3} .3584197
{txt}{space 16}picryearann {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-.0350195{col 41}{space 2} .0536076{col 52}{space 1}   -0.65{col 61}{space 3}0.517{col 69}{space 4}-.1430585{col 82}{space 3} .0730195
{txt}{space 23}imr4 {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} 259.8128{col 41}{space 2}  107.215{col 52}{space 1}    2.42{col 61}{space 3}0.020{col 69}{space 4} 43.73524{col 82}{space 3} 475.8904
{txt}{space 21}imr4sq {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-93.45157{col 41}{space 2} 37.04036{col 52}{space 1}   -2.52{col 61}{space 3}0.015{col 69}{space 4}-168.1015{col 82}{space 3}-18.80162
{txt}{space 18}imr4cubic {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} 10.35201{col 41}{space 2} 4.009765{col 52}{space 1}    2.58{col 61}{space 3}0.013{col 69}{space 4} 2.270855{col 82}{space 3} 18.43316
{txt}{space 22}_cons {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-176.7342{col 41}{space 2} 99.70031{col 52}{space 1}   -1.77{col 61}{space 3}0.083{col 69}{space 4} -377.667{col 82}{space 3} 24.19855
{txt}{hline 28}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 2.578
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.275
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-7L   "OTHERWISE"  [FINAL YEAR: p < 1.000]  SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann  eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & sharedprespartyfinalyear < 1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.41995578
{txt}Number of obs = {res}64
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.7097393

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.082252{col 46}{space 2} 3.478468{col 57}{space 1}    0.60{col 66}{space 3}0.552{col 74}{space 4}-4.911676{col 87}{space 3} 9.076181
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1929916{col 46}{space 2} .2417993{col 57}{space 1}   -0.80{col 66}{space 3}0.429{col 74}{space 4}-.6791617{col 87}{space 3} .2931784
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0083517{col 46}{space 2} .0392267{col 57}{space 1}   -0.21{col 66}{space 3}0.832{col 74}{space 4}-.0872223{col 87}{space 3} .0705189
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1506215{col 46}{space 2} .4513493{col 57}{space 1}   -0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.740{col 74}{space 4} -1.05812{col 87}{space 3} .7568771
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2743617{col 46}{space 2} 1.885367{col 57}{space 1}    0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.885{col 74}{space 4}-3.516422{col 87}{space 3} 4.065146
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.73668{col 46}{space 2} 6.631631{col 57}{space 1}   -2.67{col 66}{space 3}0.010{col 74}{space 4}-31.07047{col 87}{space 3}-4.402891
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 11.21385{col 46}{space 2} 7.689445{col 57}{space 1}    1.46{col 66}{space 3}0.151{col 74}{space 4}-4.246814{col 87}{space 3} 26.67452
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 9.854834{col 46}{space 2} 20.68629{col 57}{space 1}    0.48{col 66}{space 3}0.636{col 74}{space 4}-31.73773{col 87}{space 3}  51.4474
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.96701{col 46}{space 2} 7.399506{col 57}{space 1}   -1.75{col 66}{space 3}0.086{col 74}{space 4}-27.84472{col 87}{space 3} 1.910691
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.117303{col 46}{space 2} 9.414752{col 57}{space 1}    0.22{col 66}{space 3}0.823{col 74}{space 4}-16.81232{col 87}{space 3} 21.04693
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.468475{col 46}{space 2} 3.014196{col 57}{space 1}    0.82{col 66}{space 3}0.417{col 74}{space 4}-3.591972{col 87}{space 3} 8.528923
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1481152{col 46}{space 2} .4994276{col 57}{space 1}    0.30{col 66}{space 3}0.768{col 74}{space 4}-.8560513{col 87}{space 3} 1.152282
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-18.26079{col 46}{space 2} 315.4752{col 57}{space 1}   -0.06{col 66}{space 3}0.954{col 74}{space 4}-652.5662{col 87}{space 3} 616.0446
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 13.84734{col 46}{space 2} 102.7731{col 57}{space 1}    0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.893{col 74}{space 4}-192.7918{col 87}{space 3} 220.4864
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.536825{col 46}{space 2} 10.92273{col 57}{space 1}   -0.23{col 66}{space 3}0.817{col 74}{space 4}-24.49844{col 87}{space 3} 19.42479
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 62.66654{col 46}{space 2}  312.623{col 57}{space 1}    0.20{col 66}{space 3}0.842{col 74}{space 4}-565.9041{col 87}{space 3} 691.2372
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 8.117
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.017
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** EXCLUDE ANCILLARY CONTROL COVARIATES IN MODEL SI-7L DUE TO UNSTABLE ESTIMATES  ****
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann  eddurmonths2 picryearann  imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & sharedprespartyfinalyear < 1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.14939719
{txt}Number of obs = {res}64
{txt}Objective function = {res}7.2962886

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 28}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}            electionresults{col 29}{c |}      Coef.{col 41}   Std. Err.{col 53}      t{col 61}   P>|t|{col 69}     [95% Con{col 82}f. Interval]
{hline 28}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} 3.180603{col 41}{space 2} 1.508934{col 52}{space 1}    2.11{col 61}{space 3}0.039{col 69}{space 4} .1590153{col 82}{space 3} 6.202191
{txt}{space 15}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} -.018591{col 41}{space 2} .0526246{col 52}{space 1}   -0.35{col 61}{space 3}0.725{col 69}{space 4}  -.12397{col 82}{space 3}  .086788
{txt}{space 16}picryearann {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-.0305287{col 41}{space 2} .0180907{col 52}{space 1}   -1.69{col 61}{space 3}0.097{col 69}{space 4}-.0667548{col 82}{space 3} .0056974
{txt}{space 23}imr4 {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-149.2921{col 41}{space 2} 144.2019{col 52}{space 1}   -1.04{col 61}{space 3}0.305{col 69}{space 4}-438.0514{col 82}{space 3} 139.4672
{txt}{space 21}imr4sq {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} 57.22472{col 41}{space 2} 49.44224{col 52}{space 1}    1.16{col 61}{space 3}0.252{col 69}{space 4}-41.78165{col 82}{space 3} 156.2311
{txt}{space 18}imr4cubic {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-7.072741{col 41}{space 2}  5.44275{col 52}{space 1}   -1.30{col 61}{space 3}0.199{col 69}{space 4}-17.97166{col 82}{space 3} 3.826177
{txt}{space 22}_cons {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} 177.2974{col 41}{space 2} 136.9183{col 52}{space 1}    1.29{col 61}{space 3}0.201{col 69}{space 4}-96.87677{col 82}{space 3} 451.4716
{txt}{hline 28}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 2.638
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.267
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.150075{col 26}{space 2} 1.496643{col 37}{space 1}    2.10{col 46}{space 3}0.040{col 54}{space 4}  .153098{col 67}{space 3} 6.147051
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.814259{col 26}{space 2} 1.369963{col 37}{space 1}    2.05{col 46}{space 3}0.045{col 54}{space 4} .0709544{col 67}{space 3} 5.557563
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.447914{col 26}{space 2} 1.253385{col 37}{space 1}    1.95{col 46}{space 3}0.056{col 54}{space 4}-.0619452{col 67}{space 3} 4.957774
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  2.08157{col 26}{space 2} 1.165934{col 37}{space 1}    1.79{col 46}{space 3}0.080{col 54}{space 4}-.2531725{col 67}{space 3} 4.416312
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.715225{col 26}{space 2} 1.114489{col 37}{space 1}    1.54{col 46}{space 3}0.129{col 54}{space 4}-.5165003{col 67}{space 3} 3.946951
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.348881{col 26}{space 2} 1.104095{col 37}{space 1}    1.22{col 46}{space 3}0.227{col 54}{space 4}-.8620303{col 67}{space 3} 3.559792
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .9825365{col 26}{space 2} 1.135878{col 37}{space 1}    0.87{col 46}{space 3}0.391{col 54}{space 4} -1.29202{col 67}{space 3} 3.257093
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .616192{col 26}{space 2} 1.206511{col 37}{space 1}    0.51{col 46}{space 3}0.612{col 54}{space 4}-1.799804{col 67}{space 3} 3.032188
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .2498476{col 26}{space 2} 1.309723{col 37}{space 1}    0.19{col 46}{space 3}0.849{col 54}{space 4}-2.372827{col 67}{space 3} 2.872522
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.1164969{col 26}{space 2} 1.438518{col 37}{space 1}   -0.08{col 46}{space 3}0.936{col 54}{space 4}-2.997079{col 67}{space 3} 2.764085
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.4828413{col 26}{space 2} 1.586678{col 37}{space 1}   -0.30{col 46}{space 3}0.762{col 54}{space 4} -3.66011{col 67}{space 3} 2.694427
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.8491858{col 26}{space 2} 1.749291{col 37}{space 1}   -0.49{col 46}{space 3}0.629{col 54}{space 4} -4.35208{col 67}{space 3} 2.653708
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -1.21553{col 26}{space 2} 1.922692{col 37}{space 1}   -0.63{col 46}{space 3}0.530{col 54}{space 4}-5.065654{col 67}{space 3} 2.634593
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
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. ***** TABLE SI-8:  DISAGGREGATE MODELS BROKEN DOWN BY "INVOLUNTARY EXIT" VERSUS "VOLUNTARY EXIT" OBSERVATIONS ******
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** MODEL SI-8A    "INVOLUNTARY EXIT" EX-GOVERNOR SUBSAMPLE [WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & involuntaryexit==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.50399021
{txt}Number of obs = {res}25
{txt}Objective function = {res}3.3083692

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 37.54708{col 46}{space 2} 3.074171{col 57}{space 1}   12.21{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 30.84904{col 87}{space 3} 44.24513
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.021265{col 46}{space 2} .0987793{col 57}{space 1}   10.34{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .8060436{col 87}{space 3} 1.236487
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.7351609{col 46}{space 2}  .054548{col 57}{space 1}  -13.48{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.8540108{col 87}{space 3} -.616311
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.445445{col 46}{space 2} .2043847{col 57}{space 1}   11.96{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 2.000129{col 87}{space 3} 2.890761
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.057349{col 46}{space 2} .1018479{col 57}{space 1}  -20.20{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-2.279256{col 87}{space 3}-1.835441
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-21.00457{col 46}{space 2} 1.541756{col 57}{space 1}  -13.62{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-24.36377{col 87}{space 3}-17.64538
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.54585{col 46}{space 2} 3.171811{col 57}{space 1}   -6.16{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-26.45663{col 87}{space 3}-12.63507
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-58.24669{col 46}{space 2}  3.46379{col 57}{space 1}  -16.82{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-65.79364{col 87}{space 3}-50.69974
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.043644{col 46}{space 2} .4583243{col 57}{space 1}    4.46{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4} 1.045041{col 87}{space 3} 3.042247
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.343612{col 46}{space 2} .8468538{col 57}{space 1}   -2.77{col 66}{space 3}0.017{col 74}{space 4}-4.188748{col 87}{space 3}-.4984761
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6841738{col 46}{space 2} .0706373{col 57}{space 1}    9.69{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .5302685{col 87}{space 3} .8380792
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4304167{col 46}{space 2}  .108695{col 57}{space 1}    3.96{col 66}{space 3}0.002{col 74}{space 4} .1935907{col 87}{space 3} .6672426
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-103.5508{col 46}{space 2} 11.85811{col 57}{space 1}   -8.73{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-129.3874{col 87}{space 3} -77.7142
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 5.984
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.050
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-8B    "VOLUNTARY EXIT" EX-GOVERNOR SUBSAMPLE [WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & involuntaryexit==0, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.42934113
{txt}Number of obs = {res}90
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.6980216

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.913217{col 46}{space 2} 3.549455{col 57}{space 1}    2.23{col 66}{space 3}0.029{col 74}{space 4} .8453492{col 87}{space 3} 14.98108
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0122981{col 46}{space 2} .2104616{col 57}{space 1}    0.06{col 66}{space 3}0.954{col 74}{space 4}-.4067845{col 87}{space 3} .4313806
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0602287{col 46}{space 2} .0565999{col 57}{space 1}   -1.06{col 66}{space 3}0.291{col 74}{space 4}-.1729336{col 87}{space 3} .0524762
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3400397{col 46}{space 2}  .452408{col 57}{space 1}   -0.75{col 66}{space 3}0.455{col 74}{space 4}-1.240899{col 87}{space 3} .5608197
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1842376{col 46}{space 2} 1.665491{col 57}{space 1}    0.11{col 66}{space 3}0.912{col 74}{space 4}-3.132178{col 87}{space 3} 3.500653
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-23.04595{col 46}{space 2} 6.263398{col 57}{space 1}   -3.68{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-35.51797{col 87}{space 3}-10.57393
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 5.496408{col 46}{space 2} 9.067635{col 57}{space 1}    0.61{col 66}{space 3}0.546{col 74}{space 4}-12.55956{col 87}{space 3} 23.55238
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.69053{col 46}{space 2} 13.47327{col 57}{space 1}   -0.94{col 66}{space 3}0.349{col 74}{space 4}-39.51924{col 87}{space 3} 14.13817
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.278157{col 46}{space 2} 4.787421{col 57}{space 1}    0.68{col 66}{space 3}0.496{col 74}{space 4}-6.254817{col 87}{space 3} 12.81113
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.938188{col 46}{space 2} 7.228307{col 57}{space 1}   -0.82{col 66}{space 3}0.414{col 74}{space 4}-20.33159{col 87}{space 3} 8.455209
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .8749036{col 46}{space 2}  1.42088{col 57}{space 1}    0.62{col 66}{space 3}0.540{col 74}{space 4}-1.954431{col 87}{space 3} 3.704238
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3864928{col 46}{space 2} .3638489{col 57}{space 1}    1.06{col 66}{space 3}0.291{col 74}{space 4}-.3380229{col 87}{space 3} 1.111009
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 77.27264{col 46}{space 2} 27.62127{col 57}{space 1}    2.80{col 66}{space 3}0.007{col 74}{space 4} 22.27168{col 87}{space 3} 132.2736
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 4.030
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.133
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-8C   "INVOLUNTARY EXIT" EX-GOVERNOR SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & involuntaryexit==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.62416767
{txt}Number of obs = {res}25
{txt}Objective function = {res}2.6023892

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 9.657815{col 46}{space 2} 5.70e-11{col 57}{space 1} 1.7e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 9.657815{col 87}{space 3} 9.657815
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.5088709{col 46}{space 2} 2.91e-12{col 57}{space 1}-1.7e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.5088709{col 87}{space 3}-.5088709
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1536056{col 46}{space 2} 1.14e-12{col 57}{space 1}-1.3e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.1536056{col 87}{space 3}-.1536056
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5242338{col 46}{space 2} 3.65e-12{col 57}{space 1} 1.4e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .5242338{col 87}{space 3} .5242338
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.515602{col 46}{space 2} 6.77e-12{col 57}{space 1}-2.2e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-1.515602{col 87}{space 3}-1.515602
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-18.48948{col 46}{space 2} 1.90e-11{col 57}{space 1}-9.7e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-18.48948{col 87}{space 3}-18.48948
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 37.34218{col 46}{space 2} 9.45e-11{col 57}{space 1} 4.0e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 37.34218{col 87}{space 3} 37.34218
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-76.84423{col 46}{space 2} 5.49e-11{col 57}{space 1}-1.4e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-76.84423{col 87}{space 3}-76.84423
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 10.26729{col 46}{space 2} 1.66e-11{col 57}{space 1} 6.2e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 10.26729{col 87}{space 3} 10.26729
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 14.82788{col 46}{space 2} 4.50e-11{col 57}{space 1} 3.3e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 14.82788{col 87}{space 3} 14.82788
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.515664{col 46}{space 2} 4.25e-12{col 57}{space 1} 5.9e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 2.515664{col 87}{space 3} 2.515664
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.707934{col 46}{space 2} 5.39e-12{col 57}{space 1}-5.0e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-2.707934{col 87}{space 3}-2.707934
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-485.2685{col 46}{space 2} 1.84e-09{col 57}{space 1}-2.6e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-485.2685{col 87}{space 3}-485.2685
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 112.9794{col 46}{space 2} 5.28e-10{col 57}{space 1} 2.1e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 112.9794{col 87}{space 3} 112.9794
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.957001{col 46}{space 2} 4.89e-11{col 57}{space 1}-1.6e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-7.957001{col 87}{space 3}-7.957001
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 611.9807{col 46}{space 2} 2.15e-09{col 57}{space 1} 2.9e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 611.9807{col 87}{space 3} 611.9807
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 0.869
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.648
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. **** EXCLUDE ANCILLARY CONTROL COVARIATES IN MODEL SI-8C DUE TO UNSTABLE ESTIMATES  ****
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann  imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & involuntaryexit==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.06200722
{txt}Number of obs = {res}25
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.1631617

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 24}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}        electionresults{col 25}{c |}      Coef.{col 37}   Std. Err.{col 49}      t{col 57}   P>|t|{col 65}     [95% Con{col 78}f. Interval]
{hline 24}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
personalincometenureann {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 4.042898{col 37}{space 2} 9.033137{col 48}{space 1}    0.45{col 57}{space 3}0.660{col 65}{space 4}-14.93502{col 78}{space 3} 23.02081
{txt}{space 11}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.0047382{col 37}{space 2} .4836009{col 48}{space 1}   -0.01{col 57}{space 3}0.992{col 65}{space 4}-1.020746{col 78}{space 3}  1.01127
{txt}{space 11}pictenureann {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-.1070575{col 37}{space 2} .2105363{col 48}{space 1}   -0.51{col 57}{space 3}0.617{col 65}{space 4}-.5493778{col 78}{space 3} .3352628
{txt}{space 19}imr4 {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 283.2212{col 37}{space 2} 540.7738{col 48}{space 1}    0.52{col 57}{space 3}0.607{col 65}{space 4}-852.9025{col 78}{space 3} 1419.345
{txt}{space 17}imr4sq {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-83.15443{col 37}{space 2} 159.3646{col 48}{space 1}   -0.52{col 57}{space 3}0.608{col 65}{space 4}-417.9671{col 78}{space 3} 251.6582
{txt}{space 14}imr4cubic {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2} 7.671839{col 37}{space 2} 15.21702{col 48}{space 1}    0.50{col 57}{space 3}0.620{col 65}{space 4}-24.29793{col 78}{space 3} 39.64161
{txt}{space 18}_cons {c |}{col 25}{res}{space 2}-254.4645{col 37}{space 2} 593.6563{col 48}{space 1}   -0.43{col 57}{space 3}0.673{col 65}{space 4} -1501.69{col 78}{space 3} 992.7611
{txt}{hline 24}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 2.997
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.223
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-8D    "VOLUNTARY EXIT"  EX-GOVERNOR SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincometenureann eddurmonths2 pictenureann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & involuntaryexit==0, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.41848458
{txt}Number of obs = {res}90
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.4981359

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}personalincometenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 9.379206{col 46}{space 2} 2.261528{col 57}{space 1}    4.15{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 4.873014{col 87}{space 3}  13.8854
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0174125{col 46}{space 2} .1238826{col 57}{space 1}    0.14{col 66}{space 3}0.889{col 74}{space 4} -.229429{col 87}{space 3} .2642539
{txt}{space 20}pictenureann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.091629{col 46}{space 2} .0363978{col 57}{space 1}   -2.52{col 66}{space 3}0.014{col 74}{space 4}-.1641531{col 87}{space 3}-.0191048
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3093798{col 46}{space 2} .3243598{col 57}{space 1}   -0.95{col 66}{space 3}0.343{col 74}{space 4}-.9556808{col 87}{space 3} .3369213
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.189747{col 46}{space 2} .9578177{col 57}{space 1}    1.24{col 66}{space 3}0.218{col 74}{space 4}-.7187468{col 87}{space 3}  3.09824
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-20.32778{col 46}{space 2} 3.576765{col 57}{space 1}   -5.68{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-27.45464{col 87}{space 3}-13.20092
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2680228{col 46}{space 2} 5.057723{col 57}{space 1}    0.05{col 66}{space 3}0.958{col 74}{space 4} -9.80971{col 87}{space 3} 10.34576
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-10.62571{col 46}{space 2} 8.279933{col 57}{space 1}   -1.28{col 66}{space 3}0.203{col 74}{space 4}-27.12384{col 87}{space 3} 5.872414
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.590614{col 46}{space 2} 3.019024{col 57}{space 1}    0.86{col 66}{space 3}0.394{col 74}{space 4}-3.424922{col 87}{space 3} 8.606151
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-8.452735{col 46}{space 2} 4.116672{col 57}{space 1}   -2.05{col 66}{space 3}0.044{col 74}{space 4}-16.65538{col 87}{space 3}-.2500874
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.095893{col 46}{space 2} .8276392{col 57}{space 1}    1.32{col 66}{space 3}0.190{col 74}{space 4}-.5532144{col 87}{space 3}    2.745
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3340165{col 46}{space 2} .2162746{col 57}{space 1}    1.54{col 66}{space 3}0.127{col 74}{space 4}  -.09692{col 87}{space 3} .7649531
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-33.90681{col 46}{space 2} 171.3856{col 57}{space 1}   -0.20{col 66}{space 3}0.844{col 74}{space 4}-375.4001{col 87}{space 3} 307.5864
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 24.95217{col 46}{space 2} 66.78115{col 57}{space 1}    0.37{col 66}{space 3}0.710{col 74}{space 4}-108.1122{col 87}{space 3} 158.0165
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.309568{col 46}{space 2}  8.36836{col 57}{space 1}   -0.51{col 66}{space 3}0.608{col 74}{space 4}-20.98389{col 87}{space 3} 12.36475
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 74.70523{col 46}{space 2} 133.9101{col 57}{space 1}    0.56{col 66}{space 3}0.579{col 74}{space 4}-192.1165{col 87}{space 3} 341.5269
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 3.993
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.136
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 9.287577{col 26}{space 2} 2.240923{col 37}{space 1}    4.14{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}  4.82244{col 67}{space 3} 13.75271
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 12{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 8.279659{col 26}{space 2}  2.04356{col 37}{space 1}    4.05{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4} 4.207776{col 67}{space 3} 12.35154
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 24{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 7.180111{col 26}{space 2} 1.902448{col 37}{space 1}    3.77{col 46}{space 3}0.000{col 54}{space 4}   3.3894{col 67}{space 3} 10.97082
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 36{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 6.080564{col 26}{space 2} 1.855808{col 37}{space 1}    3.28{col 46}{space 3}0.002{col 54}{space 4} 2.382786{col 67}{space 3} 9.778341
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 48{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.981016{col 26}{space 2}  1.91057{col 37}{space 1}    2.61{col 46}{space 3}0.011{col 54}{space 4} 1.174123{col 67}{space 3} 8.787909
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 60{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.881469{col 26}{space 2} 2.058658{col 37}{space 1}    1.89{col 46}{space 3}0.063{col 54}{space 4}-.2204968{col 67}{space 3} 7.983434
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 72{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.781921{col 26}{space 2} 2.281975{col 37}{space 1}    1.22{col 46}{space 3}0.227{col 54}{space 4}-1.765013{col 67}{space 3} 7.328856
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 84{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.682374{col 26}{space 2} 2.560916{col 37}{space 1}    0.66{col 46}{space 3}0.513{col 54}{space 4}-3.420362{col 67}{space 3}  6.78511
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 96{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5828263{col 26}{space 2} 2.879359{col 37}{space 1}    0.20{col 46}{space 3}0.840{col 54}{space 4}-5.154422{col 67}{space 3} 6.320075
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 108{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5167211{col 26}{space 2} 3.225627{col 37}{space 1}   -0.16{col 46}{space 3}0.873{col 54}{space 4}-6.943924{col 67}{space 3} 5.910482
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 120{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.616269{col 26}{space 2} 3.591681{col 37}{space 1}   -0.45{col 46}{space 3}0.654{col 54}{space 4} -8.77285{col 67}{space 3} 5.540313
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 132{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-2.715816{col 26}{space 2} 3.972055{col 37}{space 1}   -0.68{col 46}{space 3}0.496{col 54}{space 4}-10.63031{col 67}{space 3} 5.198676
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincometenureann + pictenureann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincometenureann + 144{res}*{res}pictenureann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-3.815363{col 26}{space 2} 4.363004{col 37}{space 1}   -0.87{col 46}{space 3}0.385{col 54}{space 4}-12.50884{col 67}{space 3} 4.878112
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-8E     "INVOLUNTARY EXIT" EX-GOVERNOR  SUBSAMPLE [WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann  eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj   if eddur2binary==1 & involuntaryexit==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.42240011
{txt}Number of obs = {res}25
{txt}Objective function = {res}3.6541103

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 10.91916{col 46}{space 2} .0000694{col 57}{space 1} 1.6e+05{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 10.91901{col 87}{space 3} 10.91932
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4756927{col 46}{space 2} 1.77e-06{col 57}{space 1}-2.7e+05{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.4756965{col 87}{space 3}-.4756888
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0569119{col 46}{space 2} 1.48e-06{col 57}{space 1}-3.8e+04{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.0569151{col 87}{space 3}-.0569087
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.169131{col 46}{space 2} 3.85e-06{col 57}{space 1} 3.0e+05{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 1.169122{col 87}{space 3} 1.169139
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .9087318{col 46}{space 2} .0000108{col 57}{space 1} 8.4e+04{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .9087082{col 87}{space 3} .9087554
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.551939{col 46}{space 2} .0000482{col 57}{space 1} 3.2e+04{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 1.551834{col 87}{space 3} 1.552044
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.026513{col 46}{space 2} .0000535{col 57}{space 1} 5.7e+04{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 3.026397{col 87}{space 3}  3.02663
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-50.65725{col 46}{space 2} .0000953{col 57}{space 1}-5.3e+05{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-50.65746{col 87}{space 3}-50.65704
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.669188{col 46}{space 2} .0000116{col 57}{space 1} 4.0e+05{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 4.669163{col 87}{space 3} 4.669213
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.223947{col 46}{space 2} .0000566{col 57}{space 1} 5.7e+04{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 3.223824{col 87}{space 3} 3.224071
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .9077002{col 46}{space 2} 3.21e-06{col 57}{space 1} 2.8e+05{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .9076932{col 87}{space 3} .9077072
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.6626485{col 46}{space 2} 3.10e-06{col 57}{space 1}-2.1e+05{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.6626553{col 87}{space 3}-.6626418
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-21.59627{col 46}{space 2} .0002227{col 57}{space 1}-9.7e+04{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-21.59676{col 87}{space 3}-21.59579
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 0.625
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.732
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. **** EXCLUDE ANCILLARY CONTROL COVARIATES IN MODEL SI-8E DUE TO UNSTABLE ESTIMATES  ****
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann  eddurmonths2 picrtermann   if eddur2binary==1 & involuntaryexit==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.04968741
{txt}Number of obs = {res}28
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.9758721

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 28}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}            electionresults{col 29}{c |}      Coef.{col 41}   Std. Err.{col 53}      t{col 61}   P>|t|{col 69}     [95% Con{col 82}f. Interval]
{hline 28}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-6.739378{col 41}{space 2} 5.675314{col 52}{space 1}   -1.19{col 61}{space 3}0.247{col 69}{space 4}-18.45265{col 82}{space 3} 4.973894
{txt}{space 15}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-.3031463{col 41}{space 2} .2053017{col 52}{space 1}   -1.48{col 61}{space 3}0.153{col 69}{space 4}-.7268682{col 82}{space 3} .1205755
{txt}{space 16}picrtermann {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} .1170521{col 41}{space 2} .1077944{col 52}{space 1}    1.09{col 61}{space 3}0.288{col 69}{space 4}-.1054246{col 82}{space 3} .3395289
{txt}{space 22}_cons {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} 57.44317{col 41}{space 2} 10.13046{col 52}{space 1}    5.67{col 61}{space 3}0.000{col 69}{space 4} 36.53493{col 82}{space 3}  78.3514
{txt}{hline 28}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 2.261
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.323
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-8F    "VOLUNTARY EXIT"  EX-GOVERNOR SUBSAMPLE [WIHTOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann  eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & involuntaryexit==0

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.3881903
{txt}Number of obs = {res}90
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.8394627

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.383634{col 46}{space 2} 2.056623{col 57}{space 1}    2.13{col 66}{space 3}0.036{col 74}{space 4} .2883745{col 87}{space 3} 8.478894
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1041078{col 46}{space 2}  .156445{col 57}{space 1}   -0.67{col 66}{space 3}0.508{col 74}{space 4}-.4156297{col 87}{space 3}  .207414
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0294407{col 46}{space 2} .0263098{col 57}{space 1}   -1.12{col 66}{space 3}0.267{col 74}{space 4}-.0818303{col 87}{space 3} .0229488
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3386616{col 46}{space 2} .4462789{col 57}{space 1}   -0.76{col 66}{space 3}0.450{col 74}{space 4}-1.227316{col 87}{space 3} .5499932
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1204693{col 46}{space 2}  1.11472{col 57}{space 1}    0.11{col 66}{space 3}0.914{col 74}{space 4}-2.099222{col 87}{space 3}  2.34016
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-23.69047{col 46}{space 2} 6.765236{col 57}{space 1}   -3.50{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4}-37.16178{col 87}{space 3}-10.21917
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.529008{col 46}{space 2} 6.787121{col 57}{space 1}    1.11{col 66}{space 3}0.271{col 74}{space 4}-5.985876{col 87}{space 3} 21.04389
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.17434{col 46}{space 2} 7.468591{col 57}{space 1}   -1.63{col 66}{space 3}0.107{col 74}{space 4}-27.04621{col 87}{space 3} 2.697521
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.942969{col 46}{space 2} 4.429092{col 57}{space 1}    0.66{col 66}{space 3}0.508{col 74}{space 4}-5.876481{col 87}{space 3} 11.76242
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.690916{col 46}{space 2} 4.861729{col 57}{space 1}   -1.38{col 66}{space 3}0.173{col 74}{space 4}-16.37186{col 87}{space 3} 2.990023
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.749364{col 46}{space 2} 1.079479{col 57}{space 1}    1.62{col 66}{space 3}0.109{col 74}{space 4}-.4001538{col 87}{space 3} 3.898882
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4812106{col 46}{space 2} .2490391{col 57}{space 1}    1.93{col 66}{space 3}0.057{col 74}{space 4}-.0146896{col 87}{space 3} .9771108
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}   83.459{col 46}{space 2} 25.27769{col 57}{space 1}    3.30{col 66}{space 3}0.001{col 74}{space 4} 33.12468{col 87}{space 3} 133.7933
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res}11.133
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.004
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-8G    "INVOLUNTARY EXIT" EX-GOVERNOR  SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann  eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & involuntaryexit==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.69478791
{txt}Number of obs = {res}25
{txt}Objective function = {res}2.3882876

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-30.73253{col 46}{space 2} 7.45e-12{col 57}{space 1}-4.1e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-30.73253{col 87}{space 3}-30.73253
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.442978{col 46}{space 2} 1.52e-13{col 57}{space 1}-9.5e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-1.442978{col 87}{space 3}-1.442978
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.030086{col 46}{space 2} 2.45e-13{col 57}{space 1} 4.2e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 1.030086{col 87}{space 3} 1.030086
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3969545{col 46}{space 2} 2.07e-13{col 57}{space 1}-1.9e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.3969545{col 87}{space 3}-.3969545
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.4867089{col 46}{space 2} 7.86e-13{col 57}{space 1}-6.2e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.4867089{col 87}{space 3}-.4867089
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.63826{col 46}{space 2} 1.69e-12{col 57}{space 1}-7.5e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-12.63826{col 87}{space 3}-12.63826
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 11.61177{col 46}{space 2} 7.99e-12{col 57}{space 1} 1.5e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 11.61177{col 87}{space 3} 11.61177
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.713593{col 46}{space 2} 2.05e-11{col 57}{space 1} 2.3e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 4.713593{col 87}{space 3} 4.713593
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  1.93832{col 46}{space 2} 2.74e-12{col 57}{space 1} 7.1e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}  1.93832{col 87}{space 3}  1.93832
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.018548{col 46}{space 2} 4.11e-12{col 57}{space 1}-4.9e+11{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-2.018548{col 87}{space 3}-2.018548
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.597278{col 46}{space 2} 1.08e-12{col 57}{space 1}-1.5e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-1.597278{col 87}{space 3}-1.597278
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.993319{col 46}{space 2} 2.83e-13{col 57}{space 1}-7.0e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-1.993319{col 87}{space 3}-1.993319
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 985.0584{col 46}{space 2} 4.77e-10{col 57}{space 1} 2.1e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 985.0584{col 87}{space 3} 985.0584
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-298.1953{col 46}{space 2} 1.35e-10{col 57}{space 1}-2.2e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-298.1953{col 87}{space 3}-298.1953
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  29.4057{col 46}{space 2} 1.24e-11{col 57}{space 1} 2.4e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}  29.4057{col 87}{space 3}  29.4057
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-987.5364{col 46}{space 2} 5.24e-10{col 57}{space 1}-1.9e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-987.5364{col 87}{space 3}-987.5364
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 1.309
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.520
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. **** EXCLUDE ANCILLARY CONTROL COVARIATES IN MODEL SI-8G DUE TO UNSTABLE ESTIMATES  ****
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann  eddurmonths2 picrtermann  imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & involuntaryexit==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.09439729
{txt}Number of obs = {res}25
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.1222152

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 28}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}            electionresults{col 29}{c |}      Coef.{col 41}   Std. Err.{col 53}      t{col 61}   P>|t|{col 69}     [95% Con{col 82}f. Interval]
{hline 28}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} 1.180811{col 41}{space 2} 11.96771{col 52}{space 1}    0.10{col 61}{space 3}0.922{col 69}{space 4}-23.96241{col 82}{space 3} 26.32403
{txt}{space 15}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-.2064129{col 41}{space 2} .3111405{col 52}{space 1}   -0.66{col 61}{space 3}0.515{col 69}{space 4}-.8600948{col 82}{space 3} .4472691
{txt}{space 16}picrtermann {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} .0056759{col 41}{space 2} .1820366{col 52}{space 1}    0.03{col 61}{space 3}0.975{col 69}{space 4}-.3767688{col 82}{space 3} .3881206
{txt}{space 23}imr4 {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} 398.7679{col 41}{space 2} 543.2368{col 52}{space 1}    0.73{col 61}{space 3}0.472{col 69}{space 4}-742.5301{col 82}{space 3} 1540.066
{txt}{space 21}imr4sq {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-115.5473{col 41}{space 2} 162.8382{col 52}{space 1}   -0.71{col 61}{space 3}0.487{col 69}{space 4}-457.6578{col 82}{space 3} 226.5632
{txt}{space 18}imr4cubic {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2} 10.67097{col 41}{space 2} 15.72073{col 52}{space 1}    0.68{col 61}{space 3}0.506{col 69}{space 4}-22.35705{col 82}{space 3} 43.69899
{txt}{space 22}_cons {c |}{col 29}{res}{space 2}-385.2297{col 41}{space 2} 589.3851{col 52}{space 1}   -0.65{col 61}{space 3}0.522{col 69}{space 4}-1623.482{col 82}{space 3} 853.0224
{txt}{hline 28}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 2.648
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.266
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-8H   "VOLUNTARY EXIT"  EX-GOVERNOR SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann  eddurmonths2 picrtermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & involuntaryexit==0

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.39601217
{txt}Number of obs = {res}90
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.7204062

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.668089{col 46}{space 2} 2.317789{col 57}{space 1}    2.01{col 66}{space 3}0.048{col 74}{space 4} .0497932{col 87}{space 3} 9.286385
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0699641{col 46}{space 2} .1851245{col 57}{space 1}   -0.38{col 66}{space 3}0.707{col 74}{space 4}-.4388326{col 87}{space 3} .2989045
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0320736{col 46}{space 2}  .035077{col 57}{space 1}   -0.91{col 66}{space 3}0.363{col 74}{space 4}-.1019661{col 87}{space 3} .0378189
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3115631{col 46}{space 2}  .528115{col 57}{space 1}   -0.59{col 66}{space 3}0.557{col 74}{space 4}-1.363855{col 87}{space 3} .7407291
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .7645306{col 46}{space 2} 1.583542{col 57}{space 1}    0.48{col 66}{space 3}0.631{col 74}{space 4}-2.390746{col 87}{space 3} 3.919808
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-21.29235{col 46}{space 2} 8.682946{col 57}{space 1}   -2.45{col 66}{space 3}0.017{col 74}{space 4} -38.5935{col 87}{space 3}-3.991199
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  4.25344{col 46}{space 2} 8.299481{col 57}{space 1}    0.51{col 66}{space 3}0.610{col 74}{space 4}-12.28364{col 87}{space 3} 20.79052
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-10.64476{col 46}{space 2} 9.707445{col 57}{space 1}   -1.10{col 66}{space 3}0.276{col 74}{space 4}-29.98726{col 87}{space 3} 8.697749
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  2.54815{col 46}{space 2} 3.239886{col 57}{space 1}    0.79{col 66}{space 3}0.434{col 74}{space 4}-3.907463{col 87}{space 3} 9.003763
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.407683{col 46}{space 2} 5.800225{col 57}{space 1}   -1.10{col 66}{space 3}0.273{col 74}{space 4}-17.96488{col 87}{space 3} 5.149518
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.406764{col 46}{space 2} 1.374526{col 57}{space 1}    1.02{col 66}{space 3}0.309{col 74}{space 4}-1.332038{col 87}{space 3} 4.145567
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4638051{col 46}{space 2} .3170527{col 57}{space 1}    1.46{col 66}{space 3}0.148{col 74}{space 4}-.1679361{col 87}{space 3} 1.095546
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-104.6648{col 46}{space 2} 194.7395{col 57}{space 1}   -0.54{col 66}{space 3}0.593{col 74}{space 4}-492.6917{col 87}{space 3} 283.3621
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 45.32353{col 46}{space 2} 80.19681{col 57}{space 1}    0.57{col 66}{space 3}0.574{col 74}{space 4}-114.4721{col 87}{space 3} 205.1192
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.143134{col 46}{space 2} 10.74501{col 57}{space 1}   -0.57{col 66}{space 3}0.569{col 74}{space 4}-27.55303{col 87}{space 3} 15.26677
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 155.3574{col 46}{space 2} 156.5134{col 57}{space 1}    0.99{col 66}{space 3}0.324{col 74}{space 4}-156.5023{col 87}{space 3}  467.217
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 6.004
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.050
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.636016{col 26}{space 2} 2.300675{col 37}{space 1}    2.02{col 46}{space 3}0.048{col 54}{space 4} .0518208{col 67}{space 3}  9.22021
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.283207{col 26}{space 2} 2.141508{col 37}{space 1}    2.00{col 46}{space 3}0.049{col 54}{space 4} .0161594{col 67}{space 3} 8.550254
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.898324{col 26}{space 2} 2.038214{col 37}{space 1}    1.91{col 46}{space 3}0.060{col 54}{space 4}-.1629068{col 67}{space 3} 7.959555
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.513441{col 26}{space 2} 2.019142{col 37}{space 1}    1.74{col 46}{space 3}0.086{col 54}{space 4}-.5097871{col 67}{space 3} 7.536669
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.128559{col 26}{space 2} 2.086602{col 37}{space 1}    1.50{col 46}{space 3}0.138{col 54}{space 4}-1.029086{col 67}{space 3} 7.286203
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.743676{col 26}{space 2} 2.232763{col 37}{space 1}    1.23{col 46}{space 3}0.223{col 54}{space 4}-1.705202{col 67}{space 3} 7.192554
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.358793{col 26}{space 2} 2.443545{col 37}{space 1}    0.97{col 46}{space 3}0.338{col 54}{space 4}-2.510077{col 67}{space 3} 7.227663
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.973911{col 26}{space 2} 2.703876{col 37}{space 1}    0.73{col 46}{space 3}0.468{col 54}{space 4}-3.413681{col 67}{space 3} 7.361502
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.589028{col 26}{space 2} 3.000889{col 37}{space 1}    0.53{col 46}{space 3}0.598{col 54}{space 4}-4.390375{col 67}{space 3} 7.568431
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.204145{col 26}{space 2} 3.324768{col 37}{space 1}    0.36{col 46}{space 3}0.718{col 54}{space 4}-5.420599{col 67}{space 3}  7.82889
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8192627{col 26}{space 2} 3.668403{col 37}{space 1}    0.22{col 46}{space 3}0.824{col 54}{space 4} -6.49019{col 67}{space 3} 8.128715
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}   .43438{col 26}{space 2}  4.02674{col 37}{space 1}    0.11{col 46}{space 3}0.914{col 54}{space 4}-7.589074{col 67}{space 3} 8.457834
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .0494973{col 26}{space 2} 4.396185{col 37}{space 1}    0.01{col 46}{space 3}0.991{col 54}{space 4}-8.710092{col 67}{space 3} 8.809087
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-8I   "INVOLUNTARY EXIT" EX-GOVERNOR  SUBSAMPLE [WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann  eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj   if eddur2binary==1 & involuntaryexit==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.73984793
{txt}Number of obs = {res}25
{txt}Objective function = {res}2.8893194

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 7.691249{col 46}{space 2} 1.17e-13{col 57}{space 1} 6.6e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 7.691249{col 87}{space 3} 7.691249
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3741958{col 46}{space 2} 3.03e-15{col 57}{space 1}-1.2e+14{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.3741958{col 87}{space 3}-.3741958
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0326809{col 46}{space 2} 2.11e-15{col 57}{space 1} 1.5e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .0326809{col 87}{space 3} .0326809
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1771873{col 46}{space 2} 1.64e-14{col 57}{space 1}-1.1e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.1771873{col 87}{space 3}-.1771873
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.795545{col 46}{space 2} 4.94e-14{col 57}{space 1}-3.6e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-1.795545{col 87}{space 3}-1.795545
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-9.377718{col 46}{space 2} 2.21e-13{col 57}{space 1}-4.2e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-9.377718{col 87}{space 3}-9.377718
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.48602{col 46}{space 2} 2.96e-13{col 57}{space 1}-5.9e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-17.48602{col 87}{space 3}-17.48602
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-13.09036{col 46}{space 2} 4.67e-13{col 57}{space 1}-2.8e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-13.09036{col 87}{space 3}-13.09036
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5006746{col 46}{space 2} 9.47e-14{col 57}{space 1} 5.3e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .5006746{col 87}{space 3} .5006746
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.617456{col 46}{space 2} 2.26e-13{col 57}{space 1} 1.6e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 3.617456{col 87}{space 3} 3.617456
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5823439{col 46}{space 2} 1.12e-14{col 57}{space 1} 5.2e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} .5823439{col 87}{space 3} .5823439
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.372682{col 46}{space 2} 9.33e-15{col 57}{space 1}-1.5e+14{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-1.372682{col 87}{space 3}-1.372682
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 44.59439{col 46}{space 2} 8.80e-13{col 57}{space 1} 5.1e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 44.59439{col 87}{space 3} 44.59439
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 4.166
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.125
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-8J  "VOLUNTARY EXIT"  EX-GOVERNOR SUBSAMPLE [WIHTOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann  eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & involuntaryexit==0, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.35975991
{txt}Number of obs = {res}90
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.9853902

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.824505{col 46}{space 2}  3.01465{col 57}{space 1}    1.27{col 66}{space 3}0.208{col 74}{space 4} -2.17843{col 87}{space 3}  9.82744
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0021029{col 46}{space 2} .2032083{col 57}{space 1}   -0.01{col 66}{space 3}0.992{col 74}{space 4}-.4067423{col 87}{space 3} .4025364
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0448768{col 46}{space 2} .0324124{col 57}{space 1}   -1.38{col 66}{space 3}0.170{col 74}{space 4}-.1094182{col 87}{space 3} .0196646
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2129766{col 46}{space 2} .5378022{col 57}{space 1}    0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.693{col 74}{space 4}-.8579245{col 87}{space 3} 1.283878
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.9908849{col 46}{space 2} 2.242646{col 57}{space 1}   -0.44{col 66}{space 3}0.660{col 74}{space 4}-5.456564{col 87}{space 3} 3.474795
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-22.15345{col 46}{space 2} 7.523586{col 57}{space 1}   -2.94{col 66}{space 3}0.004{col 74}{space 4}-37.13483{col 87}{space 3}-7.172079
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.546603{col 46}{space 2} 10.46761{col 57}{space 1}    0.34{col 66}{space 3}0.736{col 74}{space 4}-17.29708{col 87}{space 3} 24.39028
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.81387{col 46}{space 2} 14.98317{col 57}{space 1}   -0.86{col 66}{space 3}0.395{col 74}{space 4}-42.64918{col 87}{space 3} 17.02143
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.340397{col 46}{space 2}  5.45775{col 57}{space 1}    0.25{col 66}{space 3}0.807{col 74}{space 4}-9.527372{col 87}{space 3} 12.20817
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.849674{col 46}{space 2} 8.296549{col 57}{space 1}   -0.71{col 66}{space 3}0.483{col 74}{space 4}-22.37021{col 87}{space 3} 10.67087
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4416996{col 46}{space 2} 1.594053{col 57}{space 1}    0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.782{col 74}{space 4}-2.732465{col 87}{space 3} 3.615865
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2803982{col 46}{space 2} .4206752{col 57}{space 1}    0.67{col 66}{space 3}0.507{col 74}{space 4} -.557273{col 87}{space 3} 1.118069
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 56.93337{col 46}{space 2} 33.41705{col 57}{space 1}    1.70{col 66}{space 3}0.092{col 74}{space 4}-9.608488{col 87}{space 3} 123.4752
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 3.651
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.161
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-8K   "INVOLUNTARY EXIT" EX-GOVERNOR  SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann  eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & involuntaryexit==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.82086112
{txt}Number of obs = {res}25
{txt}Objective function = {res}1.731909

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 15.16829{col 46}{space 2} 7.16e-13{col 57}{space 1} 2.1e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 15.16829{col 87}{space 3} 15.16829
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.7388874{col 46}{space 2} 2.73e-14{col 57}{space 1}-2.7e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.7388874{col 87}{space 3}-.7388874
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1723626{col 46}{space 2} 1.52e-14{col 57}{space 1}-1.1e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.1723626{col 87}{space 3}-.1723626
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2563113{col 46}{space 2} 6.53e-14{col 57}{space 1}-3.9e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-.2563113{col 87}{space 3}-.2563113
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.452324{col 46}{space 2} 4.17e-13{col 57}{space 1}-5.9e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-2.452324{col 87}{space 3}-2.452324
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-17.13899{col 46}{space 2} 1.07e-12{col 57}{space 1}-1.6e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-17.13899{col 87}{space 3}-17.13899
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 45.45118{col 46}{space 2} 3.16e-12{col 57}{space 1} 1.4e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 45.45118{col 87}{space 3} 45.45118
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-88.09134{col 46}{space 2} 5.35e-12{col 57}{space 1}-1.6e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-88.09134{col 87}{space 3}-88.09134
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 15.49554{col 46}{space 2} 1.27e-12{col 57}{space 1} 1.2e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 15.49554{col 87}{space 3} 15.49554
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 29.35943{col 46}{space 2} 1.38e-12{col 57}{space 1} 2.1e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 29.35943{col 87}{space 3} 29.35943
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.736418{col 46}{space 2} 1.76e-13{col 57}{space 1} 2.1e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 3.736418{col 87}{space 3} 3.736418
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.633016{col 46}{space 2} 1.41e-13{col 57}{space 1}-2.6e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-3.633016{col 87}{space 3}-3.633016
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -950.614{col 46}{space 2} 9.05e-11{col 57}{space 1}-1.1e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} -950.614{col 87}{space 3} -950.614
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 245.4009{col 46}{space 2} 2.55e-11{col 57}{space 1} 9.6e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 245.4009{col 87}{space 3} 245.4009
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.99897{col 46}{space 2} 2.32e-12{col 57}{space 1}-8.6e+12{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-19.99897{col 87}{space 3}-19.99897
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1144.753{col 46}{space 2} 1.01e-10{col 57}{space 1} 1.1e+13{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 1144.753{col 87}{space 3} 1144.753
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 0.882
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.643
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-8L   "VOLUNTARY EXIT"  EX-GOVERNOR SUBSAMPLE [WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION] ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann  eddurmonths2 picryearann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic  if eddur2binary==1 & involuntaryexit==0, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.36280526
{txt}Number of obs = {res}90
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.884434

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.872166{col 46}{space 2} 2.737911{col 57}{space 1}    1.41{col 66}{space 3}0.161{col 74}{space 4}-1.583241{col 87}{space 3} 9.327574
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0394021{col 46}{space 2} .2066902{col 57}{space 1}    0.19{col 66}{space 3}0.849{col 74}{space 4} -.372437{col 87}{space 3} .4512412
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0371262{col 46}{space 2} .0302246{col 57}{space 1}   -1.23{col 66}{space 3}0.223{col 74}{space 4}  -.09735{col 87}{space 3} .0230975
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0392342{col 46}{space 2} .5586106{col 57}{space 1}   -0.07{col 66}{space 3}0.944{col 74}{space 4} -1.15229{col 87}{space 3} 1.073822
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.3350405{col 46}{space 2} 2.170149{col 57}{space 1}   -0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.878{col 74}{space 4}-4.659157{col 87}{space 3} 3.989076
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -21.1597{col 46}{space 2} 6.974517{col 57}{space 1}   -3.03{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4}-35.05672{col 87}{space 3}-7.262667
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 6.484499{col 46}{space 2} 9.337138{col 57}{space 1}    0.69{col 66}{space 3}0.490{col 74}{space 4}-12.12016{col 87}{space 3} 25.08915
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-10.17745{col 46}{space 2} 15.07499{col 57}{space 1}   -0.68{col 66}{space 3}0.502{col 74}{space 4}-40.21502{col 87}{space 3} 19.86012
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .7087705{col 46}{space 2} 5.511093{col 57}{space 1}    0.13{col 66}{space 3}0.898{col 74}{space 4}-10.27232{col 87}{space 3} 11.68986
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-5.265171{col 46}{space 2} 7.660236{col 57}{space 1}   -0.69{col 66}{space 3}0.494{col 74}{space 4}-20.52852{col 87}{space 3} 9.998182
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6084849{col 46}{space 2} 1.600033{col 57}{space 1}    0.38{col 66}{space 3}0.705{col 74}{space 4} -2.57965{col 87}{space 3}  3.79662
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4959596{col 46}{space 2} .4287701{col 57}{space 1}    1.16{col 66}{space 3}0.251{col 74}{space 4}-.3583834{col 87}{space 3} 1.350303
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -25.0796{col 46}{space 2} 332.0664{col 57}{space 1}   -0.08{col 66}{space 3}0.940{col 74}{space 4}-686.7363{col 87}{space 3} 636.5771
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 15.84438{col 46}{space 2} 130.1294{col 57}{space 1}    0.12{col 66}{space 3}0.903{col 74}{space 4}-243.4442{col 87}{space 3} 275.1329
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.673715{col 46}{space 2} 16.36066{col 57}{space 1}   -0.16{col 66}{space 3}0.871{col 74}{space 4}-35.27303{col 87}{space 3}  29.9256
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 73.00984{col 46}{space 2} 260.6079{col 57}{space 1}    0.28{col 66}{space 3}0.780{col 74}{space 4}-446.2628{col 87}{space 3} 592.2824
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 3.322
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.190
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  3.83504{col 26}{space 2} 2.718559{col 37}{space 1}    1.41{col 46}{space 3}0.163{col 54}{space 4}-1.581808{col 67}{space 3} 9.251888
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.426652{col 26}{space 2} 2.519845{col 37}{space 1}    1.36{col 46}{space 3}0.178{col 54}{space 4}-1.594249{col 67}{space 3} 8.447553
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.981137{col 26}{space 2} 2.337985{col 37}{space 1}    1.28{col 46}{space 3}0.206{col 54}{space 4}  -1.6774{col 67}{space 3} 7.639675
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.535623{col 26}{space 2} 2.201324{col 37}{space 1}    1.15{col 46}{space 3}0.253{col 54}{space 4}-1.850611{col 67}{space 3} 6.921856
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.090108{col 26}{space 2} 2.118625{col 37}{space 1}    0.99{col 46}{space 3}0.327{col 54}{space 4}-2.131344{col 67}{space 3} 6.311561
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.644594{col 26}{space 2} 2.096285{col 37}{space 1}    0.78{col 46}{space 3}0.435{col 54}{space 4}-2.532346{col 67}{space 3} 5.821534
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.199079{col 26}{space 2} 2.136199{col 37}{space 1}    0.56{col 46}{space 3}0.576{col 54}{space 4}-3.057391{col 67}{space 3}  5.45555
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7535649{col 26}{space 2} 2.235034{col 37}{space 1}    0.34{col 46}{space 3}0.737{col 54}{space 4}-3.699838{col 67}{space 3} 5.206968
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3080504{col 26}{space 2} 2.385478{col 37}{space 1}    0.13{col 46}{space 3}0.898{col 54}{space 4}-4.445117{col 67}{space 3} 5.061218
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.137464{col 26}{space 2} 2.578512{col 37}{space 1}   -0.05{col 46}{space 3}0.958{col 54}{space 4}-5.275261{col 67}{space 3} 5.000333
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5829785{col 26}{space 2} 2.805359{col 37}{space 1}   -0.21{col 46}{space 3}0.836{col 54}{space 4}-6.172778{col 67}{space 3} 5.006821
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.028493{col 26}{space 2} 3.058504{col 37}{space 1}   -0.34{col 46}{space 3}0.738{col 54}{space 4}-7.122696{col 67}{space 3}  5.06571
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.474007{col 26}{space 2} 3.331959{col 37}{space 1}   -0.44{col 46}{space 3}0.660{col 54}{space 4}-8.113081{col 67}{space 3} 5.165066
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
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. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
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. 
. *********  TABLE SI-9:  MODELS ANALYZING "PRIMACY" VS. "RECENCY" EFFECTS BY DISAGGREGATING THE OVERALL TENURE OBSERVATIONS TO ALLOW FOR FIRST-TERM AS WELL AS NON-LAST TERM OBSERVATIONS [LAST TERM & FINAL YEAR EFFECTS REMAIN THE SAME AS APPEARING IN MODELS 1A-3D -- SEE TABLE 1 IN THE MANUSCRIPT] ********
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. **** ONLY INCLUDES THOSE CASES IN WHICH THE EX-GOVERNOR SERVED MULTIPLE TERMS SINCE SINGLE-TERM GOVERNORS 'FIRST-TERM' PRIOR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP IS IDENTICAL TO THEIR 'LAST TERM' PRIOR ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP [MULTITERM == 1] ****
. 
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. *******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *******************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE FIRST TERM ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-9A   UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults firsttermaigann  eddurmonths2 picfirsttermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & multiterm==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.38333364
{txt}Number of obs = {res}74
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.5976115

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 17}firsttermaigann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.086987{col 46}{space 2} 2.247662{col 57}{space 1}   -0.48{col 66}{space 3}0.630{col 74}{space 4}-5.581466{col 87}{space 3} 3.407491
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1245571{col 46}{space 2} .0911531{col 57}{space 1}   -1.37{col 66}{space 3}0.177{col 74}{space 4}-.3068289{col 87}{space 3} .0577148
{txt}{space 17}picfirsttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0414988{col 46}{space 2} .0232156{col 57}{space 1}    1.79{col 66}{space 3}0.079{col 74}{space 4}-.0049236{col 87}{space 3} .0879212
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2388317{col 46}{space 2} .2965936{col 57}{space 1}    0.81{col 66}{space 3}0.424{col 74}{space 4}-.3542438{col 87}{space 3} .8319073
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1513514{col 46}{space 2} .9948114{col 57}{space 1}    0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.880{col 74}{space 4}-1.837897{col 87}{space 3}   2.1406
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-23.53497{col 46}{space 2} 7.472528{col 57}{space 1}   -3.15{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4}-38.47722{col 87}{space 3} -8.59273
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.234995{col 46}{space 2} 9.581494{col 57}{space 1}    0.23{col 66}{space 3}0.816{col 74}{space 4}-16.92439{col 87}{space 3} 21.39438
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.02414{col 46}{space 2} 18.18106{col 57}{space 1}   -0.88{col 66}{space 3}0.382{col 74}{space 4}-52.37941{col 87}{space 3} 20.33112
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.468012{col 46}{space 2} 4.042105{col 57}{space 1}    0.36{col 66}{space 3}0.718{col 74}{space 4}-6.614677{col 87}{space 3} 9.550701
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.377674{col 46}{space 2} 5.928622{col 57}{space 1}   -0.40{col 66}{space 3}0.690{col 74}{space 4}-14.23269{col 87}{space 3} 9.477339
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .2219837{col 46}{space 2} .2344191{col 57}{space 1}    0.95{col 66}{space 3}0.347{col 74}{space 4}-.2467662{col 87}{space 3} .6907337
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5037258{col 46}{space 2} .5952943{col 57}{space 1}    0.85{col 66}{space 3}0.401{col 74}{space 4}-.6866387{col 87}{space 3}  1.69409
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 64.75505{col 46}{space 2} 26.09309{col 57}{space 1}    2.48{col 66}{space 3}0.016{col 74}{space 4}  12.5787{col 87}{space 3} 116.9314
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 4.885
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.087
{txt}
{com}. 
. predict tenurefullresidsimrcooksi9a, cooksd
{txt}(243 missing values generated)

{com}. *
. *
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-9B  UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults firsttermaigann  eddurmonths2 picfirsttermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & multiterm==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.37711662
{txt}Number of obs = {res}74
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.4569734

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 17}firsttermaigann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3211537{col 46}{space 2}  2.77531{col 57}{space 1}    0.12{col 66}{space 3}0.908{col 74}{space 4}-5.234233{col 87}{space 3} 5.876541
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0943332{col 46}{space 2} .1081724{col 57}{space 1}   -0.87{col 66}{space 3}0.387{col 74}{space 4}-.3108637{col 87}{space 3} .1221974
{txt}{space 17}picfirsttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0295104{col 46}{space 2}  .036475{col 57}{space 1}    0.81{col 66}{space 3}0.422{col 74}{space 4}-.0435023{col 87}{space 3} .1025231
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1096505{col 46}{space 2} .4136036{col 57}{space 1}    0.27{col 66}{space 3}0.792{col 74}{space 4} -.718267{col 87}{space 3} .9375679
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.137989{col 46}{space 2} 1.119598{col 57}{space 1}    1.02{col 66}{space 3}0.314{col 74}{space 4} -1.10313{col 87}{space 3} 3.379107
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-20.30745{col 46}{space 2} 8.356174{col 57}{space 1}   -2.43{col 66}{space 3}0.018{col 74}{space 4}-37.03415{col 87}{space 3}-3.580745
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.521876{col 46}{space 2} 8.140606{col 57}{space 1}    0.19{col 66}{space 3}0.852{col 74}{space 4}-14.77332{col 87}{space 3} 17.81707
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-13.99422{col 46}{space 2} 15.61834{col 57}{space 1}   -0.90{col 66}{space 3}0.374{col 74}{space 4}-45.25772{col 87}{space 3} 17.26928
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.243795{col 46}{space 2} 4.051842{col 57}{space 1}    0.31{col 66}{space 3}0.760{col 74}{space 4}-6.866849{col 87}{space 3} 9.354439
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-3.353391{col 46}{space 2} 6.491304{col 57}{space 1}   -0.52{col 66}{space 3}0.607{col 74}{space 4}-16.34715{col 87}{space 3} 9.640366
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1687436{col 46}{space 2} .2734021{col 57}{space 1}    0.62{col 66}{space 3}0.540{col 74}{space 4}-.3785301{col 87}{space 3} .7160174
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4352001{col 46}{space 2} .4405324{col 57}{space 1}    0.99{col 66}{space 3}0.327{col 74}{space 4}-.4466212{col 87}{space 3} 1.317021
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-361.4221{col 46}{space 2} 433.9143{col 57}{space 1}   -0.83{col 66}{space 3}0.408{col 74}{space 4}-1229.996{col 87}{space 3} 507.1517
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 169.3774{col 46}{space 2}  195.987{col 57}{space 1}    0.86{col 66}{space 3}0.391{col 74}{space 4}-222.9332{col 87}{space 3}  561.688
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-25.34401{col 46}{space 2} 28.74477{col 57}{space 1}   -0.88{col 66}{space 3}0.382{col 74}{space 4}-82.88293{col 87}{space 3} 32.19491
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 310.0276{col 46}{space 2} 314.4201{col 57}{space 1}    0.99{col 66}{space 3}0.328{col 74}{space 4}-319.3527{col 87}{space 3} 939.4079
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 5.495
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.064
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. 
. lincom firsttermaigann + picfirsttermann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}firsttermaigann + picfirsttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3506641{col 26}{space 2} 2.751371{col 37}{space 1}    0.13{col 46}{space 3}0.899{col 54}{space 4}-5.156803{col 67}{space 3} 5.858132
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom firsttermaigann + picfirsttermann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}firsttermaigann + 12{res}*{res}picfirsttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6752783{col 26}{space 2}  2.50805{col 37}{space 1}    0.27{col 46}{space 3}0.789{col 54}{space 4} -4.34513{col 67}{space 3} 5.695687
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom firsttermaigann + picfirsttermann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}firsttermaigann + 24{res}*{res}picfirsttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.029403{col 26}{space 2} 2.293785{col 37}{space 1}    0.45{col 46}{space 3}0.655{col 54}{space 4}-3.562107{col 67}{space 3} 5.620913
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom firsttermaigann + picfirsttermann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}firsttermaigann + 36{res}*{res}picfirsttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.383527{col 26}{space 2} 2.148429{col 37}{space 1}    0.64{col 46}{space 3}0.522{col 54}{space 4}-2.917021{col 67}{space 3} 5.684075
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom firsttermaigann + picfirsttermann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}firsttermaigann + 48{res}*{res}picfirsttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.737652{col 26}{space 2} 2.086434{col 37}{space 1}    0.83{col 46}{space 3}0.408{col 54}{space 4}-2.438799{col 67}{space 3} 5.914103
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom firsttermaigann + picfirsttermann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}firsttermaigann + 60{res}*{res}picfirsttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.091776{col 26}{space 2} 2.115143{col 37}{space 1}    0.99{col 46}{space 3}0.327{col 54}{space 4}-2.142142{col 67}{space 3} 6.325695
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom firsttermaigann + picfirsttermann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}firsttermaigann + 72{res}*{res}picfirsttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.445901{col 26}{space 2} 2.231057{col 37}{space 1}    1.10{col 46}{space 3}0.277{col 54}{space 4}-2.020045{col 67}{space 3} 6.911847
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom firsttermaigann + picfirsttermann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}firsttermaigann + 84{res}*{res}picfirsttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.800026{col 26}{space 2} 2.421686{col 37}{space 1}    1.16{col 46}{space 3}0.252{col 54}{space 4}-2.047506{col 67}{space 3} 7.647557
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom firsttermaigann + picfirsttermann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}firsttermaigann + 96{res}*{res}picfirsttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  3.15415{col 26}{space 2} 2.671081{col 37}{space 1}    1.18{col 46}{space 3}0.242{col 54}{space 4}  -2.1926{col 67}{space 3}   8.5009
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom firsttermaigann + picfirsttermann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}firsttermaigann + 108{res}*{res}picfirsttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.508275{col 26}{space 2} 2.964448{col 37}{space 1}    1.18{col 46}{space 3}0.241{col 54}{space 4}-2.425712{col 67}{space 3} 9.442261
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom firsttermaigann + picfirsttermann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}firsttermaigann + 120{res}*{res}picfirsttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.862399{col 26}{space 2} 3.290044{col 37}{space 1}    1.17{col 46}{space 3}0.245{col 54}{space 4}-2.723339{col 67}{space 3} 10.44814
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom firsttermaigann + picfirsttermann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}firsttermaigann + 132{res}*{res}picfirsttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.216524{col 26}{space 2} 3.639229{col 37}{space 1}    1.16{col 46}{space 3}0.251{col 54}{space 4}-3.068184{col 67}{space 3} 11.50123
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom firsttermaigann + picfirsttermann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}firsttermaigann + 144{res}*{res}picfirsttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 4.570648{col 26}{space 2}  4.00584{col 37}{space 1}    1.14{col 46}{space 3}0.259{col 54}{space 4}-3.447911{col 67}{space 3} 12.58921
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE NON-LAST TERM ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS] **** 
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-9C   UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. 
. qreg2 electionresults nonlasttermaigann  eddurmonths2 picnonlasttermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & multiterm==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.38940847
{txt}Number of obs = {res}74
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.6381912

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 15}nonlasttermaigann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -1.29447{col 46}{space 2} 2.309479{col 57}{space 1}   -0.56{col 66}{space 3}0.577{col 74}{space 4}-5.912559{col 87}{space 3} 3.323618
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.1033243{col 46}{space 2} .1173922{col 57}{space 1}   -0.88{col 66}{space 3}0.382{col 74}{space 4}-.3380644{col 87}{space 3} .1314159
{txt}{space 15}picnonlasttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0351117{col 46}{space 2} .0338913{col 57}{space 1}    1.04{col 66}{space 3}0.304{col 74}{space 4} -.032658{col 87}{space 3} .1028815
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3426619{col 46}{space 2} .3298628{col 57}{space 1}    1.04{col 66}{space 3}0.303{col 74}{space 4}-.3169395{col 87}{space 3} 1.002263
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6938208{col 46}{space 2} 1.221043{col 57}{space 1}    0.57{col 66}{space 3}0.572{col 74}{space 4}-1.747806{col 87}{space 3} 3.135448
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-21.58472{col 46}{space 2} 9.367229{col 57}{space 1}   -2.30{col 66}{space 3}0.025{col 74}{space 4}-40.31565{col 87}{space 3}-2.853786
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.135195{col 46}{space 2} 10.18296{col 57}{space 1}   -0.11{col 66}{space 3}0.912{col 74}{space 4}-21.49729{col 87}{space 3}  19.2269
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-16.03229{col 46}{space 2} 15.91044{col 57}{space 1}   -1.01{col 66}{space 3}0.318{col 74}{space 4}-47.84719{col 87}{space 3}  15.7826
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.052256{col 46}{space 2} 3.924879{col 57}{space 1}    0.27{col 66}{space 3}0.790{col 74}{space 4}-6.796024{col 87}{space 3} 8.900535
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -3.49459{col 46}{space 2} 5.346164{col 57}{space 1}   -0.65{col 66}{space 3}0.516{col 74}{space 4}-14.18491{col 87}{space 3} 7.195725
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1709455{col 46}{space 2} .2742181{col 57}{space 1}    0.62{col 66}{space 3}0.535{col 74}{space 4}-.3773874{col 87}{space 3} .7192784
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .5380701{col 46}{space 2} .4549511{col 57}{space 1}    1.18{col 66}{space 3}0.242{col 74}{space 4}-.3716609{col 87}{space 3} 1.447801
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 59.04148{col 46}{space 2} 26.36819{col 57}{space 1}    2.24{col 66}{space 3}0.029{col 74}{space 4} 6.315013{col 87}{space 3} 111.7679
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 5.439
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.066
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-9D  UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults nonlasttermaigann  eddurmonths2 picnonlasttermann lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & multiterm==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.38369843
{txt}Number of obs = {res}74
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.483297

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 15}nonlasttermaigann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4455609{col 46}{space 2} 2.942155{col 57}{space 1}    0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.880{col 74}{space 4}-5.443802{col 87}{space 3} 6.334923
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0775176{col 46}{space 2} .0912324{col 57}{space 1}   -0.85{col 66}{space 3}0.399{col 74}{space 4} -.260139{col 87}{space 3} .1051039
{txt}{space 15}picnonlasttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0174293{col 46}{space 2} .0309622{col 57}{space 1}    0.56{col 66}{space 3}0.576{col 74}{space 4}-.0445483{col 87}{space 3} .0794069
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1944595{col 46}{space 2} .4299106{col 57}{space 1}    0.45{col 66}{space 3}0.653{col 74}{space 4}-.6660999{col 87}{space 3} 1.055019
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .9365421{col 46}{space 2} 1.034652{col 57}{space 1}    0.91{col 66}{space 3}0.369{col 74}{space 4}-1.134538{col 87}{space 3} 3.007623
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-22.69666{col 46}{space 2} 9.430164{col 57}{space 1}   -2.41{col 66}{space 3}0.019{col 74}{space 4}-41.57319{col 87}{space 3} -3.82014
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-1.444022{col 46}{space 2} 8.653965{col 57}{space 1}   -0.17{col 66}{space 3}0.868{col 74}{space 4}-18.76682{col 87}{space 3} 15.87877
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-18.96457{col 46}{space 2}  15.9242{col 57}{space 1}   -1.19{col 66}{space 3}0.239{col 74}{space 4}-50.84032{col 87}{space 3} 12.91117
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.658203{col 46}{space 2} 3.855055{col 57}{space 1}    0.69{col 66}{space 3}0.493{col 74}{space 4}-5.058527{col 87}{space 3} 10.37493
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.600432{col 46}{space 2} 6.073793{col 57}{space 1}   -1.09{col 66}{space 3}0.282{col 74}{space 4}-18.75845{col 87}{space 3} 5.557585
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1307163{col 46}{space 2} .2376976{col 57}{space 1}    0.55{col 66}{space 3}0.584{col 74}{space 4}-.3450872{col 87}{space 3} .6065198
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3318801{col 46}{space 2} .4514012{col 57}{space 1}    0.74{col 66}{space 3}0.465{col 74}{space 4}-.5716977{col 87}{space 3} 1.235458
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-519.2767{col 46}{space 2} 404.9086{col 57}{space 1}   -1.28{col 66}{space 3}0.205{col 74}{space 4}-1329.789{col 87}{space 3} 291.2359
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 234.4429{col 46}{space 2} 183.7766{col 57}{space 1}    1.28{col 66}{space 3}0.207{col 74}{space 4}-133.4259{col 87}{space 3} 602.3117
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-33.93016{col 46}{space 2} 27.06079{col 57}{space 1}   -1.25{col 66}{space 3}0.215{col 74}{space 4}-88.09822{col 87}{space 3} 20.23789
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 433.9529{col 46}{space 2} 292.9478{col 57}{space 1}    1.48{col 66}{space 3}0.144{col 74}{space 4}-152.4459{col 87}{space 3} 1020.352
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 5.690
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.058
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. *
. lincom nonlasttermaigann  + picnonlasttermann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}nonlasttermaigann + picnonlasttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .4629902{col 26}{space 2} 2.926881{col 37}{space 1}    0.16{col 46}{space 3}0.875{col 54}{space 4}-5.395799{col 67}{space 3} 6.321779
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom nonlasttermaigann  + picnonlasttermann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}nonlasttermaigann + 12{res}*{res}picnonlasttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .6547121{col 26}{space 2}  2.77617{col 37}{space 1}    0.24{col 46}{space 3}0.814{col 54}{space 4}-4.902396{col 67}{space 3}  6.21182
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom nonlasttermaigann  + picnonlasttermann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}nonlasttermaigann + 24{res}*{res}picnonlasttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .8638634{col 26}{space 2}  2.65218{col 37}{space 1}    0.33{col 46}{space 3}0.746{col 54}{space 4}-4.445051{col 67}{space 3} 6.172778
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom nonlasttermaigann  + picnonlasttermann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}nonlasttermaigann + 36{res}*{res}picnonlasttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.073015{col 26}{space 2} 2.576255{col 37}{space 1}    0.42{col 46}{space 3}0.679{col 54}{space 4} -4.08392{col 67}{space 3}  6.22995
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom nonlasttermaigann  + picnonlasttermann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}nonlasttermaigann + 48{res}*{res}picnonlasttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.282166{col 26}{space 2} 2.552688{col 37}{space 1}    0.50{col 46}{space 3}0.617{col 54}{space 4}-3.827594{col 67}{space 3} 6.391926
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom nonlasttermaigann  + picnonlasttermann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}nonlasttermaigann + 60{res}*{res}picnonlasttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.491317{col 26}{space 2} 2.582912{col 37}{space 1}    0.58{col 46}{space 3}0.566{col 54}{space 4}-3.678944{col 67}{space 3} 6.661578
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom nonlasttermaigann  + picnonlasttermann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}nonlasttermaigann + 72{res}*{res}picnonlasttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.700468{col 26}{space 2} 2.665098{col 37}{space 1}    0.64{col 46}{space 3}0.526{col 54}{space 4}-3.634305{col 67}{space 3} 7.035242
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom nonlasttermaigann  + picnonlasttermann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}nonlasttermaigann + 84{res}*{res}picnonlasttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  1.90962{col 26}{space 2} 2.794665{col 37}{space 1}    0.68{col 46}{space 3}0.497{col 54}{space 4}-3.684511{col 67}{space 3}  7.50375
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom nonlasttermaigann  + picnonlasttermann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}nonlasttermaigann + 96{res}*{res}picnonlasttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.118771{col 26}{space 2}  2.96541{col 37}{space 1}    0.71{col 46}{space 3}0.478{col 54}{space 4}-3.817142{col 67}{space 3} 8.054683
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom nonlasttermaigann  + picnonlasttermann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}nonlasttermaigann + 108{res}*{res}picnonlasttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.327922{col 26}{space 2} 3.170686{col 37}{space 1}    0.73{col 46}{space 3}0.466{col 54}{space 4}-4.018895{col 67}{space 3} 8.674739
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom nonlasttermaigann  + picnonlasttermann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}nonlasttermaigann + 120{res}*{res}picnonlasttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.537073{col 26}{space 2} 3.404253{col 37}{space 1}    0.75{col 46}{space 3}0.459{col 54}{space 4}-4.277279{col 67}{space 3} 9.351425
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom nonlasttermaigann  + picnonlasttermann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}nonlasttermaigann + 132{res}*{res}picnonlasttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.746225{col 26}{space 2} 3.660699{col 37}{space 1}    0.75{col 46}{space 3}0.456{col 54}{space 4} -4.58146{col 67}{space 3} 10.07391
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom nonlasttermaigann  + picnonlasttermann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}nonlasttermaigann + 144{res}*{res}picnonlasttermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.955376{col 26}{space 2} 3.935555{col 37}{space 1}    0.75{col 46}{space 3}0.456{col 54}{space 4}-4.922493{col 67}{space 3} 10.83324
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE RECENT/LAST TERM ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS]: SAME AS MODELS 2A-2D, EXCEPT BASED ONLY ON MULTITERM OBSERVATIONS [N = 74]  **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-9E   UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & multiterm==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.38489662
{txt}Number of obs = {res}74
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.5231094

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 4.357875{col 46}{space 2} 3.084417{col 57}{space 1}    1.41{col 66}{space 3}0.163{col 74}{space 4}-1.809799{col 87}{space 3} 10.52555
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .1259145{col 46}{space 2}    .0891{col 57}{space 1}    1.41{col 66}{space 3}0.163{col 74}{space 4} -.052252{col 87}{space 3} .3040809
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0613642{col 46}{space 2} .0342589{col 57}{space 1}   -1.79{col 66}{space 3}0.078{col 74}{space 4} -.129869{col 87}{space 3} .0071406
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.2920681{col 46}{space 2} .4858935{col 57}{space 1}   -0.60{col 66}{space 3}0.550{col 74}{space 4}-1.263672{col 87}{space 3} .6795361
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .6761878{col 46}{space 2} 1.203669{col 57}{space 1}    0.56{col 66}{space 3}0.576{col 74}{space 4}-1.730697{col 87}{space 3} 3.083072
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.85154{col 46}{space 2} 4.837863{col 57}{space 1}   -4.10{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-29.52545{col 87}{space 3}-10.17764
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.774987{col 46}{space 2} 6.971902{col 57}{space 1}    0.25{col 66}{space 3}0.800{col 74}{space 4}-12.16619{col 87}{space 3} 15.71617
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-11.09437{col 46}{space 2} 12.81699{col 57}{space 1}   -0.87{col 66}{space 3}0.390{col 74}{space 4}-36.72353{col 87}{space 3} 14.53479
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 1.303232{col 46}{space 2} 4.124411{col 57}{space 1}    0.32{col 66}{space 3}0.753{col 74}{space 4}-6.944038{col 87}{space 3} 9.550502
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -7.72578{col 46}{space 2} 6.304982{col 57}{space 1}   -1.23{col 66}{space 3}0.225{col 74}{space 4}-20.33337{col 87}{space 3} 4.881809
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0909995{col 46}{space 2} .2545403{col 57}{space 1}    0.36{col 66}{space 3}0.722{col 74}{space 4}-.4179853{col 87}{space 3} .5999842
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4683991{col 46}{space 2}  .339269{col 57}{space 1}    1.38{col 66}{space 3}0.172{col 74}{space 4}-.2100111{col 87}{space 3} 1.146809
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 82.83956{col 46}{space 2} 27.13507{col 57}{space 1}    3.05{col 66}{space 3}0.003{col 74}{space 4} 28.57963{col 87}{space 3} 137.0995
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 4.310
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.116
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-9F  UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecenttermann eddurmonths2 picrtermann  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & multiterm==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.42568807
{txt}Number of obs = {res}74
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.3241495

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecenttermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.628232{col 46}{space 2}  3.99631{col 57}{space 1}    0.91{col 66}{space 3}0.368{col 74}{space 4}-4.371252{col 87}{space 3} 11.62772
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0841255{col 46}{space 2} .1519333{col 57}{space 1}    0.55{col 66}{space 3}0.582{col 74}{space 4} -.220002{col 87}{space 3} .3882529
{txt}{space 21}picrtermann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0344229{col 46}{space 2} .0678964{col 57}{space 1}   -0.51{col 66}{space 3}0.614{col 74}{space 4}-.1703324{col 87}{space 3} .1014866
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0477399{col 46}{space 2} .4921112{col 57}{space 1}    0.10{col 66}{space 3}0.923{col 74}{space 4}-.9373278{col 87}{space 3} 1.032808
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4382315{col 46}{space 2} 1.310272{col 57}{space 1}    0.33{col 66}{space 3}0.739{col 74}{space 4}-2.184564{col 87}{space 3} 3.061027
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-20.80288{col 46}{space 2} 7.181145{col 57}{space 1}   -2.90{col 66}{space 3}0.005{col 74}{space 4}-35.17751{col 87}{space 3}-6.428262
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.5283835{col 46}{space 2} 8.783217{col 57}{space 1}   -0.06{col 66}{space 3}0.952{col 74}{space 4} -18.1099{col 87}{space 3} 17.05314
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-12.21616{col 46}{space 2} 18.21589{col 57}{space 1}   -0.67{col 66}{space 3}0.505{col 74}{space 4}-48.67922{col 87}{space 3} 24.24691
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 2.101322{col 46}{space 2} 4.678997{col 57}{space 1}    0.45{col 66}{space 3}0.655{col 74}{space 4}-7.264708{col 87}{space 3} 11.46735
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.608457{col 46}{space 2} 7.384359{col 57}{space 1}   -0.89{col 66}{space 3}0.375{col 74}{space 4}-21.38986{col 87}{space 3} 8.172943
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0475527{col 46}{space 2} .3241983{col 57}{space 1}   -0.15{col 66}{space 3}0.884{col 74}{space 4}-.6965061{col 87}{space 3} .6014007
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4774008{col 46}{space 2} .6015043{col 57}{space 1}    0.79{col 66}{space 3}0.431{col 74}{space 4}-.7266409{col 87}{space 3} 1.681442
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-397.8353{col 46}{space 2} 570.7854{col 57}{space 1}   -0.70{col 66}{space 3}0.489{col 74}{space 4}-1540.386{col 87}{space 3} 744.7158
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 169.2794{col 46}{space 2} 259.6605{col 57}{space 1}    0.65{col 66}{space 3}0.517{col 74}{space 4}-350.4875{col 87}{space 3} 689.0462
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-23.02571{col 46}{space 2} 38.15613{col 57}{space 1}   -0.60{col 66}{space 3}0.549{col 74}{space 4} -99.4035{col 87}{space 3} 53.35209
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 362.7686{col 46}{space 2} 408.1044{col 57}{space 1}    0.89{col 66}{space 3}0.378{col 74}{space 4} -454.141{col 87}{space 3} 1179.678
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 9.845
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.007
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF REPUTATION DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.593809{col 26}{space 2} 3.948851{col 37}{space 1}    0.91{col 46}{space 3}0.367{col 54}{space 4}-4.310676{col 67}{space 3} 11.49829
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 12{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 3.215157{col 26}{space 2} 3.471911{col 37}{space 1}    0.93{col 46}{space 3}0.358{col 54}{space 4}-3.734629{col 67}{space 3} 10.16494
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 24{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.802083{col 26}{space 2} 3.076606{col 37}{space 1}    0.91{col 46}{space 3}0.366{col 54}{space 4}-3.356412{col 67}{space 3} 8.960578
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 36{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.389008{col 26}{space 2} 2.864349{col 37}{space 1}    0.83{col 46}{space 3}0.408{col 54}{space 4}-3.344609{col 67}{space 3} 8.122625
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 48{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.975934{col 26}{space 2} 2.875959{col 37}{space 1}    0.69{col 46}{space 3}0.495{col 54}{space 4}-3.780925{col 67}{space 3} 7.732792
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 60{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.562859{col 26}{space 2} 3.108931{col 37}{space 1}    0.50{col 46}{space 3}0.617{col 54}{space 4}-4.660342{col 67}{space 3} 7.786061
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 72{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.149785{col 26}{space 2} 3.519577{col 37}{space 1}    0.33{col 46}{space 3}0.745{col 54}{space 4}-5.895413{col 67}{space 3} 8.194982
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 84{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .7367101{col 26}{space 2} 4.054263{col 37}{space 1}    0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.856{col 54}{space 4}-7.378778{col 67}{space 3} 8.852198
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 96{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .3236356{col 26}{space 2} 4.670581{col 37}{space 1}    0.07{col 46}{space 3}0.945{col 54}{space 4}-9.025549{col 67}{space 3}  9.67282
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 108{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.0894389{col 26}{space 2} 5.340344{col 37}{space 1}   -0.02{col 46}{space 3}0.987{col 54}{space 4} -10.7793{col 67}{space 3} 10.60042
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 120{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.5025134{col 26}{space 2} 6.045815{col 37}{space 1}   -0.08{col 46}{space 3}0.934{col 54}{space 4}-12.60453{col 67}{space 3}  11.5995
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 132{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.9155879{col 26}{space 2} 6.775849{col 37}{space 1}   -0.14{col 46}{space 3}0.893{col 54}{space 4}-14.47892{col 67}{space 3} 12.64775
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecenttermann + picrtermann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecenttermann + 144{res}*{res}picrtermann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.328662{col 26}{space 2} 7.523301{col 37}{space 1}   -0.18{col 46}{space 3}0.860{col 54}{space 4}-16.38819{col 67}{space 3} 13.73086
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *** ESTIMATE FINAL/LAST TERM ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP MODELS [BASED ON AVERAGE QUARTERLY PER CAPITA REAL PERSONAL INCOME GROWTH IN ANNUALIZED TERMS]: SAME AS MODELS 3A-3D, EXCEPT BASED ONLY ON MULTITERM OBSERVATIONS [N = 74]  **** 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITHOUT SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-9G   UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj  if eddur2binary==1 & multiterm==1, norobust

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.46743006
{txt}Number of obs = {res}74
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.264491

{txt}                    Standard errors valid under homoskedasticity
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.346313{col 46}{space 2} 1.400519{col 57}{space 1}    2.39{col 66}{space 3}0.020{col 74}{space 4} .5458024{col 87}{space 3} 6.146824
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .041243{col 46}{space 2} .0424571{col 57}{space 1}    0.97{col 66}{space 3}0.335{col 74}{space 4}-.0436553{col 87}{space 3} .1261413
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -.037202{col 46}{space 2} .0143252{col 57}{space 1}   -2.60{col 66}{space 3}0.012{col 74}{space 4} -.065847{col 87}{space 3}-.0085569
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0053196{col 46}{space 2} .3000493{col 57}{space 1}   -0.02{col 66}{space 3}0.986{col 74}{space 4}-.6053053{col 87}{space 3} .5946662
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0526601{col 46}{space 2} 1.086175{col 57}{space 1}    0.05{col 66}{space 3}0.961{col 74}{space 4}-2.119282{col 87}{space 3} 2.224602
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.24498{col 46}{space 2} 3.706657{col 57}{space 1}   -5.19{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4}-26.65689{col 87}{space 3}-11.83306
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-4.203242{col 46}{space 2} 5.511595{col 57}{space 1}   -0.76{col 66}{space 3}0.449{col 74}{space 4}-15.22436{col 87}{space 3} 6.817873
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-15.03335{col 46}{space 2} 9.606177{col 57}{space 1}   -1.56{col 66}{space 3}0.123{col 74}{space 4}-34.24209{col 87}{space 3} 4.175388
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .3555746{col 46}{space 2} 3.024289{col 57}{space 1}    0.12{col 66}{space 3}0.907{col 74}{space 4}-5.691864{col 87}{space 3} 6.403014
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-6.732379{col 46}{space 2} 4.295135{col 57}{space 1}   -1.57{col 66}{space 3}0.122{col 74}{space 4}-15.32103{col 87}{space 3} 1.856274
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0537822{col 46}{space 2} .1999535{col 57}{space 1}    0.27{col 66}{space 3}0.789{col 74}{space 4}-.3460495{col 87}{space 3} .4536139
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}  .700199{col 46}{space 2} .2515046{col 57}{space 1}    2.78{col 66}{space 3}0.007{col 74}{space 4} .1972844{col 87}{space 3} 1.203114
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 74.88479{col 46}{space 2} 18.73276{col 57}{space 1}    4.00{col 66}{space 3}0.000{col 74}{space 4} 37.42633{col 87}{space 3} 112.3433
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 1.881
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.390
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. ******* ESTIMATE MODELS WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION BETWEEN INCUMBENT GOVERNORS SEEKING RE-ELECTION [= 0] AND NON-INCUMBENT EX-GOVERNORS SEEKING ELECTION [= 1] ********
. 
. 
. 
. *** MODEL SI-9H  UNRESTRICTED FULL SAMPLE WITH SAMPLE SELECTION CORRECTION VIA CUBIC INVERSE MILLS RATIO COVARIATES ***
. 
. qreg2 electionresults personalincomerecentyearann eddurmonths2 picryearann  lastelectionresults personalincpctchangeelectquarter general senateseat incumbparty incumbpartypicelectqtr incumbdef vapabschangelo stateideolchangepartyadj imr4 imr4sq imr4cubic if eddur2binary==1 & multiterm==1

{txt}Median regression
R-squared = {res}.47358005
{txt}Number of obs = {res}74
{txt}Objective function = {res}5.0636351

{txt}                     Heteroskedasticity robust standard errors
{res}{txt}{hline 33}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}                 electionresults{col 34}{c |}      Coef.{col 46}   Std. Err.{col 58}      t{col 66}   P>|t|{col 74}     [95% Con{col 87}f. Interval]
{hline 33}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 5}personalincomerecentyearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 3.381694{col 46}{space 2} 1.891037{col 57}{space 1}    1.79{col 66}{space 3}0.079{col 74}{space 4}-.4036281{col 87}{space 3} 7.167017
{txt}{space 20}eddurmonths2 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .0351734{col 46}{space 2} .0571595{col 57}{space 1}    0.62{col 66}{space 3}0.541{col 74}{space 4}-.0792437{col 87}{space 3} .1495906
{txt}{space 21}picryearann {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0337541{col 46}{space 2} .0202351{col 57}{space 1}   -1.67{col 66}{space 3}0.101{col 74}{space 4} -.074259{col 87}{space 3} .0067509
{txt}{space 13}lastelectionresults {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0490789{col 46}{space 2} .4821018{col 57}{space 1}   -0.10{col 66}{space 3}0.919{col 74}{space 4}-1.014111{col 87}{space 3} .9159527
{txt}personalincpctchangeelectquarter {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .7342548{col 46}{space 2} 1.324088{col 57}{space 1}    0.55{col 66}{space 3}0.581{col 74}{space 4}-1.916195{col 87}{space 3} 3.384704
{txt}{space 25}general {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.53018{col 46}{space 2} 7.946132{col 57}{space 1}   -2.46{col 66}{space 3}0.017{col 74}{space 4}-35.43609{col 87}{space 3}-3.624266
{txt}{space 22}senateseat {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-2.660746{col 46}{space 2} 5.564737{col 57}{space 1}   -0.48{col 66}{space 3}0.634{col 74}{space 4}-13.79978{col 87}{space 3} 8.478285
{txt}{space 21}incumbparty {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} -9.39012{col 46}{space 2} 18.62897{col 57}{space 1}   -0.50{col 66}{space 3}0.616{col 74}{space 4}-46.68005{col 87}{space 3} 27.89981
{txt}{space 10}incumbpartypicelectqtr {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4751011{col 46}{space 2} 7.513626{col 57}{space 1}    0.06{col 66}{space 3}0.950{col 74}{space 4}-14.56506{col 87}{space 3} 15.51526
{txt}{space 19}incumbdeficit {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-7.224893{col 46}{space 2} 6.850112{col 57}{space 1}   -1.05{col 66}{space 3}0.296{col 74}{space 4}-20.93688{col 87}{space 3} 6.487096
{txt}{space 18}vapabschangelo {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-.0404605{col 46}{space 2} .3866948{col 57}{space 1}   -0.10{col 66}{space 3}0.917{col 74}{space 4}-.8145143{col 87}{space 3} .7335933
{txt}{space 8}stateideolchangepartyadj {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} .4476072{col 46}{space 2} .4170497{col 57}{space 1}    1.07{col 66}{space 3}0.288{col 74}{space 4}-.3872084{col 87}{space 3} 1.282423
{txt}{space 28}imr4 {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-316.5755{col 46}{space 2} 433.9771{col 57}{space 1}   -0.73{col 66}{space 3}0.469{col 74}{space 4}-1185.275{col 87}{space 3}  552.124
{txt}{space 26}imr4sq {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 139.0521{col 46}{space 2} 190.0987{col 57}{space 1}    0.73{col 66}{space 3}0.467{col 74}{space 4}-241.4719{col 87}{space 3}  519.576
{txt}{space 23}imr4cubic {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2}-19.41469{col 46}{space 2} 26.79772{col 57}{space 1}   -0.72{col 66}{space 3}0.472{col 74}{space 4}-73.05615{col 87}{space 3} 34.22678
{txt}{space 27}_cons {c |}{col 34}{res}{space 2} 300.6146{col 46}{space 2} 308.9219{col 57}{space 1}    0.97{col 66}{space 3}0.335{col 74}{space 4}-317.7597{col 87}{space 3}  918.989
{txt}{hline 33}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

Machado-Santos Silva test for heteroskedasticity
         Ho: Constant variance
         Variables: {res}Fitted values of electionresults and its squares

{txt}         chi2({res}2{txt}){col 23}=  {res} 6.765
{txt}         Prob > chi2  =  {res} 0.034
{txt}
{com}. 
. 
. 
. *** CONDITIONAL MARGINAL EFFECTS OF INTERTEMPORAL DEPRECIATION OF ECONOMIC STEWARDSHIP ON EX-GOVERNOR'S VOTE SHARE IN FUTURE ELECTION CONTEST ***
. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*1

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  3.34794{col 26}{space 2}  1.88052{col 37}{space 1}    1.78{col 46}{space 3}0.080{col 54}{space 4}-.4163297{col 67}{space 3} 7.112211
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*12

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 12{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.976646{col 26}{space 2} 1.775972{col 37}{space 1}    1.68{col 46}{space 3}0.099{col 54}{space 4}-.5783481{col 67}{space 3}  6.53164
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*24

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 24{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.571597{col 26}{space 2}  1.68821{col 37}{space 1}    1.52{col 46}{space 3}0.133{col 54}{space 4}-.8077229{col 67}{space 3} 5.950917
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*36

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 36{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 2.166548{col 26}{space 2} 1.632163{col 37}{space 1}    1.33{col 46}{space 3}0.190{col 54}{space 4}-1.100581{col 67}{space 3} 5.433677
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*48

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 48{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.761499{col 26}{space 2} 1.611143{col 37}{space 1}    1.09{col 46}{space 3}0.279{col 54}{space 4}-1.463554{col 67}{space 3} 4.986553
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*60

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 60{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} 1.356451{col 26}{space 2}  1.62651{col 37}{space 1}    0.83{col 46}{space 3}0.408{col 54}{space 4}-1.899362{col 67}{space 3} 4.612264
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*72

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 72{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}  .951402{col 26}{space 2} 1.677262{col 37}{space 1}    0.57{col 46}{space 3}0.573{col 54}{space 4}-2.406004{col 67}{space 3} 4.308808
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*84

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 84{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .5463532{col 26}{space 2} 1.760343{col 37}{space 1}    0.31{col 46}{space 3}0.757{col 54}{space 4}-2.977357{col 67}{space 3} 4.070064
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*96

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 96{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} .1413045{col 26}{space 2} 1.871452{col 37}{space 1}    0.08{col 46}{space 3}0.940{col 54}{space 4}-3.604814{col 67}{space 3} 3.887423
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*108

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 108{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-.2637443{col 26}{space 2} 2.005937{col 37}{space 1}   -0.13{col 46}{space 3}0.896{col 54}{space 4}-4.279063{col 67}{space 3} 3.751574
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*120

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 120{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2} -.668793{col 26}{space 2} 2.159434{col 37}{space 1}   -0.31{col 46}{space 3}0.758{col 54}{space 4} -4.99137{col 67}{space 3} 3.653784
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. * 
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*132

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 132{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.073842{col 26}{space 2} 2.328187{col 37}{space 1}   -0.46{col 46}{space 3}0.646{col 54}{space 4}-5.734214{col 67}{space 3}  3.58653
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. *
. lincom personalincomerecentyearann + picryearann*144

{p 0 7}{space 1}{text:( 1)}{space 1} {res}personalincomerecentyearann + 144{res}*{res}picryearann = 0{p_end}

{txt}{hline 13}{c TT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{col 1}electionre~s{col 14}{c |}      Coef.{col 26}   Std. Err.{col 38}      t{col 46}   P>|t|{col 54}     [95% Con{col 67}f. Interval]
{hline 13}{c +}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}
{space 9}(1) {c |}{col 14}{res}{space 2}-1.478891{col 26}{space 2} 2.509118{col 37}{space 1}   -0.59{col 46}{space 3}0.558{col 54}{space 4}-6.501436{col 67}{space 3} 3.543655
{txt}{hline 13}{c BT}{hline 11}{hline 11}{hline 9}{hline 8}{hline 13}{hline 12}

{com}. 
. 
. 
. 
. 
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
. *********************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************************
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{txt}end of do-file

{com}. save "D:\Melusky\Intertemporal Electoral Choice Project\Data\intertemporal retrospective economic voting.11-07-2013.postestimation.dta"
{txt}file D:\Melusky\Intertemporal Electoral Choice Project\Data\intertemporal retrospective economic voting.11-07-2013.postestimation.dta saved

{com}. log close
      {txt}name:  {res}<unnamed>
       {txt}log:  {res}D:\Melusky\Intertemporal Electoral Choice Project\Data\median regression analyses.11-07-2013.FINAL.smcl
  {txt}log type:  {res}smcl
 {txt}closed on:  {res} 8 Nov 2013, 13:05:42
{txt}{.-}
{smcl}
{txt}{sf}{ul off}